{
  "alt": "Dot chart in four panels, one for each of four measures, with three rows for the fresh in-person sample, the fresh web sample and the web panel, and a Democratic and a Republican dot in each row. Republicans expecting an inaccurate count are at {fact:samp_acc_rep_ftf} in the in-person sample, {fact:samp_acc_rep_web} in the web sample and {fact:samp_acc_rep_panel} in the panel. Democrats calling Harris the legitimate 2024 winner are at {fact:samp_h24_dem_ftf}, {fact:samp_h24_dem_web} and {fact:samp_h24_dem_panel}. The 2020 winner panel shows similar values in all three groups.",
  "caption": "In the in-person sample the Republican dot on the count is to the left of the web and panel dots, and the Democratic dot on the 2024 winner is to the left of the web dot. On the 2020 winner the dots are close across groups. Each dot is a weighted share using the sample group's own weight, and each line is a 95% interval from that group's strata and primary sampling units. Respondents were not assigned a mode at random, so a difference may reflect mode, sample or both.",
  "data": [
    {
      "conf_high": 22.3339,
      "conf_low": 12.7641,
      "estimate": 17.549,
      "group": "Democrats",
      "measure": "Violence justified at least a little",
      "n": 522,
      "sample": "Fresh in-person sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 18.3264,
      "conf_low": 11.02,
      "estimate": 14.6732,
      "group": "Republicans",
      "measure": "Violence justified at least a little",
      "n": 436,
      "sample": "Fresh in-person sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 22.3599,
      "conf_low": 15.6651,
      "estimate": 19.0125,
      "group": "Democrats",
      "measure": "Violence justified at least a little",
      "n": 956,
      "sample": "Fresh web sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 18.4569,
      "conf_low": 11.9607,
      "estimate": 15.2088,
      "group": "Republicans",
      "measure": "Violence justified at least a little",
      "n": 862,
      "sample": "Fresh web sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 16.2895,
      "conf_low": 9.1692,
      "estimate": 12.7293,
      "group": "Democrats",
      "measure": "Violence justified at least a little",
      "n": 1054,
      "sample": "Panel (web)"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 16.263,
      "conf_low": 9.61109,
      "estimate": 12.9371,
      "group": "Republicans",
      "measure": "Violence justified at least a little",
      "n": 992,
      "sample": "Panel (web)"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 9.80232,
      "conf_low": 3.90642,
      "estimate": 6.85437,
      "group": "Democrats",
      "measure": "Expected count inaccurate",
      "n": 524,
      "sample": "Fresh in-person sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 32.1222,
      "conf_low": 20.2833,
      "estimate": 26.2027,
      "group": "Republicans",
      "measure": "Expected count inaccurate",
      "n": 437,
      "sample": "Fresh in-person sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 10.051,
      "conf_low": 5.38104,
      "estimate": 7.71602,
      "group": "Democrats",
      "measure": "Expected count inaccurate",
      "n": 969,
      "sample": "Fresh web sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 44.3753,
      "conf_low": 35.9104,
      "estimate": 40.1429,
      "group": "Republicans",
      "measure": "Expected count inaccurate",
      "n": 882,
      "sample": "Fresh web sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 11.3304,
      "conf_low": 6.11347,
      "estimate": 8.72196,
      "group": "Democrats",
      "measure": "Expected count inaccurate",
      "n": 1058,
      "sample": "Panel (web)"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 44.0973,
      "conf_low": 35.8593,
      "estimate": 39.9783,
      "group": "Republicans",
      "measure": "Expected count inaccurate",
      "n": 999,
      "sample": "Panel (web)"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 5.94523,
      "conf_low": 1.70561,
      "estimate": 3.82542,
      "group": "Democrats",
      "measure": "Trump the legitimate 2020 winner",
      "n": 465,
      "sample": "Fresh in-person sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 60.4777,
      "conf_low": 49.7258,
      "estimate": 55.1018,
      "group": "Republicans",
      "measure": "Trump the legitimate 2020 winner",
      "n": 381,
      "sample": "Fresh in-person sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 6.62739,
      "conf_low": 3.18727,
      "estimate": 4.90733,
      "group": "Democrats",
      "measure": "Trump the legitimate 2020 winner",
      "n": 831,
      "sample": "Fresh web sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 60.0444,
