{
  "alt": "Line chart of the predicted share of women with a teen birth by tenth of tract deprivation for all women and for white, Black, Hispanic and Asian women. Every line is higher at the most deprived tenth on the right than at the least deprived on the left. Black women's line is highest, then Hispanic women's, white women's and Asian women's.",
  "caption": "Every line ends higher at the most deprived tenth than it starts at the least deprived, and Black women's line sits above Hispanic women's, white women's and Asian women's at every tenth. Each line is the population-weighted mean for the tracts in which the Atlas estimates that group, with 95% intervals from a bootstrap over counties.",
  "data": [
    {
      "conf_high": 14.01,
      "conf_low": 11.85,
      "decile": 1,
      "estimate": 12.95,
      "n": 7103,
      "series": "All women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 19.34,
      "conf_low": 16.06,
      "decile": 2,
      "estimate": 17.73,
      "n": 7114,
      "series": "All women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 21.14,
      "conf_low": 18.97,
      "decile": 3,
      "estimate": 20.03,
      "n": 7106,
      "series": "All women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 23.01,
      "conf_low": 21.62,
      "decile": 4,
      "estimate": 22.31,
      "n": 7130,
      "series": "All women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 25.17,
      "conf_low": 23.94,
      "decile": 5,
      "estimate": 24.55,
      "n": 7123,
      "series": "All women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 27.15,
      "conf_low": 25.9,
      "decile": 6,
      "estimate": 26.54,
      "n": 7147,
      "series": "All women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 29.25,
      "conf_low": 28.03,
      "decile": 7,
      "estimate": 28.65,
      "n": 7144,
      "series": "All women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 31.26,
      "conf_low": 29.92,
      "decile": 8,
      "estimate": 30.57,
      "n": 7164,
      "series": "All women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 33.37,
      "conf_low": 32.12,
      "decile": 9,
      "estimate": 32.75,
      "n": 7046,
      "series": "All women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 39.27,
      "conf_low": 37.79,
      "decile": 10,
      "estimate": 38.54,
      "n": 7226,
      "series": "All women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 9.55,
      "conf_low": 7.69,
      "decile": 1,
      "estimate": 8.58,
      "n": 6277,
      "series": "White women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 13.73,
      "conf_low": 11.95,
      "decile": 2,
      "estimate": 12.9,
      "n": 6120,
      "series": "White women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 16.07,
      "conf_low": 14.69,
      "decile": 3,
      "estimate": 15.37,
      "n": 6456,
      "series": "White women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 18.76,
      "conf_low": 17.37,
      "decile": 4,
      "estimate": 18.05,
      "n": 6755,
      "series": "White women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 20.77,
      "conf_low": 19.49,
      "decile": 5,
      "estimate": 20.11,
      "n": 6806,
      "series": "White women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 22.46,
      "conf_low": 21.29,
      "decile": 6,
      "estimate": 21.88,
      "n": 6805,
      "series": "White women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 24.4,
      "conf_low": 23.41,
      "decile": 7,
      "estimate": 23.89,
      "n": 6756,
      "series": "White women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 26.14,
      "conf_low": 25.11,
      "decile": 8,
      "estimate": 25.61,
      "n": 6720,
      "series": "White women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 27.76,
      "conf_low": 26.86,
      "decile": 9,
      "estimate": 27.31,
      "n": 6554,
      "series": "White women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 30.83,
      "conf_low": 29.81,
      "decile": 10,
      "estimate": 30.32,
      "n": 5725,
      "series": "White women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 32.41,
      "conf_low": 29.79,
      "decile": 1,
      "estimate": 31.41,
      "n": 1110,
      "series": "Black women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 35.83,
      "conf_low": 30.7,
      "decile": 2,
      "estimate": 33.39,
      "n": 1951,
      "series": "Black women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 36.72,
      "conf_low": 33.53,
      "decile": 3,
      "estimate": 35.19,
      "n": 2076,
      "series": "Black women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 38.43,
      "conf_low": 36.06,
      "decile": 4,
      "estimate": 37.23,
      "n": 2214,
      "series": "Black women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 40.76,
      "conf_low": 38.98,
      "decile": 5,
      "estimate": 39.86,
      "n": 2533,
      "series": "Black women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 42.4,
      "conf_low": 40.31,
      "decile": 6,
      "estimate": 41.35,
      "n": 2630,
      "series": "Black women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 44.29,
      "conf_low": 42.37,
      "decile": 7,
      "estimate": 43.32,
      "n": 2736,
      "series": "Black women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 45.57,
      "conf_low": 44.07,
      "decile": 8,
      "estimate": 44.82,
      "n": 2747,
      "series": "Black women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 47.29,
      "conf_low": 46.16,
      "decile": 9,
      "estimate": 46.72,
      "n": 2927,
      "series": "Black women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 50.14,
      "conf_low": 48.95,
      "decile": 10,
      "estimate": 49.53,
      "n": 4292,
      "series": "Black women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 24.36,
      "conf_low": 20.8,
      "decile": 1,
      "estimate": 22.41,
      "n": 3548,
