Chapter 2.1 · The starting line
Birthweight and preterm birth
Low birthweight was 7.4% of births in the least deprived tenth of counties and 9.7% in the most deprived, for births in 2018 to 2024 in counties of 100,000 or more residents.
Of the babies born in 2018 to 2024 in the least deprived tenth of large American counties, 7.4%7.4% percent of live births under 2,500 gramsEstimandbirths-weighted mean of county shares (the pooled share), bootstrap interval over countiesInterval95% CI 7.2% to 7.7%n57 countiesWeightsbirths in each countyPopulationlive births in the least deprived tenth of the named counties by county deprivation rankPeriodbirths in 2018 to 2024SourceCDC WONDER natality weighed less than 2,5002,500 gramsEstimandbirthweight below which a live birth counts as low birthweight (a definition)Weightsnone (definition)Populationlive birthsPeriodall years (a definition)SourceCDC WONDER natality grams, the weight below which a newborn counts as low birthweightLow birthweightA live birth weighing less than 2,500 grams, the cutoff used in vital statistics.. In the most deprived tenth of the same counties the share was 9.7%9.7% percent of live births under 2,500 gramsEstimandbirths-weighted mean of county shares (the pooled share), bootstrap interval over countiesInterval95% CI 9.2% to 10.3%n58 countiesWeightsbirths in each countyPopulationlive births in the most deprived tenth of the named counties by county deprivation rankPeriodbirths in 2018 to 2024SourceCDC WONDER natality. A large county here is one of 100,000100,000 residentsEstimandpopulation size at which WONDER names a county (a definition)Weightsnone (definition)Populationcounties that CDC WONDER natality names individuallyPeriodbirths in 2018 to 2024SourceCDC WONDER natality or more residents, the size at which the CDC WONDER birth records name a county on its own. Birthweight and the length of pregnancy are both recorded on the birth certificate, which makes them the standard early measures of how a pregnancy went.
Low birthweight and preterm birth rise with county deprivation
Deprivation here is a rank given to places. Each census tract has a national rank on the Area Deprivation IndexArea Deprivation Index (ADI)A score that ranks neighborhoods by income, education, employment and housing conditions drawn from the American Community Survey. In this book a higher national percentile means a more deprived neighborhood., which orders the country's neighborhoods by income, education, employment and housing measures from the American Community Survey.[1] A county's rank is the average of its tracts' ranks, weighted by population, and the large counties are then split into tenths that hold equal numbers of counties. Each tenth's rate pools the births in its counties, so it describes counties and groups of births, not individual mothers.
Low birthweight rises at every step from the least deprived tenth to the most deprived, a difference of 2.3 percentage points (95% CI 1.7 percentage points to 2.9 percentage points)2.3 percentage points percentage pointsEstimanddifference of two births-weighted decile means of the low-birthweight share, bootstrap interval over countiesInterval95% CI 1.7 percentage points to 2.9 percentage pointsn578 countiesWeightsbirths in each countyPopulationlive births in the named counties, most deprived tenth minus least deprived tenthPeriodbirths in 2018 to 2024SourceCDC WONDER natality between the two ends. Preterm birthPreterm birthA birth before 37 weeks of pregnancy., a birth before 3737 completed weeks of gestationEstimandgestational age below which a live birth counts as preterm, obstetric estimate (a definition)Weightsnone (definition)Populationlive birthsPeriodall years (a definition)SourceCDC WONDER natality weeks of pregnancy, follows the same path, from 8.8%8.8% percent of live births before 37 weeksEstimandbirths-weighted mean of county shares (the pooled share), bootstrap interval over countiesInterval95% CI 8.6% to 9.0%n57 countiesWeightsbirths in each countyPopulationlive births in the least deprived tenth of the named counties by county deprivation rankPeriodbirths in 2018 to 2024SourceCDC WONDER natality of births in the least deprived tenth to 12.1%12.1% percent of live births before 37 weeksEstimandbirths-weighted mean of county shares (the pooled share), bootstrap interval over countiesInterval95% CI 11.3% to 12.7%n58 countiesWeightsbirths in each countyPopulationlive births in the most deprived tenth of the named counties by county deprivation rankPeriodbirths in 2018 to 2024SourceCDC WONDER natality in the most deprived. The two measures overlap, since a baby born early is usually small, though a baby can also be small at full term.
