{
  "alt": "Table of eight statistics in two columns, the full sample and the side check without ballot-bucket units: the counts of counties, the median spread of near-tied counties, three correlations and two shares of votes. No correlation changes by more than {fact:rb_dcorr_max} and no share of votes by more than {fact:rb_dshare_max} points.",
  "caption": "Read each row across the two columns. The side check drops units labelled as ballot buckets and the counties where they hold {fact:cut_nongeo_share} of votes or more. Correlations are weighted by two-party votes.",
  "data": [
    {
      "full": "2,853",
      "side": "2,721",
      "statistic": "Counties with a spread"
    },
    {
      "full": "111",
      "side": "106",
      "statistic": "Near-tied counties"
    },
    {
      "full": "23.9",
      "side": "24.0",
      "statistic": "Median spread of near-tied counties (points)"
    },
    {
      "full": "+0.41",
      "side": "+0.40",
      "statistic": "Correlation of spread with Democratic lean"
    },
    {
      "full": "+0.28",
      "side": "+0.27",
      "statistic": "Same, with county size and state fixed"
    },
    {
      "full": "−0.04",
      "side": "−0.04",
      "statistic": "Correlation of spread with distance from an even split, counties within 50 points"
    },
    {
      "full": "65.0%",
      "side": "64.8%",
      "statistic": "Votes in precincts decided by 20 points or more"
    },
    {
      "full": "18.5%",
      "side": "18.6%",
      "statistic": "Votes in precincts decided by under 10 points"
    }
  ],
  "id": "side_check",
  "notes": [
    "The changes in the title are the largest differences before rounding, rounded up to the decimals printed."
  ],
  "source": "MIT Election Data and Science Lab, 2024 precinct-level presidential returns; county totals summed from the precincts; full counts of votes, not survey estimates, so nothing is weighted except by two-party votes where stated",
  "spec": {
    "columns": [
      {
        "key": "statistic",
        "label": "Statistic"
      },
      {
        "key": "full",
        "label": "Full sample"
      },
      {
        "key": "side",
        "label": "Without ballot-bucket units"
      }
    ]
  },
  "subtitle": "Main statistics in the full sample and in a side check that drops ballot-bucket units, 2024 two-party presidential returns",
  "title": "Dropping ballot-bucket units moves each correlation by at most {fact:rb_dcorr_max} and each vote share by at most {fact:rb_dshare_max} points",
  "type": "table",
  "width": "body"
}