{
  "alt": "Dumbbell chart with one row for each of {fact:st_n} states, comparing the slope of the Democratic share on county college share in 2000 and 2024, vote-weighted. In 2024 the slope is positive in every state and in 2000 in {fact:st_pos_w_2000}. In almost every row the 2024 dot lies to the right of the 2000 dot. The county-equal view shows the same pattern with {fact:st_pos_u_2024} states positive in 2024.",
  "caption": "The filled dot (2024) is to the right of the open dot (2000) in almost every state, and by 2024 the slope is positive in every state shown. Each row is the slope inside one state, counting the counties in it by their two-party votes; whiskers are 95% intervals that treat counties as independent, so they are narrower than an interval that allowed for the similarity of nearby counties. The slope is above zero, with the whole interval above, in {fact:st_sig_w_2024} states in 2024 and in {fact:st_sig_w_2000} in 2000.",
  "data": [
    {
      "hi_2000": 4.25167,
      "hi_2024": 12.2352,
      "lo_2000": -6.92392,
      "lo_2024": 1.34482,
      "n_units": 67,
      "slope_2000": -1.33613,
      "slope_2024": 6.79001,
      "state": "Alabama",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 13.4753,
      "hi_2024": 19.6846,
      "lo_2000": -12.6251,
      "lo_2024": 0.981567,
      "n_units": 75,
      "slope_2000": 0.425079,
      "slope_2024": 10.3331,
      "state": "Arkansas",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 11.8137,
      "hi_2024": 9.90464,
      "lo_2000": 3.16398,
      "lo_2024": 5.28019,
      "n_units": 58,
      "slope_2000": 7.48883,
      "slope_2024": 7.59241,
      "state": "California",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 7.59512,
      "hi_2024": 14.3652,
      "lo_2000": -3.08376,
      "lo_2024": 1.89077,
      "n_units": 64,
      "slope_2000": 2.25568,
      "slope_2024": 8.12798,
      "state": "Colorado",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 9.36048,
      "hi_2024": 12.1497,
      "lo_2000": 0.600872,
      "lo_2024": 4.17118,
      "n_units": 67,
      "slope_2000": 4.98068,
      "slope_2024": 8.16046,
      "state": "Florida",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 9.90415,
      "hi_2024": 12.4586,
      "lo_2000": -2.7445,
      "lo_2024": 4.17153,
      "n_units": 159,
      "slope_2000": 3.57982,
      "slope_2024": 8.31505,
      "state": "Georgia",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 8.04538,
      "hi_2024": 13.595,
      "lo_2000": 4.29602,
      "lo_2024": 6.5556,
      "n_units": 44,
      "slope_2000": 6.1707,
      "slope_2024": 10.0753,
      "state": "Idaho",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 12.595,
      "hi_2024": 21.3836,
      "lo_2000": -8.53221,
      "lo_2024": 3.35621,
      "n_units": 102,
      "slope_2000": 2.03139,
      "slope_2024": 12.3699,
      "state": "Illinois",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 7.34798,
      "hi_2024": 16.6626,
      "lo_2000": -9.33758,
      "lo_2024": -3.47666,
      "n_units": 92,
      "slope_2000": -0.994802,
      "slope_2024": 6.59295,
      "state": "Indiana",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 5.86248,
      "hi_2024": 12.3941,
      "lo_2000": 1.35284,
      "lo_2024": 6.23728,
      "n_units": 99,
      "slope_2000": 3.60766,
      "slope_2024": 9.31567,
      "state": "Iowa",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 5.74456,
      "hi_2024": 13.3171,
      "lo_2000": -5.26274,
      "lo_2024": 1.08085,
      "n_units": 105,
      "slope_2000": 0.240909,
      "slope_2024": 7.19897,
      "state": "Kansas",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 7.28464,
      "hi_2024": 17.2834,
      "lo_2000": -1.37972,
