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    Chapter 10.2 · Weighing the ingredients

    The anatomy of a deprivation index

    The Area Deprivation Index ranks census tracts almost as median home value does, with a rank correlation of −0.988 across 75,717 tracts (negative because the index rises as home values fall), and the home value term alone accounts for 74.3% of the variance of the score that the formula produces.

    Across 75,71775,717 tractsEstimandcount of tracts in the frameWeightsnone (full count)Population2020 census tracts with a published ADI rank, a population and all 15 rebuilt measuresPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey census tracts, the Area Deprivation IndexArea Deprivation Index (ADI)A score that ranks neighborhoods by income, education, employment and housing conditions drawn from the American Community Survey. In this book a higher national percentile means a more deprived neighborhood. (ADI) of the Neighborhood Atlas has a population-weighted rank correlation, a correlation between the positions of tracts in two rankings, of −0.988 (95% CI −0.989 to −0.986)−0.988 rank correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted correlation of the percentile ranks of the published tract ADI and of median home value, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI −0.989 to −0.986n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index with median home value. The sign is negative because the index rises as home values fall, and the size means that the index orders tracts almost as home prices do.[1, 2] A replica built from the index's published formula and American Community Survey (ACS) estimates for 2019 to 2023 reproduces the published tract rank with a rank correlation of +0.991 (95% CI 0.990 to 0.992)+0.991 rank correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted correlation of the percentile ranks of the published tract ADI and of the replica score in raw units, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.990 to 0.992n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation IndexNoteCounting each tract once gives +0.992., and in the replica's score the home value term alone accounts for 74.3% (95% CI 70.5% to 77.0%)74.3% percent of the variance of the scoreEstimandvariance of the home value term alone (Singh's coefficients times the measures in their own units) as a share of the variance of the score, with no covariance with the other terms allocated to it; interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 70.5% to 77.0%n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index of the variance. The formula multiplies each of 1717 census measuresEstimandcount of measures in the index; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationmeasures in Singh's deprivation index as the Neighborhood Atlas applies it (since the 2020 release it counts households without internet where Singh counted households without a telephone)Period2023 release of the ADI (ACS 2019 to 2023)SourceArea Deprivation Index census measures by a fixed coefficient and adds the products. 44 census measuresEstimandcount of dollar-denominated measures; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationmeasures of the index that are dollar amounts (median family income, home value, gross rent and monthly mortgage cost)Period2023 release of the ADI (ACS 2019 to 2023)SourceArea Deprivation Index of the measures are dollar amounts and the rest are proportions or a log ratio, so the dollar amounts dominate the sum.

    The same arithmetic shapes who the index counts as less deprived. Of the 17.2 million17.2 million residentsEstimandsum of ACS tract populationWeightsnone (full count)Populationresidents of the high-poverty tracts of the framePeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey residents of the 5,1005,100 tractsEstimandcount of tractsWeightsnone (full count)Populationtracts of the frame with a poverty rate at or above the high-poverty thresholdPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey tracts of the 5050 statesEstimandcount of states; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationstates of the frame, besides the District of ColumbiaPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey states and DC where 30%30% percent of persons below the poverty lineEstimandpoverty rate at or above which a tract is called high-poverty; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationtracts called high-poverty in this chapterPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey or more of people are below the poverty line, the published ADI places 16.1% (95% CI 11.3% to 21.4%)16.1% percent of residentsEstimandshare of residents of high-poverty tracts who live in tracts at or below the 50th percentile on the published ADI (percentile among the tracts of the frame for the replica), interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 11.3% to 21.4%n5,100 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of high-poverty tracts of the framePeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index in tracts ranked at or below the 50th50th national percentileEstimandpercentile cutoff; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationrank at or below which a tract counts as among the less deprivedPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index national percentileNational percentileA neighborhood's position in the national ordering, given as the share of all neighborhoods that fall below it. A higher percentile means a higher value than more of the rest of the country., the less deprived end of its ranking. The same measures standardized before the same coefficients are applied place 0.34% (95% CI 0.15% to 0.55%)0.34% percent of residentsEstimandshare of residents of high-poverty tracts who live in tracts at or below the 50th percentile on the replica score in standard deviation units (percentile among the tracts of the frame for the replica), interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.15% to 0.55%n5,100 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of high-poverty tracts of the framePeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index of them there. This chapter rebuilds the index, shows where its weight goes, compares it with other rankings of the same tracts and tests how closely each ranking tracks life expectancy and upward mobility. Chapter 10.1, Gradients, slopes and variance covers the variance of outcomes across states, counties and tracts and the slopes of outcomes on the index. Chapter 10.3, A deprivation index at two zooms repeats the index for counties, and Chapter 10.4, Families of places sorts tracts into groups instead of ranking them.

    How the Neighborhood Atlas builds the index

    Gopal Singh chose the census measures and estimated their coefficients as factor scores from 1990 census tracts, for a study of mortality in the United States.[3] The Neighborhood Atlas at the University of Wisconsin applies his recipe to American Community Survey data and publishes national percentile ranks of census block groups, with the lowest ranks for the least deprived and the highest for the most deprived.[4] A block group's score is the sum of the 1717 census measuresEstimandcount of measures in the index; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationmeasures in Singh's deprivation index as the Neighborhood Atlas applies it (since the 2020 release it counts households without internet where Singh counted households without a telephone)Period2023 release of the ADI (ACS 2019 to 2023)SourceArea Deprivation Index measures in Figure 1, each multiplied by Singh's coefficient, and the Atlas publishes the ranks of the scores and not the scores.[2, 5] The ADI used here is the 2023 release, version 4.0.1, rolled up from block groups to 2020 tracts. The dataset registry records it as built on ACS five-year estimates for 2019 to 2023, the period of the ACS measures used here. Since the 2020 release the Atlas has counted households without internet where Singh counted households without a telephone.[5]

    Figure 1

    The Atlas score sums 17 measures with fixed coefficients, and 4 of them are dollar amounts

    The measures in Singh's deprivation index, the unit each enters the sum in, Singh's factor score coefficient, and whether this chapter rebuilds it

    No.MeasureUnit in the sumCoefficientRebuilt here
    1Adults 25 and older with less than 9 years of educationProportion+0.0849Yes, as adults who stopped at 8th grade
    2Adults 25 and older with at least a high school diplomaProportion−0.0970No: not in the staged ACS files; the SVI 2022 file has it for ACS 2018 to 2022 (sensitivity check)
    3Employed people 16 and older in white-collar occupationsProportion−0.0874Yes, as management, business, science and arts occupations
    4Median family incomeDollars−0.0977Yes
    5Income disparity: log of 100 times households under $10,000 over households of $50,000 or moreLog ratio+0.0936Yes, with a continuity constant
    6Median home valueDollars−0.0688Yes
    7Median gross rentDollars−0.0781Yes
    8Median monthly mortgageDollars−0.0770Yes, as monthly owner costs of homes with a mortgage
    9Owner-occupied housing unitsProportion−0.0615Yes
    10Civilian labor force 16 and older that is unemployedProportion+0.0806Yes
    11Families below the poverty levelProportion+0.0977Yes, as persons below the poverty line
    12Persons below 150 percent of the poverty thresholdProportion+0.1037Yes
    13Single-parent households with children under 18Proportion+0.0719Yes, as single-parent households
    14Households without a motor vehicleProportion+0.0694Yes
    15Households without a telephone (the Atlas now counts households without internet)Proportion+0.0877No: not in the staged ACS files; the SVI 2022 file has households without internet for ACS 2018 to 2022 (sensitivity check)
    16Occupied housing units without complete plumbingProportion+0.0510Yes
    17Households with more than one person per roomProportion+0.0556Yes
    Show data
    Data for The Atlas score sums 17 measures with fixed coefficients, and 4 of them are dollar amounts
    coefficientmeasureorderrebuiltunit
    0.085Adults 25 and older with less than 9 years of education1Yes, as adults who stopped at 8th gradeProportion
    −0.097Adults 25 and older with at least a high school diploma2No: not in the staged ACS files; the SVI 2022 file has it for ACS 2018 to 2022 (sensitivity check)Proportion
    −0.087Employed people 16 and older in white-collar occupations3Yes, as management, business, science and arts occupationsProportion
    −0.098Median family income4YesDollars
    0.094Income disparity: log of 100 times households under $10,000 over households of $50,000 or more5Yes, with a continuity constantLog ratio
    −0.069Median home value6YesDollars
    −0.078Median gross rent7YesDollars
    −0.077Median monthly mortgage8Yes, as monthly owner costs of homes with a mortgageDollars
    −0.061Owner-occupied housing units9YesProportion
    0.081Civilian labor force 16 and older that is unemployed10YesProportion
    0.098Families below the poverty level11Yes, as persons below the poverty lineProportion
    0.104Persons below 150 percent of the poverty threshold12YesProportion
    0.072Single-parent households with children under 1813Yes, as single-parent householdsProportion
    0.069Households without a motor vehicle14YesProportion
    0.088Households without a telephone (the Atlas now counts households without internet)15No: not in the staged ACS files; the SVI 2022 file has households without internet for ACS 2018 to 2022 (sensitivity check)Proportion
    0.051Occupied housing units without complete plumbing16YesProportion
    0.056Households with more than one person per room17YesProportion
    Dollar amounts, a log ratio and proportions enter one sum, and the coefficients are all of similar size, so the unit of a measure rather than its coefficient decides how much it moves the score. Rows follow the order in Singh (2003); a negative coefficient lowers the score and a positive one raises it, and the last column says which measures the chapter rebuilds for 15 of the 17.Note: The Atlas applies Singh's coefficients to proportions between zero and one, to dollars, and to the log ratio, and ranks the sums; it does not publish the sums. Since the 2020 release it counts households without internet where Singh counted households without a telephone.Note: Singh estimated the coefficients as factor scores in 1990 census tract data; they are not re-estimated here.Source: Singh (2003) factor score coefficients for 1990 census tracts, as printed in Petterson (2023); Neighborhood Atlas change log, 2022; published coefficients, not weighted

    The measures cover education, work, income and housing. 44 census measuresEstimandcount of dollar-denominated measures; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationmeasures of the index that are dollar amounts (median family income, home value, gross rent and monthly mortgage cost)Period2023 release of the ADI (ACS 2019 to 2023)SourceArea Deprivation Index are dollar amounts (median family income, home value, gross rent and the monthly mortgage cost), one is a log ratio of low-income to high-income households, and the rest are proportions of people, households or homes. The Atlas sums them in these units, with proportions entered as fractions of one and not as percentages.[2] The coefficients are close in size, so the unit of a measure more than its coefficient sets how much the measure moves the sum, and a dollar amount in the hundreds of thousands varies over a wider range than a proportion.

    Most of the measures can be rebuilt from ACS data for 2020 tracts

    The staged ACS tract file and a Census API pull of housing, occupation, income and schooling tables supply 1515 census measuresEstimandcount of measures rebuilt from the staged ACS tract file and the Census API pull of housing measures; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationmeasures of the index rebuilt here for 2020 census tractsPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey of the 1717 census measuresEstimandcount of measures in the index; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationmeasures in Singh's deprivation index as the Neighborhood Atlas applies it (since the 2020 release it counts households without internet where Singh counted households without a telephone)Period2023 release of the ADI (ACS 2019 to 2023)SourceArea Deprivation Index measures for 2020 census tracts. The 22 census measuresEstimandcount of measures not rebuilt; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationmeasures of the index not rebuilt here (adults with at least a high school diploma and households without internet or, in Singh's list, a telephone)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index missing are the share of adults with at least a high school diploma and the share of households without internet. Some rebuilt measures are substitutes. The poverty rate counts persons where Singh counted families, white-collar work is the share of workers in management, business, science and arts occupations, and the mortgage cost is the median monthly owner cost of homes with a mortgage. Income disparity is Singh's ratio of low-income to high-income households, defined in the table, logged, with a continuity constant added to each count so that a tract with no low-income household keeps a value.

