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The Public Mind

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    Companion 1.3b

    The obedience-autonomy disposition

    Valuing obedience over autonomy in children goes with placing oneself further right, with a median correlation of +0.04 across 103 countries in the WVS and EVS from 2005 to 2023.

    A companion to Chapter 1.3, Left and right across countries

    DraftFigures and numbers may change as the analysis is rebuilt.what is still being checked

    Not yet done: a measurement-invariance test of the ANES child-rearing items across racial groups. This chapter reports the groups separately, cites two studies that reach different conclusions and does not test whether the items mean the same thing to each group.

    Among World Values Survey (WVS) respondents in the United States, people who pick obedience and religious faith over independence and tolerance as qualities for a child to learn place themselves further right on a ten-point scale from left to right. With the waves of 2006, 2011 and 2017 pooled, the correlationCorrelationA number from minus 1 to plus 1 for how closely two measures move together in a straight-line pattern. Zero means no straight-line pattern; a correlation does not say that one measure causes the other. between that child-rearing choice and self-placement is +0.28+0.28 correlation coefficient, from −1 to +1Estimandweighted correlation of left-right with the full indexInterval95% CI 0.25 to 0.31n5,900Weightsweight (S017) within the countryPopulationrespondents in United States with a left-right answer and all four child-quality answersPeriodfieldwork 2006, 2011, 2017, waves pooledSourceWorld Values Survey and EVS. Among respondents in India, with the waves of 2006, 2012 and 2023 pooled, the same question gives +0.01 (95% CI −0.01 to 0.04)+0.01 correlation coefficient, from −1 to +1Estimandweighted correlation of left-right with the full indexInterval95% CI −0.01 to 0.04n5,826Weightsweight (S017) within the countryPopulationrespondents in India with a left-right answer and all four child-quality answersPeriodfieldwork 2006, 2012, 2023, waves pooledSourceWorld Values Survey and EVS, an interval that includes zero, the value at which two answers are unrelated. The same answer about children goes with the political right in one country and has no detectable link to it in the other.

    The answer tracks left-right placement only weakly

    Stenner argued that a lasting preference for sameness and authority over difference and choice can be read from questions about raising children, because those questions do not mention politics [1]. The WVS question is a checklist. Respondents see a list of qualities a child can learn at home and pick up to five, among them obedience, religious faith, independence, and tolerance and respect for other people. The chapter's score is the first pair minus the second, so ticking obedience and faith and neither of the other two puts a person at the obedience end. The score records a choice about children, and treating it as a disposition rests on that argument. The WVS and the European Values Study (EVS) give a usable estimate for 103103 countries and territoriesEstimandcount of countries with a usable correlation between left-right and the full indexWeightsnone (count)Populationcountries with an effective sample of 300 or more on the measure and left-rightPeriodfieldwork 2005-2023SourceWorld Values Survey and EVS countries and territories with fieldwork from 2005 to 2023. The correlation between the child-rearing score and left-right self-placementLeft-right self-placementA survey question that asks people to place themselves on a scale from left to right. The scale is the same for everyone, but the meaning attached to left and right differs across people, countries and years. is above zero in 8484 countries and territoriesEstimandcount of countries where the point estimate is above zeroWeightsnone (count)Populationcountries with an effective sample of 300 or more on the measure and left-rightPeriodfieldwork 2005-2023SourceWorld Values Survey and EVS of them, and the median country has a correlation of +0.04 (95% CI 0.03 to 0.06)+0.04 correlation coefficient, from −1 to +1Estimandmedian across countries of the correlation between left-right and the full index (bootstrap over countries)Interval95% CI 0.03 to 0.06n103Weightsweight (S017) within each country; every country counted once across countriesPopulationcountries with an effective sample of 300 or more on the measure and left-rightPeriodfieldwork 2005-2023SourceWorld Values Survey and EVS. A positive value means that people on the obedience side place themselves further right on average. A median this close to zero means that the child-rearing answer tracks the left-right label only weakly in most of these countries. The interval lies wholly below zero in Bulgaria, Czechia, Egypt, Moldova and Zambia, where people on the obedience side place themselves further left on average.

    Figure 1

    The correlation is positive in 84 of 103 countries and +0.04 in the median country

    Weighted correlation between left-right self-placement (10 = right) and the obedience measure, one dot per country; WVS and EVS fieldwork 2005-2023, ESS rounds 3 to 10

