{
  "a18_d0": {
    "ci": [
      17.6,
      20.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "19.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are aged 18 to 29",
    "n": 2182,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, aged 18 to 29",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 19.2475,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "a18_d1": {
    "ci": [
      17.4,
      19.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "18.5%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are aged 18 to 29",
    "n": 9304,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, aged 18 to 29",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 18.4774,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "a18_r0": {
    "ci": [
      17.4,
      20.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "18.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are aged 18 to 29",
    "n": 2564,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, aged 18 to 29",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 18.9356,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "a18_r1": {
    "ci": [
      12,
      14.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "13.1%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are aged 18 to 29",
    "n": 6976,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, aged 18 to 29",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 13.1017,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "a65_d0": {
    "ci": [
      17.3,
      20.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "19.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are aged 65 and over",
    "n": 2182,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, aged 65 and over",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 18.9971,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "a65_d1": {
    "ci": [
      21.1,
      23.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "22.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are aged 65 and over",
    "n": 9304,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, aged 65 and over",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 22.3041,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "a65_r0": {
    "ci": [
      16.9,
      20
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "18.5%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are aged 65 and over",
    "n": 2564,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, aged 65 and over",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 18.4588,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "a65_r1": {
    "ci": [
      24,
      26.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "25.4%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are aged 65 and over",
    "n": 6976,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, aged 65 and over",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 25.3795,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "adj_d_24": {
    "ci": [
      53.4,
      57.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "55.1%",
    "estimand": "degree share of Democratic voters when voters take the CPS degree share and keep their ANES within-education Democratic shares; seeded bootstrap of ANES respondents",
    "n": 3903,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, ANES with the CPS education mix",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 55.0844,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z) (ANES); CPS share treated as known"
  },
  "adj_r_24": {
    "ci": [
      29.8,
      34.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "32.1%",
    "estimand": "degree share of Republican voters when voters take the CPS degree share and keep their ANES within-education Democratic shares; seeded bootstrap of ANES respondents",
    "n": 3903,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, ANES with the CPS education mix",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 32.1212,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z) (ANES); CPS share treated as known"
  },
  "age_hi": {
    "display": "29",
    "estimand": "highest age in the youngest band",
    "note": "",
    "period": "all years",
    "population": "definition of an age band",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "years of age",
    "value": 29,
    "weights": "none (definition)"
  },
  "age_lo": {
    "display": "18",
    "estimand": "lowest age in the youngest band",
    "note": "",
    "period": "all years",
    "population": "definition of an age band",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "years of age",
    "value": 18,
    "weights": "none (definition)"
  },
  "age_old": {
    "display": "65",
    "estimand": "lowest age in the oldest band",
    "note": "",
    "period": "all years",
    "population": "definition of an age band",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "years of age",
    "value": 65,
    "weights": "none (definition)"
  },
  "all_d0": {
    "ci": [
      44.5,
      47.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "45.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of all two-party voters",
    "n": 4770,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 45.9306,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "all_d1": {
    "ci": [
      53.1,
      55.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "54.1%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of all two-party voters",
    "n": 16784,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 54.1312,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "all_d_chg": {
    "ci": [
      6.4,
      10
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "8.2",
    "estimand": "later minus earlier Democratic share of all two-party voters; independent periods, standard errors combined",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 8.20058,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "blk_d0": {
    "ci": [
      18.3,
      21.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "20.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are Black non-Hispanic",
    "n": 2179,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, Black non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 20.0165,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "blk_d1": {
    "ci": [
      18.7,
      21
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "19.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are Black non-Hispanic",
    "n": 9493,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, Black non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 19.8825,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "ces_deg_d08": {
    "ci": [
      30.2,
      32.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "31.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 11519,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2008",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, with a four-year degree",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 31.2472,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "ces_deg_d24": {
    "ci": [
      46.9,
      49
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "47.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 23517,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, with a four-year degree",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 47.9241,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "ces_lean_d": {
    "ci": [
      2.5,
      4.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+3.5",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the degree-holding share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 65593,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2008 to 2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, degree holders",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 3.52702,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "ces_lean_r": {
    "ci": [
      -4,
      -1.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−3.0",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the degree-holding share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 65593,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2008 to 2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, degree holders",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": -3.02399,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "ces_size_d": {
    "ci": [
      12,
      14.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+13.1",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the degree-holding share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 65593,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2008 to 2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, degree holders",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 13.1498,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "ces_size_r": {
    "ci": [
      9.8,