    The replica works with tracts, and the Atlas ranks block groups. The staged ADI is the Atlas's block-group ranks averaged over each tract's block groups, without population weights. The frame covers the 5050 statesEstimandcount of states; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationstates of the frame, besides the District of ColumbiaPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey states and DC. Puerto Rico's tracts are left out because the SVI and USALEEP have none, although the Atlas ranks them with the states. Of the 84,41584,415 tractsEstimandcount of tractsWeightsnone (full count)Population2020 census tracts of the 50 states and DC in the staged ADI file (Puerto Rico left out)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index tracts, 82,78482,784 tractsEstimandcount of tractsWeightsnone (full count)Population2020 census tracts with a published ADI rank and an ACS population above zeroPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index have a published rank and residents, and 75,71775,717 tractsEstimandcount of tracts in the frameWeightsnone (full count)Population2020 census tracts with a published ADI rank, a population and all 15 rebuilt measuresPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey of those have all 1515 census measuresEstimandcount of measures rebuilt from the staged ACS tract file and the Census API pull of housing measures; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationmeasures of the index rebuilt here for 2020 census tractsPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey measures. The frame holds 93.0%93.0% percent of residentsEstimandshare of those residents who live in tracts of the frameWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract population (full count of tract populations)Populationresidents of tracts with a published ADI rank and a population above zeroPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey of the residents of tracts with a rank. Of the tracts lost, 90.0%90.0% percent of tractsEstimandshare of those tracts that lack a median gross rent, median home value or median mortgage cost, which the ACS leaves out where a tract has almost no renters or almost no ownersn7,067 tractsWeightsnone (full count)Populationtracts with a published ADI rank and a population above zero that lack at least one of the 15 measuresPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey lack a median rent, home value or mortgage cost, which the ACS leaves out for tracts with almost no renters or almost no owners. The Atlas imputes missing values from the surrounding geography, and the replica does not.[5]

    Figure 2 shows how the rebuilt measures move together, from the measures of advantage (income, home value, rent, mortgage cost, white-collar work and homeownership) to the measures of hardship. The dollar measures move together, with home value correlating +0.86 (95% CI 0.85 to 0.87)+0.86 correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted Pearson correlation between tract median home value and tract median monthly mortgage cost in their own units, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.85 to 0.87n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey with the mortgage cost and +0.71 (95% CI 0.68 to 0.74)+0.71 correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted Pearson correlation between tract median home value and tract median gross rent in their own units, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.68 to 0.74n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey with rent. They are a loose guide to hardship. Home value correlates −0.31 (95% CI −0.36 to −0.27)−0.31 correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted Pearson correlation between tract median home value and tract poverty rate in their own units, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI −0.36 to −0.27n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey with the poverty rate across tracts, a weaker link than the −0.61 (95% CI −0.62 to −0.59)−0.61 correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted Pearson correlation between tract median family income and tract poverty rate in their own units, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI −0.62 to −0.59n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey of family income, so a score dominated by home value follows the housing market more closely than it follows poverty.

    Figure 2

    Home value correlates −0.31 with the poverty rate across tracts, a weaker link than family income has at −0.61

    Population-weighted Pearson correlations among the 15 rebuilt measures in their own units, 75,717 tracts, ACS 2019 to 2023