    • Interval above zero
    • Interval includes zero
    • Interval below zero
    Show data
    Data for The correlation is positive in 84 of 103 countries and +0.04 in the median country
    CountryRegionCorrelationInterval lowInterval highRespondentsMeasure
    AlbaniaEurope & Central Asia+0.06+0.02+0.112,253WVS and EVS, full index
    AlgeriaMiddle East & North Africa+0.06−0.02+0.14545WVS and EVS, full index
    AndorraEurope & Central Asia+0.20+0.15+0.241,824WVS and EVS, full index
    ArgentinaLatin America & Caribbean+0.15+0.11+0.202,346WVS and EVS, full index
    ArmeniaEurope & Central Asia+0.05+0.01+0.083,776WVS and EVS, full index
    AustraliaEast Asia & Pacific+0.17+0.13+0.204,488WVS and EVS, full index
    AustriaEurope & Central Asia+0.17+0.13+0.212,685WVS and EVS, full index
    AzerbaijanEurope & Central Asia+0.040.00+0.092,174WVS and EVS, full index
    BangladeshSouth Asia0.00−0.06+0.061,200WVS and EVS, full index
    BelarusEurope & Central Asia0.00−0.03+0.043,222WVS and EVS, full index
    BelgiumEurope & Central Asia+0.07+0.01+0.121,422WVS and EVS, full index
    BoliviaLatin America & Caribbean+0.05+0.01+0.101,800WVS and EVS, full index
    Bosnia HerzegovinaEurope & Central Asia+0.10+0.06+0.152,315WVS and EVS, full index
    BrazilLatin America & Caribbean+0.06+0.03+0.103,680WVS and EVS, full index
    BulgariaEurope & Central Asia−0.06−0.10−0.022,665WVS and EVS, full index
    Burkina FasoSub-Saharan Africa+0.02−0.04+0.081,126WVS and EVS, full index
    CanadaNorth America+0.25+0.22+0.285,642WVS and EVS, full index
    ChileLatin America & Caribbean+0.06+0.01+0.122,127WVS and EVS, full index
    ColombiaLatin America & Caribbean+0.08+0.06+0.115,023WVS and EVS, full index
    CroatiaEurope & Central Asia+0.16+0.12+0.212,196WVS and EVS, full index
    CyprusEurope & Central Asia−0.01−0.05+0.032,894WVS and EVS, full index
    CzechiaEurope & Central Asia−0.06−0.09−0.023,615WVS and EVS, full index
    DenmarkEurope & Central Asia+0.09+0.06+0.134,688WVS and EVS, full index
    EcuadorLatin America & Caribbean+0.08+0.04+0.122,244WVS and EVS, full index
    EgyptMiddle East & North Africa−0.14−0.17−0.104,245WVS and EVS, full index
    EstoniaEurope & Central Asia−0.01−0.05+0.023,319WVS and EVS, full index
    EthiopiaSub-Saharan Africa+0.02−0.02+0.071,931WVS and EVS, full index
    FinlandEurope & Central Asia+0.11+0.07+0.152,955WVS and EVS, full index
    FranceEurope & Central Asia+0.13+0.10+0.173,862WVS and EVS, full index
    GeorgiaEurope & Central Asia+0.01−0.02+0.054,248WVS and EVS, full index
    GermanyEurope & Central Asia+0.12+0.09+0.148,805WVS and EVS, full index
    GhanaSub-Saharan Africa+0.04−0.01+0.082,334WVS and EVS, full index
    GreeceEurope & Central Asia+0.18+0.14+0.222,201WVS and EVS, full index
    GuatemalaLatin America & Caribbean−0.03−0.10+0.05728WVS and EVS, full index
    HaitiLatin America & Caribbean+0.02−0.03+0.061,945WVS and EVS, full index
    Hong Kong SAREast Asia & Pacific+0.08+0.04+0.113,960WVS and EVS, full index
    HungaryEurope & Central Asia+0.07+0.03+0.103,444WVS and EVS, full index
    IcelandEurope & Central Asia+0.06+0.01+0.112,322WVS and EVS, full index
    IndiaSouth Asia+0.01−0.01+0.045,826WVS and EVS, full index
    IndonesiaEast Asia & Pacific+0.01−0.03+0.044,093WVS and EVS, full index
    IraqMiddle East & North Africa+0.12+0.05+0.18978WVS and EVS, full index
    ItalyEurope & Central Asia+0.16+0.13+0.193,552WVS and EVS, full index
    JapanEast Asia & Pacific+0.06+0.03+0.093,609WVS and EVS, full index
    KazakhstanEurope & Central Asia+0.02−0.03+0.071,500WVS and EVS, full index
    KenyaSub-Saharan Africa+0.02−0.04+0.071,164WVS and EVS, full index
    KosovoEurope & Central Asia−0.02−0.10+0.06662WVS and EVS, full index
    KyrgyzstanEurope & Central Asia+0.08+0.03+0.131,461WVS and EVS, full index
    LatviaEurope & Central Asia−0.01−0.05+0.041,985WVS and EVS, full index
    LebanonMiddle East & North Africa+0.04−0.02+0.11837WVS and EVS, full index
    LibyaMiddle East & North Africa+0.01−0.04+0.062,606WVS and EVS, full index
    LithuaniaEurope & Central Asia+0.07+0.02+0.111,831WVS and EVS, full index
    LuxembourgEurope & Central Asia+0.22+0.16+0.281,256WVS and EVS, full index
    Macau SAREast Asia & Pacific−0.01−0.08+0.05997WVS and EVS, full index
    MalaysiaEast Asia & Pacific+0.02−0.02+0.062,613WVS and EVS, full index
    MaldivesSouth Asia+0.04−0.02+0.101,022WVS and EVS, full index
    MaliSub-Saharan Africa0.00−0.06+0.051,193WVS and EVS, full index
    MaltaMiddle East & North Africa+0.05−0.03+0.12764WVS and EVS, full index
    MexicoLatin America & Caribbean+0.04+0.01+0.074,785WVS and EVS, full index
    MoldovaEurope & Central Asia−0.07−0.12−0.021,610WVS and EVS, full index
    MongoliaEast Asia & Pacific+0.04−0.01+0.091,613WVS and EVS, full index
    MontenegroEurope & Central Asia+0.03−0.03+0.101,211WVS and EVS, full index
    MoroccoMiddle East & North Africa+0.16+0.12+0.201,916WVS and EVS, full index
    NetherlandsEurope & Central Asia+0.20+0.18+0.227,886WVS and EVS, full index
    New ZealandEast Asia & Pacific+0.15+0.10+0.201,423WVS and EVS, full index
    NicaraguaLatin America & Caribbean+0.03−0.04+0.09871WVS and EVS, full index
    NigeriaSub-Saharan Africa+0.02−0.02+0.062,929WVS and EVS, full index
    North MacedoniaEurope & Central Asia+0.05−0.03+0.13766WVS and EVS, full index
    Northern IrelandEurope & Central Asia+0.16+0.06+0.25642WVS and EVS, full index
    NorwayEurope & Central Asia+0.08+0.04+0.113,154WVS and EVS, full index
    PakistanSouth Asia−0.04−0.09+0.021,200WVS and EVS, full index
    PalestineMiddle East & North Africa−0.01−0.09+0.06730WVS and EVS, full index
    PeruLatin America & Caribbean+0.02−0.01+0.063,345WVS and EVS, full index
    PhilippinesEast Asia & Pacific+0.03−0.02+0.072,389WVS and EVS, full index
    PolandEurope & Central Asia+0.19+0.16+0.223,599WVS and EVS, full index
    PortugalEurope & Central Asia+0.050.00+0.111,942WVS and EVS, full index
    Puerto RicoLatin America & Caribbean0.00−0.06+0.061,049WVS and EVS, full index
    RomaniaEurope & Central Asia−0.02−0.05+0.014,539WVS and EVS, full index
    RussiaEurope & Central Asia+0.01−0.02+0.054,611WVS and EVS, full index
    RwandaSub-Saharan Africa+0.06+0.03+0.102,555WVS and EVS, full index
    SerbiaEurope & Central Asia+0.03−0.01+0.073,739WVS and EVS, full index
    SingaporeEast Asia & Pacific+0.07+0.02+0.111,745WVS and EVS, full index
    SlovakiaEurope & Central Asia+0.03−0.01+0.073,260WVS and EVS, full index
    SloveniaEurope & Central Asia+0.17+0.13+0.203,091WVS and EVS, full index
    South AfricaSub-Saharan Africa−0.02−0.06+0.015,594WVS and EVS, full index
    South KoreaEast Asia & Pacific+0.040.00+0.083,640WVS and EVS, full index
    SpainEurope & Central Asia+0.20+0.17+0.234,298WVS and EVS, full index
    SwedenEurope & Central Asia+0.040.00+0.074,254WVS and EVS, full index
    SwitzerlandEurope & Central Asia+0.15+0.12+0.175,134WVS and EVS, full index
    Taiwan ROCNot classified0.00−0.04+0.043,563WVS and EVS, full index
    TajikistanEurope & Central Asia−0.03−0.09+0.021,200WVS and EVS, full index
    ThailandEast Asia & Pacific+0.06+0.02+0.093,763WVS and EVS, full index
    Trinidad and TobagoLatin America & Caribbean+0.01−0.05+0.071,213WVS and EVS, full index
    TunisiaMiddle East & North Africa−0.01−0.06+0.041,678WVS and EVS, full index
    TurkeyEurope & Central Asia+0.16+0.13+0.194,467WVS and EVS, full index
    UkraineEurope & Central Asia+0.05+0.01+0.104,565WVS and EVS, full index
    United KingdomEurope & Central Asia+0.13+0.11+0.166,150WVS and EVS, full index
    United StatesNorth America+0.28+0.25+0.315,900WVS and EVS, full index
    UruguayLatin America & Caribbean+0.14+0.10+0.182,662WVS and EVS, full index
    UzbekistanEurope & Central Asia+0.01−0.07+0.09615WVS and EVS, full index
    VenezuelaLatin America & Caribbean−0.06−0.110.001,190WVS and EVS, full index
    VietnamEast Asia & Pacific+0.11+0.06+0.161,408WVS and EVS, full index
    ZambiaSub-Saharan Africa−0.07−0.14−0.01959WVS and EVS, full index
    ZimbabweSub-Saharan Africa+0.02−0.03+0.062,627WVS and EVS, full index