      "lo_2024": 7.63751,
      "n_units": 120,
      "slope_2000": 2.95246,
      "slope_2024": 12.4604,
      "state": "Kentucky",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 13.9402,
      "hi_2024": 23.6305,
      "lo_2000": -8.09077,
      "lo_2024": -0.0263694,
      "n_units": 64,
      "slope_2000": 2.92473,
      "slope_2024": 11.8021,
      "state": "Louisiana",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 9.81255,
      "hi_2024": 12.5906,
      "lo_2000": -7.36343,
      "lo_2024": -1.56707,
      "n_units": 24,
      "slope_2000": 1.22456,
      "slope_2024": 5.51176,
      "state": "Maryland",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 4.57372,
      "hi_2024": 10.1483,
      "lo_2000": -6.19811,
      "lo_2024": 1.33824,
      "n_units": 83,
      "slope_2000": -0.812198,
      "slope_2024": 5.74327,
      "state": "Michigan",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 7.00539,
      "hi_2024": 14.6868,
      "lo_2000": 1.67711,
      "lo_2024": 8.82902,
      "n_units": 87,
      "slope_2000": 4.34125,
      "slope_2024": 11.7579,
      "state": "Minnesota",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 7.05071,
      "hi_2024": 6.85755,
      "lo_2000": -8.14072,
      "lo_2024": -2.35193,
      "n_units": 82,
      "slope_2000": -0.545006,
      "slope_2024": 2.25281,
      "state": "Mississippi",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 5.45769,
      "hi_2024": 16.3098,
      "lo_2000": 1.8124,
      "lo_2024": 10.5975,
      "n_units": 115,
      "slope_2000": 3.63504,
      "slope_2024": 13.4537,
      "state": "Missouri",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 8.07019,
      "hi_2024": 14.0454,
      "lo_2000": -4.05273,
      "lo_2024": 3.24385,
      "n_units": 56,
      "slope_2000": 2.00873,
      "slope_2024": 8.64462,
      "state": "Montana",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 11.3001,
      "hi_2024": 20.2776,
      "lo_2000": 3.98486,
      "lo_2024": 9.52368,
      "n_units": 93,
      "slope_2000": 7.64247,
      "slope_2024": 14.9006,
      "state": "Nebraska",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 1.35043,
      "hi_2024": 6.84417,
      "lo_2000": -9.13125,
      "lo_2024": -4.96024,
      "n_units": 21,
      "slope_2000": -3.89041,
      "slope_2024": 0.941964,
      "state": "New Jersey",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 11.8336,
      "hi_2024": 15.9276,
      "lo_2000": -2.57298,
      "lo_2024": 5.32662,
      "n_units": 33,
      "slope_2000": 4.63032,
      "slope_2024": 10.6271,
      "state": "New Mexico",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 15.4572,
      "hi_2024": 14.7081,
      "lo_2000": -8.09323,
      "lo_2024": -1.12318,
      "n_units": 62,
      "slope_2000": 3.682,
      "slope_2024": 6.79245,
      "state": "New York",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 5.92328,
      "hi_2024": 11.8894,
      "lo_2000": 0.958983,
      "lo_2024": 6.46998,
      "n_units": 100,
      "slope_2000": 3.44113,
      "slope_2024": 9.17967,
      "state": "North Carolina",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 6.71908,
      "hi_2024": 20.336,
      "lo_2000": -2.69668,
      "lo_2024": -1.47959,
      "n_units": 53,
      "slope_2000": 2.0112,
      "slope_2024": 9.42819,
      "state": "North Dakota",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 7.27441,
      "hi_2024": 16.5081,
      "lo_2000": -2.12449,
      "lo_2024": 4.59048,
      "n_units": 88,
      "slope_2000": 2.57496,
      "slope_2024": 10.5493,
      "state": "Ohio",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": -2.06166,
      "hi_2024": 18.1546,
      "lo_2000": -6.05122,
      "lo_2024": 8.21497,
      "n_units": 77,
