{
  "alt": "Two lines with narrow confidence bands show the share of Democrats and of Republicans who said the economy got better in each CES year from 2006 to 2024, over a background shaded by the party of each president. The lines cross between 2008 and 2009, 2016 and 2017 and 2020 and 2021. In 2008 both lines are at or below {fact:ces_share_max_2008}, and the premium in that year is {fact:ces_prem_2008} points.",
  "caption": "The lines cross between 2008 and 2009, between 2016 and 2017 and between 2020 and 2021, so the reversal happens within one year of each change of party. The shaded background marks the president's party. Bands are 95% intervals and are narrow because the samples are large.",
  "data": [
    {
      "conf_high": 7.66414,
      "conf_low": 6.7682,
      "n": 16316,
      "president": "Bush",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 7.20333,
      "year": 2006
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 71.0816,
      "conf_low": 69.4183,
      "n": 14998,
      "president": "Bush",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 70.2566,
      "year": 2006
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 2.77355,
      "conf_low": 1.57105,
      "n": 4240,
      "president": "Bush",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 2.08925,
      "year": 2007
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 27.6084,
      "conf_low": 23.7362,
      "n": 3671,
      "president": "Bush",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 25.6244,
      "year": 2007
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 1.06563,
      "conf_low": 0.684003,
      "n": 14626,
      "president": "Bush",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 0.853934,
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 2.4256,
      "conf_low": 1.86009,
      "n": 13856,
      "president": "Bush",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 2.12452,
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 25.7145,
      "conf_low": 23.0726,
      "n": 5973,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 24.3693,
      "year": 2009
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 5.89994,
      "conf_low": 4.55971,
      "n": 5453,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 5.18907,
      "year": 2009
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 36.9881,
      "conf_low": 35.067,
      "n": 23997,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 36.022,
      "year": 2010
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 6.38442,
      "conf_low": 5.41069,
      "n": 23350,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 5.87868,
      "year": 2010
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 25.6225,
      "conf_low": 23.0066,
      "n": 9165,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 24.2906,
      "year": 2011
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 5.59987,
      "conf_low": 4.21109,
      "n": 7285,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 4.85861,
      "year": 2011
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 56.8682,
      "conf_low": 54.9518,
      "n": 24943,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 55.9122,
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 5.7811,
      "conf_low": 4.85825,
      "n": 20488,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 5.30075,
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 47.7845,
      "conf_low": 44.5213,
      "n": 7387,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 46.1487,
      "year": 2013
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 11.7525,
      "conf_low": 9.43563,
      "n": 5253,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 10.538,
      "year": 2013
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 53.8028,
      "conf_low": 51.8918,
      "n": 25131,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 52.8484,
      "year": 2014
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 12.6187,
      "conf_low": 11.2663,
      "n": 18807,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 11.9259,
      "year": 2014
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 57.9368,
      "conf_low": 54.5871,
      "n": 6480,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 56.2691,
      "year": 2015
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 14.2204,
      "conf_low": 11.7125,
      "n": 4792,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 12.9147,
      "year": 2015
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 52.9978,
      "conf_low": 51.3854,
      "n": 30201,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 52.1922,
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 9.07632,
      "conf_low": 8.0647,
      "n": 20484,
      "president": "Obama",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 8.55697,
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 28.0641,
      "conf_low": 25.2704,
      "n": 8200,
      "president": "Trump",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 26.6439,
      "year": 2017
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 76.5135,
      "conf_low": 73.3428,
      "n": 5651,
      "president": "Trump",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 74.9616,
      "year": 2017
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 24.0826,
      "conf_low": 22.5572,
      "n": 26244,
      "president": "Trump",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 23.3112,
      "year": 2018
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 84.0578,
      "conf_low": 82.6718,
      "n": 21346,
      "president": "Trump",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 83.3763,
      "year": 2018
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 27.6647,
      "conf_low": 25.0575,
      "n": 8081,
      "president": "Trump",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 26.3404,
      "year": 2019
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 50.7679,
      "conf_low": 47.7446,
      "n": 6363,
      "president": "Trump",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 49.2555,
      "year": 2019
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 6.09766,
      "conf_low": 5.30924,
      "n": 28686,
      "president": "Trump",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 5.69064,
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 45.3197,
      "conf_low": 43.4677,
      "n": 19648,
      "president": "Trump",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 44.3918,
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 46.7041,
      "conf_low": 44.2623,
      "n": 11808,
      "president": "Biden",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 45.4805,
      "year": 2021
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 8.36564,
      "conf_low": 6.93452,
      "n": 8001,
      "president": "Biden",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 7.61931,
      "year": 2021
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 25.7681,
      "conf_low": 24.2603,
      "n": 28158,
      "president": "Biden",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 25.0066,
      "year": 2022
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 4.57594,
      "conf_low": 3.78503,
      "n": 20127,
      "president": "Biden",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 4.16255,
      "year": 2022
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 43.168,
      "conf_low": 40.6144,
      "n": 10420,
      "president": "Biden",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 41.8858,
      "year": 2023
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 9.28614,
      "conf_low": 7.77555,
      "n": 8738,
      "president": "Biden",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 8.50046,
      "year": 2023
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 53.5394,
      "conf_low": 51.4662,
      "n": 28671,
      "president": "Biden",
      "series": "Democrats",
      "share": 52.5038,
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 5.46762,
      "conf_low": 4.51422,
      "n": 21191,
      "president": "Biden",
      "series": "Republicans",
      "share": 4.9693,
      "year": 2024
    }
  ],
  "id": "share_better_ces",
  "source": "Cooperative Election Study cumulative common content, 2006-2024; weighted (year-specific weight)",
  "spec": {
    "colors": {
      "Democrats": "dem",
      "Republicans": "rep"
    },
    "eras": "presidents",
    "hi": "conf_high",
    "lo": "conf_low",
    "n": "n",
    "series": "series",
    "x": "year",
    "xDomain": [
      2006,
      2024
    ],
    "xLabel": "Survey year",
    "y": "share",
    "yDomain": [
      0,
      100
    ],
    "yFormat": {
      "digits": 0
    },
    "yLabel": "Said the economy got better (% of partisans)"
  },
  "subtitle": "Share of partisans (leaners included) saying the national economy got better over the past year, percent, by party; CES, 2006 to 2024",
  "table": {
    "columns": [
      {
        "key": "year",
        "label": "Survey year"
      },
      {
        "key": "series",
        "label": "Party"
      },
      {
        "key": "president",
        "label": "President"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "share",
        "label": "Share saying better (%)"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "conf_low",
        "label": "Interval low"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "conf_high",
        "label": "Interval high"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 0,
          "thousands": true
        },
        "key": "n",
        "label": "n"
      }
    ]
  },
  "title": "In the CES the president's party has the higher share in every year, and the lines cross at each change of party in the White House",
  "type": "line",
  "width": "wide"
}