Figure 1
Low birthweight rises from 7.4% of births in the least deprived tenth of large counties to 9.7% in the most deprived
Share of live births under 2,500 grams (and before 37 weeks in the second tab) by county deprivation, 2018 to 2024
Preterm birth is more common than low birthweight in every decile and rises more, from 8.8% to 12.1%
Births-weighted share of live births before 37 weeks and under 2,500 grams by decile of county deprivation, 2018 to 2024
Decile of county deprivation rank (1 = least deprived tenth of counties, 10 = most deprived)
Both lines rise at every step. The bands are 95% intervals from a bootstrap over counties.
Show data
| conf_high | conf_low | decile | estimate | measure | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.01 | 8.59 | 1 | 8.82 | Preterm birth | 4,151,203 |
| 7.68 | 7.18 | 1 | 7.43 | Low birthweight | 4,150,007 |
| 9.48 | 9.08 | 2 | 9.28 | Preterm birth | 2,647,866 |
| 8.00 | 7.32 | 2 | 7.63 | Low birthweight | 2,646,210 |
| 10.12 | 9.47 | 3 | 9.82 | Preterm birth | 2,523,259 |
| 8.36 | 7.55 | 3 | 7.96 | Low birthweight | 2,522,181 |
| 10.29 | 9.80 | 4 | 10.05 | Preterm birth | 1,825,582 |
| 8.67 | 7.84 | 4 | 8.29 | Low birthweight | 1,824,679 |
| 10.53 | 9.98 | 5 | 10.27 | Preterm birth | 1,923,159 |
| 8.65 | 7.97 | 5 | 8.37 | Low birthweight | 1,922,260 |
| 11.28 | 10.26 | 6 | 10.80 | Preterm birth | 2,196,492 |
| 8.98 | 8.29 | 6 | 8.69 | Low birthweight | 2,195,346 |
| 11.22 | 10.56 | 7 | 10.92 | Preterm birth | 1,520,420 |
| 9.50 | 8.57 | 7 | 9.05 | Low birthweight | 1,519,471 |
| 11.59 | 10.92 | 8 | 11.27 | Preterm birth | 1,469,109 |
| 9.85 | 8.89 | 8 | 9.40 | Low birthweight | 1,468,025 |
| 11.82 | 11.01 | 9 | 11.42 | Preterm birth | 1,269,566 |
| 10.18 | 9.00 | 9 | 9.63 | Low birthweight | 1,268,228 |
| 12.66 | 11.32 | 10 | 12.05 | Preterm birth | 891,594 |
| 10.26 | 9.20 | 10 | 9.68 | Low birthweight | 890,018 |
Both lines rise at every step from the least deprived tenth of large counties to the most deprived, and the preterm line sits above the low-birthweight line in every tenth. Each point is the share of live births in one tenth, weighted by births, and the bands are intervals from resampling whole counties. The first tab shows the counties behind these means, and the third repeats the low-birthweight gradient for all counties from a second source. Values in Table 2.
How we know
The counts come from CDC WONDER natality for births in 2018 to 2024, in the 578578 countiesEstimandcount of countiesWeightsnone (full count)Populationcounties that WONDER natality names individually and that have birthsPeriodbirths in 2018 to 2024SourceCDC WONDER natality counties that WONDER names individually. Those counties hold 79.5%79.5% percent of live births in the United StatesEstimandshare of births in the named countiesn25,709,900 birthsWeightsnone (full count)Populationlive births in the 50 states and DCPeriodbirths in 2018 to 2024SourceCDC WONDER natality of births in the United States. WONDER pools the births of every other county in a state into one row, so those counties cannot be placed on the deprivation scale. The most deprived tenth here is therefore relative to large counties and not to the nation. Where WONDER withholdsSuppressionThe withholding of a number because the count behind it is too small to publish without risking the identification of a person. A suppressed value is missing, not zero. a cell of births, the chapter treats it as missing, leaving it out of both the count and the denominator, and never reconstructs it. Withheld cells are not spread evenly. Those in the birthweight cut could hold at most 1.3%1.3% percent of live birthsEstimandlargest share of births the withheld birthweight cells could hold: 9 births in each withheld cell, over all births in these countiesWeightsnone (an upper limit from the cell count)Populationlive births in the most deprived tenth of the named countiesPeriodbirths in 2018 to 2024SourceCDC WONDER natality of births in the most deprived tenth and 0.2%0.2% percent of live birthsEstimandlargest share of births the withheld birthweight cells could hold: 9 births in each withheld cell, over all births in these countiesWeightsnone (an upper limit from the cell count)Populationlive births in the least deprived tenth of the named countiesPeriodbirths in 2018 to 2024SourceCDC WONDER natality in the least deprived. The published difference between the tenths could therefore be too small by up to the first amount and too large by up to the second. County Health Rankings, which takes its birth counts from the same national vital statistics system, publishes county rates for births in 2016 to 2022 that include small counties. In tenths of all counties with a published rate, the line rises over the first tenths, is flat across the middle ones and rises again at the top (Figure 1, “All counties”). The climb is therefore steadier across large counties than across the whole country. The report gives every estimate with its interval and sample size.