      "slope_2000": -4.05644,
      "slope_2024": 13.1848,
      "state": "Oklahoma",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 19.4468,
      "hi_2024": 19.0706,
      "lo_2000": 0.857871,
      "lo_2024": 7.38662,
      "n_units": 36,
      "slope_2000": 10.1523,
      "slope_2024": 13.2286,
      "state": "Oregon",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 7.90474,
      "hi_2024": 12.7693,
      "lo_2000": -5.45451,
      "lo_2024": 6.25349,
      "n_units": 67,
      "slope_2000": 1.22512,
      "slope_2024": 9.51138,
      "state": "Pennsylvania",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 8.05461,
      "hi_2024": 8.63568,
      "lo_2000": -10.7681,
      "lo_2024": -0.770208,
      "n_units": 46,
      "slope_2000": -1.35674,
      "slope_2024": 3.93273,
      "state": "South Carolina",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 8.00775,
      "hi_2024": 10.2304,
      "lo_2000": -2.91677,
      "lo_2024": 1.1651,
      "n_units": 65,
      "slope_2000": 2.54549,
      "slope_2024": 5.69774,
      "state": "South Dakota",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 7.21916,
      "hi_2024": 18.7948,
      "lo_2000": -5.76643,
      "lo_2024": -0.834336,
      "n_units": 95,
      "slope_2000": 0.726364,
      "slope_2024": 8.98022,
      "state": "Tennessee",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 2.83738,
      "hi_2024": 11.0852,
      "lo_2000": -5.23369,
      "lo_2024": 2.76086,
      "n_units": 254,
      "slope_2000": -1.19816,
      "slope_2024": 6.92302,
      "state": "Texas",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 11.4749,
      "hi_2024": 18.1763,
      "lo_2000": -13.1628,
      "lo_2024": -4.0814,
      "n_units": 29,
      "slope_2000": -0.843924,
      "slope_2024": 7.04745,
      "state": "Utah",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 3.36411,
      "hi_2024": 8.88313,
      "lo_2000": 0.23801,
      "lo_2024": 5.80875,
      "n_units": 133,
      "slope_2000": 1.80106,
      "slope_2024": 7.34594,
      "state": "Virginia",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 14.8593,
      "hi_2024": 11.7022,
      "lo_2000": 1.24312,
      "lo_2024": 8.64715,
      "n_units": 39,
      "slope_2000": 8.05122,
      "slope_2024": 10.1747,
      "state": "Washington",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 3.58528,
      "hi_2024": 12.7135,
      "lo_2000": -4.16821,
      "lo_2024": 6.28271,
      "n_units": 55,
      "slope_2000": -0.291465,
      "slope_2024": 9.49812,
      "state": "West Virginia",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 14.9981,
      "hi_2024": 17.5377,
      "lo_2000": -11.7763,
      "lo_2024": -1.89069,
      "n_units": 72,
      "slope_2000": 1.61087,
      "slope_2024": 7.82352,
      "state": "Wisconsin",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 8.03658,
      "hi_2024": 15.7786,
      "lo_2000": 3.21192,
      "lo_2024": 6.60834,
      "n_units": 23,
      "slope_2000": 5.62425,
      "slope_2024": 11.1935,
      "state": "Wyoming",
      "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 1.13396,
      "hi_2024": 6.80448,
      "lo_2000": -8.93933,
      "lo_2024": -3.22263,
      "n_units": 67,
      "slope_2000": -3.90269,
      "slope_2024": 1.79092,
      "state": "Alabama",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 1.32344,
      "hi_2024": 10.2983,
      "lo_2000": -9.56946,
      "lo_2024": -0.588458,
      "n_units": 75,
      "slope_2000": -4.12301,
      "slope_2024": 4.85492,
      "state": "Arkansas",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 11.9505,
      "hi_2024": 11.5191,
      "lo_2000": 6.91938,
      "lo_2024": 8.35814,
      "n_units": 58,
      "slope_2000": 9.43496,