      11.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+10.8",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the degree-holding share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 65593,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2008 to 2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, degree holders",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 10.8087,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "chk_anes_24": {
    "ci": [
      37.7,
      42.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "39.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 3903,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters, with a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 39.9157,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "chk_b_anes": {
    "ci": [
      9.8,
      12.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "11.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of voters in the group",
    "n": 3897,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Black non-Hispanic voters among two-party voters",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of voters",
    "value": 11.2267,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "chk_b_ces": {
    "ci": [
      8.9,
      9.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "9.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of voters in the group",
    "n": 42008,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Black voters among two-party voters",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of voters",
    "value": 9.30369,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "chk_b_cps": {
    "ci": [
      11.1,
      11.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "11.5%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of voters in the group",
    "n": 48387,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Black non-Hispanic voters among all voters",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percent of voters",
    "value": 11.4715,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "chk_ces_24": {
    "ci": [
      41.1,
      42.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "41.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 42008,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters, with a four-year degree",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 41.8047,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "chk_cps_24": {
    "ci": [
      44.4,
      45.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "44.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 48387,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "voters, citizens aged 18 or older, with a four-year degree",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percent of voters",
    "value": 44.8886,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "chk_dv_anes": {
    "ci": [
      65.4,
      71.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "68.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 2007,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "ANES two-party voters with a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 68.2279,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "chk_dv_ces": {
    "ci": [
      55.1,
      57.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "56.1%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 16994,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "CES two-party voters with a four-year degree",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 56.1264,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "chk_nv_anes": {
    "ci": [
      42.2,
      48.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "45.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 1896,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "ANES two-party voters without a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 45.3133,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "chk_nv_ces": {
    "ci": [
      42.8,
      44.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "43.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 25014,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "CES two-party voters without a four-year degree",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 43.8115,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "chk_r_anes_08": {
    "ci": [
      31.6,
      41.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "36.4%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 513,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2008",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, with a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 36.3521,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "chk_r_anes_24": {
    "ci": [
      24.8,
      30.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "27.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 1725,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, with a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 27.848,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "chk_r_anes_chg": {
    "ci": [
      -14.2,
      -2.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−8.5",
    "estimand": "2024 minus 2008 share; independent elections, standard errors combined",
    "n": 2238,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2008 to 2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, with a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": -8.50412,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "chk_r_ces_08": {
    "ci": [
      27.2,
      29.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "28.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 12066,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2008",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, with a four-year degree",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 28.1501,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "chk_r_ces_24": {
    "ci": [
      34.9,
      37
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "35.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 18491,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, with a four-year degree",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 35.9348,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "chk_r_ces_chg": {
    "ci": [
      6.4,
      9.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+7.8",
    "estimand": "2024 minus 2008 share; independent elections, standard errors combined",
    "n": 30557,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2008 to 2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, with a four-year degree",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 7.78472,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "chk_w_anes": {
    "ci": [
      65.2,
      69.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "67.4%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of voters in the group",
    "n": 3897,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "white non-Hispanic voters among two-party voters",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of voters",
    "value": 67.3526,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "chk_w_ces": {
    "ci": [
      71.6,
      73
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "72.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of voters in the group",
    "n": 42008,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "white voters among two-party voters",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of voters",
    "value": 72.2985,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "chk_w_cps": {
    "ci": [
      70.1,
      71.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "70.6%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of voters in the group",
    "n": 48387,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "white non-Hispanic voters among all voters",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percent of voters",
    "value": 70.5856,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cps_cf_24": {
    "ci": [
      45.5,
      46.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "46.1%",
    "estimand": "degree-holding share of 2024 voters if degree holders and other adults had kept their 1996 turnout rates; seeded bootstrap within year",
    "n": 156680,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "voters among citizens aged 18 or older, 2024 with 1996 turnout rates by education",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percent of voters",
    "value": 46.1124,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cps_df_deg_24": {
    "ci": [
      7.5,
      8.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "7.8",
    "estimand": "voters' degree-holding share minus eligible adults' share; Taylor linearization",
    "n": 72590,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "citizens aged 18 or older with a turnout answer",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 7.82094,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cps_el_deg_24": {
    "ci": [
      36.7,
      37.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "37.1%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of eligible adults with a four-year degree",
