{
  "alt": "Dot chart with four rows, one for each combination of election and candidate voted for, showing the share who said the candidate who lost was the legitimate winner. The 2020 Trump voters stand at {fact:lose20_trump} and the 2020 Biden voters at {fact:lose20_biden}. The 2024 Harris voters stand at {fact:lose24_harris} and the 2024 Trump voters at {fact:lose24_trump}. The two losing-side rows lie well to the right of the two winning-side rows, and the 2020 losing-side row lies to the right of the 2024 one.",
  "caption": "In each election the losing side's voters are to the right of the winning side's voters, and the 2020 losing side is farther right than the 2024 losing side. Each dot is the weighted share of voters who said the candidate who lost was the legitimate winner, Trump in 2020 and Harris in 2024, and each line is a 95% interval that follows the sampling design.",
  "data": [
    {
      "conf_high": 63.8522,
      "conf_low": 57.4419,
      "estimate": 60.647,
      "loser_side": "yes",
      "n": 1495,
      "side": "Trump voters",
      "voters": "2020 election: Trump voters"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 5.41982,
      "conf_low": 2.9554,
      "estimate": 4.18761,
      "loser_side": "no",
      "n": 2135,
      "side": "Biden or Harris voters",
      "voters": "2020 election: Biden voters"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 15.0315,
      "conf_low": 10.2936,
      "estimate": 12.6626,
      "loser_side": "yes",
      "n": 1976,
      "side": "Biden or Harris voters",
      "voters": "2024 election: Harris voters"
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 2.4427,
      "conf_low": 0.414592,
      "estimate": 1.42865,
      "loser_side": "no",
      "n": 1547,
      "side": "Trump voters",
      "voters": "2024 election: Trump voters"
    }
  ],
  "id": "losers",
  "notes": [
    "The 2020 vote is the vote recalled in the 2024 pre-election interview (V241106x), restricted to Biden and Trump voters. The 2024 vote is the post-election report of the presidential vote (V242067), restricted to Harris and Trump voters.",
    "Intervals are 95% intervals from a Taylor-series variance that uses the survey strata and primary sampling units, with the t distribution and the design degrees of freedom. A cell needs at least 100 respondents and an effective sample of 100; no plotted cell fell below that floor.",
    "Refusals, break-offs and respondents not asked are left out of each share. The paper questionnaire omitted most of these questions."
  ],
  "source": "ANES 2024 Time Series, post-election interviews, November 2024 to February 2025; weighted (V240107b); 95% design-based intervals",
  "spec": {
    "colors": {
      "Biden or Harris voters": "dem",
      "Trump voters": "rep"
    },
    "group": "side",
    "hi": "conf_high",
    "legend": false,
    "lo": "conf_low",
    "n": "n",
    "sort": "data",
    "valueLabels": true,
    "x": "estimate",
    "xDomain": [
      0,
      80
    ],
    "xFormat": {
      "digits": 0,
      "suffix": "%"
    },
    "xLabel": "Share saying the losing candidate was the legitimate winner (%)",
    "y": "voters"
  },
  "subtitle": "Share saying the candidate who lost was the legitimate winner, by the voter's choice in each election; post-election interviews, November 2024 to February 2025",
  "table": {
    "columns": [
      {
        "key": "voters",
        "label": "Election and voters"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "estimate",
        "label": "Share (%)"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "conf_low",
        "label": "Lower"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "conf_high",
        "label": "Upper"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "thousands": true
        },
        "key": "n",
        "label": "Respondents"
      }
    ]
  },
  "title": "Trump voters called Trump the legitimate 2020 winner more often ({fact:lose20_trump}) than Harris voters called Harris the legitimate 2024 winner ({fact:lose24_harris})",
  "type": "dot"
}