↖︎ Vishal Singh
A Data Almanac of American Voting

Voting Against the Grain

About four in ten partisans live in a county that votes the other way. Pick one of the four kinds of partisan and watch how — and where — they break from their party at the ballot box · CES 2008–2024

Author
AffiliationNYU Stern
Published
About four in ten partisans live in a county that votes the other way. Pick one of the four kinds of partisan and watch how — and where — they break from their party at the ballot box · CES 2008–2024
Choose a kind of partisan · share of all party identifiers
Blue county
voted Democratic
Red county
voted Republican
Democrats
Republicans
Showing

…

I

Crossing over at the top of the ticket

—
Presidential crossover rises as the county turns hostile
Crossover across the five presidential elections

II

The geography of crossing over

Crossover by state
III

Who crosses over: the diploma divide

The partisans who break from their county are not random. They are the educationally exposed wings of each party — and the pattern is a mirror image.
College degree, by kind of partisan

bar = % with a 4-year degree or more · the two local-minority kinds are mirror images of their aligned twins
How they differ from their aligned counterpart