    −1.000.00+1.00
    A fifteen by fifteen grid of correlations among the rebuilt measures, ordered with the six measures of advantage first and the nine measures of hardship after. Dollar measures correlate positively with each other, hardship measures correlate positively with each other, and the two groups correlate negatively; home value's correlations with the hardship measures are small to moderate.
    MeasureFamily incomeHome valueGross rentMortgage costWhite-collar jobsHomeownershipPovertyBelow 150% of povertyIncome disparityUnemploymentSingle parentsNo vehicleCrowdingNo plumbingUnder 9 years of school
    Family income+1.00+0.68, interval +0.64 to +0.73, n = 75,717+0.64, interval +0.61 to +0.67, n = 75,717+0.74, interval +0.70 to +0.78, n = 75,717+0.79, interval +0.77 to +0.80, n = 75,717+0.33, interval +0.28 to +0.37, n = 75,717−0.61, interval −0.62 to −0.59, n = 75,717−0.70, interval −0.71 to −0.70, n = 75,717−0.44, interval −0.46 to −0.42, n = 75,717−0.29, interval −0.30 to −0.27, n = 75,717−0.49, interval −0.50 to −0.48, n = 75,717−0.14, interval −0.26 to −0.03, n = 75,717−0.25, interval −0.28 to −0.22, n = 75,717−0.28, interval −0.30 to −0.27, n = 75,717−0.36, interval −0.38 to −0.34, n = 75,717
    Home value+0.68, interval +0.64 to +0.73, n = 75,717+1.00+0.71, interval +0.68 to +0.74, n = 75,717+0.86, interval +0.85 to +0.87, n = 75,717+0.55, interval +0.52 to +0.59, n = 75,717−0.05, interval −0.12 to +0.04, n = 75,717−0.31, interval −0.36 to −0.27, n = 75,717−0.38, interval −0.43 to −0.34, n = 75,717−0.25, interval −0.29 to −0.22, n = 75,717−0.08, interval −0.13 to −0.04, n = 75,717−0.27, interval −0.30 to −0.25, n = 75,717+0.11, interval −0.07 to +0.26, n = 75,717+0.10, interval +0.02 to +0.15, n = 75,717−0.26, interval −0.28 to −0.25, n = 75,717−0.07, interval −0.14 to −0.01, n = 75,717
    Gross rent+0.64, interval +0.61 to +0.67, n = 75,717+0.71, interval +0.68 to +0.74, n = 75,717+1.00+0.73, interval +0.71 to +0.76, n = 75,717+0.52, interval +0.49 to +0.55, n = 75,717+0.06, interval +0.02 to +0.11, n = 75,717−0.39, interval −0.41 to −0.37, n = 75,717−0.45, interval −0.47 to −0.43, n = 75,717−0.36, interval −0.38 to −0.34, n = 75,717−0.09, interval −0.12 to −0.06, n = 75,717−0.22, interval −0.24 to −0.20, n = 75,717−0.04, interval −0.17 to +0.06, n = 75,717+0.06, interval +0.01 to +0.09, n = 75,717−0.33, interval −0.34 to −0.32, n = 75,717−0.09, interval −0.13 to −0.06, n = 75,717
    Mortgage cost+0.74, interval +0.70 to +0.78, n = 75,717+0.86, interval +0.85 to +0.87, n = 75,717+0.73, interval +0.71 to +0.76, n = 75,717+1.00+0.61, interval +0.57 to +0.65, n = 75,717−0.02, interval −0.09 to +0.05, n = 75,717−0.38, interval −0.41 to −0.34, n = 75,717−0.46, interval −0.50 to −0.41, n = 75,717−0.31, interval −0.34 to −0.27, n = 75,717−0.10, interval −0.14 to −0.06, n = 75,717−0.29, interval −0.32 to −0.27, n = 75,717+0.10, interval −0.05 to +0.21, n = 75,717+0.09, interval +0.01 to +0.14, n = 75,717−0.30, interval −0.32 to −0.29, n = 75,717−0.08, interval −0.15 to −0.02, n = 75,717
    White-collar jobs+0.79, interval +0.77 to +0.80, n = 75,717+0.55, interval +0.52 to +0.59, n = 75,717+0.52, interval +0.49 to +0.55, n = 75,717+0.61, interval +0.57 to +0.65, n = 75,717+1.00+0.18, interval +0.14 to +0.22, n = 75,717−0.50, interval −0.52 to −0.48, n = 75,717−0.60, interval −0.62 to −0.59, n = 75,717−0.34, interval −0.36 to −0.32, n = 75,717−0.27, interval −0.29 to −0.25, n = 75,717−0.46, interval −0.48 to −0.44, n = 75,717−0.07, interval −0.18 to +0.03, n = 75,717−0.35, interval −0.38 to −0.30, n = 75,717−0.27, interval −0.28 to −0.25, n = 75,717−0.49, interval −0.52 to −0.46, n = 75,717
    Homeownership+0.33, interval +0.28 to +0.37, n = 75,717−0.05, interval −0.12 to +0.04, n = 75,717+0.06, interval +0.02 to +0.11, n = 75,717−0.02, interval −0.09 to +0.05, n = 75,717+0.18, interval +0.14 to +0.22, n = 75,717+1.00−0.51, interval −0.52 to −0.49, n = 75,717−0.52, interval −0.54 to −0.50, n = 75,717−0.36, interval −0.38 to −0.34, n = 75,717−0.26, interval −0.28 to −0.24, n = 75,717−0.35, interval −0.38 to −0.32, n = 75,717−0.54, interval −0.57 to −0.52, n = 75,717−0.39, interval −0.43 to −0.35, n = 75,717+0.02, interval −0.01 to +0.04, n = 75,717−0.31, interval −0.35 to −0.27, n = 75,717
    Poverty−0.61, interval −0.62 to −0.59, n = 75,717−0.31, interval −0.36 to −0.27, n = 75,717−0.39, interval −0.41 to −0.37, n = 75,717−0.38, interval −0.41 to −0.34, n = 75,717−0.50, interval −0.52 to −0.48, n = 75,717−0.51, interval −0.52 to −0.49, n = 75,717+1.00+0.91, interval +0.91 to +0.91, n = 75,717+0.58, interval +0.57 to +0.59, n = 75,717+0.41, interval +0.39 to +0.43, n = 75,717+0.49, interval +0.47 to +0.50, n = 75,717+0.38, interval +0.32 to +0.47, n = 75,717+0.30, interval +0.27 to +0.33, n = 75,717+0.30, interval +0.28 to +0.32, n = 75,717+0.37, interval +0.34 to +0.40, n = 75,717
    Below 150% of poverty−0.70, interval −0.71 to −0.70, n = 75,717−0.38, interval −0.43 to −0.34, n = 75,717−0.45, interval −0.47 to −0.43, n = 75,717−0.46, interval −0.50 to −0.41, n = 75,717−0.60, interval −0.62 to −0.59, n = 75,717−0.52, interval −0.54 to −0.50, n = 75,717+0.91, interval +0.91 to +0.91, n = 75,717+1.00+0.57, interval +0.56 to +0.58, n = 75,717+0.41, interval +0.40 to +0.43, n = 75,717+0.53, interval +0.51 to +0.54, n = 75,717+0.36, interval +0.29 to +0.46, n = 75,717+0.35, interval +0.32 to +0.38, n = 75,717+0.32, interval +0.30 to +0.34, n = 75,717+0.44, interval +0.42 to +0.47, n = 75,717
    Income disparity−0.44, interval −0.46 to −0.42, n = 75,717−0.25, interval −0.29 to −0.22, n = 75,717−0.36, interval −0.38 to −0.34, n = 75,717−0.31, interval −0.34 to −0.27, n = 75,717−0.34, interval −0.36 to −0.32, n = 75,717−0.36, interval −0.38 to −0.34, n = 75,717+0.58, interval +0.57 to +0.59, n = 75,717+0.57, interval +0.56 to +0.58, n = 75,717+1.00+0.26, interval +0.24 to +0.28, n = 75,717+0.25, interval +0.24 to +0.27, n = 75,717+0.29, interval +0.26 to +0.36, n = 75,717+0.11, interval +0.09 to +0.13, n = 75,717+0.23, interval +0.22 to +0.25, n = 75,717+0.17, interval +0.16 to +0.19, n = 75,717
    Unemployment−0.29, interval −0.30 to −0.27, n = 75,717−0.08, interval −0.13 to −0.04, n = 75,717−0.09, interval −0.12 to −0.06, n = 75,717−0.10, interval −0.14 to −0.06, n = 75,717−0.27, interval −0.29 to −0.25, n = 75,717−0.26, interval −0.28 to −0.24, n = 75,717+0.41, interval +0.39 to +0.43, n = 75,717+0.41, interval +0.40 to +0.43, n = 75,717+0.26, interval +0.24 to +0.28, n = 75,717+1.00+0.29, interval +0.27 to +0.31, n = 75,717+0.25, interval +0.22 to +0.30, n = 75,717+0.21, interval +0.18 to +0.23, n = 75,717+0.15, interval +0.12 to +0.18, n = 75,717+0.22, interval +0.20 to +0.25, n = 75,717
    Single parents−0.49, interval −0.50 to −0.48, n = 75,717−0.27, interval −0.30 to −0.25, n = 75,717−0.22, interval −0.24 to −0.20, n = 75,717−0.29, interval −0.32 to −0.27, n = 75,717−0.46, interval −0.48 to −0.44, n = 75,717−0.35, interval −0.38 to −0.32, n = 75,717+0.49, interval +0.47 to +0.50, n = 75,717+0.53, interval +0.51 to +0.54, n = 75,717+0.25, interval +0.24 to +0.27, n = 75,717+0.29, interval +0.27 to +0.31, n = 75,717+1.00+0.16, interval +0.09 to +0.24, n = 75,717+0.30, interval +0.26 to +0.33, n = 75,717+0.11, interval +0.09 to +0.13, n = 75,717+0.34, interval +0.32 to +0.37, n = 75,717
    No vehicle−0.14, interval −0.26 to −0.03, n = 75,717+0.11, interval −0.07 to +0.26, n = 75,717−0.04, interval −0.17 to +0.06, n = 75,717+0.10, interval −0.05 to +0.21, n = 75,717−0.07, interval −0.18 to +0.03, n = 75,717−0.54, interval −0.57 to −0.52, n = 75,717+0.38, interval +0.32 to +0.47, n = 75,717+0.36, interval +0.29 to +0.46, n = 75,717+0.29, interval +0.26 to +0.36, n = 75,717+0.25, interval +0.22 to +0.30, n = 75,717+0.16, interval +0.09 to +0.24, n = 75,717+1.00+0.23, interval +0.15 to +0.31, n = 75,717+0.10, interval +0.06 to +0.16, n = 75,717+0.21, interval +0.16 to +0.27, n = 75,717
    Crowding−0.25, interval −0.28 to −0.22, n = 75,717+0.10, interval +0.02 to +0.15, n = 75,717+0.06, interval +0.01 to +0.09, n = 75,717+0.09, interval +0.01 to +0.14, n = 75,717−0.35, interval −0.38 to −0.30, n = 75,717−0.39, interval −0.43 to −0.35, n = 75,717+0.30, interval +0.27 to +0.33, n = 75,717+0.35, interval +0.32 to +0.38, n = 75,717+0.11, interval +0.09 to +0.13, n = 75,717+0.21, interval +0.18 to +0.23, n = 75,717+0.30, interval +0.26 to +0.33, n = 75,717+0.23, interval +0.15 to +0.31, n = 75,717+1.00+0.01, interval −0.02 to +0.04, n = 75,717+0.64, interval +0.57 to +0.70, n = 75,717
    No plumbing−0.28, interval −0.30 to −0.27, n = 75,717−0.26, interval −0.28 to −0.25, n = 75,717−0.33, interval −0.34 to −0.32, n = 75,717−0.30, interval −0.32 to −0.29, n = 75,717−0.27, interval −0.28 to −0.25, n = 75,717+0.02, interval −0.01 to +0.04, n = 75,717+0.30, interval +0.28 to +0.32, n = 75,717+0.32, interval +0.30 to +0.34, n = 75,717+0.23, interval +0.22 to +0.25, n = 75,717+0.15, interval +0.12 to +0.18, n = 75,717+0.11, interval +0.09 to +0.13, n = 75,717+0.10, interval +0.06 to +0.16, n = 75,717+0.01, interval −0.02 to +0.04, n = 75,717+1.00+0.07, interval +0.05 to +0.10, n = 75,717
    Under 9 years of school−0.36, interval −0.38 to −0.34, n = 75,717−0.07, interval −0.14 to −0.01, n = 75,717−0.09, interval −0.13 to −0.06, n = 75,717−0.08, interval −0.15 to −0.02, n = 75,717−0.49, interval −0.52 to −0.46, n = 75,717−0.31, interval −0.35 to −0.27, n = 75,717+0.37, interval +0.34 to +0.40, n = 75,717+0.44, interval +0.42 to +0.47, n = 75,717+0.17, interval +0.16 to +0.19, n = 75,717+0.22, interval +0.20 to +0.25, n = 75,717+0.34, interval +0.32 to +0.37, n = 75,717+0.21, interval +0.16 to +0.27, n = 75,717+0.64, interval +0.57 to +0.70, n = 75,717+0.07, interval +0.05 to +0.10, n = 75,717+1.00
    Show data
    Data for Home value correlates −0.31 with the poverty rate across tracts, a weaker link than family income has at −0.61
    conf_highconf_lowmeasurenotherr
    n/an/aFamily incomen/aFamily income1
    0.7290.637Family income75,717Home value0.682
    0.6660.609Family income75,717Gross rent0.638
    0.7810.696Family income75,717Mortgage cost0.739
    0.7960.774Family income75,717White-collar jobs0.786
    0.3690.284Family income75,717Homeownership0.326
    −0.595−0.618Family income75,717Poverty−0.606
    −0.696−0.715Family income75,717Below 150% of poverty−0.705
    −0.425−0.460Family income75,717Income disparity−0.442
    −0.268−0.304Family income75,717Unemployment−0.286
    −0.477−0.504Family income75,717Single parents−0.491
    −0.034−0.262Family income75,717No vehicle−0.145
    −0.217−0.283Family income75,717Crowding−0.252
    −0.269−0.297Family income75,717No plumbing−0.282
    −0.345−0.384Family income75,717Under 9 years of school−0.365
    0.7290.637Home value75,717Family income0.682
    n/an/aHome valuen/aHome value1
    0.7400.684Home value75,717Gross rent0.713
    0.8700.847Home value75,717Mortgage cost0.858
    0.5930.518Home value75,717White-collar jobs0.553
    0.036−0.120Home value75,717Homeownership−0.050
    −0.271−0.358Home value75,717Poverty−0.313
    −0.339−0.429Home value75,717Below 150% of poverty−0.381
    −0.217−0.295Home value75,717Income disparity−0.252
    −0.036−0.134Home value75,717Unemployment−0.084
    −0.254−0.297Home value75,717Single parents−0.274
    0.262−0.075Home value75,717No vehicle0.110
    0.1530.018Home value75,717Crowding0.100
    −0.247−0.281Home value75,717No plumbing−0.262
    −0.011−0.145Home value75,717Under 9 years of school−0.071
    0.6660.609Gross rent75,717Family income0.638
    0.7400.684Gross rent75,717Home value0.713
    n/an/aGross rentn/aGross rent1
    0.7580.706Gross rent75,717Mortgage cost0.734
    0.5510.490Gross rent75,717White-collar jobs0.522
    0.1130.022Gross rent75,717Homeownership0.064
    −0.373−0.408Gross rent75,717Poverty−0.391
    −0.434−0.472Gross rent75,717Below 150% of poverty−0.453
    −0.341−0.383Gross rent75,717Income disparity−0.361
    −0.061−0.117Gross rent75,717Unemployment−0.089
    −0.196−0.236Gross rent75,717Single parents−0.217
    0.056−0.165Gross rent75,717No vehicle−0.040
    0.0900.012Gross rent75,717Crowding0.057
    −0.317−0.341Gross rent75,717No plumbing−0.328
    −0.059−0.131Gross rent75,717Under 9 years of school−0.092
    0.7810.696Mortgage cost75,717Family income0.739
    0.8700.847Mortgage cost75,717Home value0.858
    0.7580.706Mortgage cost75,717Gross rent0.734
    n/an/aMortgage costn/aMortgage cost1
    0.6480.571Mortgage cost75,717White-collar jobs0.609
    0.052−0.091Mortgage cost75,717Homeownership−0.024
    −0.337−0.415Mortgage cost75,717Poverty−0.376
    −0.413−0.496Mortgage cost75,717Below 150% of poverty−0.455
    −0.274−0.341Mortgage cost75,717Income disparity−0.307
    −0.056−0.143Mortgage cost75,717Unemployment−0.100
    −0.270−0.317Mortgage cost75,717Single parents−0.294
    0.215−0.054Mortgage cost75,717No vehicle0.099
    0.1430.009Mortgage cost75,717Crowding0.087
    −0.292−0.320Mortgage cost75,717No plumbing−0.305
    −0.023−0.149Mortgage cost75,717Under 9 years of school−0.082
    0.7960.774White-collar jobs75,717Family income0.786
    0.5930.518White-collar jobs75,717Home value0.553
    0.5510.490White-collar jobs75,717Gross rent0.522
    0.6480.571White-collar jobs75,717Mortgage cost0.609
    n/an/aWhite-collar jobsn/aWhite-collar jobs1
    0.2240.143White-collar jobs75,717Homeownership0.184
    −0.485−0.517White-collar jobs75,717Poverty−0.501
    −0.590−0.618White-collar jobs75,717Below 150% of poverty−0.605
    −0.317−0.357White-collar jobs75,717Income disparity−0.337
    −0.250−0.286White-collar jobs75,717Unemployment−0.268
    −0.440−0.481White-collar jobs75,717Single parents−0.461
    0.033−0.184White-collar jobs75,717No vehicle−0.069
    −0.304−0.384White-collar jobs75,717Crowding−0.346
    −0.249−0.282White-collar jobs75,717No plumbing−0.265
    −0.463−0.516White-collar jobs75,717Under 9 years of school−0.490
    0.3690.284Homeownership75,717Family income0.326
    0.036−0.120Homeownership75,717Home value−0.050
    0.1130.022Homeownership75,717Gross rent0.064
    0.052−0.091Homeownership75,717Mortgage cost−0.024
    0.2240.143Homeownership75,717White-collar jobs0.184
    n/an/aHomeownershipn/aHomeownership1
    −0.488−0.523Homeownership75,717Poverty−0.505
    −0.496−0.537Homeownership75,717Below 150% of poverty−0.516
    −0.345−0.375Homeownership75,717Income disparity−0.359
    −0.243−0.285Homeownership75,717Unemployment−0.264
    −0.323−0.376Homeownership75,717Single parents−0.349
    −0.516−0.575Homeownership75,717No vehicle−0.542
    −0.349−0.433Homeownership75,717Crowding−0.394
    0.037−0.005Homeownership75,717No plumbing0.017
    −0.265−0.349Homeownership75,717Under 9 years of school−0.306
    −0.595−0.618Poverty75,717Family income−0.606
    −0.271−0.358Poverty75,717Home value−0.313
    −0.373−0.408Poverty75,717Gross rent−0.391
    −0.337−0.415Poverty75,717Mortgage cost−0.376
    −0.485−0.517Poverty75,717White-collar jobs−0.501
    −0.488−0.523Poverty75,717Homeownership−0.505
    n/an/aPovertyn/aPoverty1
    0.9140.907Poverty75,717Below 150% of poverty0.911
    0.5930.571Poverty75,717Income disparity0.582
    0.4310.392Poverty75,717Unemployment0.412
    0.5000.469Poverty75,717Single parents0.486
    0.4720.322Poverty75,717No vehicle0.381
    0.3310.266Poverty75,717Crowding0.297
    0.3230.279Poverty75,717No plumbing0.301
    0.3970.345Poverty75,717Under 9 years of school0.371
    −0.696−0.715Below 150% of poverty75,717Family income−0.705
    −0.339−0.429Below 150% of poverty75,717Home value−0.381
    −0.434−0.472Below 150% of poverty75,717Gross rent−0.453
    −0.413−0.496Below 150% of poverty75,717Mortgage cost−0.455
    −0.590−0.618Below 150% of poverty75,717White-collar jobs−0.605
    −0.496−0.537Below 150% of poverty75,717Homeownership−0.516
    0.9140.907Below 150% of poverty75,717Poverty0.911
    n/an/aBelow 150% of povertyn/aBelow 150% of poverty1
    0.5830.557Below 150% of poverty75,717Income disparity0.570
    0.4340.396Below 150% of poverty75,717Unemployment0.415
    0.5410.511Below 150% of poverty75,717Single parents0.527
    0.4610.295Below 150% of poverty75,717No vehicle0.363
    0.3810.315Below 150% of poverty75,717Crowding0.348
    0.3430.301Below 150% of poverty75,717No plumbing0.322
    0.4670.417Below 150% of poverty75,717Under 9 years of school0.443
    −0.425−0.460Income disparity75,717Family income−0.442
    −0.217−0.295Income disparity75,717Home value−0.252
    −0.341−0.383Income disparity75,717Gross rent−0.361
    −0.274−0.341Income disparity75,717Mortgage cost−0.307
    −0.317−0.357Income disparity75,717White-collar jobs−0.337
    −0.345−0.375Income disparity75,717Homeownership−0.359
    0.5930.571Income disparity75,717Poverty0.582
    0.5830.557Income disparity75,717Below 150% of poverty0.570
    n/an/aIncome disparityn/aIncome disparity1
    0.2800.245Income disparity75,717Unemployment0.263
    0.2700.238Income disparity75,717Single parents0.254
    0.3610.259Income disparity75,717No vehicle0.295
    0.1270.087Income disparity75,717Crowding0.107
    0.2460.216Income disparity75,717No plumbing0.231
    0.1940.157Income disparity75,717Under 9 years of school0.175
    −0.268−0.304Unemployment75,717Family income−0.286
    −0.036−0.134Unemployment75,717Home value−0.084
    −0.061−0.117Unemployment75,717Gross rent−0.089
    −0.056−0.143Unemployment75,717Mortgage cost−0.100
    −0.250−0.286Unemployment75,717White-collar jobs−0.268
    −0.243−0.285Unemployment75,717Homeownership−0.264
    0.4310.392Unemployment75,717Poverty0.412
    0.4340.396Unemployment75,717Below 150% of poverty0.415
    0.2800.245Unemployment75,717Income disparity0.263
    n/an/aUnemploymentn/aUnemployment1
    0.3080.271Unemployment75,717Single parents0.290
    0.2960.219Unemployment75,717No vehicle0.251
    0.2340.181Unemployment75,717Crowding0.209
    0.1850.122Unemployment75,717No plumbing0.152
    0.2460.197Unemployment75,717Under 9 years of school0.222
    −0.477−0.504Single parents75,717Family income−0.491
    −0.254−0.297Single parents75,717Home value−0.274
    −0.196−0.236Single parents75,717Gross rent−0.217
    −0.270−0.317Single parents75,717Mortgage cost−0.294
    −0.440−0.481Single parents75,717White-collar jobs−0.461
    −0.323−0.376Single parents75,717Homeownership−0.349
    0.5000.469Single parents75,717Poverty0.486
    0.5410.511Single parents75,717Below 150% of poverty0.527
    0.2700.238Single parents75,717Income disparity0.254
    0.3080.271Single parents75,717Unemployment0.290
    n/an/aSingle parentsn/aSingle parents1
    0.2420.094Single parents75,717No vehicle0.157
    0.3300.260Single parents75,717Crowding0.296
    0.1280.087Single parents75,717No plumbing0.108
    0.3660.315Single parents75,717Under 9 years of school0.341
    −0.034−0.262No vehicle75,717Family income−0.145
    0.262−0.075No vehicle75,717Home value0.110
    0.056−0.165No vehicle75,717Gross rent−0.040
    0.215−0.054No vehicle75,717Mortgage cost0.099
    0.033−0.184No vehicle75,717White-collar jobs−0.069
    −0.516−0.575No vehicle75,717Homeownership−0.542
    0.4720.322No vehicle75,717Poverty0.381
    0.4610.295No vehicle75,717Below 150% of poverty0.363
    0.3610.259No vehicle75,717Income disparity0.295
    0.2960.219No vehicle75,717Unemployment0.251
    0.2420.094No vehicle75,717Single parents0.157
    n/an/aNo vehiclen/aNo vehicle1
    0.3110.154No vehicle75,717Crowding0.227
    0.1640.057No vehicle75,717No plumbing0.101
    0.2660.161No vehicle75,717Under 9 years of school0.211
    −0.217−0.283Crowding75,717Family income−0.252
    0.1530.018Crowding75,717Home value0.100
    0.0900.012Crowding75,717Gross rent0.057
    0.1430.009Crowding75,717Mortgage cost0.087
    −0.304−0.384Crowding75,717White-collar jobs−0.346
    −0.349−0.433Crowding75,717Homeownership−0.394
    0.3310.266Crowding75,717Poverty0.297
    0.3810.315Crowding75,717Below 150% of poverty0.348
    0.1270.087Crowding75,717Income disparity0.107
    0.2340.181Crowding75,717Unemployment0.209
    0.3300.260Crowding75,717Single parents0.296
    0.3110.154Crowding75,717No vehicle0.227
    n/an/aCrowdingn/aCrowding1
    0.041−0.021Crowding75,717No plumbing0.007
    0.6980.571Crowding75,717Under 9 years of school0.636
    −0.269−0.297No plumbing75,717Family income−0.282
    −0.247−0.281No plumbing75,717Home value−0.262
    −0.317−0.341No plumbing75,717Gross rent−0.328
    −0.292−0.320No plumbing75,717Mortgage cost−0.305
    −0.249−0.282No plumbing75,717White-collar jobs−0.265
    0.037−0.005No plumbing75,717Homeownership0.017
    0.3230.279No plumbing75,717Poverty0.301
    0.3430.301No plumbing75,717Below 150% of poverty0.322
    0.2460.216No plumbing75,717Income disparity0.231
    0.1850.122No plumbing75,717Unemployment0.152
    0.1280.087No plumbing75,717Single parents0.108
    0.1640.057No plumbing75,717No vehicle0.101
    0.041−0.021No plumbing75,717Crowding0.007
    n/an/aNo plumbingn/aNo plumbing1
    0.1000.046No plumbing75,717Under 9 years of school0.071
    −0.345−0.384Under 9 years of school75,717Family income−0.365
    −0.011−0.145Under 9 years of school75,717Home value−0.071
    −0.059−0.131Under 9 years of school75,717Gross rent−0.092
    −0.023−0.149Under 9 years of school75,717Mortgage cost−0.082
    −0.463−0.516Under 9 years of school75,717White-collar jobs−0.490
    −0.265−0.349Under 9 years of school75,717Homeownership−0.306
    0.3970.345Under 9 years of school75,717Poverty0.371
    0.4670.417Under 9 years of school75,717Below 150% of poverty0.443
    0.1940.157Under 9 years of school75,717Income disparity0.175
    0.2460.197Under 9 years of school75,717Unemployment0.222
    0.3660.315Under 9 years of school75,717Single parents0.341
    0.2660.161Under 9 years of school75,717No vehicle0.211
    0.6980.571Under 9 years of school75,717Crowding0.636
    0.1000.046Under 9 years of school75,717No plumbing0.071
    n/an/aUnder 9 years of schooln/aUnder 9 years of school1
    The four dollar measures and white-collar work correlate strongly with one another, the hardship measures mostly correlate positively with one another, and the two groups correlate negatively; the home value row stays modest against the hardship columns. Each cell is the correlation between two measures across tracts, weighted by tract population, with a 95% interval from a bootstrap over counties. Rows and columns share one order, the measures of advantage first.Note: Cells toward the teal end of the key are positive correlations and cells toward the brown end negative ones. The diagonal is one by construction and has no interval.Note: The correlations use the measures as the ACS reports them: dollars for the four dollar measures, proportions for the rest and the log ratio for income disparity. The staged ACS file has no margins of error.Source: ACS 2019-2023 five-year tract estimates (staged ACS file and Census API pull of housing measures); population-weighted (ACS tract population)

