{
  "alt": "Line chart of two ANES series by year with confidence bands. The share of Democrats who say abortion should never be permitted is {fact:prolife_dem_1980} in 1980, {fact:prolife_dem_2008} in 2008 and {fact:prolife_dem_2024} in 2024. The share of Republicans who say it should always be allowed falls from {fact:anes_rep_1980} in 1980 to {fact:anes_rep_2024} in 2024, a fall of {fact:anes_rep_chg} points against {fact:prolife_dem_chg} points for the Democratic series.",
  "caption": "Both lines end below where they began, by falls of similar size in points, but the Democratic line ends near zero and the Republican line does not. Bands are 95% confidence intervals and the shaded band marks the change in ANES survey mode between 2016 and 2020.",
  "data": [
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 14.6402,
      "conf_low": 10.0789,
      "estimate": 12.3596,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 801,
      "year": 1980
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 17.4065,
      "conf_low": 12.2831,
      "estimate": 14.8448,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 741,
      "year": 1982
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 13.6886,
      "conf_low": 9.76103,
      "estimate": 11.7248,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 1032,
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 16.3351,
      "conf_low": 12.1286,
      "estimate": 14.2319,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 1061,
      "year": 1986
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 15.6163,
      "conf_low": 11.2494,
      "estimate": 13.4328,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 938,
      "year": 1988
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 13.5724,
      "conf_low": 9.58976,
      "estimate": 11.5811,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 993,
      "year": 1990
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 11.3378,
      "conf_low": 7.98684,
      "estimate": 9.66234,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 1201,
      "year": 1992
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 16.6192,
      "conf_low": 11.2975,
      "estimate": 13.9583,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 810,
      "year": 1994
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 14.4021,
      "conf_low": 9.58462,
      "estimate": 11.9934,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 879,
      "year": 1996
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 12.1505,
      "conf_low": 7.21344,
      "estimate": 9.68197,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 647,
      "year": 1998
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 13.8543,
      "conf_low": 9.0913,
      "estimate": 11.4728,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 868,
      "year": 2000
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 13.9025,
      "conf_low": 7.81353,
      "estimate": 10.858,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 498,
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 12.7485,
      "conf_low": 6.63876,
      "estimate": 9.69362,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 600,
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 7.72495,
      "conf_low": 5.29273,
      "estimate": 6.50884,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 3081,
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 9.85351,
      "conf_low": 6.85532,
      "estimate": 8.35441,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 1915,
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 5.57184,
      "conf_low": 3.69772,
      "estimate": 4.63478,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 3713,
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "answer": "Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted",
      "conf_high": 2.03514,
      "conf_low": 0.696906,
      "estimate": 1.36602,
      "group": "Dem. never",
      "n": 2459,
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 37.8901,
      "conf_low": 29.6881,
      "estimate": 33.7891,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 512,
      "year": 1980
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 40.6457,
      "conf_low": 31.5765,
      "estimate": 36.1111,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 432,
      "year": 1982
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 35.9747,
      "conf_low": 29.6795,
      "estimate": 32.8271,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 856,
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 41.6401,
      "conf_low": 34.7139,
      "estimate": 38.177,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 757,
      "year": 1986
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 36.7017,
      "conf_low": 30.211,
      "estimate": 33.4563,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 813,
      "year": 1988
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 42.2387,
      "conf_low": 35.0146,
      "estimate": 38.6266,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 699,
      "year": 1990
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 41.9028,
      "conf_low": 35.5077,
      "estimate": 38.7053,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 896,
      "year": 1992
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 37.6979,
      "conf_low": 30.15,
      "estimate": 33.924,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 727,
      "year": 1994
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 37.8548,
      "conf_low": 29.6442,
      "estimate": 33.7495,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 642,
      "year": 1996
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 36.3562,
      "conf_low": 27.0954,
      "estimate": 31.7258,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 459,
      "year": 1998
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 34.8887,
      "conf_low": 27.1613,
      "estimate": 31.025,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 664,
      "year": 2000
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 30.1941,
      "conf_low": 21.2605,
      "estimate": 25.7273,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 433,
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 35.2681,
      "conf_low": 23.2673,
      "estimate": 29.2677,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 293,
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 31.5675,
      "conf_low": 26.448,
      "estimate": 29.0078,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 1987,
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 29.9984,
      "conf_low": 24.947,
      "estimate": 27.4727,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 1715,
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 25.9316,
      "conf_low": 22.0822,
      "estimate": 24.0069,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 3289,
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "answer": "Republicans saying abortion should always be allowed",
      "conf_high": 23.838,
      "conf_low": 18.8646,
      "estimate": 21.3513,
      "group": "Rep. always",
      "n": 2207,
      "year": 2024
    }
  ],
  "id": "cross_pressured",
  "notes": [
    "The Republican series is the same as the Republican line in the ANES view of the earlier figure on party shares. Shaded band: the ANES mode change from 2016 to 2020."
  ],
  "source": "ANES Cumulative Data File, 1980-2024; weighted (VCF0009z, which equals 1 for every respondent from 1980 to 1990)",
  "spec": {
    "annotations": [
      {
        "label": "ANES mode change",
        "type": "band",
        "x1": 2016,
        "x2": 2020
      }
    ],
    "colors": {
      "Dem. never": "dem",
      "Rep. always": "rep"
    },
    "hi": "conf_high",
    "lo": "conf_low",
    "n": "n",
    "series": "group",
    "x": "year",
    "xDomain": [
      1979,
      2025
    ],
    "xLabel": "Survey year",
    "y": "estimate",
    "yDomain": [
      0,
      60
    ],
    "yFormat": {
      "digits": 0,
      "suffix": "%"
    },
    "yLabel": "Share choosing the answer (%)"
  },
  "subtitle": "ANES share of Democrats saying abortion should never be permitted and of Republicans saying it should always be allowed; leaners included; 95% intervals",
  "table": {
    "columns": [
      {
        "key": "group",
        "label": "Series"
      },
      {
        "key": "answer",
        "label": "Group and answer counted"
      },
      {
        "key": "year",
        "label": "Year"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "estimate",
        "label": "Share (%)"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "conf_low",
        "label": "Lower"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "conf_high",
        "label": "Upper"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "thousands": true
        },
        "key": "n",
        "label": "Respondents"
      }
    ]
  },
  "title": "Each party's out-of-step share fell, to near zero for Democrats",
  "type": "line",
  "width": "wide"
}