    "n": 72590,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "citizens aged 18 or older with a turnout answer",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percent of eligible adults",
    "value": 37.0677,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cps_el_deg_96": {
    "ci": [
      22,
      22.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "22.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of eligible adults with a four-year degree",
    "n": 84090,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1996",
    "population": "citizens aged 18 or older with a turnout answer",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percent of eligible adults",
    "value": 22.2794,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cps_size_term": {
    "ci": [
      16.1,
      17.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+16.7",
    "estimand": "counterfactual share minus the 1996 share: the part of the rise from the growth of the group among eligible adults; seeded bootstrap within year",
    "n": 156680,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1996 to 2024",
    "population": "voters among citizens aged 18 or older",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 16.7109,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cps_turn_term": {
    "ci": [
      -1.6,
      -0.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−1.2",
    "estimand": "actual 2024 share minus the counterfactual share: the part of the rise from the change in relative turnout; seeded bootstrap within year",
    "n": 156680,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1996 to 2024",
    "population": "voters among citizens aged 18 or older",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": -1.22376,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cps_vo_chg": {
    "ci": [
      14.8,
      16.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "15.5",
    "estimand": "2024 minus 1996 degree-holding share of voters; seeded bootstrap within year",
    "n": 156680,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1996 to 2024",
    "population": "voters among citizens aged 18 or older",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 15.4872,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cps_vo_deg_24": {
    "ci": [
      44.4,
      45.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "44.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of voters with a four-year degree",
    "n": 48387,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "voters among citizens aged 18 or older",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percent of voters",
    "value": 44.8886,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cps_vo_deg_96": {
    "ci": [
      29,
      29.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "29.4%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of voters with a four-year degree",
    "n": 50025,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1996",
    "population": "voters among citizens aged 18 or older",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percent of voters",
    "value": 29.4015,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cps_w_0": {
    "ci": [
      52.9,
      53.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "53.1%",
    "estimand": "mean over elections of the weighted share of voters who are women",
    "n": 254747,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988",
    "population": "voters among adults aged 18 or older with a turnout answer (all residents before 1994, citizens after)",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percent of voters",
    "value": 53.1273,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cps_w_1": {
    "ci": [
      53.1,
      53.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "53.3%",
    "estimand": "mean over elections of the weighted share of voters who are women",
    "n": 221687,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024",
    "population": "voters among adults aged 18 or older with a turnout answer (all residents before 1994, citizens after)",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percent of voters",
    "value": 53.3203,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cpsw_el_chg": {
    "ci": [
      16.8,
      17.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "17.0",
    "estimand": "later minus earlier degree-holding share of adults; mean of the election estimates",
    "n": 754088,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "adults aged 18 or older with a turnout answer (all residents before 1994, citizens after)",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 16.98,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cpsw_old_0": {
    "ci": [
      15.7,
      16
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "15.9%",
    "estimand": "mean over elections of the weighted share of adults aged 65 or older",
    "n": 411495,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988",
    "population": "adults aged 18 or older with a turnout answer (all residents before 1994, citizens after)",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percent of adults",
    "value": 15.8614,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cpsw_old_1": {
    "ci": [
      21.8,
      22.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "21.9%",
    "estimand": "mean over elections of the weighted share of adults aged 65 or older",
    "n": 342593,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024",
    "population": "adults aged 18 or older with a turnout answer (all residents before 1994, citizens after)",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percent of adults",
    "value": 21.925,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "cpsw_vo_chg": {
    "ci": [
      18.6,
      19.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "18.9",
    "estimand": "later minus earlier degree-holding share of voters; mean of the election estimates",
    "n": 476434,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "voters among adults aged 18 or older with a turnout answer (all residents before 1994, citizens after)",
    "source": "cps",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 18.905,
    "weights": "VOSUPPWT"
  },
  "deg_all0": {
    "ci": [
      44.4,
      47.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "45.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of two-party voters with a known degree status",
    "n": 4736,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 45.8738,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_all1": {
    "ci": [
      53.1,
      55.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "54.1%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of two-party voters with a known degree status",
    "n": 16605,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 54.1456,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_d0": {
    "ci": [
      17.5,
      20.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "19.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are holders of a four-year degree",
    "n": 2173,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, holders of a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 19.1784,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_d1": {
    "ci": [
      42,
      44.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "43.4%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are holders of a four-year degree",
    "n": 9449,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, holders of a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 43.4174,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_d24_anes": {
    "ci": [
      47,
      53
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "50.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters in the group",
    "n": 2178,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Democratic voters with a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 50.0068,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "deg_dchg": {
    "ci": [
      22,
      26.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "24.2",
    "estimand": "later minus earlier share of Democratic voters; independent periods, standard errors combined",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, holders of a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 24.239,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_lean_d": {
    "ci": [
      7.1,
      10.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+8.8",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the group's share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, degree holders",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 8.75661,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_lean_r": {
    "ci": [
      -10.6,
      -7.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−8.9",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the group's share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, degree holders",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": -8.88512,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_r0": {
