{
  "alt": "County map of the United States shaded by the predicted share of women with a teen birth. Counties toward the high end of the key are concentrated across the South, and a few gray counties have no estimate.",
  "caption": "Counties toward the high end of the key cluster in the South, and the {fact:n_cty_nodata} gray counties have no estimate. The map plots each county's Atlas estimate; the South region's pooled share is {fact:region_south} and the Northeast's is {fact:region_northeast}.",
  "data": [],
  "id": "teen_birth_county_map",
  "notes": [
    "Each gray county has the reason for its missing value in its tooltip. Puerto Rico has estimates in the Atlas but is not drawn.",
    "The county estimates are model-based and carry privacy noise, so single small counties are noisy. The Atlas lists Connecticut under its legacy counties, which are the eight drawn here, and Valdez-Cordova Census Area (split in 2019) is drawn as its two successors with the same value. Alaska is drawn.",
    "The estimates describe where women born in 1978 to 1983 grew up, not the counties today. Regional means are population-weighted over the counties of the states and the District of Columbia, with 95% intervals from a bootstrap over states.",
    "The key runs from about the 5th to the 95th percentile of county values, weighted by population, so {fact:n_key_saturated} of the {fact:n_cty_drawn} drawn counties lie outside it and take the color of its nearest end."
  ],
  "source": "Opportunity Atlas county outcomes, 1978-1983 birth cohorts; modeled estimates, regional means population-weighted (2010 census population)",
  "spec": {
    "fips": "fips",
    "legendLabel": "Predicted share of women with a teen birth (percent)",
    "payload": "teen_birth_county_map.json",
    "scale": {
      "domain": [
        16,
        42
      ],
      "ends": [
        "Lower predicted share",
        "Higher predicted share"
      ],
      "palette": "seq",
      "type": "sequential"
    },
    "value": "teen",
    "valueFormat": {
      "digits": 1
    }
  },
  "subtitle": "Predicted share of women with a teen birth, percent, by county of childhood, women born 1978 to 1983 whose parents were at the 25th income percentile (teen births in the 1990s and early 2000s, not a current rate), races pooled",
  "title": "Predicted teen birth shares are higher in the South than in any other region, {fact:region_south} against {fact:region_northeast} in the Northeast",
  "type": "county-map",
  "width": "full"
}