    In raw units, home value and family income set the score

    Write the score of tract ii as a sum over the measures kk of a coefficient ckc_k times the measure xikx_{ik}. The Atlas uses the measures as they come. A standardized version subtracts each measure's mean xˉk\bar x_k and divides by its standard deviation sks_k:

    Si=∑kck xikandSiz=∑kck xik−xˉksk.S_i=\sum_{k} c_k\,x_{ik} \qquad\text{and}\qquad S_i^{z}=\sum_{k} c_k\,\frac{x_{ik}-\bar x_k}{s_k}.

    The first is the replica of the published score. The second applies the same coefficients, with the population-weighted mean and standard deviation of each measure across tracts. A sum is dominated by the terms that vary most, and variance is measured in squared units, so a measure with values in the hundreds of thousands contributes more variance than a proportion does. Figure 3 splits the variance of each score among its measures. A measure's allocated share is the covariance of its term with the score divided by the variance of the score, and each covariance between two terms is shared equally between them, so the shares add to the whole of the variance. In the raw-units score, median home value is allocated 85.4% (95% CI 83.1% to 87.0%)85.4% percent of the variance of the scoreEstimandshare of the population-weighted variance of the score (Singh's coefficients times the measures in their own units) allocated to median home value: the covariance of that measure's term with the score divided by the score's variance, so each covariance between two terms is shared equally between them and the shares add to the whole; interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 83.1% to 87.0%n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation IndexNoteAn allocated share: the covariance of the home value and family income terms is shared between them. The first edition's fact of this id was home value's share of the variance of the raw inputs, a different quantity; hv_own_share gives the variance of the home value term alone. and median family income 14.2% (95% CI 12.6% to 16.5%)14.2% percent of the variance of the scoreEstimandshare of the population-weighted variance of the score (Singh's coefficients times the measures in their own units) allocated to median family income: the covariance of that measure's term with the score divided by the score's variance, so each covariance between two terms is shared equally between them and the shares add to the whole; interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 12.6% to 16.5%n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index. The two terms are correlated, so the allocation matters: the home value term alone has 74.3% (95% CI 70.5% to 77.0%)74.3% percent of the variance of the scoreEstimandvariance of the home value term alone (Singh's coefficients times the measures in their own units) as a share of the variance of the score, with no covariance with the other terms allocated to it; interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 70.5% to 77.0%n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index of the variance, and the home value and family income terms together have 99.2% (95% CI 99.2% to 99.3%)99.2% percent of the variance of the scoreEstimandvariance of the sum of the home value and family income terms (Singh's coefficients times the measures in their own units) as a share of the variance of the score, with no covariance with the other terms allocated to it; interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 99.2% to 99.3%n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index. Rent and the mortgage cost are allocated a further 0.38% (95% CI 0.36% to 0.41%)0.38% percent of the variance of the scoreEstimandshare of the population-weighted variance of the score (Singh's coefficients times the measures in their own units) allocated to median gross rent and the monthly mortgage cost, together: the covariance of that measure's term with the score divided by the score's variance, so each covariance between two terms is shared equally between them and the shares add to the whole; interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.36% to 0.41%n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index, and the measures that are not dollar amounts 0.0003% (95% CI 0.0002% to 0.0003%)0.0003% percent of the variance of the scoreEstimandshare of the population-weighted variance of the score (Singh's coefficients times the measures in their own units) allocated to the measures that are not dollar amounts, together: the covariance of that measure's term with the score divided by the score's variance, so each covariance between two terms is shared equally between them and the shares add to the whole; interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.0002% to 0.0003%n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index together. After standardization, no measure is allocated more than 12.4% (95% CI 12.2% to 12.6%)12.4% percent of the variance of the scoreEstimandshare of the population-weighted variance of the score (Singh's coefficients times the measures in standard deviation units) allocated to the measure with the largest share, share below 150 percent of the poverty line: the covariance of that measure's term with the score divided by the score's variance, so each covariance between two terms is shared equally between them and the shares add to the whole; interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 12.2% to 12.6%n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index, which is the near-poverty share, and home value is allocated 5.3% (95% CI 5.0% to 5.7%)5.3% percent of the variance of the scoreEstimandshare of the population-weighted variance of the score (Singh's coefficients times the measures in standard deviation units) allocated to median home value: the covariance of that measure's term with the score divided by the score's variance, so each covariance between two terms is shared equally between them and the shares add to the whole; interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 5.0% to 5.7%n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index.

    Figure 3

    In raw units home value accounts for 74.3% of the variance of the score on its own and 85.4% with its covariance with income shared out, against 5.3% after standardization

    Share of the population-weighted variance of the replica score allocated to each measure, same coefficients, measures in raw units and in standard deviation units, 75,717 tracts

    In raw units home value and family income carry 99.2% of the variance of the score between them

    Share of the variance of the score in raw units allocated to each measure, percent

    Measure

    Home value's bar is the longest and family income's the second; every other bar is nearly zero.

    Show data
    Data for In raw units home value accounts for 74.3% of the variance of the score on its own and 85.4% with its covariance with income shared out, against 5.3% after standardization, Raw units
    conf_highconf_lowmeasurenshare
    86.9983.08Home value75,71785.40
    16.5212.64Family income75,71714.23
    0.2450.213Mortgage cost75,7170.226
    0.1640.143Gross rent75,7170.152
    0.0000.000Income disparity75,7170.000
    0.0000.000White-collar jobs75,7170.000
    0.0000.000Below 150% of poverty75,7170.000
    0.0000.000Poverty75,7170.000
    0.0000.000Single parents75,7170.000
    0.0000.000Under 9 years of school75,7170.000
    0.0000.000No plumbing75,7170.000
    0.0000.000Unemployment75,7170.000
    0.0000.000Homeownership75,7170.000
    0.0000.000Crowding75,7170.000
    0.0000.000No vehicle75,7170.000
    In raw units two bars, home value and family income, hold 99.2% of the variance between them, and after standardization the bars are spread over the measures. A bar is the covariance of a measure's term in the score with the score, divided by the variance of the score, so each covariance between two terms is shared equally between them and the bars add to the whole of the variance; whiskers are 95% intervals from a bootstrap over counties. The tabs share one order and one axis.Note: Raw units: dollars for the four dollar measures, proportions between zero and one for the rest, and the log ratio for income disparity, as the Atlas applies Singh's coefficients. Standardized: each measure minus its population-weighted mean over its population-weighted standard deviation.Note: The two measures that are not rebuilt (high school diploma and internet access) are proportions, so in raw units they would add little to the variance of the score.Source: ACS 2019-2023 five-year tract estimates (staged ACS file and Census API pull of housing measures); Singh (2003) coefficients; population-weighted (ACS tract population)

    The same coefficients therefore give weights that depend on the scale of the measures. Petterson showed the pattern across the block groups of the Atlas, and Hannan and colleagues found that in New York State the Atlas ADI mainly reflects home value.[1, 2] The shares here describe a population-weighted frame of tracts, a different population from either study.