    "ci": [
      23.5,
      26.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "25.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are holders of a four-year degree",
    "n": 2563,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, holders of a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 25.1742,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_r1": {
    "ci": [
      29.9,
      32.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "31.4%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are holders of a four-year degree",
    "n": 7156,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, holders of a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 31.3835,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_r24_anes": {
    "ci": [
      24.8,
      30.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "27.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters in the group",
    "n": 1725,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Republican voters with a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 27.848,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "deg_rchg": {
    "ci": [
      4,
      8.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "6.2",
    "estimand": "later minus earlier share of Republican voters; independent periods, standard errors combined",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, holders of a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 6.20929,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_s0": {
    "ci": [
      21.2,
      23.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "22.4%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of all two-party voters who are holders of a four-year degree",
    "n": 4736,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters, holders of a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 22.4237,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_s1": {
    "ci": [
      36.9,
      38.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "37.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of all two-party voters who are holders of a four-year degree",
    "n": 16605,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters, holders of a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 37.8993,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_size_d": {
    "ci": [
      14,
      17.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+15.5",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the group's share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, degree holders",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 15.4824,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_size_r": {
    "ci": [
      13.6,
      16.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+15.1",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the group's share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, degree holders",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 15.0944,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_v0": {
    "ci": [
      36.2,
      42.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "39.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 1063,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters who are holders of a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 39.2346,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "deg_v1": {
    "ci": [
      60.6,
      63.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "62.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 7626,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters who are holders of a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 62.0292,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "den_black_c": {
    "ci": [
      14.8,
      16.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "15.6%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of Democratic two-party voters who are in the group",
    "n": 23517,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "black, among Democratic two-party presidential voters",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 15.5656,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "den_black_s": {
    "ci": [
      8.9,
      9.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "9.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of all two-party voters who are in the group",
    "n": 42008,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "black, among two-party presidential voters",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 9.30369,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "den_black_v": {
    "ci": [
      79.8,
      84
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "81.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 3753,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "black two-party presidential voters",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 81.9125,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "den_white_c": {
    "ci": [
      63.3,
      65.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "64.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of Democratic two-party voters who are in the group",
    "n": 23517,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "white, among Democratic two-party presidential voters",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 64.2864,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "den_white_s": {
    "ci": [
      71.6,
      73
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "72.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of all two-party voters who are in the group",
    "n": 42008,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "white, among two-party presidential voters",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 72.2985,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "den_white_v": {
    "ci": [
      42.7,
      44.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "43.5%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 31857,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "white two-party presidential voters",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 43.534,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "gv_age_0": {
    "ci": [
      43,
      49.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "46.4%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 881,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters in the group 18 to 29",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 46.3799,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "gv_age_1": {
    "ci": [
      59.5,
      65.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "62.7%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 1673,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters in the group 18 to 29",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 62.6883,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "gv_blk_0": {
    "ci": [
      90.4,
      95.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "92.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 458,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters in the group Black non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 92.8118,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "gv_blk_1": {
    "ci": [
      92,
      95.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "93.7%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 1860,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters in the group Black non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 93.6973,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "gv_deg_0": {
    "ci": [
      36.2,
      42.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "39.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 1063,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters in the group Four-year degree or more",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 39.2346,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "gv_deg_1": {
    "ci": [
      60.6,
      63.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "62.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 7626,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters in the group Four-year degree or more",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 62.0292,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "gv_deg_chg": {
    "ci": [
      19.5,
      26.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "22.8",
    "estimand": "later minus earlier Democratic share of degree holders; independent periods, standard errors combined",
    "n": 8689,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters with a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 22.7945,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "gv_inc_0": {
    "ci": [
      34.3,
      39