    AlbaniaEurope & Central Asia0.00−0.04+0.052,253WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    AlgeriaMiddle East & North Africa+0.06−0.02+0.14545WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    AndorraEurope & Central Asia+0.16+0.12+0.211,824WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    ArgentinaLatin America & Caribbean+0.15+0.11+0.202,346WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    ArmeniaEurope & Central Asia+0.05+0.01+0.083,783WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    AustraliaEast Asia & Pacific+0.14+0.11+0.184,488WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    AustriaEurope & Central Asia+0.16+0.12+0.202,693WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    AzerbaijanEurope & Central Asia+0.04−0.01+0.082,174WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    BangladeshSouth Asia+0.01−0.05+0.071,200WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    BelarusEurope & Central Asia+0.01−0.03+0.043,223WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    BelgiumEurope & Central Asia+0.050.00+0.111,422WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    BoliviaLatin America & Caribbean+0.050.00+0.101,800WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    Bosnia HerzegovinaEurope & Central Asia+0.050.00+0.092,315WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    BrazilLatin America & Caribbean+0.06+0.03+0.093,680WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    BulgariaEurope & Central Asia−0.07−0.12−0.032,689WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    Burkina FasoSub-Saharan Africa−0.02−0.08+0.041,126WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    CanadaNorth America+0.21+0.18+0.245,642WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    ChileLatin America & Caribbean+0.04−0.02+0.092,127WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    ColombiaLatin America & Caribbean+0.07+0.04+0.095,023WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    CroatiaEurope & Central Asia+0.08+0.03+0.132,208WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    CyprusEurope & Central Asia−0.01−0.05+0.032,898WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    CzechiaEurope & Central Asia−0.06−0.10−0.033,663WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    DenmarkEurope & Central Asia+0.08+0.04+0.114,688WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    EcuadorLatin America & Caribbean+0.07+0.03+0.112,244WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    EgyptMiddle East & North Africa−0.13−0.16−0.094,245WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    EstoniaEurope & Central Asia−0.01−0.04+0.033,322WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    EthiopiaSub-Saharan Africa+0.040.00+0.081,931WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    FinlandEurope & Central Asia+0.08+0.04+0.122,955WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    FranceEurope & Central Asia+0.13+0.09+0.163,862WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    GeorgiaEurope & Central Asia+0.02−0.01+0.054,250WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    GermanyEurope & Central Asia+0.11+0.09+0.148,805WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    GhanaSub-Saharan Africa+0.01−0.04+0.062,334WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    GreeceEurope & Central Asia+0.09+0.05+0.132,201WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    GuatemalaLatin America & Caribbean−0.03−0.10+0.04759WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    HaitiLatin America & Caribbean+0.01−0.03+0.061,945WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    Hong Kong SAREast Asia & Pacific+0.09+0.05+0.123,960WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    HungaryEurope & Central Asia+0.02−0.01+0.063,446WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    IcelandEurope & Central Asia+0.040.00+0.092,323WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    IndiaSouth Asia−0.01−0.03+0.025,826WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    IndonesiaEast Asia & Pacific+0.01−0.03+0.044,093WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    IraqMiddle East & North Africa+0.02−0.05+0.08978WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    ItalyEurope & Central Asia+0.14+0.11+0.173,554WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    JapanEast Asia & Pacific+0.05+0.02+0.093,609WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    KazakhstanEurope & Central Asia+0.01−0.04+0.061,500WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    KenyaSub-Saharan Africa+0.02−0.04+0.081,164WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    KosovoEurope & Central Asia+0.04−0.04+0.11662WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    KyrgyzstanEurope & Central Asia+0.08+0.02+0.131,461WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    LatviaEurope & Central Asia−0.01−0.05+0.042,014WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    LebanonMiddle East & North Africa0.00−0.07+0.07837WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    LibyaMiddle East & North Africa+0.01−0.04+0.062,606WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    LithuaniaEurope & Central Asia+0.050.00+0.101,834WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    LuxembourgEurope & Central Asia+0.18+0.12+0.231,259WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    Macau SAREast Asia & Pacific0.00−0.07+0.06997WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    MalaysiaEast Asia & Pacific0.00−0.04+0.042,613WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    MaldivesSouth Asia+0.06−0.01+0.121,022WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    MaliSub-Saharan Africa0.00−0.06+0.061,193WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    MaltaMiddle East & North Africa+0.04−0.04+0.11766WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    MexicoLatin America & Caribbean+0.03+0.01+0.064,786WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    MoldovaEurope & Central Asia−0.07−0.11−0.021,616WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    MongoliaEast Asia & Pacific0.00−0.05+0.051,613WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    MontenegroEurope & Central Asia−0.03−0.09+0.031,212WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    MoroccoMiddle East & North Africa+0.11+0.07+0.161,916WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    NetherlandsEurope & Central Asia+0.18+0.16+0.207,889WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    New ZealandEast Asia & Pacific+0.14+0.09+0.191,423WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    NicaraguaLatin America & Caribbean+0.01−0.06+0.07871WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    NigeriaSub-Saharan Africa+0.01−0.03+0.052,929WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    North MacedoniaEurope & Central Asia+0.05−0.03+0.13804WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    Northern IrelandEurope & Central Asia+0.12+0.02+0.21650WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    NorwayEurope & Central Asia+0.06+0.02+0.093,154WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    PakistanSouth Asia−0.05−0.11+0.011,200WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    PalestineMiddle East & North Africa−0.03−0.10+0.05730WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    PeruLatin America & Caribbean+0.02−0.01+0.063,345WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    PhilippinesEast Asia & Pacific+0.01−0.03+0.062,389WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    PolandEurope & Central Asia+0.10+0.06+0.133,604WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    PortugalEurope & Central Asia+0.01−0.04+0.071,944WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    Puerto RicoLatin America & Caribbean+0.02−0.04+0.081,049WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    RomaniaEurope & Central Asia−0.02−0.05+0.014,544WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    RussiaEurope & Central Asia0.00−0.04+0.034,620WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    RwandaSub-Saharan Africa+0.040.00+0.082,555WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    SerbiaEurope & Central Asia0.00−0.03+0.043,743WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    SingaporeEast Asia & Pacific+0.03−0.02+0.081,745WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    SlovakiaEurope & Central Asia+0.03−0.01+0.073,270WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    SloveniaEurope & Central Asia+0.09+0.06+0.133,093WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    South AfricaSub-Saharan Africa−0.01−0.05+0.025,594WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    South KoreaEast Asia & Pacific+0.03−0.01+0.073,640WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    SpainEurope & Central Asia+0.14+0.11+0.174,304WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    