    The replica reproduces the published rank

    Ranking the replica's score among the frame's tracts gives a population-weighted rank correlation of +0.991 (95% CI 0.990 to 0.992)+0.991 rank correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted correlation of the percentile ranks of the published tract ADI and of the replica score in raw units, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.990 to 0.992n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation IndexNoteCounting each tract once gives +0.992. with the published tract rank. The match is close and not exact, because the replica uses tract estimates where the Atlas uses block groups, omits two measures and does not impute missing values. Standardizing the measures before applying the same coefficients lowers the correlation with the published rank to +0.72 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.77)+0.72 rank correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted correlation of the percentile ranks of the published tract ADI and of the replica score in standard deviation units, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.66 to 0.77n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation IndexNoteCounting each tract once gives +0.73.. The published ADI correlates −0.988 (95% CI −0.989 to −0.986)−0.988 rank correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted correlation of the percentile ranks of the published tract ADI and of median home value, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI −0.989 to −0.986n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index with the rank of median home value. The raw-units replica correlates −0.987 (95% CI −0.989 to −0.986)−0.987 rank correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted correlation of the percentile ranks of the raw-units replica score and of median home value, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI −0.989 to −0.986n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index with it and the standardized replica −0.66 (95% CI −0.71 to −0.60)−0.66 rank correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted correlation of the percentile ranks of the standardized replica score and of median home value, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI −0.71 to −0.60n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index.

    The scale of the measures moves the ranking, and the choice of coefficients barely does. The first principal componentPrincipal componentsA method that combines many correlated measures into a few summary scores, ordered by how much of the variation among places each captures. The first component is the single weighted combination that captures the most. of the standardized measures lets the data choose the weights, and it ranks the tracts almost as Singh's coefficients applied to the standardized measures do, with a rank correlation of +0.997 (95% CI 0.996 to 0.998)+0.997 rank correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted correlation of the percentile ranks of Singh's coefficients applied to standardized measures and of the first principal component of the same measures, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.996 to 0.998n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index.

    The staged SVI file carries the two missing measures for ACS 2018 to 2022. Adding them to the replica, with the telephone measure's coefficient on households without internet because the Atlas does not publish one, moves the rank correlation of the standardized replica with the published rank to +0.71 (95% CI 0.65 to 0.77)+0.71 rank correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted correlation of the percentile ranks of the published tract ADI and of the standardized replica score of all 17 measures, with adults with at least a high school diploma (coefficient -0.0970, from the SVI share without a diploma) and households without internet (the telephone measure's coefficient, 0.0877, an assumption because the Atlas does not publish one for internet) added; interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.65 to 0.77n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame, which all have the two SVI measuresPeriodSVI 2022 measures (ACS 2018 to 2022) added to the ACS 2019 to 2023 measures; ADI 2023 releaseSourceCDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index and the share of residents of high-poverty tracts it places at or below the 50th50th national percentileEstimandpercentile cutoff; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationrank at or below which a tract counts as among the less deprivedPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index percentile to 0.61% (95% CI 0.32% to 0.93%)0.61% percent of residentsEstimandshare of residents of high-poverty tracts who live in tracts at or below the 50th percentile of the standardized replica score of all 17 measures (percentile among the tracts of the frame), interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.32% to 0.93%n5,100 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of high-poverty tracts of the framePeriodSVI 2022 measures (ACS 2018 to 2022) added to the ACS 2019 to 2023 measures; ADI 2023 releaseSourceCDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index. The raw-units replica stays at +0.991 (95% CI 0.990 to 0.992)+0.991 rank correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted correlation of the percentile ranks of the published tract ADI and of the raw-units replica score of all 17 measures, with adults with at least a high school diploma (coefficient -0.0970, from the SVI share without a diploma) and households without internet (the telephone measure's coefficient, 0.0877, an assumption because the Atlas does not publish one for internet) added; interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.990 to 0.992n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame, which all have the two SVI measuresPeriodSVI 2022 measures (ACS 2018 to 2022) added to the ACS 2019 to 2023 measures; ADI 2023 releaseSourceCDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index.

    The published ADI sits apart from rankings that standardize

    Figure 4 compares six rankings of the same tracts: the published ADI, its raw-units replica, the standardized replica, the first principal component of the standardized measures, the socioeconomic theme of the Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) of the CDC and ATSDR, and the poverty rate.[6, 7] The SVI converts each measure to a percentile among tracts before summing within a theme, so it is standardized by construction. The published ADI and its replica form one pair, and the standardized replica and the principal component form another. The principal component, the SVI theme and the poverty rate each correlate more strongly with the standardized replica than with the published ADI.

    Figure 4

    The published ADI correlates +0.991 with its raw-units replica and +0.72 with the standardized version of the same measures

    Population-weighted rank correlations among six rankings of 2020 tracts, measures from ACS 2019 to 2023

    0.401.00
    A six by six grid of rank correlations. The published ADI and its raw-units replica are almost perfectly correlated, the standardized replica and the principal component are almost perfectly correlated, and the SVI theme and poverty rate correlate strongly with the standardized rankings and only moderately with the published ADI.
    RankingPublished ADIReplica, raw unitsReplica, standardizedFirst principal componentSVI socioeconomic themePoverty rate
    Published ADI1.000.99, interval 0.99 to 0.99, n = 75,7170.72, interval 0.66 to 0.77, n = 75,7170.76, interval 0.70 to 0.80, n = 75,7170.48, interval 0.41 to 0.56, n = 75,7170.54, interval 0.49 to 0.59, n = 75,717
    Replica, raw units0.99, interval 0.99 to 0.99, n = 75,7171.000.74, interval 0.68 to 0.79, n = 75,7170.77, interval 0.72 to 0.82, n = 75,7170.51, interval 0.43 to 0.57, n = 75,7170.55, interval 0.50 to 0.59, n = 75,717
    Replica, standardized0.72, interval 0.66 to 0.77, n = 75,7170.74, interval 0.68 to 0.79, n = 75,7171.001.00, interval 1.00 to 1.00, n = 75,7170.86, interval 0.85 to 0.87, n = 75,7170.85, interval 0.84 to 0.86, n = 75,717
    First principal component0.76, interval 0.70 to 0.80, n = 75,7170.77, interval 0.72 to 0.82, n = 75,7171.00, interval 1.00 to 1.00, n = 75,7171.000.84, interval 0.83 to 0.85, n = 75,7170.84, interval 0.84 to 0.85, n = 75,717
    SVI socioeconomic theme0.48, interval 0.41 to 0.56, n = 75,7170.51, interval 0.43 to 0.57, n = 75,7170.86, interval 0.85 to 0.87, n = 75,7170.84, interval 0.83 to 0.85, n = 75,7171.000.76, interval 0.75 to 0.77, n = 75,717
    Poverty rate0.54, interval 0.49 to 0.59, n = 75,7170.55, interval 0.50 to 0.59, n = 75,7170.85, interval 0.84 to 0.86, n = 75,7170.84, interval 0.84 to 0.85, n = 75,7170.76, interval 0.75 to 0.77, n = 75,7171.00
    Show data
    Data for The published ADI correlates +0.991 with its raw-units replica and +0.72 with the standardized version of the same measures
    conf_highconf_lownotherrranking
    n/an/an/aPublished ADI1Published ADI
    0.9920.99075,717Replica, raw units0.991Published ADI
    0.7730.65975,717Replica, standardized0.720Published ADI
    0.8000.70375,717First principal component0.755Published ADI
    0.5560.40675,717SVI socioeconomic theme0.485Published ADI
    0.5870.48675,717Poverty rate0.539Published ADI
    0.9920.99075,717Published ADI0.991Replica, raw units
    n/an/an/aReplica, raw units1Replica, raw units
    0.7890.68075,717Replica, standardized0.738Replica, raw units
    0.8170.72375,717First principal component0.773Replica, raw units
    0.5750.42975,717SVI socioeconomic theme0.506Replica, raw units
    0.5950.49675,717Poverty rate0.548Replica, raw units
    0.7730.65975,717Published ADI0.720Replica, standardized
    0.7890.68075,717Replica, raw units0.738Replica, standardized
    n/an/an/aReplica, standardized1Replica, standardized
    0.9980.99675,717First principal component0.997Replica, standardized
    0.8660.85275,717SVI socioeconomic theme0.859Replica, standardized
    0.8590.84375,717Poverty rate0.851Replica, standardized
    0.8000.70375,717Published ADI0.755First principal component
    0.8170.72375,717Replica, raw units0.773First principal component
    0.9980.99675,717Replica, standardized0.997First principal component
    n/an/an/aFirst principal component1First principal component
    0.8500.83275,717SVI socioeconomic theme0.841First principal component
    0.8530.83675,717Poverty rate0.844First principal component
    0.5560.40675,717Published ADI0.485SVI socioeconomic theme
    0.5750.42975,717Replica, raw units0.506SVI socioeconomic theme
    0.8660.85275,717Replica, standardized0.859SVI socioeconomic theme
    0.8500.83275,717First principal component0.841SVI socioeconomic theme
    n/an/an/aSVI socioeconomic theme1SVI socioeconomic theme
    0.7690.75375,717Poverty rate0.761SVI socioeconomic theme
    0.5870.48675,717Published ADI0.539Poverty rate
    0.5950.49675,717Replica, raw units0.548Poverty rate
    0.8590.84375,717Replica, standardized0.851Poverty rate
    0.8530.83675,717First principal component0.844Poverty rate
    0.7690.75375,717SVI socioeconomic theme0.761Poverty rate
    n/an/an/aPoverty rate1Poverty rate
    Two blocks stand out: the published ADI with its raw-units replica at top left, and the standardized score with its principal component, the SVI theme and the poverty rate. Each cell is the correlation between the percentile ranks of two rankings across tracts, weighted by tract population, with a 95% interval from a bootstrap over counties. The replicas sum Singh's coefficients times the measures, in raw units or in standard deviation units; the principal component is the first of the standardized measures.Note: Each cell uses the tracts that have both rankings; pairs with the SVI socioeconomic theme use the tracts that also have an SVI value, and each cell's tooltip gives its tract count.Note: The ranks are percentiles among those tracts, and each cell is the population-weighted Pearson correlation of the two percentile ranks (Spearman's rank correlation would count each tract once); the published ADI is the Atlas's block-group ranks averaged over each tract.Source: Neighborhood Atlas ADI 2023; ACS 2019-2023; CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022; population-weighted (ACS tract population) rank correlations

    The ADI reads expensive places as less deprived

    The disagreement between the published and the standardized ranking follows the cost of housing. Figure 5 groups tracts by the median home value of their county, in quartiles with equal numbers of residents. County median home values are above $450,562$450,562 dollarsEstimand75th percentile of county median home value, counties weighted by population in the frameWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationcounties, weighted by the population of their tracts in the framePeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey in the highest-cost quartile and below $216,301$216,301 dollarsEstimand25th percentile of county median home value, counties weighted by population in the frameWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationcounties, weighted by the population of their tracts in the framePeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey in the lowest-cost quartile. The published percentile minus the standardized percentile averages +11.1 (95% CI 10.5 to 11.6)+11.1 percentile points, published ADI minus standardized replicaEstimandpopulation-weighted mean of the published tract ADI minus the percentile of the standardized replica score among the tracts of the frame, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 10.5 to 11.6n22,023 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of tracts in the lowest-cost quartile of residents' counties, by county median home valuePeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index points in the lowest-cost counties and −16.5 (95% CI −21.3 to −11.5)−16.5 percentile points, published ADI minus standardized replicaEstimandpopulation-weighted mean of the published tract ADI minus the percentile of the standardized replica score among the tracts of the frame, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI −21.3 to −11.5n17,638 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of tracts in the highest-cost quartile of residents' counties, by county median home valuePeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index points in the highest-cost counties. At the same standardized percentile, tracts in the highest-cost counties have a lower published ADI than tracts in the lowest-cost counties in every tenth of the standardized ranking, and the gap widens toward the most deprived tenth.