The gap by mother's race, at every level of deprivation
The gradient averages over all the mothers in a county. County Health Rankings also publishes rates by the mother's race and ethnicity, counting mothers as non-Hispanic Black, non-Hispanic white or Hispanic of any race. Pooled over the large counties where a rate is published, low birthweight was 14.0%14.0% percent of live births under 2,500 gramsEstimandpooled share of births, from the published county rates and the births they imply, bootstrap interval over countiesInterval95% CI 13.8% to 14.2%n549 countiesWeightsbirths to mothers of the group in each countyPopulationlive births to non-Hispanic Black mothers in the named counties where County Health Rankings publishes the ratePeriodbirths in 2016 to 2022SourceCounty Health Rankings of births to non-Hispanic Black mothers and 6.7%6.7% percent of live births under 2,500 gramsEstimandpooled share of births, from the published county rates and the births they imply, bootstrap interval over countiesInterval95% CI 6.6% to 6.8%n578 countiesWeightsbirths to mothers of the group in each countyPopulationlive births to non-Hispanic white mothers in the named counties where County Health Rankings publishes the ratePeriodbirths in 2016 to 2022SourceCounty Health Rankings of births to non-Hispanic white mothers, for births in 2016 to 2022. That gap, 7.3 percentage points (95% CI 7.0 percentage points to 7.4 percentage points)7.3 percentage points percentage pointsEstimanddifference of pooled low-birthweight shares, county-cluster bootstrap intervalInterval95% CI 7.0 percentage points to 7.4 percentage pointsn578 countiesWeightsbirths to mothers of the group in each countyPopulationlive births in the named counties, non-Hispanic Black mothers minus non-Hispanic white mothersPeriodbirths in 2016 to 2022SourceCounty Health Rankings, is larger than the difference of 2.3 percentage points2.3 percentage points percentage pointsEstimanddifference of two births-weighted decile means of the low-birthweight share, bootstrap interval over countiesInterval95% CI 1.7 percentage points to 2.9 percentage pointsn578 countiesWeightsbirths in each countyPopulationlive births in the named counties, most deprived tenth minus least deprived tenthPeriodbirths in 2018 to 2024SourceCDC WONDER natality between the most and least deprived tenths of counties, which comes from WONDER births in 2018 to 2024. Infant deaths follow the same order. WONDER's linked birth and infant death records carry the mother's race only for 2018 and 2019, as a single race of any ethnicity. Their white group therefore includes Hispanic mothers and is not the group in the low-birthweight rates. Infant mortality, the outcome that follows these births, is the subject of Chapter 2.2, Infant mortality.
Figure 2
Non-Hispanic Black mothers had low-birthweight births at 14.0% against 6.7% for non-Hispanic white mothers, a ratio of 2.1
First panel: share of live births under 2,500 grams in the large counties, by mother's race and ethnicity, County Health Rankings, births in 2016 to 2022. Second panel: infant deaths per 1,000 live births in the United States by mother's single race, any ethnicity, 2018 and 2019
Low birthweight (% of live births)
Infant mortality (deaths per 1,000 live births)
Percent of live births (low birthweight panel) or deaths per 1,000 live births (infant mortality panel)
Show data
| conf_high | conf_low | label | n | panel | race | value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.19 | 13.75 | Black (non-Hispanic) | 3,249,387 | Low birthweight (% of live births) | Black | 13.98 |
| 7.70 | 7.39 | Hispanic (any race) | 5,632,060 | Low birthweight (% of live births) | Hispanic | 7.54 |
| 6.82 | 6.64 | White (non-Hispanic) | 9,614,256 | Low birthweight (% of live births) | White | 6.73 |
| 10.49 | 10.14 | Black (any ethnicity) | 1,255,629 | Infant mortality (deaths per 1,000 live births) | Black | 10.32 |
| 4.78 | 4.66 | White (any ethnicity) | 5,617,093 | Infant mortality (deaths per 1,000 live births) | White | 4.72 |
In both panels the dot for Black mothers lies furthest right and the dot for white mothers furthest left, and no interval for one group touches the interval for another. The first panel is the low-birthweight share in the large counties for births in 2016 to 2022, with Hispanic mothers as a third group. The second is the infant death rate in the United States for 2018 and 2019, with mothers counted by single race. Values in Table 3.