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "36.7%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 1720,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters in the group Highest third",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 36.659,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "gv_inc_1": {
    "ci": [
      52.3,
      55.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "54.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 5761,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters in the group Highest third",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 54.0035,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "gv_low_0": {
    "ci": [
      55.3,
      61.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "58.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 1138,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters in the group Lowest third",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 58.2597,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "gv_low_1": {
    "ci": [
      56.4,
      60.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "58.5%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 4766,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters in the group Lowest third",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 58.4694,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "inc_d0": {
    "ci": [
      28.8,
      32.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "30.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are in the highest third of the income distribution",
    "n": 2011,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, in the highest third of the income distribution",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 30.8585,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "inc_d1": {
    "ci": [
      41.1,
      44
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "42.6%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are in the highest third of the income distribution",
    "n": 9236,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, in the highest third of the income distribution",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 42.5521,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "inc_lean_d": {
    "ci": [
      6,
      9.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+7.8",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the group's share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, the highest income third",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 7.82812,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "inc_lean_r": {
    "ci": [
      -8.2,
      -4.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−6.5",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the group's share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, the highest income third",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": -6.51118,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "inc_r0": {
    "ci": [
      43,
      47.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "45.1%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are in the highest third of the income distribution",
    "n": 2376,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, in the highest third of the income distribution",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 45.0718,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "inc_r1": {
    "ci": [
      41.7,
      44.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "43.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are in the highest third of the income distribution",
    "n": 6908,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, in the highest third of the income distribution",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 43.2562,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "inc_s0": {
    "ci": [
      37.1,
      40
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "38.6%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of all two-party voters who are in the highest third of the income distribution",
    "n": 4387,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters, in the highest third of the income distribution",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 38.5608,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "inc_s1": {
    "ci": [
      41.8,
      43.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "42.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of all two-party voters who are in the highest third of the income distribution",
    "n": 16144,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters, in the highest third of the income distribution",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 42.8731,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "inc_size_d": {
    "ci": [
      2.3,
      5.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+3.9",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the group's share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, the highest income third",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 3.86548,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "inc_size_r": {
    "ci": [
      2.7,
      6.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+4.7",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the group's share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, the highest income third",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 4.69563,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "lad_di_deg": {
    "ci": [
      40.5,
      46.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "43.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 2619,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "ANES 2024 respondents: Democratic identifiers, leaners included",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the population in the row",
    "value": 43.2932,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z) for all respondents and party identifiers; weight_postelection for voters and nonvoters"
  },
  "lad_dv_deg": {
    "ci": [
      47,
      53
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "50.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 2178,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "ANES 2024 respondents: Democratic voters",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the population in the row",
    "value": 50.0068,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z) for all respondents and party identifiers; weight_postelection for voters and nonvoters"
  },
  "lad_ind_deg": {
    "ci": [
      12.5,
      23.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "18.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 378,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "ANES 2024 respondents: independents who lean toward neither party",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the population in the row",
    "value": 18.2271,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z) for all respondents and party identifiers; weight_postelection for voters and nonvoters"
  },
  "lad_nv_deg": {
    "ci": [
      12.3,
      19.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "15.7%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 829,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "ANES 2024 respondents: nonvoters (self-reported)",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the population in the row",
    "value": 15.7433,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z) for all respondents and party identifiers; weight_postelection for voters and nonvoters"
  },
  "lad_ri_deg": {
    "ci": [
      24.7,
      29.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "27.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 2436,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "ANES 2024 respondents: Republican identifiers, leaners included",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the population in the row",
    "value": 27.2398,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z) for all respondents and party identifiers; weight_postelection for voters and nonvoters"
  },
  "lad_rv_deg": {
    "ci": [
      24.8,
      30.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "27.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree",
    "n": 1725,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "ANES 2024 respondents: Republican voters",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the population in the row",
    "value": 27.848,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z) for all respondents and party identifiers; weight_postelection for voters and nonvoters"
  },
  "mode_d_ftf": {
    "ci": [
      47.8,
      61.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "54.7%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree, mode-specific weight",
    "n": 387,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party voters interviewed face to face",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 54.7305,
    "weights": "weight_ftf or weight_web (VCF0009 mode weights)"
  },
  "mode_d_web": {
    "ci": [
      46.2,