      "slope_2024": 9.93863,
      "state": "California",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 6.89331,
      "hi_2024": 12.0449,
      "lo_2000": 2.32473,
      "lo_2024": 8.40491,
      "n_units": 64,
      "slope_2000": 4.60902,
      "slope_2024": 10.2249,
      "state": "Colorado",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 6.0741,
      "hi_2024": 10.2357,
      "lo_2000": 0.224661,
      "lo_2024": 5.76875,
      "n_units": 67,
      "slope_2000": 3.14938,
      "slope_2024": 8.00224,
      "state": "Florida",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 1.72369,
      "hi_2024": 7.03464,
      "lo_2000": -5.21844,
      "lo_2024": 1.35936,
      "n_units": 159,
      "slope_2000": -1.74737,
      "slope_2024": 4.197,
      "state": "Georgia",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 10.1851,
      "hi_2024": 13.0836,
      "lo_2000": 2.39671,
      "lo_2024": 4.49274,
      "n_units": 44,
      "slope_2000": 6.29089,
      "slope_2024": 8.78816,
      "state": "Idaho",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 3.00292,
      "hi_2024": 13.1102,
      "lo_2000": -1.04368,
      "lo_2024": 8.99995,
      "n_units": 102,
      "slope_2000": 0.97962,
      "slope_2024": 11.0551,
      "state": "Illinois",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 3.53102,
      "hi_2024": 11.2437,
      "lo_2000": -4.216,
      "lo_2024": 5.40816,
      "n_units": 92,
      "slope_2000": -0.342486,
      "slope_2024": 8.32593,
      "state": "Indiana",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 5.34967,
      "hi_2024": 10.7694,
      "lo_2000": -0.203298,
      "lo_2024": 6.33532,
      "n_units": 99,
      "slope_2000": 2.57319,
      "slope_2024": 8.55238,
      "state": "Iowa",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 7.12777,
      "hi_2024": 12.3392,
      "lo_2000": 0.18218,
      "lo_2024": 4.14227,
      "n_units": 105,
      "slope_2000": 3.65498,
      "slope_2024": 8.24076,
      "state": "Kansas",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 4.51022,
      "hi_2024": 11.1455,
      "lo_2000": -0.847037,
      "lo_2024": 7.64051,
      "n_units": 120,
      "slope_2000": 1.83159,
      "slope_2024": 9.393,
      "state": "Kentucky",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 6.18105,
      "hi_2024": 13.9971,
      "lo_2000": -5.8878,
      "lo_2024": -0.0499959,
      "n_units": 64,
      "slope_2000": 0.146624,
      "slope_2024": 6.97358,
      "state": "Louisiana",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 7.04696,
      "hi_2024": 11.2413,
      "lo_2000": 0.0345544,
      "lo_2024": 6.30245,
      "n_units": 24,
      "slope_2000": 3.54076,
      "slope_2024": 8.7719,
      "state": "Maryland",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 4.12157,
      "hi_2024": 9.51732,
      "lo_2000": -2.23263,
      "lo_2024": 6.37196,
      "n_units": 83,
      "slope_2000": 0.944471,
      "slope_2024": 7.94464,
      "state": "Michigan",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 4.49205,
      "hi_2024": 11.9151,
      "lo_2000": -0.147206,
      "lo_2024": 7.39369,
      "n_units": 87,
      "slope_2000": 2.17242,
      "slope_2024": 9.65438,
      "state": "Minnesota",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 2.1376,
      "hi_2024": 3.05315,
      "lo_2000": -6.66607,
      "lo_2024": -5.02864,
      "n_units": 82,
      "slope_2000": -2.26423,
      "slope_2024": -0.987747,
      "state": "Mississippi",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 4.6467,
      "hi_2024": 13.5414,
      "lo_2000": 0.435407,
      "lo_2024": 7.99596,
      "n_units": 115,
      "slope_2000": 2.54105,
      "slope_2024": 10.7687,