Counties differ in deprivation, so the race gap could shrink once counties are compared at the same level. The chapter splits the large counties into four groups of equal size by deprivation rank, called quartiles. In every quartile, the rate for non-Hispanic Black mothers is higher than the rate for non-Hispanic white mothers, for births in 2016 to 2022. The rate for non-Hispanic Black mothers in the least deprived quartile, 12.4% (95% CI 11.9% to 12.8%)12.4% percent of live births under 2,500 gramsEstimandpooled share of births, bootstrap interval over countiesInterval95% CI 11.9% to 12.8%n133 countiesWeightsbirths to mothers of the group in each countyPopulationlive births to non-Hispanic Black mothers in the least deprived quartile of the named counties by deprivation rankPeriodbirths in 2016 to 2022SourceCounty Health Rankings, is higher than the rate for non-Hispanic white mothers in the most deprived quartile, 7.6% (95% CI 7.5% to 7.7%)7.6% percent of live births under 2,500 gramsEstimandpooled share of births, bootstrap interval over countiesInterval95% CI 7.5% to 7.7%n145 countiesWeightsbirths to mothers of the group in each countyPopulationlive births to non-Hispanic white mothers in the most deprived quartile of the named counties by deprivation rankPeriodbirths in 2016 to 2022SourceCounty Health Rankings.
Figure 3
Low birthweight is more common for non-Hispanic Black mothers in the least deprived quartile of counties (12.4%) than for non-Hispanic white mothers in the most deprived (7.6%)
Low birthweight (share of live births under 2,500 grams, births in 2016 to 2022) or infant mortality (deaths per 1,000 live births, 2018 and 2019) by quartile of county deprivation rank and mother's race
Births under 2,500 grams (% of live births)
- Black (non-Hispanic)
- White (non-Hispanic)
- White (non-Hispanic), most deprived quartile
Quartile of counties by deprivation rank
Show data
| conf_high | conf_low | counties | measure | n | quartile | race | rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.76 | 11.95 | 133 | lbw | 830,778 | Least deprived quartile | Black (non-Hispanic) | 12.37 |
| 6.34 | 6.05 | 144 | lbw | 3,597,717 | Least deprived quartile | White (non-Hispanic) | 6.18 |
| 14.02 | 13.46 | 137 | lbw | 862,783 | Second quartile | Black (non-Hispanic) | 13.76 |
| 6.75 | 6.53 | 145 | lbw | 2,307,987 | Second quartile | White (non-Hispanic) | 6.64 |
| 14.78 | 14.14 | 139 | lbw | 823,241 | Third quartile | Black (non-Hispanic) | 14.46 |
| 7.23 | 7.05 | 144 | lbw | 2,156,968 | Third quartile | White (non-Hispanic) | 7.14 |
| 15.80 | 15.25 | 140 | lbw | 732,585 | Most deprived quartile | Black (non-Hispanic) | 15.53 |
| 7.70 | 7.45 | 145 | lbw | 1,551,584 | Most deprived quartile | White (non-Hispanic) | 7.58 |
Black bars are taller than white bars in every quartile, and the first Black bar is taller than the last white bar, which the dashed rule marks. Bars are pooled rates of low birthweight in the large counties for births in 2016 to 2022, with intervals from resampling whole counties. The second view shows the same order for infant mortality in counties of 250,000250,000 residentsEstimandpopulation size at which WONDER names a county in the linked file (a definition)Weightsnone (definition)Populationcounties that CDC WONDER linked birth and infant death names individuallyPeriodbirths in 2018 and 2019SourceCDC WONDER linked birth and infant death residents or more, for births in 2018 and 2019, with mothers counted by single race. Values in Table 4.