      55.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "51.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree, mode-specific weight",
    "n": 786,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party voters interviewed on the web",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 51.033,
    "weights": "weight_ftf or weight_web (VCF0009 mode weights)"
  },
  "mode_rf_12": {
    "ci": [
      32.2,
      43.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "37.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree, mode-specific weight",
    "n": 412,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012",
    "population": "Republican two-party voters interviewed face to face",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 37.9021,
    "weights": "weight_ftf or weight_web (VCF0009 mode weights)"
  },
  "mode_rf_24": {
    "ci": [
      18.2,
      31.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "25.1%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree, mode-specific weight",
    "n": 301,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party voters interviewed face to face",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 25.0521,
    "weights": "weight_ftf or weight_web (VCF0009 mode weights)"
  },
  "mode_rf_chg": {
    "ci": [
      -21.8,
      -3.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−12.8",
    "estimand": "2024 minus 2012 degree-holding share; independent elections, standard errors combined",
    "n": 713,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party voters interviewed face to face",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": -12.85,
    "weights": "weight_ftf or weight_web (VCF0009 mode weights)"
  },
  "mode_rw_12": {
    "ci": [
      28.6,
      35.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "31.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree, mode-specific weight",
    "n": 1263,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012",
    "population": "Republican two-party voters interviewed on the web",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 31.8684,
    "weights": "weight_ftf or weight_web (VCF0009 mode weights)"
  },
  "mode_rw_24": {
    "ci": [
      25.9,
      35.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "30.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted share with a four-year degree, mode-specific weight",
    "n": 571,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party voters interviewed on the web",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 30.8031,
    "weights": "weight_ftf or weight_web (VCF0009 mode weights)"
  },
  "mode_rw_chg": {
    "ci": [
      -7,
      4.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−1.1",
    "estimand": "2024 minus 2012 degree-holding share; independent elections, standard errors combined",
    "n": 1834,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party voters interviewed on the web",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": -1.06532,
    "weights": "weight_ftf or weight_web (VCF0009 mode weights)"
  },
  "n_anes_voters": {
    "display": "34,423",
    "estimand": "count of respondents with a positive vote weight",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1952 to 2024",
    "population": "ANES respondents who reported a Democratic or Republican presidential vote",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "respondents",
    "value": 34423,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_anes_years": {
    "display": "19",
    "estimand": "count of elections",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1952 to 2024",
    "population": "ANES presidential elections 1952 to 2024",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "elections",
    "value": 19,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_ces_voters": {
    "display": "188,145",
    "estimand": "count of respondents with a positive weight",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2008, 2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024",
    "population": "CES respondents who reported a Democratic or Republican presidential vote",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "respondents",
    "value": 188145,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "nat_anes_24": {
    "ci": [
      52.3,
      56.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "54.5%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of two-party voters",
    "n": 3933,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters (ANES)",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the two-party vote",
    "value": 54.5052,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "nat_cert_24": {
    "display": "49.2%",
    "estimand": "certified Democratic share of the two-party vote",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "all votes cast for the two major-party candidates",
    "source": "state-returns",
    "unit": "percent of the two-party vote",
    "value": 49.2499,
    "weights": "none (full counts)"
  },
  "nat_cert_chg": {
    "display": "5.4",
    "estimand": "mean certified Democratic share of the two-party vote in 2012 to 2024 minus the mean in 1976 to 1988",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "all votes cast for the two major-party candidates",
    "source": "state-returns",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 5.41659,
    "weights": "none (full counts)"
  },
  "nat_ces_24": {
    "ci": [
      48.2,
      49.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "49.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of two-party voters",
    "n": 42008,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters (CES)",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of the two-party vote",
    "value": 48.9597,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "nat_lean_chg": {
    "ci": [
      1,
      4.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "2.8",
    "estimand": "change between the two sets of elections in the mean ANES-minus-certified gap; election errors combined",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "ANES minus certified count, later mean minus earlier mean",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 2.78399,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "nat_lean_early": {
    "ci": [
      -1.3,
      1.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+0.2",
    "estimand": "mean over elections of the ANES Democratic share of the two-party vote minus the certified share; election errors combined",
    "n": 4770,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988",
    "population": "ANES minus certified count, mean over the elections",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 0.174585,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "nat_lean_late": {
    "ci": [
      1.9,
      4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+3.0",
    "estimand": "mean over elections of the ANES Democratic share of the two-party vote minus the certified share; election errors combined",
    "n": 16784,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "ANES minus certified count, mean over the elections",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 2.95858,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "nod_v0": {
    "ci": [
      46.1,
      49.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "47.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 3673,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters who are without a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 47.7928,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "nod_v1": {
    "ci": [
      47.9,
      50.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "49.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 8979,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters who are without a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 49.3344,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "none_d12": {
    "ci": [
      34.7,
      36.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "35.7%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters with no religion",
    "n": 19015,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters with no religion",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 35.7293,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "none_d24": {
    "ci": [
      43.9,
      46
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "45.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters with no religion",
    "n": 23506,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters with no religion",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 44.9801,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "none_r12": {
    "ci": [
      13.7,
      15.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "14.5%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters with no religion",
    "n": 18727,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters with no religion",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 14.4553,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "none_r24": {
    "ci": [
      16.8,