      "state": "Missouri",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 7.96667,
      "hi_2024": 12.0949,
      "lo_2000": -1.91382,
      "lo_2024": 1.13229,
      "n_units": 56,
      "slope_2000": 3.02643,
      "slope_2024": 6.61358,
      "state": "Montana",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 6.61742,
      "hi_2024": 11.0561,
      "lo_2000": -3.30468,
      "lo_2024": -0.415337,
      "n_units": 93,
      "slope_2000": 1.65637,
      "slope_2024": 5.3204,
      "state": "Nebraska",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 0.535417,
      "hi_2024": 5.34664,
      "lo_2000": -6.43349,
      "lo_2024": -0.762016,
      "n_units": 21,
      "slope_2000": -2.94903,
      "slope_2024": 2.29231,
      "state": "New Jersey",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 11.6013,
      "hi_2024": 12.6744,
      "lo_2000": -7.84408,
      "lo_2024": 2.11591,
      "n_units": 33,
      "slope_2000": 1.87861,
      "slope_2024": 7.39515,
      "state": "New Mexico",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 10.0125,
      "hi_2024": 11.39,
      "lo_2000": 3.23239,
      "lo_2024": 6.90712,
      "n_units": 62,
      "slope_2000": 6.62245,
      "slope_2024": 9.14857,
      "state": "New York",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 4.16577,
      "hi_2024": 8.0879,
      "lo_2000": -2.24939,
      "lo_2024": 2.66257,
      "n_units": 100,
      "slope_2000": 0.958191,
      "slope_2024": 5.37524,
      "state": "North Carolina",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 7.72302,
      "hi_2024": 11.879,
      "lo_2000": -4.56109,
      "lo_2024": -9.19299,
      "n_units": 53,
      "slope_2000": 1.58096,
      "slope_2024": 1.34299,
      "state": "North Dakota",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 4.79476,
      "hi_2024": 12.1736,
      "lo_2000": -1.84452,
      "lo_2024": 6.19988,
      "n_units": 88,
      "slope_2000": 1.47512,
      "slope_2024": 9.18674,
      "state": "Ohio",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": -3.50473,
      "hi_2024": 9.28188,
      "lo_2000": -13.8522,
      "lo_2024": 1.95224,
      "n_units": 77,
      "slope_2000": -8.67844,
      "slope_2024": 5.61706,
      "state": "Oklahoma",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 16.5616,
      "hi_2024": 16.2573,
      "lo_2000": 2.82311,
      "lo_2024": 10.0837,
      "n_units": 36,
      "slope_2000": 9.69235,
      "slope_2024": 13.1705,
      "state": "Oregon",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 8.31578,
      "hi_2024": 13.509,
      "lo_2000": 1.92931,
      "lo_2024": 8.75309,
      "n_units": 67,
      "slope_2000": 5.12254,
      "slope_2024": 11.1311,
      "state": "Pennsylvania",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": -1.11862,
      "hi_2024": 2.56108,
      "lo_2000": -14.77,
      "lo_2024": -6.25792,
      "n_units": 46,
      "slope_2000": -7.94432,
      "slope_2024": -1.84842,
      "state": "South Carolina",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 6.13493,
      "hi_2024": 5.59614,
      "lo_2000": -7.79104,
      "lo_2024": -7.61074,
      "n_units": 65,
      "slope_2000": -0.828056,
      "slope_2024": -1.0073,
      "state": "South Dakota",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": -0.876627,
      "hi_2024": 11.7201,
      "lo_2000": -6.72714,
      "lo_2024": 3.37153,
      "n_units": 95,
      "slope_2000": -3.80189,
      "slope_2024": 7.5458,
      "state": "Tennessee",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": -3.13664,
      "hi_2024": 6.14251,
      "lo_2000": -9.29251,
      "lo_2024": 1.66439,
      "n_units": 254,
      "slope_2000": -6.21457,
      "slope_2024": 3.90345,
      "state": "Texas",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 10.2906,