What the county comparison shows and does not show
These are patterns among places. A county's rank averages over neighborhoods that differ. A Black mother in a county ranked among the least deprived may live in a neighborhood more deprived than the county average. A white mother in a county ranked among the most deprived may live in a less deprived one. The comparison therefore cannot show that mothers under the same neighborhood conditions have different outcomes. What it shows is that sorting counties by deprivation does not remove the gap.The weatheringWeatheringThe hypothesis that chronic stress from disadvantage and discrimination wears down health faster, so that the same outcomes appear at younger ages in affected groups. Arline Geronimus proposed it in studies of birth outcomes. hypothesis proposed by Geronimus holds that the health of Black women may begin to deteriorate in early adulthood as a physical consequence of cumulative socioeconomic disadvantage.[2] A gap that persists at every level of county deprivation is consistent with it, but a comparison across counties cannot separate it from other explanations. A comparison of Black and white children raised in the same tract is in Chapter 4.3, Race, income and mobility. A study of federal expansions of the Earned Income Tax CreditEITCThe Earned Income Tax Credit, a refundable federal tax credit for low and moderate income workers. It grows with earnings up to a limit and then phases out. attributes a lower rate of low birthweight among mothers who received larger credits to the added income.[3] Its estimates apply to the policies and years studied, and they do not measure how much of the county gradient or the race gap such a policy would close.
What this cannot tell you
A pattern across counties does not describe the babies in any one of them, and a county ranked as least deprived can hold deprived neighborhoods. The Area Deprivation Index also understates deprivation in high-cost cities (Chapter 1.1, What the deprivation index measures). The index, the WONDER births and the rates by mother's race cover different years, and the intervals leave those differences out. No comparison here identifies a mechanism, since deprivation and race are both tied to smoking, prenatal care, chronic stress, pollution, maternal age and education, and to the quality of the nearest hospital.
Go deeper
- The report: every estimate with its interval and sample size.
- Tables: every figure of the report as a table.
Reading paths that include this chapter:
Data sources
- CDC WONDER natalityCDC WONDER natality, county by birthweight and gestational age, births in 2018 to 2024Years: 2018-2024 · Weights: none (full counts of births); county shares weighted by births · License: Public domain (NCHS, CDC); WONDER data-use restrictions apply
- Area Deprivation IndexNeighborhood Atlas Area Deprivation Index 2023 (v4.0.1), tract national rank, averaged to counties with 2019-2023 tract populationYears: 2023 release (version 4.0.1; built on ACS 2019-2023) · Weights: 2019-2023 tract population · License: Free for non-commercial use; cite the Neighborhood Atlas and Kind and Buckingham
- County Health RankingsCounty Health Rankings 2024, low birthweight (births in 2016 to 2022), overall and for non-Hispanic Black, non-Hispanic white and Hispanic mothersYears: 2024 release · Weights: births (recovered from published intervals for race groups) · License: CC BY 4.0 (University of Wisconsin Population Health Institute)
- CDC WONDER linked birth and infant deathCDC WONDER linked birth and infant death, mother's single race (any ethnicity), 2018 and 2019Years: 2018-2022 · Weights: none (crude rates from counts) · License: Public domain (NCHS, CDC); WONDER data-use restrictions apply
References
- Kind, Amy J. H.; Buckingham, William R. (2018). Making Neighborhood-Disadvantage Metrics Accessible: The Neighborhood Atlas. New England Journal of Medicine 378(26): 2456-2458. doi:10.1056/NEJMp1802313
- Geronimus, Arline T. (1992). The Weathering Hypothesis and the Health of African-American Women and Infants: Evidence and Speculations. Ethnicity & Disease 2(3): 207-221.
- Hoynes, Hilary; Miller, Doug; Simon, David (2015). Income, the Earned Income Tax Credit, and Infant Health. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 7(1): 172-211. doi:10.1257/pol.20120179
How to cite
@misc{singh2026birthweightandpretermbirth,
author = {Singh, Vishal},
title = {Birthweight and preterm birth},
year = {2026},
url = {https://vishalsingh.org/zipcode/birthweight-and-preterm-birth},
note = {In ZIP Code Destiny. Published 9 October 2026.}
}