    The gap matters most where people are poor. 5,1005,100 tractsEstimandcount of tractsWeightsnone (full count)Populationtracts of the frame with a poverty rate at or above the high-poverty thresholdPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey tracts in the frame, with 17.2 million17.2 million residentsEstimandsum of ACS tract populationWeightsnone (full count)Populationresidents of the high-poverty tracts of the framePeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey residents, have poverty rates of 30%30% percent of persons below the poverty lineEstimandpoverty rate at or above which a tract is called high-poverty; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationtracts called high-poverty in this chapterPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey or more. The published ADI places 16.1% (95% CI 11.3% to 21.4%)16.1% percent of residentsEstimandshare of residents of high-poverty tracts who live in tracts at or below the 50th percentile on the published ADI (percentile among the tracts of the frame for the replica), interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 11.3% to 21.4%n5,100 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of high-poverty tracts of the framePeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index of those residents in tracts ranked at or below the 50th50th national percentileEstimandpercentile cutoff; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationrank at or below which a tract counts as among the less deprivedPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index national percentile, and the raw-units replica places 15.8% (95% CI 11.0% to 20.7%)15.8% percent of residentsEstimandshare of residents of high-poverty tracts who live in tracts at or below the 50th percentile on the replica score in raw units (percentile among the tracts of the frame for the replica), interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 11.0% to 20.7%n5,100 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of high-poverty tracts of the framePeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index. The standardized replica places 0.34% (95% CI 0.15% to 0.55%)0.34% percent of residentsEstimandshare of residents of high-poverty tracts who live in tracts at or below the 50th percentile on the replica score in standard deviation units (percentile among the tracts of the frame for the replica), interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.15% to 0.55%n5,100 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of high-poverty tracts of the framePeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index. Across all 6,7186,718 tractsEstimandcount of tractsWeightsnone (full count)Populationtracts with a published ADI rank, a population and a poverty rate at or above the high-poverty threshold, whether or not they have all rebuilt measuresPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index tracts of the 5050 statesEstimandcount of states; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationstates of the frame, besides the District of ColumbiaPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey states and DC that have a published rank and a poverty rate, including tracts that lack some rebuilt measures, the published share is 20.6% (95% CI 14.1% to 27.9%)20.6% percent of residentsEstimandshare of residents of high-poverty tracts who live in tracts at or below the 50th percentile on the published ADI, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 14.1% to 27.9%n6,718 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of high-poverty tracts with a published ADI rank, whether or not they have all rebuilt measuresPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index.

    The second tab of the figure lists the 1515 tractsEstimandnumber of rows in the table; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationtracts in the table of the largest gapsPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index tracts with the largest gaps among the 5,0495,049 tractsEstimandcount of eligible tractsWeightsnone (full count)Populationhigh-poverty tracts of the frame with at least the minimum populationPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey tracts that have a poverty rate of 30%30% percent of persons below the poverty lineEstimandpoverty rate at or above which a tract is called high-poverty; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationtracts called high-poverty in this chapterPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey or more and at least 1,0001,000 residentsEstimandsmallest tract population listed; a definitionWeightsnone (definition)Populationtracts eligible for the table of the largest gapsPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey residents. 1212 tractsEstimandcount of the listed tracts in the five boroughs of New York City (Kings, New York, Bronx, Queens and Richmond counties)Weightsnone (full count)Populationtracts in the table of the largest gapsPeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index are in New York City. In the first row, a tract in San Francisco where 35.9%35.9% percent of persons below the poverty lineEstimandpoverty rate of one tract (ACS tract estimate, margin of error not in the staged file)Weightsnone (single tract)Populationresidents of the tract in the first row of the tablePeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey of residents are below the poverty line, the published ADI is 11 national percentileEstimandpublished ADI of one tract (mean of its block groups' ranks)Weightsnone (single tract)Populationthe tract in the first row of the tablePeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation Index, among the least deprived in the nation, and the standardized percentile is 99.799.7 percentile among the tracts of the frameEstimandpercentile of the standardized replica score of one tractWeightsnone (single tract)Populationthe tract in the first row of the tablePeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey. The median home value of that tract is at the ACS top code, which applies to 495495 tractsEstimandcount of tracts at the top codeWeightsnone (full count)Populationtracts of the frame whose median home value is the ACS top code (2,000,001 dollars)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey tracts in the frame and caps a dollar value that would otherwise be higher.

    Figure 5

    The published ADI percentile minus the standardized percentile averages −16.5 in the highest-cost counties and +11.1 in the lowest-cost counties

    Tract percentile on the published ADI against the percentile of the standardized replica score, by the cost of the tract's county, and the tracts with the largest gaps

    At the same standardized percentile, tracts in the highest-cost counties have a lower published ADI than tracts in the lowest-cost counties

    Published ADI against the standardized percentile, one dot per sampled tract, colored by the median home value of the tract's county

    Loading data

    The line of binned means for the lowest-cost counties lies above the line for the highest-cost counties in every tenth of the standardized ranking, and the gap widens toward the most deprived tenth.

    At the same standardized percentile the binned means of the published ADI are higher in the lowest-cost counties than in the highest-cost counties in every tenth, and the 95% intervals of the two groups do not overlap. The two rankings correlate at +0.72, so the diagonal of equal percentiles is not a null for a binned mean, and the evidence is the gap between the groups. The first tab plots a seeded sample of 3,000 tracts with population-weighted binned means; the second lists the 15 tracts with a poverty rate of at least 30% and at least 1,000 residents where the published percentile falls furthest below the standardized one, of which 12 are in New York City.Note: Counties are grouped by their median home value into quartiles with equal numbers of residents; the middle two quartiles are drawn together in gray. Markers are population-weighted means of the published ADI within tenths of the standardized percentile for the lowest-cost and highest-cost groups, with 95% intervals from a bootstrap over counties; cells with few tracts are left out.Note: The dots are a random sample of the frame's tracts drawn with a fixed seed (seed and share in the methods note); the means, intervals and the table use every tract.Note: A tract's ACS medians rest on the homes and renters in the tract, which are few in some tracts, and the staged file has no margins of error; a college-town tract can show a high poverty rate because of student households. Each row illustrates what the formula does and is not an estimate of its tract's deprivation.Source: Neighborhood Atlas ADI 2023; ACS 2019-2023; population-weighted (ACS tract population) binned means, modeled estimates

    One Medicare payment model, ACO REACH, uses the ADI. The model adjusts payments for each beneficiary by the decile of a score that combines the ADI with the beneficiary's status as dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid or as receiving the low-income subsidy. For performance year 2024 the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services added the state ADI to the score, weighted the national ADI, the state ADI and that status equally, and said the change would better identify underserved beneficiaries in areas with a high cost of living.[8] The state ADI compares tracts within a state, and this chapter does not test how much of the dominance of home value it removes.

    The measures describe more than one kind of deprivation

    The correlation matrix behind Figure 2 has 33 factorsEstimandnumber of eigenvalues above 1 of the population-weighted correlation matrix of the 15 measures (the Kaiser criterion); the count is the same in every bootstrap replicaten75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey eigenvalues above the average, the usual criterion for the number of factors worth keeping, and the first 33 factorsEstimandnumber of eigenvalues above 1 of the population-weighted correlation matrix of the 15 measures (the Kaiser criterion); the count is the same in every bootstrap replicaten75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey principal components carry 66.0% (95% CI 65.3% to 66.9%)66.0% percent of the variance of the measuresEstimandshare of the variance of the 15 standardized measures carried by the first principal components with an eigenvalue above 1, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 65.3% to 66.9%n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey of the variance of the measures, the first alone 39.6% (95% CI 38.4% to 41.1%)39.6% percent of the variance of the measuresEstimandshare of the variance of the standardized measures carried by the first principal component, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 38.4% to 41.1%n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey. A factor model describes the correlations among many measures with a few unobserved factors, and a measure's loading is its correlation with a factor. A maximum-likelihood factor model of the same population-weighted correlation matrix, with 33 factorsEstimandnumber of eigenvalues above 1 of the population-weighted correlation matrix of the 15 measures (the Kaiser criterion); the count is the same in every bootstrap replicaten75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey factors and a varimax rotation that turns the factors so that each measure loads mainly on one, sorts the measures into 33 factorsEstimandnumber of eigenvalues above 1 of the population-weighted correlation matrix of the 15 measures (the Kaiser criterion); the count is the same in every bootstrap replicaten75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey groups (Figure 6). The first, housing money, gathers home value, mortgage cost, rent, family income and white-collar work, and holds 24.7%24.7% percent of the variance of the measuresEstimandsum of squared varimax loadings of factor 1 divided by the number of measures, from a maximum-likelihood factor model of the population-weighted correlation matrix; a description of the whole frame, so no sampling intervaln75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey of the variance of the measures. The second, economic hardship, gathers the poverty rate, the near-poverty share, income disparity, unemployment and single parenthood, with homeownership on the other side, and holds 21.5%21.5% percent of the variance of the measuresEstimandsum of squared varimax loadings of factor 2 divided by the number of measures, from a maximum-likelihood factor model of the population-weighted correlation matrix; a description of the whole frame, so no sampling intervaln75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey. The third gathers crowding and the share of adults who left school before ninth grade, which correlate +0.64 (95% CI 0.57 to 0.70)+0.64 correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted Pearson correlation between tract crowding and tract share of adults with under 9 years of schooling in their own units, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.57 to 0.70n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey with each other, and holds 11.9%11.9% percent of the variance of the measuresEstimandsum of squared varimax loadings of factor 3 divided by the number of measures, from a maximum-likelihood factor model of the population-weighted correlation matrix; a description of the whole frame, so no sampling intervaln75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceAmerican Community Survey.

    Figure 6

    The measures sort into housing money, economic hardship, and crowding with little schooling, which together hold 58.1% of their variance

    Varimax-rotated loadings of the 15 standardized measures on 3 maximum-likelihood factors, 75,717 tracts, ACS 2019 to 2023

    Home value, mortgage cost, family income, rent and white-collar work load on the housing money factor

    Loadings on the housing money factor, which holds 24.7% of the variance of the measures

    Measure

    The five longest bars are the dollar measures and white-collar work.

    Show data
    Data for The measures sort into housing money, economic hardship, and crowding with little schooling, which together hold 58.1% of their variance, Housing money
    loadingmeasure
    0.930Mortgage cost
    0.900Home value
    0.750Gross rent
    0.750Family income
    0.640White-collar jobs
    −0.370Below 150% of poverty
    −0.290No plumbing
    −0.270Single parents
    −0.270Poverty
    −0.250Income disparity
    0.160No vehicle
    0.100Crowding
    −0.090Homeownership
    −0.080Under 9 years of school
    −0.060Unemployment
    Each tab is one factor, and a long bar means the measure moves with that factor; bars pointing left load negatively. Housing money gathers the dollar measures and white-collar work, economic hardship gathers poverty and its relatives, and the third gathers crowding and little schooling. Loadings describe all the tracts in the frame and carry no interval.Note: Maximum-likelihood factor analysis of the population-weighted correlation matrix of the measures (the matrix in the first correlation figure), 3 factors chosen by the Kaiser criterion, varimax rotation. The fit starts from seeded random loadings and the solution does not depend on the seed. Each factor is signed so its largest loading is positive.Note: The factors describe these measures, not deprivation in general: other measures would give other factors.Source: ACS 2019-2023 five-year tract estimates (staged ACS file and Census API pull of housing measures); population-weighted (ACS tract population) correlation matrix

    Kolak and colleagues, using a different set of tract measures, also needed several principal components and named the first socioeconomic advantage.[9] A single ranking folds these factors into one number. In raw units the number follows the housing-money factor, as the correlation with home value shows.

    Standardized rankings track upward mobility more closely than the published ADI does, and life expectancy about as closely

    Two outcomes that no ranking used as an input test the recipes. One is life expectancy at birthLife expectancy at birthThe average number of years a newborn would live if death rates at every age stayed as they were in the period measured. It summarizes the death rates of a period and is not a forecast for any child. from USALEEPUSALEEPThe U.S. Small-area Life Expectancy Estimates Project, a National Center for Health Statistics release of life expectancy at birth for most census tracts. It covers deaths from 2010 to 2015 only and has not been updated., for deaths in 2010 to 2015 in 71,87471,874 tractsEstimandcount of tracts in the comparison, the same for every ranking in itWeightsnone (full count)Populationtracts with a life expectancy estimate that are not institutional tracts, in the framePeriodlife expectancy for deaths in 2010 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceUSALEEP life expectancy tracts. The other is the mean adult household income rank of children raised in the tract by parents at the 25th income percentile, from the Opportunity Atlas, for children born in 1978 to 1983 in 75,66775,667 tractsEstimandcount of tracts in the comparison, the same for every ranking in itWeightsnone (full count)Populationtracts with an Opportunity Atlas rank for children from low-income families, in the framePeriodchildren born 1978 to 1983, household income measured in 2014 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceOpportunity Atlas tracts. Figure 7 shows the rank correlation of eight rankings with each outcome. Every ranking runs from least to most deprived, so every correlation is negative, and the figure plots absolute values. Comparisons below that rest on point estimates say so, and the others use intervals from paired draws of the same counties.