      "hi_2024": 12.3275,
      "lo_2000": -7.18132,
      "lo_2024": 5.3865,
      "n_units": 29,
      "slope_2000": 1.55465,
      "slope_2024": 8.85701,
      "state": "Utah",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 2.68786,
      "hi_2024": 9.1527,
      "lo_2000": -0.436848,
      "lo_2024": 6.46717,
      "n_units": 133,
      "slope_2000": 1.12551,
      "slope_2024": 7.80993,
      "state": "Virginia",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 11.4715,
      "hi_2024": 13.4335,
      "lo_2000": 1.36768,
      "lo_2024": 8.36728,
      "n_units": 39,
      "slope_2000": 6.41957,
      "slope_2024": 10.9004,
      "state": "Washington",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 4.10352,
      "hi_2024": 10.4713,
      "lo_2000": -6.09448,
      "lo_2024": 7.27607,
      "n_units": 55,
      "slope_2000": -0.995482,
      "slope_2024": 8.8737,
      "state": "West Virginia",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 5.27759,
      "hi_2024": 10.3857,
      "lo_2000": -5.93121,
      "lo_2024": 2.56497,
      "n_units": 72,
      "slope_2000": -0.326811,
      "slope_2024": 6.47532,
      "state": "Wisconsin",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    },
    {
      "hi_2000": 8.10123,
      "hi_2024": 16.4258,
      "lo_2000": 4.44846,
      "lo_2024": 6.79331,
      "n_units": 23,
      "slope_2000": 6.27484,
      "slope_2024": 11.6096,
      "state": "Wyoming",
      "weighting": "County-equal"
    }
  ],
  "id": "state_slopes",
  "notes": [
    "Intervals are HC3 robust and treat counties as independent; see Methods. States with fewer than {fact:st_min_counties} counties in either year, and Alaska, are left out."
  ],
  "source": "County presidential returns, 2000-2024 (Algara and Amlani; MIT Election Data and Science Lab), full counts of votes, and county demographics (decennial census and American Community Survey estimates interpolated to election years); weighted by two-party votes in the election or county-equal, as stated",
  "spec": {
    "deltaLabel": "Change (points)",
    "hi1": "hi_2000",
    "hi2": "hi_2024",
    "label1": "2000",
    "label2": "2024",
    "lo1": "lo_2000",
    "lo2": "lo_2024",
    "n1": "n_units",
    "n2": "n_units",
    "reference": 0,
    "sort": "desc",
    "x1": "slope_2000",
    "x2": "slope_2024",
    "xDomain": [
      -16,
      22
    ],
    "xFormat": {
      "digits": 1,
      "signed": true
    },
    "xLabel": "Slope: points of Democratic two-party share per 10 points of college share, counties inside the state",
    "y": "state"
  },
  "subtitle": "Slope of the county Democratic share on county college share inside each state with at least {fact:st_min_counties} counties, 2000 and 2024, vote-weighted, with 95% intervals",
  "title": "The vote-weighted slope was positive in every one of the {fact:st_n} states in 2024, against {fact:st_pos_w_2000} in 2000",
  "type": "dumbbell",
  "views": [
    {
      "filter": {
        "weighting": "Vote-weighted"
      },
      "id": "votes",
      "label": "Vote-weighted"
    },
    {
      "caption": "The slope is above zero in {fact:st_sig_u_2024} states in 2024 and in {fact:st_sig_u_2000} in 2000, and below zero, with the whole interval below, in {fact:st_negsig_u_2000} in 2000 and none in 2024. Each row is the slope inside one state, counting each county in it once; whiskers are 95% intervals that treat counties as independent.",
      "filter": {
        "weighting": "County-equal"
      },
      "id": "equal",
      "label": "County-equal",
      "title": "Counting each county once, the slope was positive in {fact:st_pos_u_2024} of {fact:st_n} states in 2024, against {fact:st_pos_u_2000} in 2000"
    }
  ],
  "width": "wide"
}