SwedenEurope & Central Asia+0.040.00+0.074,254WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    SwitzerlandEurope & Central Asia+0.15+0.13+0.185,134WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    Taiwan ROCNot classified−0.01−0.04+0.033,563WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    TajikistanEurope & Central Asia−0.04−0.10+0.011,200WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    ThailandEast Asia & Pacific+0.05+0.02+0.083,763WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    Trinidad and TobagoLatin America & Caribbean0.00−0.05+0.061,213WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    TunisiaMiddle East & North Africa−0.07−0.12−0.021,680WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    TurkeyEurope & Central Asia+0.07+0.04+0.104,505WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    UkraineEurope & Central Asia+0.01−0.03+0.054,577WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    United KingdomEurope & Central Asia+0.13+0.10+0.166,155WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    United StatesNorth America+0.22+0.19+0.255,900WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    UruguayLatin America & Caribbean+0.12+0.08+0.162,662WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    UzbekistanEurope & Central Asia+0.01−0.07+0.09615WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    VenezuelaLatin America & Caribbean+0.01−0.04+0.071,190WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    VietnamEast Asia & Pacific+0.12+0.06+0.171,408WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    ZambiaSub-Saharan Africa−0.04−0.11+0.02959WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    ZimbabweSub-Saharan Africa+0.03−0.01+0.082,627WVS and EVS, without the religious-faith item
    AlbaniaEurope & Central Asia0.00−0.08+0.091,041ESS, conservation values
    AustriaEurope & Central Asia+0.22+0.19+0.247,715ESS, conservation values
    BelgiumEurope & Central Asia+0.08+0.06+0.0913,202ESS, conservation values
    BulgariaEurope & Central Asia−0.23−0.25−0.219,818ESS, conservation values
    CroatiaEurope & Central Asia+0.15+0.12+0.185,353ESS, conservation values
    CyprusEurope & Central Asia−0.02−0.06+0.024,044ESS, conservation values
    CzechiaEurope & Central Asia−0.23−0.25−0.2113,804ESS, conservation values
    DenmarkEurope & Central Asia+0.12+0.09+0.148,952ESS, conservation values
    EstoniaEurope & Central Asia−0.06−0.08−0.0512,434ESS, conservation values
    FinlandEurope & Central Asia+0.10+0.08+0.1214,133ESS, conservation values
    FranceEurope & Central Asia+0.20+0.19+0.2214,593ESS, conservation values
    GermanyEurope & Central Asia+0.16+0.15+0.1818,649ESS, conservation values
    GreeceEurope & Central Asia+0.10+0.07+0.136,131ESS, conservation values
    HungaryEurope & Central Asia−0.01−0.04+0.0110,753ESS, conservation values
    IcelandEurope & Central Asia+0.10+0.07+0.143,146ESS, conservation values
    IrelandEurope & Central Asia+0.15+0.13+0.1715,004ESS, conservation values
    IsraelMiddle East & North Africa+0.09+0.07+0.1110,886ESS, conservation values
    ItalyEurope & Central Asia+0.06+0.03+0.096,404ESS, conservation values
    KosovoEurope & Central Asia+0.100.00+0.19809ESS, conservation values
    LatviaEurope & Central Asia−0.02−0.07+0.032,290ESS, conservation values
    LithuaniaEurope & Central Asia+0.01−0.01+0.048,096ESS, conservation values
    MontenegroEurope & Central Asia+0.03−0.04+0.101,613ESS, conservation values
    NetherlandsEurope & Central Asia+0.14+0.12+0.1613,145ESS, conservation values
    North MacedoniaEurope & Central Asia−0.02−0.12+0.08879ESS, conservation values
    NorwayEurope & Central Asia+0.08+0.05+0.1011,607ESS, conservation values
    PolandEurope & Central Asia+0.13+0.11+0.159,787ESS, conservation values
    PortugalEurope & Central Asia+0.07+0.04+0.0910,831ESS, conservation values
    RomaniaEurope & Central Asia−0.06−0.120.001,464ESS, conservation values
    RussiaEurope & Central Asia−0.04−0.07−0.027,993ESS, conservation values
    SerbiaEurope & Central Asia0.00−0.06+0.071,274ESS, conservation values
    SlovakiaEurope & Central Asia−0.19−0.21−0.168,503ESS, conservation values
    SloveniaEurope & Central Asia+0.14+0.12+0.168,061ESS, conservation values
    SpainEurope & Central Asia+0.20+0.19+0.2211,913ESS, conservation values
    SwedenEurope & Central Asia+0.04+0.02+0.0610,896ESS, conservation values
    SwitzerlandEurope & Central Asia+0.22+0.20+0.2411,856ESS, conservation values
    TurkeyEurope & Central Asia+0.13+0.08+0.181,885ESS, conservation values
    UkraineEurope & Central Asia−0.05−0.09−0.014,541ESS, conservation values
    United KingdomEurope & Central Asia+0.17+0.15+0.1914,926ESS, conservation values
    AlbaniaEurope & Central Asia+0.04−0.04+0.131,035ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    AustriaEurope & Central Asia+0.18+0.15+0.215,705ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    BelgiumEurope & Central Asia+0.08+0.05+0.109,741ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    BulgariaEurope & Central Asia−0.09−0.12−0.067,237ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    SwitzerlandEurope & Central Asia+0.18+0.16+0.208,462ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    CyprusEurope & Central Asia+0.050.00+0.102,137ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    CzechiaEurope & Central Asia−0.14−0.16−0.1211,912ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    GermanyEurope & Central Asia+0.14+0.12+0.1613,439ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    DenmarkEurope & Central Asia+0.06+0.03+0.095,987ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    EstoniaEurope & Central Asia−0.04−0.06−0.0210,008ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    SpainEurope & Central Asia+0.18+0.16+0.218,217ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    FinlandEurope & Central Asia+0.08+0.06+0.1010,694ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    FranceEurope & Central Asia+0.17+0.15+0.1910,749ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    United KingdomEurope & Central Asia+0.15+0.12+0.1710,388ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    GreeceEurope & Central Asia+0.05+0.01+0.084,368ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    CroatiaEurope & Central Asia+0.14+0.11+0.184,179ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    HungaryEurope & Central Asia+0.04+0.01+0.068,354ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    IrelandEurope & Central Asia+0.10+0.08+0.1211,842ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    IsraelMiddle East & North Africa+0.10+0.08+0.138,536ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    IcelandEurope & Central Asia+0.09+0.06+0.133,130ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    ItalyEurope & Central Asia+0.05+0.02+0.086,305ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    LithuaniaEurope & Central Asia+0.030.00+0.058,031ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    LatviaEurope & Central Asia−0.12−0.21−0.02638ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    MontenegroEurope & Central Asia+0.05−0.02+0.121,580ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    North MacedoniaEurope & Central Asia−0.03−0.13+0.06867ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    NetherlandsEurope & Central Asia+0.13+0.11+0.159,653ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    NorwayEurope & Central Asia+0.07+0.04+0.098,655ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    PolandEurope & Central Asia+0.14+0.11+0.167,022ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    PortugalEurope & Central Asia+0.07+0.04+0.107,603ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    SerbiaEurope & Central Asia+0.070.00+0.141,265ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    RussiaEurope & Central Asia0.00−0.04+0.045,059ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    SwedenEurope & Central Asia+0.030.00+0.057,774ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    SloveniaEurope & Central Asia+0.15+0.12+0.175,947ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    SlovakiaEurope & Central Asia−0.12−0.15−0.085,338ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    UkraineEurope & Central Asia−0.03−0.08+0.022,309ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education
    KosovoEurope & Central Asia+0.11+0.01+0.20809ESS, conservation values net of age, sex and education