      18.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "17.7%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters with no religion",
    "n": 18485,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters with no religion",
    "source": "ces",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 17.6813,
    "weights": "weight_cumulative"
  },
  "oth_d0": {
    "ci": [
      6.2,
      8.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "7.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are Hispanic or another race",
    "n": 2179,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, Hispanic or another race",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 7.31172,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "oth_d1": {
    "ci": [
      20.9,
      23.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "22.1%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are Hispanic or another race",
    "n": 9493,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, Hispanic or another race",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 22.1375,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "oth_r0": {
    "ci": [
      3.1,
      4.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "3.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are Hispanic or another race",
    "n": 2570,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, Hispanic or another race",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 3.86663,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "oth_r1": {
    "ci": [
      11.5,
      13.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "12.5%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are Hispanic or another race",
    "n": 7190,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, Hispanic or another race",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 12.4955,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "pro_d0": {
    "ci": [
      57.4,
      61.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "59.5%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are Protestant",
    "n": 2186,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, Protestant",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 59.4904,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "pro_d1": {
    "ci": [
      34.5,
      37.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "36.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are Protestant",
    "n": 7349,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2020 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, Protestant",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 36.0356,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "pro_r0": {
    "ci": [
      67,
      70.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "68.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are Protestant",
    "n": 2569,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, Protestant",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 68.8338,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "pro_r1": {
    "ci": [
      50.5,
      54
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "52.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are Protestant",
    "n": 5497,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2020 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, Protestant",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 52.2916,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "tr_deg_d24": {
    "ci": [
      47,
      53
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "50.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters in the group",
    "n": 2178,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Democratic voters with a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 50.0068,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "tr_deg_d76": {
    "ci": [
      11.1,
      16.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "13.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters in the group",
    "n": 669,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976",
    "population": "Democratic voters with a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 13.7538,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "tr_deg_r24": {
    "ci": [
      24.8,
      30.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "27.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters in the group",
    "n": 1725,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Republican voters with a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 27.848,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "tr_deg_r76": {
    "ci": [
      20.9,
      27.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "24.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters in the group",
    "n": 650,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976",
    "population": "Republican voters with a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 24.2443,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "tr_inc_d24": {
    "ci": [
      46.5,
      52.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "49.7%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters in the group",
    "n": 2026,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Democratic voters in the highest income third",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 49.6778,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "tr_inc_d76": {
    "ci": [
      29.8,
      37.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "33.5%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters in the group",
    "n": 626,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976",
    "population": "Democratic voters in the highest income third",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 33.5476,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "tr_inc_r24": {
    "ci": [
      36.4,
      43.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "39.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters in the group",
    "n": 1554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Republican voters in the highest income third",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 39.8585,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "tr_inc_r76": {
    "ci": [
      45.3,
      53.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "49.4%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters in the group",
    "n": 615,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976",
    "population": "Republican voters in the highest income third",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 49.3679,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "ts_none_d": {
    "ci": [
      31.1,
      37.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "34.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters with no religion (ANES 2024 Time Series summary religion code 9)",
    "n": 2004,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters who say they are not religious",
    "source": "anes2024",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 34.1634,
    "weights": "w_post (V240107b)"
  },
  "vs_all_comp": {
    "ci": [
      2.1,
      3.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+2.9",
    "estimand": "change in the Democratic share from the change in the mix of voters across sex, race and age cells; seeded bootstrap",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "all two-party voters",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 2.91607,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "vs_all_within": {
    "ci": [
      3.6,
      6.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+5.3",
    "estimand": "change in the Democratic share from the change inside sex, race and age cells; seeded bootstrap",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "all two-party voters",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 5.28451,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "vs_deg_comp": {
    "ci": [
      -0.1,
      2.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+1.1",
    "estimand": "change in the Democratic share from the change in the mix of voters across sex, race and age cells; seeded bootstrap",
    "n": 8689,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "two-party voters with a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 1.12856,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "vs_deg_within": {
    "ci": [
      18,
      24.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+21.7",
    "estimand": "change in the Democratic share from the change inside sex, race and age cells; seeded bootstrap",
    "n": 8689,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "two-party voters with a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 21.6659,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "vs_nod_comp": {
    "ci": [
      3.5,
      5.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+4.7",
    "estimand": "change in the Democratic share from the change in the mix of voters across sex, race and age cells; seeded bootstrap",