      "conf_low": 50.3855,
      "estimate": 55.2149,
      "group": "Republicans",
      "measure": "Trump the legitimate 2020 winner",
      "n": 712,
      "sample": "Fresh web sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 7.55423,
      "conf_low": 2.56544,
      "estimate": 5.05983,
      "group": "Democrats",
      "measure": "Trump the legitimate 2020 winner",
      "n": 1001,
      "sample": "Panel (web)"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 63.9829,
      "conf_low": 53.3914,
      "estimate": 58.6871,
      "group": "Republicans",
      "measure": "Trump the legitimate 2020 winner",
      "n": 916,
      "sample": "Panel (web)"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 13.3831,
      "conf_low": 5.24885,
      "estimate": 9.31598,
      "group": "Democrats",
      "measure": "Harris the legitimate 2024 winner",
      "n": 457,
      "sample": "Fresh in-person sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 0.735575,
      "conf_low": 0,
      "estimate": 0.342917,
      "group": "Republicans",
      "measure": "Harris the legitimate 2024 winner",
      "n": 389,
      "sample": "Fresh in-person sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 24.5496,
      "conf_low": 16.2008,
      "estimate": 20.3752,
      "group": "Democrats",
      "measure": "Harris the legitimate 2024 winner",
      "n": 826,
      "sample": "Fresh web sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 5.30724,
      "conf_low": 1.71582,
      "estimate": 3.51153,
      "group": "Republicans",
      "measure": "Harris the legitimate 2024 winner",
      "n": 722,
      "sample": "Fresh web sample"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 17.9964,
      "conf_low": 10.6651,
      "estimate": 14.3308,
      "group": "Democrats",
      "measure": "Harris the legitimate 2024 winner",
      "n": 1000,
      "sample": "Panel (web)"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 2.91577,
      "conf_low": 0.295392,
      "estimate": 1.60558,
      "group": "Republicans",
      "measure": "Harris the legitimate 2024 winner",
      "n": 931,
      "sample": "Panel (web)"
    }
  ],
  "id": "sample_groups",
  "notes": [
    "Each sample group uses its own weights and variance variables: V240101 for the fresh in-person sample, V240102 for the fresh web sample (web interviews, without the paper cases) and V240106 for the panel. The in-person sample excludes Alaska and Hawaii. Intervals use the t distribution with each group's own design degrees of freedom, which are smallest for the in-person sample and the panel.",
    "Refusals, break-offs and respondents not asked are left out of each share. The paper questionnaire omitted most of these questions."
  ],
  "source": "ANES 2024 Time Series, pre-election interviews (August to November 2024) and post-election interviews (November 2024 to February 2025); weighted (V240107a and V240107b); 95% design-based intervals",
  "spec": {
    "colors": {
      "Democrats": "dem",
      "Republicans": "rep"
    },
    "facet": "measure",
    "facetColumns": 2,
    "group": "group",
    "hi": "conf_high",
    "legend": true,
    "lo": "conf_low",
    "n": "n",
    "sort": "data",
    "x": "estimate",
    "xDomain": [
      0,
      75
    ],
    "xDomains": {
      "Expected count inaccurate": [
        0,
        55
      ],
      "Harris the legitimate 2024 winner": [
        0,
        30
      ],
      "Trump the legitimate 2020 winner": [
        0,
        75
      ],
      "Violence justified at least a little": [
        0,
        35
      ]
    },
    "xFormat": {
      "digits": 0,
      "suffix": "%"
    },
    "xLabel": "Share of the group (%)",
    "y": "sample"
  },
  "subtitle": "Share giving the answer named above each panel, by ANES sample group, Democrats and Republicans with leaners; 2024 pre-election and post-election interviews",
  "table": {
    "columns": [
      {
        "key": "measure",
        "label": "Measure"
      },
      {
        "key": "sample",
        "label": "Sample group"
      },
      {
        "key": "group",
        "label": "Party"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "estimate",
        "label": "Share (%)"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "conf_low",
        "label": "Lower"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "conf_high",
        "label": "Upper"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "thousands": true
        },
        "key": "n",
        "label": "Respondents"
      }
    ]
  },
  "title": "Republican doubt about the count and Democratic doubt about the 2024 result were lower in the in-person sample than in the web sample, and the party gap on the 2020 result did not differ",
  "type": "dot"
}