    Look at how the dots bunch just to the right of the dashed zero line, with the United States and Canada farthest right and Egypt, Czechia, Bulgaria, Moldova and Zambia to its left. Each dot is one country's correlation between left-right placement and the child-rearing score, and the solid line is the median. Color marks whether a country's 95% interval lies above zero, crosses it (grey) or lies below it. Values in Table 3.

    Note: The chart does not draw each country's interval; it colors the dot by where the 95% interval falls against zero, and the intervals and respondent counts are in the data table.Note: Intervals are model based (Fisher z on the Kish effective sample size) and ignore clustering in the sample design.Note: Ten EVS countries have a blank country label in the cleaned file and are restored from the country code; Ireland and Northern Cyprus fall below the effective-sample floor in the WVS and EVS.Source: World Values Survey and European Values Study, fieldwork 2005-2023; weighted (weight, S017, within each country); countries with an effective sample of 300 or more; ESS views: European Social Survey, rounds 3 to 10 (2006-2022); weighted (analysis weight)

    The median is higher in high-income countries. By the World Bank income groups in the WVS context file, it is +0.10+0.10 correlation coefficient, from −1 to +1Estimandmedian across countries of the correlation between left-right and the full index (bootstrap over countries)Interval95% CI 0.07 to 0.15Weightsweight (S017) within each country; every country counted once across countriesPopulationhigh-income countries with a usable correlationPeriodfieldwork 2005-2023SourceWorld Values Survey and EVSNoteBased on 44 countries. in high-income countries and +0.02+0.02 correlation coefficient, from −1 to +1Estimandmedian across countries of the correlation between left-right and the full index (bootstrap over countries)Interval95% CI 0.00 to 0.03Weightsweight (S017) within each country; every country counted once across countriesPopulationlower-income countries with a usable correlationPeriodfieldwork 2005-2023SourceWorld Values Survey and EVSNoteBased on 30 countries. in lower-income countries, with the upper-middle-income group between them. The high-income group is separated from the upper-middle-income group, and the upper-middle-income and lower-income groups are not separated from each other. Income group also tracks region, religion and party system, so the grouping describes where the correlation is larger and does not say why.

    A values battery in Europe gives a similar country order

    The European Social Survey (ESS) has no question about children. Its measure is a different instrument, the importance a respondent gives to conformity, tradition and security, three of Schwartz's basic valuesSchwartz basic valuesTen broad motivations, such as security, tradition, achievement and universalism, that Shalom Schwartz's theory arranges in a circle. Neighboring values are compatible and opposite values conflict.. Companion 1.3a, Basic values and left-right compares those values with left-right one at a time. Across the ESS rounds fielded from 2006 to 2022, the median country correlation with left-right placement is +0.08+0.08 correlation coefficient, from −1 to +1Estimandmedian across countries of the correlation between left-right and Schwartz conservation values (bootstrap over countries)Interval95% CI 0.01 to 0.11n38Weightsanalysis weight within each country; every country counted oncePopulationESS countries with an effective sample of 300 or morePeriodESS rounds 3 to 10, 2006-2022SourceEuropean Social Survey, and the country pattern resembles the WVS one. Czechia and Bulgaria are negative in both surveys. Every ESS country with an interval below zero is post-communist, while Poland, Slovenia and Croatia are post-communist and positive in both surveys. The agreement shows that the two surveys rank countries alike. It does not show that both measure one disposition, because on the same countries the two surveys agree as closely on how left-right attaches to age and to religiosity, with no predictor's interval separating from the obedience measure's.

    Who was asked, and what the intervals leave out

    The WVS and EVS estimates rest on about 280,000281,678 respondentsEstimandcount of respondentsWeightsnone (count)Populationrespondents with a left-right answer and all four child-quality answers, in the countries with a usable correlationPeriodfieldwork 2005-2023SourceWorld Values Survey and EVS respondents who answered the left-right question and all four of the child-quality answers in waves from 2005 to 2023. Each country's correlation is weightedSurvey weightsNumbers that scale each respondent so the sample matches the population on known traits such as age, race, education and region. A weighted average counts a respondent with a large weight for more than one with a small weight. so that the sample matches the country's population on known traits, and every country counts once in the medians. The intervals are built on the effective sample sizeEffective sample sizeThe number of equally weighted respondents that would give the same precision as the weighted sample. It is smaller than the raw count when the weights vary a lot, and it sets how wide the confidence interval is., the number of equally weighted respondents that would give the same precision. They treat each weighted sample as a simple random sample, so they are narrower than intervals that follow the sampling design. Waves are pooled inside each country, so a correlation blends years. The report gives every estimate with its interval and sample size.