    For life expectancy the published ADI correlates 0.615 (95% CI 0.594 to 0.633)0.615 absolute rank correlation coefficientEstimandabsolute value of the population-weighted correlation between the percentile rank of the published ADI (higher means more deprived) and the percentile rank of life expectancy at birth, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.594 to 0.633n71,874 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with a life expectancy estimate that are not institutional tracts, in the framePeriodlife expectancy for deaths in 2010 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceUSALEEP life expectancy and the standardized replica 0.619 (95% CI 0.596 to 0.642)0.619 absolute rank correlation coefficientEstimandabsolute value of the population-weighted correlation between the percentile rank of the replica score in standard deviation units (higher means more deprived) and the percentile rank of life expectancy at birth, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.596 to 0.642n71,874 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with a life expectancy estimate that are not institutional tracts, in the framePeriodlife expectancy for deaths in 2010 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceUSALEEP life expectancy. The difference, 0.005 (95% CI −0.015 to 0.027)0.005 difference in absolute rank correlationEstimandabsolute correlation of the standardized replica with life expectancy at birth minus that of the published ADI, on the same tracts, interval from paired draws of a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI −0.015 to 0.027n71,874 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with a life expectancy estimate that are not institutional tracts, in the framePeriodlife expectancy for deaths in 2010 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceUSALEEP life expectancy, has an interval that includes zero, and so does the difference between family income alone, at 0.609 (95% CI 0.587 to 0.630)0.609 absolute rank correlation coefficientEstimandabsolute value of the population-weighted correlation between the percentile rank of negative median family income (higher means more deprived) and the percentile rank of life expectancy at birth, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.587 to 0.630n71,874 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with a life expectancy estimate that are not institutional tracts, in the framePeriodlife expectancy for deaths in 2010 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceUSALEEP life expectancy, and the ADI, −0.006 (95% CI −0.022 to 0.012)−0.006 difference in absolute rank correlationEstimandabsolute correlation of negative median family income with life expectancy at birth minus that of the published ADI, on the same tracts, interval from paired draws of a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI −0.022 to 0.012n71,874 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with a life expectancy estimate that are not institutional tracts, in the framePeriodlife expectancy for deaths in 2010 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceUSALEEP life expectancy. The standardized replica exceeds family income alone by 0.010 (95% CI 0.002 to 0.020)0.010 difference in absolute rank correlationEstimandabsolute correlation of the standardized replica score with life expectancy at birth minus that of negative median family income, on the same tracts, interval from paired draws of a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.002 to 0.020n71,874 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with a life expectancy estimate that are not institutional tracts, in the framePeriodlife expectancy for deaths in 2010 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceUSALEEP life expectancy, and the first principal component, which has the highest point estimate at 0.633 (95% CI 0.613 to 0.653)0.633 absolute rank correlation coefficientEstimandabsolute value of the population-weighted correlation between the percentile rank of the first principal component of the standardized measures (higher means more deprived) and the percentile rank of life expectancy at birth, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.613 to 0.653n71,874 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with a life expectancy estimate that are not institutional tracts, in the framePeriodlife expectancy for deaths in 2010 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceUSALEEP life expectancy, exceeds it by 0.025 (95% CI 0.019 to 0.031)0.025 difference in absolute rank correlationEstimandabsolute correlation of the first principal component of the standardized measures with life expectancy at birth minus that of negative median family income, on the same tracts, interval from paired draws of a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.019 to 0.031n71,874 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with a life expectancy estimate that are not institutional tracts, in the framePeriodlife expectancy for deaths in 2010 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceUSALEEP life expectancy. Both intervals exclude zero, by small margins. The raw-units replica is at 0.620 (95% CI 0.601 to 0.638)0.620 absolute rank correlation coefficientEstimandabsolute value of the population-weighted correlation between the percentile rank of the replica score in raw units (higher means more deprived) and the percentile rank of life expectancy at birth, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.601 to 0.638n71,874 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with a life expectancy estimate that are not institutional tracts, in the framePeriodlife expectancy for deaths in 2010 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceUSALEEP life expectancy, and the poverty rate alone has the lowest point estimate, 0.508 (95% CI 0.484 to 0.529)0.508 absolute rank correlation coefficientEstimandabsolute value of the population-weighted correlation between the percentile rank of the poverty rate (higher means more deprived) and the percentile rank of life expectancy at birth, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.484 to 0.529n71,874 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with a life expectancy estimate that are not institutional tracts, in the framePeriodlife expectancy for deaths in 2010 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceUSALEEP life expectancy.

    For upward mobility the order changes. The standardized replica correlates 0.582 (95% CI 0.560 to 0.603)0.582 absolute rank correlation coefficientEstimandabsolute value of the population-weighted correlation between the percentile rank of the replica score in standard deviation units (higher means more deprived) and the percentile rank of mean adult household income rank of children raised by parents at the 25th income percentile, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.560 to 0.603n75,667 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with an Opportunity Atlas rank for children from low-income families, in the framePeriodchildren born 1978 to 1983, household income measured in 2014 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceOpportunity Atlas and the published ADI 0.483 (95% CI 0.455 to 0.511)0.483 absolute rank correlation coefficientEstimandabsolute value of the population-weighted correlation between the percentile rank of the published ADI (higher means more deprived) and the percentile rank of mean adult household income rank of children raised by parents at the 25th income percentile, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.455 to 0.511n75,667 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with an Opportunity Atlas rank for children from low-income families, in the framePeriodchildren born 1978 to 1983, household income measured in 2014 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceOpportunity Atlas, a difference of 0.100 (95% CI 0.076 to 0.123)0.100 difference in absolute rank correlationEstimandabsolute correlation of the standardized replica with mean adult household income rank of children raised by parents at the 25th income percentile minus that of the published ADI, on the same tracts, interval from paired draws of a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.076 to 0.123n75,667 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with an Opportunity Atlas rank for children from low-income families, in the framePeriodchildren born 1978 to 1983, household income measured in 2014 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceOpportunity Atlas. The raw-units replica correlates 0.492 (95% CI 0.466 to 0.520)0.492 absolute rank correlation coefficientEstimandabsolute value of the population-weighted correlation between the percentile rank of the replica score in raw units (higher means more deprived) and the percentile rank of mean adult household income rank of children raised by parents at the 25th income percentile, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.466 to 0.520n75,667 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with an Opportunity Atlas rank for children from low-income families, in the framePeriodchildren born 1978 to 1983, household income measured in 2014 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceOpportunity Atlas and home value alone 0.443 (95% CI 0.415 to 0.473)0.443 absolute rank correlation coefficientEstimandabsolute value of the population-weighted correlation between the percentile rank of negative median home value (higher means more deprived) and the percentile rank of mean adult household income rank of children raised by parents at the 25th income percentile, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.415 to 0.473n75,667 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with an Opportunity Atlas rank for children from low-income families, in the framePeriodchildren born 1978 to 1983, household income measured in 2014 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceOpportunity Atlas. Family income alone, at 0.564 (95% CI 0.543 to 0.586)0.564 absolute rank correlation coefficientEstimandabsolute value of the population-weighted correlation between the percentile rank of negative median family income (higher means more deprived) and the percentile rank of mean adult household income rank of children raised by parents at the 25th income percentile, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.543 to 0.586n75,667 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with an Opportunity Atlas rank for children from low-income families, in the framePeriodchildren born 1978 to 1983, household income measured in 2014 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceOpportunity Atlas, correlates more strongly than the published ADI does, by 0.082 (95% CI 0.063 to 0.101)0.082 difference in absolute rank correlationEstimandabsolute correlation of negative median family income with the mean adult household income rank of children raised by parents at the 25th income percentile minus that of the published ADI, on the same tracts, interval from paired draws of a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.063 to 0.101n75,667 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with an Opportunity Atlas rank for children from low-income families, in the framePeriodchildren born 1978 to 1983, household income measured in 2014 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceOpportunity Atlas, and less strongly than the standardized replica, which exceeds it by 0.018 (95% CI 0.010 to 0.026)0.018 difference in absolute rank correlationEstimandabsolute correlation of the standardized replica score with mean adult household income rank of children raised by parents at the 25th income percentile minus that of negative median family income, on the same tracts, interval from paired draws of a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.010 to 0.026n75,667 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with an Opportunity Atlas rank for children from low-income families, in the framePeriodchildren born 1978 to 1983, household income measured in 2014 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceOpportunity Atlas, and than the first principal component, which exceeds it by 0.023 (95% CI 0.017 to 0.029)0.023 difference in absolute rank correlationEstimandabsolute correlation of the first principal component of the standardized measures with mean adult household income rank of children raised by parents at the 25th income percentile minus that of negative median family income, on the same tracts, interval from paired draws of a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.017 to 0.029n75,667 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with an Opportunity Atlas rank for children from low-income families, in the framePeriodchildren born 1978 to 1983, household income measured in 2014 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceOpportunity Atlas. The rankings that standardize therefore edge out family income alone for both outcomes, and the published ADI does not for either. The poverty rate alone, at 0.504 (95% CI 0.486 to 0.522)0.504 absolute rank correlation coefficientEstimandabsolute value of the population-weighted correlation between the percentile rank of the poverty rate (higher means more deprived) and the percentile rank of mean adult household income rank of children raised by parents at the 25th income percentile, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.486 to 0.522n75,667 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with an Opportunity Atlas rank for children from low-income families, in the framePeriodchildren born 1978 to 1983, household income measured in 2014 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceOpportunity Atlas, does not differ detectably from the ADI, by 0.021 (95% CI −0.002 to 0.044)0.021 difference in absolute rank correlationEstimandabsolute correlation of the poverty rate with the mean adult household income rank of children raised by parents at the 25th income percentile minus that of the published ADI, on the same tracts, interval from paired draws of a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI −0.002 to 0.044n75,667 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationtracts with an Opportunity Atlas rank for children from low-income families, in the framePeriodchildren born 1978 to 1983, household income measured in 2014 to 2015; rankings from ACS 2019 to 2023SourceOpportunity Atlas.

    Figure 7

    The published ADI tracks life expectancy about as closely as the standardized score does but upward mobility less closely, by 0.100 in correlation

    Absolute population-weighted rank correlation of eight rankings with tract life expectancy at birth and with the adult income rank of children from low-income families, 71,874 and 75,667 tracts

    • Life expectancy at birth
    • Upward mobility
    Show data
    Data for The published ADI tracks life expectancy about as closely as the standardized score does but upward mobility less closely, by 0.100 in correlation
    conf_highconf_lowestimatenoutcomeranking
    0.6530.6130.63371,874Life expectancy at birthFirst principal component
    0.6070.5660.58775,667Upward mobilityFirst principal component
    0.6380.6010.62071,874Life expectancy at birthReplica, raw units
    0.5200.4660.49275,667Upward mobilityReplica, raw units
    0.6420.5960.61971,874Life expectancy at birthReplica, standardized
    0.6030.5600.58275,667Upward mobilityReplica, standardized
    0.6330.5940.61571,874Life expectancy at birthPublished ADI
    0.5110.4550.48375,667Upward mobilityPublished ADI
    0.6300.5870.60971,874Life expectancy at birthFamily income
    0.5860.5430.56475,667Upward mobilityFamily income
    0.6050.5630.58471,874Life expectancy at birthHome value
    0.4730.4150.44375,667Upward mobilityHome value
    0.5530.4850.51871,874Life expectancy at birthSVI socioeconomic theme
    0.5710.5190.54575,667Upward mobilitySVI socioeconomic theme
    0.5290.4840.50871,874Life expectancy at birthPoverty rate
    0.5220.4860.50475,667Upward mobilityPoverty rate
    The dots for life expectancy bunch together across the composite rankings and family income. For upward mobility the published ADI, its raw replica and home value alone have the lowest point estimates, all below family income alone, and the poverty rate alone is not distinguishable from the published ADI. Each dot is the absolute value of the correlation between a ranking and an outcome across tracts, weighted by tract population, with a 95% interval from a bootstrap over counties; every ranking runs from least to most deprived, so both correlations are negative.Note: Both outcomes were modeled and neither was an input to any ranking. Each outcome uses the tracts that have it and every ranking, and institutional tracts are dropped from the life expectancy comparison. USALEEP covers deaths in 2010 to 2015 and its 2020-tract file is interpolated from 2010 tracts; the Opportunity Atlas covers children born in 1978 to 1983 and its 2020-tract file is interpolated from 2010 tracts.Note: Family income and home value enter as negative values so that a higher rank means more deprived. The SVI theme and the poverty rate are not Atlas products.Source: Neighborhood Atlas ADI 2023; ACS 2019-2023; CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022; NCHS USALEEP 2010-2015; Opportunity Atlas 1978-1983 birth cohorts; population-weighted (ACS tract population) rank correlations, modeled estimates

    What these data cannot show

    Every result describes tracts and rankings of tracts. A tract's rank says little about how deprived any one resident is, because the data are averages for places (ecological inferenceEcological inferenceDrawing conclusions about individuals from data about places or groups. A pattern across counties need not hold for the people inside them.), and a poor household in a tract with high home values takes the tract's rank.