      "series": "Hispanic women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 26.47,
      "conf_low": 23.48,
      "decile": 2,
      "estimate": 25.25,
      "n": 3718,
      "series": "Hispanic women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 29.43,
      "conf_low": 26.6,
      "decile": 3,
      "estimate": 28.1,
      "n": 3338,
      "series": "Hispanic women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 32.17,
      "conf_low": 29.36,
      "decile": 4,
      "estimate": 30.75,
      "n": 3032,
      "series": "Hispanic women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 33.9,
      "conf_low": 31.2,
      "decile": 5,
      "estimate": 32.51,
      "n": 2710,
      "series": "Hispanic women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 35.45,
      "conf_low": 32.76,
      "decile": 6,
      "estimate": 34.12,
      "n": 2352,
      "series": "Hispanic women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 37.19,
      "conf_low": 34.82,
      "decile": 7,
      "estimate": 35.96,
      "n": 2089,
      "series": "Hispanic women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 39.2,
      "conf_low": 36.94,
      "decile": 8,
      "estimate": 38.06,
      "n": 1818,
      "series": "Hispanic women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 40.45,
      "conf_low": 38.59,
      "decile": 9,
      "estimate": 39.5,
      "n": 1553,
      "series": "Hispanic women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 43.69,
      "conf_low": 41.7,
      "decile": 10,
      "estimate": 42.69,
      "n": 1627,
      "series": "Hispanic women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 5.28,
      "conf_low": 3.65,
      "decile": 1,
      "estimate": 4.43,
      "n": 2509,
      "series": "Asian women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 7.15,
      "conf_low": 5.03,
      "decile": 2,
      "estimate": 5.99,
      "n": 1778,
      "series": "Asian women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 8.06,
      "conf_low": 5.73,
      "decile": 3,
      "estimate": 6.9,
      "n": 1087,
      "series": "Asian women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 10.08,
      "conf_low": 7.03,
      "decile": 4,
      "estimate": 8.46,
      "n": 761,
      "series": "Asian women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 14.26,
      "conf_low": 8.81,
      "decile": 5,
      "estimate": 11.4,
      "n": 533,
      "series": "Asian women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 15.51,
      "conf_low": 9.42,
      "decile": 6,
      "estimate": 12.18,
      "n": 393,
      "series": "Asian women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 17.45,
      "conf_low": 10.13,
      "decile": 7,
      "estimate": 12.99,
      "n": 273,
      "series": "Asian women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 19.74,
      "conf_low": 10.3,
      "decile": 8,
      "estimate": 13.95,
      "n": 174,
      "series": "Asian women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 25.62,
      "conf_low": 16.66,
      "decile": 9,
      "estimate": 20.67,
      "n": 122,
      "series": "Asian women"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 24.51,
      "conf_low": 15.73,
      "decile": 10,
      "estimate": 20.21,
      "n": 88,
      "series": "Asian women"
    }
  ],
  "id": "teen_birth_gradient_by_group",
  "notes": [
    "Each group has its own set of tracts, the tracts where the Atlas has enough women of that group, so the lines differ in part because the places differ. Tenths are tenths of all tracts with an ADI rank, so a tenth means the same part of the deprivation scale for every group. Few tracts with an Asian estimate fall in the most deprived tenths, and their intervals are wide.",
    "The Area Deprivation Index is built for census block groups from American Community Survey measures for 2019 to 2023, and a 2020 tract's value is the unweighted mean of its block groups' ranks. Each 2010 tract takes the land-area-weighted mean of the values of the 2020 tracts that overlap it, when those with a rank cover at least {fact:adi_cover} of its land area. Tenths hold near-equal numbers of tracts, with tied ranks kept together.",
    "Shares are the Atlas's predicted share of women with a teen birth, a child born when the mother was between the ages of {fact:age_low} and {fact:age_high} whom she claimed as a dependent, for women born in 1978 to 1983 whose parents were at the 25th income percentile. White, Black and Asian women are non-Hispanic and Hispanic women may be of any race. The Atlas adds noise to its estimates to protect privacy and the staged values are never clipped, so a few fall below 0 or above 100."
  ],
  "source": "Opportunity Atlas tract outcomes, 2010 tracts, 1978-1983 birth cohorts, and Area Deprivation Index, 2023 release (ACS 2019-2023); population-weighted (2010 tract population), modeled estimates",
  "spec": {
    "bandSeries": [
      "All women",
      "White women",
      "Black women",
      "Hispanic women",
      "Asian women"
    ],
    "colors": {
      "All women": "total",
      "Asian women": "asian",
      "Black women": "black",
      "Hispanic women": "hispanic",
      "White women": "white"
    },
    "dashed": [
      "All women"
    ],
    "hi": "conf_high",
    "lo": "conf_low",
    "n": "n",
    "series": "series",
    "x": "decile",
    "xDomain": [
      1,
      10
    ],
    "xLabel": "Tenth of tracts by ADI national rank (1 = least deprived, 10 = most deprived)",
    "xTicks": "data",
    "y": "estimate",
    "yDomain": [
      0,
      60
    ],
    "yLabel": "Predicted share of women with a teen birth (percent)"
  },
  "subtitle": "Predicted share of women with a teen birth (percent) by tenth of the Area Deprivation Index, tracts where each group is estimated, women born 1978 to 1983 whose parents were at the 25th income percentile (teen births in the 1990s and early 2000s, not a current rate)",
  "title": "Every group's predicted teen birth share is higher in the most deprived tenth of tracts than in the least deprived",
  "type": "line"
}