    The American tie to party rose, except among Black respondents

    The American National Election Studies (ANES) ask the question as four forced choices, each between an autonomy quality and an obedience quality, and its index is the mean of the obedience answers. Among white non-Hispanic respondents, the correlation of that index with party identification, a seven-point scale from strong Democrat to strong Republican with leanersPartisan leanerA respondent who first says they are independent but, when asked, says they lean toward one party. Most figures group leaners with the party they lean toward, and each chapter says which grouping it uses. included, was +0.04+0.04 correlation coefficient, from −1 to +1Estimandweighted correlation of the ANES child-rearing index with 7-point party identification (leaners included) among white non-Hispanic respondentsInterval95% CI −0.01 to 0.09n1,551Weightsweight (VCF0009z)Populationadults who answered the four child-rearing pairs and the outcomePeriod1992SourceANES Cumulative Data File in 1992 and +0.43+0.43 correlation coefficient, from −1 to +1Estimandweighted correlation of the ANES child-rearing index with 7-point party identification (leaners included) among white non-Hispanic respondentsInterval95% CI 0.38 to 0.47n3,379Weightsweight (VCF0009z)Populationadults who answered the four child-rearing pairs and the outcomePeriod2024SourceANES Cumulative Data File in 2024. Among Hispanic and other respondents, a residual group that grew as a share of the sample, it went from −0.12 (95% CI −0.25 to 0.02)−0.12 correlation coefficient, from −1 to +1Estimandweighted correlation of the ANES child-rearing index with 7-point party identification (leaners included) among Hispanic and other respondents (neither white nor Black non-Hispanic)Interval95% CI −0.25 to 0.02n206Weightsweight (VCF0009z)Populationadults who answered the four child-rearing pairs and the outcomePeriod1992SourceANES Cumulative Data File in 1992, an interval that includes zero, to +0.26 (95% CI 0.17 to 0.35)+0.26 correlation coefficient, from −1 to +1Estimandweighted correlation of the ANES child-rearing index with 7-point party identification (leaners included) among Hispanic and other respondents (neither white nor Black non-Hispanic)Interval95% CI 0.17 to 0.35n833Weightsweight (VCF0009z)Populationadults who answered the four child-rearing pairs and the outcomePeriod2024SourceANES Cumulative Data File in 2024. Among all respondents it reached +0.28+0.28 correlation coefficient, from −1 to +1Estimandweighted correlation of the ANES child-rearing index with 7-point party identification (leaners included)Interval95% CI 0.24 to 0.32n4,668Weightsweight (VCF0009z)Populationadults who answered the four child-rearing pairs and the outcomePeriod2024SourceANES Cumulative Data File in 2024. Each study after 2008 has a higher point estimate than the one before it, so the rise is a climb through successive studies rather than a single step.

    Among Black non-Hispanic respondents the interval includes zero in every study but 2012, where it is −0.11 (95% CI −0.21 to −0.01)−0.11 correlation coefficient, from −1 to +1Estimandweighted correlation of the ANES child-rearing index with 7-point party identification (leaners included) among Black non-Hispanic respondentsInterval95% CI −0.21 to −0.01n949Weightsweight (VCF0009z)Populationadults who answered the four child-rearing pairs and the outcomePeriod2012SourceANES Cumulative Data File. In 2024 they score higher on the obedience side of the index than white non-Hispanic respondents do, and 7978.8 percent of respondentsEstimandweighted share identifying with the Democratic partyInterval95% CI 73.8 to 83.8n503Weightsweight (VCF0009z)PopulationBlack non-Hispanic adults, party identification 1 to 3 counted as Democratic (leaners included)Period2024SourceANES Cumulative Data File% of them identify as Democrats, leaners included. The rise in the all-respondent series therefore comes from the white group and the Hispanic and other group, and it is absent among Black respondents. Whether the four pairs mean the same thing to Black and white respondents, which researchers call measurement invariance, is disputed. Pérez and Hetherington report that the scale does not work the same way for the two groups [2]. A later study reports partial invariance in the 1992 to 2008 studies, with the respect-for-elders item working differently, and full invariance in 2012 and 2016 [3]. This chapter reports the groups separately and does not test invariance itself.

    Figure 2

    The correlation with party rose among white and Hispanic and other respondents and stayed near zero among Black respondents

    Correlation of the child-rearing measure with party identification among ANES respondents, by race and study year, with 95% bands; the other views add liberal-conservative self-placement and the GSS