    The replica is a tract-level rebuild of a block-group index. It omits two measures, substitutes for some, does not impute missing values and uses ACS tract estimates that carry sampling error the staged file does not report, which is largest in small tracts and for medians that rest on few homes. A tract with many students living off campus can show a high poverty rate that reflects student households. The close match to the published rank, +0.991 (95% CI 0.990 to 0.992)+0.991 rank correlation coefficientEstimandpopulation-weighted correlation of the percentile ranks of the published tract ADI and of the replica score in raw units, interval from a bootstrap over counties (Connecticut planning regions stand in for counties)Interval95% CI 0.990 to 0.992n75,717 tractsWeightsACS 2019-2023 tract populationPopulationresidents of the tracts in the frame (50 states and DC; a published ADI rank, a population and all rebuilt measures)PeriodACS 2019 to 2023 five-year estimates, ADI 2023 releaseSourceArea Deprivation IndexNoteCounting each tract once gives +0.992., shows that this formula reproduces the Atlas's ranks, and it does not show that the Atlas's code is the same. The frame leaves out tracts that lack a median, and the ADI ranks some of them. It also leaves out Puerto Rico, which the Atlas ranks with the states.

    The data cannot say which recipe is right. A ranking dominated by home value measures the cost of housing, a property of a market, and some uses of a deprivation index may want that. The correlations with life expectancy and mobility are one test, and the two outcomes disagree about the recipes. Both outcomes are older than the ACS measures, deaths in 2010 to 2015 and children born in 1978 to 1983, and both are modeled estimatesModeled estimateA figure produced by a statistical model instead of a direct count or measurement, usually for small areas where direct data are thin, borrowing strength from surveys, neighboring areas or other data. Neighboring areas can share errors, so single extremes call for caution. placed on 2020 tracts by interpolation from 2010 tracts. The SVI theme and the poverty rate are not Atlas products.

    A factor model describes the measures it is given. Other measures, such as violence, isolation or air quality, would give other factors, and the count of factors rests on a common cutoff. The chapter does not test the state ADI that Medicare now uses, and it says nothing about how payments change under any formula.


    Data sources

    • Area Deprivation IndexNeighborhood Atlas ADI, 2023 release (version 4.0.1), national percentile ranks of block groups averaged to 2020 tractsYears: 2023 release (version 4.0.1; built on ACS 2019-2023) · Weights: none (index); tract values are unweighted means of block-group ranks · License: Free for non-commercial use; cite the Neighborhood Atlas and Kind and Buckingham
    • American Community SurveyACS 2019-2023 five-year tract estimates: the staged tract file and a Census API pull of housing, occupation, income-distribution and schooling tablesYears: 2019-2023 (5-year) · Weights: ACS 2019-2023 tract population · License: Public domain (U.S. Census Bureau)
    • CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability IndexCDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022, tracts: the socioeconomic theme percentile and, for a sensitivity check, the shares of adults without a high school diploma and of households without internet (ACS 2018 to 2022)Years: 2022 release (ACS 2018-2022) · Weights: none (index); percentile ranks of tracts · License: Public domain (CDC/ATSDR)
    • USALEEP life expectancyNCHS small-area life expectancy at birth, deaths 2010 to 2015, 2020 tracts (interpolated), institutional tracts droppedYears: 2010-2015 · Weights: ACS 2019-2023 tract population · License: Public domain (NCHS, CDC)
    • Opportunity AtlasMean adult household income rank of children from low-income families, 1978 to 1983 birth cohorts, 2020 tracts (interpolated)Years: 1978-1983 birth cohorts (2018 release) · Weights: ACS 2019-2023 tract population · License: Public use (Opportunity Insights and the U.S. Census Bureau)

    All data sources

    Methods

    This chapter rebuilds the Neighborhood Atlas Area Deprivation Index from ACS 2019-2023 tract estimates and compares the replica with the published rank, with standardized rankings and with a principal component, across 75,717 census tracts of the 50 states and DC. Fifteen of the Atlas's 17 measures are rebuilt, with substitutions for some, so the replica approximates the Atlas and is not its own file; the Puerto Rico tracts are left out. Life expectancy (deaths in 2010 to 2015) and upward mobility (children born 1978 to 1983) describe earlier periods than the ACS measures, and the ACS file carries no margins of error, so the only intervals come from resampling whole counties.

    Which tracts are in the frame

    The frame is every 2020 census tract of the 50 states and DC with a published ADI rank (the Atlas's block-group ranks averaged over the tract's block groups without population weights), a population above zero in the ACS 2019-2023 tract file and all 15 rebuilt measures: 75,717 of the 84,415 tracts of the 50 states and DC in the staged ADI file (adi_atlas_tract2020_2023, the Atlas's 2023 release, version 4.0.1, whose staged documentation records ACS 2019 to 2023 as its source data).

    The 981 Puerto Rico tracts are left out: the SVI and USALEEP have none, and the Atlas ranks them together with the states, so percentiles of the replicas are among the tracts of the 50 states and DC.

    How the measures are rebuilt

    Fifteen of the Atlas's 17 measures are rebuilt from the staged ACS tract file (poverty, homeownership, unemployment and single-parent shares) and from a Census API pull of ACS tables (B25077, B25064, B25088, B19113, B19001, C17002, C24010, B25044, B25047, B25014 and B15003) archived under data/raw/acs/deprivation_components_2019_2023 with a manifest; b2.load has no loader for that pull, so the chapter registers the files with b2.load and reads them through load_staged.

    Substitutions: persons below the poverty line for families, management, business, science and arts occupations for white-collar work, owner costs of homes with a mortgage for the monthly mortgage, adults who stopped at 8th grade for adults with under 9 years of education, and an income disparity of ln(100 x (households under $10,000 + 0.5) / (households of $50,000 or more + 0.5)), with the 0.5 added so that tracts with no household under $10,000 keep a value.

    The two measures not rebuilt are adults with at least a high school diploma and households without internet. Both are proportions, and a sensitivity check adds them from the SVI 2022 file (ACS 2018 to 2022; the share without a diploma enters as one minus the share, with coefficient -0.0970, and the share without internet takes the telephone measure's coefficient, 0.0877, because the Atlas does not publish one for internet).

    Proportions enter as numbers between zero and one, the convention of Petterson's Table 1 (0.41 for a block group with 41 percent below 150 percent of the poverty line); entered as percentages, home value would carry 85.4 percent and family income 14.2 percent of the variance of the raw-units score.

    Figures explained here: Figure 1 and Figure 2

    Outcomes and comparison indexes

    Life expectancy is USALEEP for deaths in 2010 to 2015 on 2020 tracts (interpolated from 2010 tracts), institutional tracts dropped; mobility is the Opportunity Atlas rank of children of parents at the 25th income percentile (1978 to 1983 birth cohorts), interpolated to 2020 tracts.

    The SVI socioeconomic theme is the 2022 CDC/ATSDR percentile rank (theme 1).

    Figure explained here: Figure 7

    How scores, rankings and groups are formed

    Recipes: the replica score is the sum of Singh's factor score coefficients (Singh 2003, as printed in Petterson 2023, Table 1) times the measures in their own units; the standardized score uses the same coefficients on measures minus their population-weighted means over their population-weighted standard deviations; the principal component is the first eigenvector of the population-weighted correlation matrix.

    Rankings are percentiles among the tracts compared, and correlations of rankings are population-weighted Pearson correlations of those percentiles.

    Shares of the score's variance are cov(c_k x_k, S) / var(S) for the measures' terms c_k x_k and the score S, computed from the weighted covariance matrix, so each covariance between two terms is shared equally between them; the own-variance shares are var(sum of terms) / var(S) with no covariance with other terms allocated.

    Counties are grouped by the ACS 2019-2023 median home value of the county (the Census API county pull) into quartiles with equal numbers of residents of the frame. High-poverty tracts have a poverty rate of at least 30 percent, and the table of the largest gaps lists the 15 tracts with the lowest published-minus-standardized percentile among those with at least 1,000 residents.

    Figures explained here: Figure 3, Figure 4 and Figure 5

    Weights and uncertainty

    Weights are ACS 2019-2023 tract population.

    Intervals are 95% percentile intervals from 2,000 draws of whole counties with replacement (seed 12345; Connecticut's planning regions stand in for counties, 3,126 clusters in the frame), one set of draws for all statistics; differences of two correlations on the same tracts use paired draws.

    The ACS file carries no margins of error.

    Factor model and plotted sample

    The factor model is a maximum-likelihood fit to the population-weighted correlation matrix (statsmodels Factor; its EM start draws random loadings, seeded with 12345, and a second seed gives the same loadings to four decimals) with a varimax rotation; it and the eigenvalue shares describe the whole frame, and the eigenvalue shares also have bootstrap intervals.

    The scatter plot shows a random sample of 3,000 tracts drawn with the same seed; every statistic uses all tracts.

    Figure explained here: Figure 6

    References

    1. Hannan, Edward L.; Wu, Yifeng; Cozzens, Kimberly; Anderson, Brett (2023). The Neighborhood Atlas Area Deprivation Index For Measuring Socioeconomic Status: An Overemphasis On Home Value. Health Affairs 42(5): 702-709. doi:10.1377/hlthaff.2022.01406
    2. Petterson, Stephen (2023). Deciphering the Neighborhood Atlas Area Deprivation Index: the consequences of not standardizing. Health Affairs Scholar 1(5): qxad063. doi:10.1093/haschl/qxad063
    3. Singh, Gopal K. (2003). Area Deprivation and Widening Inequalities in US Mortality, 1969-1998. American Journal of Public Health 93(7): 1137-1143. doi:10.2105/AJPH.93.7.1137
    4. Kind, Amy J. H.; Buckingham, William R. (2018). Making Neighborhood-Disadvantage Metrics Accessible: The Neighborhood Atlas. New England Journal of Medicine 378(26): 2456-2458. doi:10.1056/NEJMp1802313
    5. University of Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health (2026). Neighborhood Atlas: Changes between versions of the ADI. Neighborhood Atlas web site, change log with entries dated 2019 to 2026. www.neighborhoodatlas.medicine.wisc.edu/changelog
    6. Flanagan, Barry E.; Gregory, Edward W.; Hallisey, Elaine J.; Heitgerd, Janet L.; Lewis, Brian (2011). A Social Vulnerability Index for Disaster Management. Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management 8(1): Article 3. doi:10.2202/1547-7355.1792
    7. Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (2024). CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index 2022 Documentation. CDC/ATSDR web document, October 2024. www.atsdr.cdc.gov/place-health/media/pdfs/2024/10/SVI2022Documentation.pdf
    8. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (2024). ACO REACH Model Performance Year 2024 Model Update: Health Equity Benchmark Adjustment. CMS Innovation Center web page. www.cms.gov/priorities/innovation/innovation-models/reach-py24-model-perf
    9. Kolak, Marynia; Bhatt, Jay; Park, Yoon Hong; Padrón, Norma A.; Molefe, Ayrin (2020). Quantification of Neighborhood-Level Social Determinants of Health in the Continental United States. JAMA Network Open 3(1): e1919928. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.19928

    How to cite

    @misc{singh2026anatomyofdeprivation,
      author = {Singh, Vishal},
      title = {The anatomy of a deprivation index},
      year = {2026},
      url = {https://vishalsingh.org/zipcode/anatomy-of-deprivation},
      note = {In ZIP Code Destiny. Published 9 October 2026.}
    }

    Same question at another grain

    These chapters take up the same axis with a different unit of analysis.

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