    "n": 12652,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "two-party voters without a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 4.69923,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "vs_nod_within": {
    "ci": [
      -5.4,
      -1.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−3.2",
    "estimand": "change in the Democratic share from the change inside sex, race and age cells; seeded bootstrap",
    "n": 12652,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "two-party voters without a four-year degree",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": -3.1576,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wh_d0": {
    "ci": [
      70.8,
      74.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "72.7%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are white non-Hispanic",
    "n": 2179,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, white non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 72.6718,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wh_d1": {
    "ci": [
      56.6,
      59.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "58.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are white non-Hispanic",
    "n": 9493,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, white non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 57.98,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wh_dchg": {
    "ci": [
      12.3,
      17.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "14.7",
    "estimand": "earlier minus later share of Democratic voters; independent periods, standard errors combined",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, white non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 14.6918,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wh_lean_d": {
    "ci": [
      -4.6,
      -1.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−3.1",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the group's share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, white non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": -3.05579,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wh_lean_r": {
    "ci": [
      5.7,
      8.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+7.3",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the group's share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, white non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 7.29313,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wh_r0": {
    "ci": [
      93.9,
      95.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "94.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are white non-Hispanic",
    "n": 2570,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, white non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 94.8193,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wh_r1": {
    "ci": [
      84.8,
      87
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "85.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are white non-Hispanic",
    "n": 7190,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, white non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 85.9235,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wh_s0": {
    "ci": [
      83.6,
      85.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "84.7%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of all two-party voters who are white non-Hispanic",
    "n": 4749,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters, white non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 84.6587,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wh_s1": {
    "ci": [
      69.8,
      71.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "70.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of all two-party voters who are white non-Hispanic",
    "n": 16683,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters, white non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 70.7857,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wh_size_d": {
    "ci": [
      -12.8,
      -10.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−11.6",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the group's share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, white non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": -11.636,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wh_size_r": {
    "ci": [
      -17.8,
      -14.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−16.2",
    "estimand": "group-size or relative-lean term of the change in the group's share of the party's voters; seeded bootstrap within elections",
    "n": 21554,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976 to 1988 to 2012 to 2024",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, white non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": -16.1889,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wh_v0": {
    "ci": [
      37.8,
      40.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "39.4%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 4030,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters who are white non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 39.3812,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wh_v1": {
    "ci": [
      43.2,
      45.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "44.4%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 12097,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters who are white non-Hispanic",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 44.3726,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wom_d0": {
    "ci": [
      56.5,
      60.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "58.6%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are women",
    "n": 2191,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, women",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 58.6327,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wom_d1": {
    "ci": [
      54,
      56.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "55.5%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are women",
    "n": 9495,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Democratic two-party presidential voters, women",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Democratic voters",
    "value": 55.4729,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wom_r0": {
    "ci": [
      51.2,
      55.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "53.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are women",
    "n": 2579,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, women",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 53.1847,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wom_r1": {
    "ci": [
      48,
      51.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "49.6%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of the party's two-party voters who are women",
    "n": 7205,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "Republican two-party presidential voters, women",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of Republican voters",
    "value": 49.5584,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wom_s0": {
    "ci": [
      54.2,
      57.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "55.7%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of all two-party voters who are women",
    "n": 4770,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters, women",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 55.687,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wom_s1": {
    "ci": [
      51.7,
      53.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "52.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted share of all two-party voters who are women",
    "n": 16700,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters, women",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of all two-party voters",
    "value": 52.7604,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wom_v0": {
    "ci": [
      46.4,
      50.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "48.4%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 2659,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1976, 1980, 1984 and 1988 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters who are women",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 48.3602,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  },
  "wom_v1": {
    "ci": [
      55.5,
      58.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "56.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted Democratic share of the group's two-party voters",
    "n": 8955,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 pooled",
    "population": "two-party presidential voters who are women",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group's voters voting Democratic",
    "value": 56.9225,
    "weights": "weight_postelection where the file has one (1996 to 2008, 2016 to 2024), else weight (VCF0009z); pooled periods give each election the same total weight"
  }
}