    Show data
    Data for The correlation with party rose among white and Hispanic and other respondents and stayed near zero among Black respondents
    Study yearSeriesRespondentsModeCorrelationInterval lowInterval highRespondents in cell
    1992ANES partyAll respondentsAll modes−0.04−0.090.002,023
    1992ANES partyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.04−0.01+0.091,551
    1992ANES partyBlack non-HispanicAll modes+0.02−0.11+0.14261
    1992ANES partyHispanic and otherAll modes−0.12−0.25+0.02206
    1992ANES partyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.06+0.02+0.111,971
    1992ANES ideologyAll respondentsAll modes+0.22+0.17+0.261,498
    1992ANES ideologyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.28+0.23+0.331,217
    1992ANES ideologyBlack non-HispanicAll modes+0.07−0.09+0.23147
    1992ANES ideologyHispanic and otherAll modes+0.14−0.03+0.30131
    1992ANES ideologyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.24+0.19+0.291,457
    2000ANES partyAll respondentsAll modes0.00−0.05+0.061,527
    2000ANES partyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.08+0.02+0.141,184
    2000ANES partyBlack non-HispanicAll modes−0.03−0.21+0.15151
    2000ANES partyHispanic and otherAll modes+0.02−0.15+0.18183
    2000ANES partyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.08+0.02+0.141,510
    2000ANES ideologyAll respondentsAll modes+0.24+0.15+0.32575
    2000ANES ideologyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.24+0.15+0.34470
    2000ANES ideologyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.23+0.15+0.32568
    2004ANES partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.05−0.01+0.121,041
    2004ANES partyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.17+0.09+0.25741
    2004ANES partyBlack non-HispanicAll modes0.00−0.18+0.18152
    2004ANES partyHispanic and otherAll modes+0.09−0.10+0.28132
    2004ANES partyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.14+0.07+0.211,025
    2004ANES ideologyAll respondentsAll modes+0.26+0.19+0.33817
    2004ANES ideologyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.32+0.24+0.39614
    2004ANES ideologyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.25+0.18+0.32810
    2008ANES partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.050.00+0.112,050
    2008ANES partyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.16+0.09+0.231,022
    2008ANES partyBlack non-HispanicAll modes0.00−0.10+0.10484
    2008ANES partyHispanic and otherAll modes+0.08−0.03+0.19524
    2008ANES partyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.050.00+0.112,050
    2008ANES partyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.14+0.09+0.201,994
    2008ANES ideologyAll respondentsAll modes+0.27+0.21+0.331,473
    2008ANES ideologyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.32+0.25+0.38815
    2008ANES ideologyBlack non-HispanicAll modes+0.21+0.08+0.33266
    2008ANES ideologyHispanic and otherAll modes+0.27+0.14+0.40378
    2008ANES ideologyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.27+0.21+0.331,473
    2008ANES ideologyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.28+0.22+0.341,433
    2012ANES partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.08+0.05+0.125,453
    2012ANES partyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.21+0.17+0.253,255
    2012ANES partyBlack non-HispanicAll modes−0.11−0.21−0.01949
    2012ANES partyHispanic and otherAll modes+0.06−0.02+0.151,233
    2012ANES partyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.05−0.02+0.111,888
    2012ANES partyAll respondentsWeb+0.10+0.06+0.143,565
    2012ANES partyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.16+0.13+0.205,329
    2012ANES ideologyAll respondentsAll modes+0.23+0.20+0.274,912
    2012ANES ideologyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.31+0.27+0.353,100
    2012ANES ideologyBlack non-HispanicAll modes+0.12+0.01+0.23752
    2012ANES ideologyHispanic and otherAll modes+0.17+0.08+0.261,047
    2012ANES ideologyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.20+0.13+0.271,365
    2012ANES ideologyAll respondentsWeb+0.24+0.20+0.293,547
    2012ANES ideologyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.25+0.21+0.284,805
    2016ANES partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.14+0.10+0.183,600
    2016ANES partyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.29+0.25+0.332,601
    2016ANES partyBlack non-HispanicAll modes+0.02−0.11+0.15338
    2016ANES partyHispanic and otherAll modes+0.03−0.07+0.12643
    2016ANES partyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.11+0.04+0.181,038
    2016ANES partyAll respondentsWeb+0.15+0.11+0.202,562
    2016ANES partyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.20+0.16+0.243,482
    2016ANES ideologyAll respondentsAll modes+0.35+0.32+0.392,856
    2016ANES ideologyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.42+0.38+0.462,175
    2016ANES ideologyBlack non-HispanicAll modes+0.22+0.05+0.38200
    2016ANES ideologyHispanic and otherAll modes+0.26+0.16+0.36467
    2016ANES ideologyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.32+0.24+0.39821
    2016ANES ideologyAll respondentsWeb+0.37+0.32+0.412,035
    2016ANES ideologyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.34+0.30+0.382,760
    2020ANES partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.21+0.18+0.247,314
    2020ANES partyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.40+0.37+0.435,332
    2020ANES partyBlack non-HispanicAll modes−0.03−0.14+0.08638
    2020ANES partyHispanic and otherAll modes+0.12+0.05+0.201,280
    2020ANES partyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.25+0.22+0.286,929
    2020ANES ideologyAll respondentsAll modes+0.39+0.36+0.416,288
    2020ANES ideologyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.47+0.44+0.504,764
    2020ANES ideologyBlack non-HispanicAll modes+0.16+0.03+0.28425
    2020ANES ideologyHispanic and otherAll modes+0.34+0.26+0.411,049
    2020ANES ideologyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.37+0.34+0.405,966
    2024ANES partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.28+0.24+0.324,668
    2024ANES partyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.43+0.38+0.473,379
    2024ANES partyBlack non-HispanicAll modes+0.05−0.08+0.18418
    2024ANES partyHispanic and otherAll modes+0.26+0.17+0.35833
    2024ANES partyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.29+0.21+0.38905
    2024ANES partyAll respondentsWeb+0.26+0.20+0.321,736
    2024ANES partyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.31+0.27+0.354,429
    2024ANES ideologyAll respondentsAll modes+0.43+0.39+0.464,085
    2024ANES ideologyWhite non-HispanicAll modes+0.51+0.47+0.543,067
    2024ANES ideologyBlack non-HispanicAll modes+0.25+0.09+0.39290
    2024ANES ideologyHispanic and otherAll modes+0.41+0.32+0.49694
    2024ANES ideologyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.45+0.37+0.53784
    2024ANES ideologyAll respondentsWeb+0.44+0.38+0.491,473
    2024ANES ideologyNet of college, age and white non-HispanicAll modes+0.41+0.37+0.453,866
    1986GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes−0.03−0.11+0.06728
    1987GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes−0.05−0.11+0.011,776
    1988GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.03−0.04+0.10975
    1989GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes−0.04−0.11+0.03985
    1990GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes−0.02−0.10+0.06861
    1991GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.03−0.04+0.10970
    1993GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.04−0.03+0.111,016
    1994GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.02−0.04+0.071,914
    1996GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.04−0.01+0.091,856
    1998GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes0.00−0.05+0.051,830
    2000GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.02−0.03+0.071,817
    2002GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.02−0.06+0.09876
    2004GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes−0.03−0.11+0.05856
    2004GSS partyAll respondentsFace-to-face0.00−0.09+0.09692
    2006GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.06−0.02+0.14980
    2006GSS partyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.07−0.01+0.15918
    2008GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.08+0.01+0.141,319
    2008GSS partyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.08+0.01+0.151,169
    2010GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes−0.03−0.10+0.041,312
    2010GSS partyAll respondentsFace-to-face−0.04−0.11+0.031,170
    2012GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.070.00+0.131,274
    2012GSS partyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.06−0.01+0.141,109
    2014GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.04−0.02+0.091,620
    2014GSS partyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.03−0.03+0.101,391
    2016GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.11+0.05+0.161,860
    2016GSS partyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.12+0.06+0.181,735
    2018GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.10+0.03+0.161,470
    2018GSS partyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.08+0.02+0.151,320
    2021GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.12+0.07+0.162,479
    2021GSS partyAll respondentsWeb+0.12+0.07+0.172,171
    2022GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.12+0.05+0.182,209
    2022GSS partyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.11+0.01+0.20962
    2022GSS partyAll respondentsWeb+0.13+0.03+0.221,042
    2024GSS partyAll respondentsAll modes+0.13+0.07+0.192,045
    2024GSS partyAll respondentsFace-to-face+0.12+0.01+0.22691
    2024GSS partyAll respondentsWeb+0.18+0.10+0.261,135

    The colored white line climbs from near zero in 1992 to the highest value in 2024. The colored Black line stays near zero, and its band crosses zero in every study but 2012. The grey lines are Hispanic and other respondents, whose line rises from a point below zero in 1992, with an interval that includes zero, to a clearly positive value in 2024, and all respondents, dashed. Each point is one presidential-year study and the bands are 95% intervals. Values in Table 7.

    Note: Party identification runs from strong Democrat to strong Republican with leaners included, and higher values are more Republican. The GSS drops respondents who name another party.Note: The ANES Cumulative File has none of the four child-rearing items in 1996, so the ANES lines run from 1992 to 2000. ANES 2020 and part of 2024 are mixed-mode and have no face-to-face or web weight for some respondents; the mode views show what mode weights allow.Note: Intervals are model based (Fisher z on the Kish effective sample size) and ignore clustering in the sample design.Source: ANES Cumulative Data File, presidential-year studies 1992-2024; weighted (weight, VCF0009z; mode-specific weights in the mode views); General Social Survey, 1986-2024; weighted (weight_use)

    The rise also appears when a college degree, age and whether the respondent is white non-Hispanic are held fixed. The 2024 value is positive in both the face-to-face and the web samples, so it does not come from one interview modeSurvey modeHow respondents were interviewed: in person, by phone, on paper or online. Mode can change answers, so a change in mode can look like a change in opinion.. The General Social Survey (GSS), which asks respondents to rank obeying against thinking for oneself, gives a second American series whose correlation with party is near zero through 2014 and higher from 2016 to 2024. The average score on the ANES index fell over the same period, so respondents chose the obedience answer less often even as it lined up more closely with party.

    The obedience side is more morally conservative

    The child-rearing score is more closely tied to moral attitudes than to the left-right label. Across countries, its median correlation with a moral-conservatism index built from the justifiability of homosexuality, abortion and divorce is +0.13+0.13 correlation coefficient, from −1 to +1Estimandmedian across countries of the correlation of the full index with a moral-conservatism index (justifiability of homosexuality, abortion and divorce, reversed)Interval95% CI 0.10 to 0.16n102Weightsweight (S017) within each country; every country counted once across countriesPopulationcountries with usable correlations for all three measures with moral attitudesPeriodfieldwork 2005-2023SourceWorld Values Survey and EVS, against the median for left-right placement given above. Figure 3 compares respondents on the autonomy side of the score with those on the obedience side, country by country and then averaged across a fixed panel of countries. Respondents on the obedience side are more often socially conservative. They more often name homosexuals, immigrants or people of another race as unwanted neighbors, and they more often call a strong leader who bypasses parliament, or army rule, a good way to run the country. Every gap is above zero, and the largest is for moral conservatism. These are differences between groups of respondents, and they show what occurs together. Chapter 5.3, Support for democracy takes up support for strong rule directly.

    Figure 3

    Every attitude is more common on the obedience side of the index, and the gap is largest for moral conservatism

    Share holding each attitude among respondents on the autonomy side and the obedience side of the index, average of country shares (each country counted once); 95% bootstrap intervals; WVS and EVS fieldwork 2005-2023

    • Autonomy side of the index
    • Obedience side of the index
    Show data
    Data for Every attitude is more common on the obedience side of the index, and the gap is largest for moral conservatism
    AttitudeDefinitionAutonomy side, percentAutonomy interval lowAutonomy interval highObedience side, percentObedience interval lowObedience interval highGap, pointsCountries
    Socially conservative (homosexuality, abortion, divorce)Mean of 4 or lower on the 1 to 10 justifiability of homosexuality, abortion and divorce57.151.962.070.967.674.213.897
    Does not want homosexuals as neighborsNames homosexuals as people they would not want as neighbors46.441.151.554.149.558.77.7100
    Does not want immigrants as neighborsNames immigrants or foreign workers as people they would not want as neighbors22.720.125.325.522.928.42.8102
    Does not want people of another race as neighborsNames people of a different race as people they would not want as neighbors17.915.520.420.818.523.32.9102
    Strong leader bypassing parliament is goodSays a strong leader who does not bother with parliament and elections is a good or very good way to run the country45.041.048.849.245.652.74.299
    Army rule is goodSays army rule is a good or very good way to run the country25.322.028.829.526.432.94.399

    In every row the obedience-side dot sits to the right of the autonomy-side dot, and the moral-conservatism row has the largest gap, 1413.8 percentage pointsEstimandmean across countries of the share a mean of 4 or lower on the justifiability of homosexuality, abortion and divorce, obedience side minus autonomy side of the full index (bootstrap over countries)Interval95% CI 11.4 to 16.5n97Weightsweight (S017) within each country; every country counted once across countriesPopulationrespondents in the fixed panel of countries, with an index score other than zeroPeriodfieldwork 2005-2023SourceWorld Values Survey and EVS points. Each dot is the average across countries of the share holding the attitude, and the lines are 95% intervals from a bootstrap over countries. Values in Table 8.

    Note: Respondents with an index score of exactly zero are left out. Each row uses its own panel of countries (97 to 102 countries by row); each country's share is computed first and the countries are then averaged with equal weight.Note: Percent of respondents; the gap is the share on the obedience side minus the share on the autonomy side.Source: World Values Survey and European Values Study, fieldwork 2005-2023; weighted (weight, S017, within each country); countries with an effective sample of 100 or more on both sides of the index in each row

    What these correlations cannot tell you

    Each correlation comes from one interview per person, so it cannot show whether valuing obedience shapes placement, whether placement or party shapes the answers about children, or whether something else shapes both. The ANES and GSS are repeated cross-sections, so the American rise is a change in how the measure lines up with party. The data cannot say whether people changed parties, the parties changed or the composition of each party changed. The WVS checklist, the ANES forced choices, the GSS ranking and the ESS values battery are related but different instruments, and the countries are those the surveys reached, not a sample of the world. The link between the disposition and politics is thought to depend on perceived threat [1], which this chapter does not test; Planned, Order, security and threat (planned) takes up the threat measures.


    Go deeper

    • The report: every estimate with its interval and sample size.
    • Tables: every figure of the report as a table.
    • World values: the explorer for this part.

    Reading paths that include this chapter:

    Data sources

    • World Values Survey and EVSWorld Values Survey and European Values Study, fieldwork 2005-2023: child-quality checklist, left-right, moral, neighbor and political-system itemsYears: 1981-2023 (7 unified waves) · Weights: weight (S017) within each country; every country counted once across countries · License: Free download with registration; users must cite the release.
    • European Social SurveyEuropean Social Survey rounds 3 to 10: Schwartz conservation values and left-rightYears: 2002-2023 (rounds 1 to 11; round 11 was fielded in 2023 and 2024) · Weights: analysis weight within each country · License: Open access after free registration in the ESS Data Portal; follow the ESS data citation requirements.
    • ANES Cumulative Data FileANES Cumulative Data File 1992-2024, presidential-year studies: forced-choice child-rearing pairs, party identification, ideologyYears: 1948-2024 (33 study years; even years only after 2004; no 2006, 2010 or 2014 study) · Weights: weight (VCF0009z); weight_ftf and weight_web for the mode views · License: Free download after accepting the ANES terms of use; cite the release.
    • General Social SurveyGeneral Social Survey 1986-2024: obey and think-for-oneself rankings, party identificationYears: 1972-2024 (35 study years) · Weights: weight_use · License: See the provider's terms of use.

    All data sources

    References

    1. Stenner, Karen (2005). The Authoritarian Dynamic. Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/CBO9780511614712
    2. Pérez, Efrén O.; Hetherington, Marc J. (2014). Authoritarianism in Black and White: Testing the Cross-Racial Validity of the Child Rearing Scale. Political Analysis 22(3): 398-412. doi:10.1093/pan/mpu002
    3. Fialho, Fabrício M. (2026). Reassessing Racial Differences in Authoritarianism in the United States: Measurement Invariance and Group Comparisons Using the ANES Child-Rearing Values Scale. Public Opinion Quarterly. doi:10.1093/poq/nfag020

    How to cite

    @misc{singh2026theobedienceautonomydisposition,
      author = {Singh, Vishal},
      title = {The obedience-autonomy disposition},
      year = {2026},
      url = {https://vishalsingh.org/politics/the-obedience-autonomy-disposition},
      note = {In The Public Mind. Published 30 September 2026.}
    }