{
  "alt": "Five small panels, one for each issue, with two lines each and interval bands. In every panel the Democratic and Republican lines are far apart. In {fact:n_bin_lines_toward} of the {fact:n_bin_lines} lines the most Democratic bin, on the right, lies nearer the Democratic side of the issue than the most Republican bin, on the left, with an interval for the change that excludes zero; the Republican line on a path to legal status is the exception. The Republican lines on abortion and legal gay marriage have the steepest slopes, rising to the right.",
  "caption": "The Democratic and Republican lines are far apart in every bin, and each line changes less across county margins than the distance between the two. Each panel is one issue; the solid blue line is Democrats and the dashed red line is Republicans. Each point is a bin of counties placed at its average margin, and bands are 95% intervals. The repeal panel plots support for repeal.",
  "data": [
    {
      "bin": "Below -40",
      "conf_high": 83.4854,
      "conf_low": 78.6286,
      "estimate": 81.1551,
      "issue": "Assault weapons ban",
      "margin": -53.3459,
      "n": 8553,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-40 to -20",
      "conf_high": 84.6078,
      "conf_low": 81.2369,
      "estimate": 82.9985,
      "issue": "Assault weapons ban",
      "margin": -29.0913,
      "n": 13631,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-20 to -5",
      "conf_high": 86.7418,
      "conf_low": 82.798,
      "estimate": 84.8057,
      "issue": "Assault weapons ban",
      "margin": -12.7026,
      "n": 13578,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-5 to 5",
      "conf_high": 87.0341,
      "conf_low": 82.6473,
      "estimate": 84.9094,
      "issue": "Assault weapons ban",
      "margin": 0.11198,
      "n": 13026,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "5 to 20",
      "conf_high": 87.4048,
      "conf_low": 85.785,
      "estimate": 86.5601,
      "issue": "Assault weapons ban",
      "margin": 12.2018,
      "n": 25300,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "20 to 40",
      "conf_high": 88.2877,
      "conf_low": 85.2373,
      "estimate": 86.6779,
      "issue": "Assault weapons ban",
      "margin": 28.4766,
      "n": 21675,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Above 40",
      "conf_high": 88.5934,
      "conf_low": 86.3193,
      "estimate": 87.2916,
      "issue": "Assault weapons ban",
      "margin": 56.2558,
      "n": 27716,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Below -40",
      "conf_high": 38.646,
      "conf_low": 34.4791,
      "estimate": 36.4722,
      "issue": "Assault weapons ban",
      "margin": -53.3459,
      "n": 14432,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-40 to -20",
      "conf_high": 40.5509,
      "conf_low": 36.6203,
      "estimate": 38.7335,
      "issue": "Assault weapons ban",
      "margin": -29.0913,
      "n": 15619,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-20 to -5",
      "conf_high": 42.3913,
      "conf_low": 37.6235,
      "estimate": 40.2209,
      "issue": "Assault weapons ban",
      "margin": -12.7026,
      "n": 11652,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-5 to 5",
      "conf_high": 43.0549,
      "conf_low": 37.7285,
      "estimate": 40.2922,
      "issue": "Assault weapons ban",
      "margin": 0.11198,
      "n": 9253,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "5 to 20",
      "conf_high": 45.4805,
      "conf_low": 40.8172,
      "estimate": 43.3457,
      "issue": "Assault weapons ban",
      "margin": 12.2018,
      "n": 14228,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "20 to 40",
      "conf_high": 48.9048,
      "conf_low": 44.4035,
      "estimate": 46.9615,
      "issue": "Assault weapons ban",
      "margin": 28.4766,
      "n": 9629,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Above 40",
      "conf_high": 53.4303,
      "conf_low": 44.8444,
      "estimate": 49.0399,
      "issue": "Assault weapons ban",
      "margin": 56.2558,
      "n": 6811,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Below -40",
      "conf_high": 75.6089,
      "conf_low": 69.0758,
      "estimate": 72.6213,
      "issue": "Path to legal status",
      "margin": -53.3459,
      "n": 6731,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-40 to -20",
      "conf_high": 74.1211,
      "conf_low": 70.0247,
      "estimate": 72.1446,
      "issue": "Path to legal status",
      "margin": -29.0913,
      "n": 10838,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-20 to -5",
      "conf_high": 74.8251,
      "conf_low": 70.8978,
      "estimate": 72.8899,
      "issue": "Path to legal status",
      "margin": -12.7026,
      "n": 11500,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-5 to 5",
      "conf_high": 75.213,
      "conf_low": 70.2099,
      "estimate": 72.6971,
      "issue": "Path to legal status",
      "margin": 0.11198,
      "n": 10868,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "5 to 20",
      "conf_high": 75.9527,
      "conf_low": 73.9726,
      "estimate": 74.9734,
      "issue": "Path to legal status",
      "margin": 12.2018,
      "n": 21339,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "20 to 40",
      "conf_high": 78.1048,
      "conf_low": 74.792,
      "estimate": 76.4746,
      "issue": "Path to legal status",
      "margin": 28.4766,
      "n": 18012,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Above 40",
      "conf_high": 79.1837,
      "conf_low": 76.6236,
      "estimate": 77.9509,
      "issue": "Path to legal status",
      "margin": 56.2558,
      "n": 23266,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Below -40",
      "conf_high": 36.157,
      "conf_low": 32.8992,
      "estimate": 34.401,
      "issue": "Path to legal status",
      "margin": -53.3459,
      "n": 11088,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-40 to -20",
      "conf_high": 36.3209,
      "conf_low": 33.009,
      "estimate": 34.6276,
      "issue": "Path to legal status",
      "margin": -29.0913,
      "n": 12294,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-20 to -5",
      "conf_high": 35.0416,
      "conf_low": 32.0725,
      "estimate": 33.6829,
      "issue": "Path to legal status",
      "margin": -12.7026,
      "n": 9881,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-5 to 5",
      "conf_high": 37.3595,
      "conf_low": 33.8253,
      "estimate": 35.4935,
      "issue": "Path to legal status",
      "margin": 0.11198,
      "n": 7640,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "5 to 20",
      "conf_high": 37.944,
      "conf_low": 32.6825,
      "estimate": 35.4149,
      "issue": "Path to legal status",
      "margin": 12.2018,
      "n": 11721,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "20 to 40",
      "conf_high": 39.7138,
      "conf_low": 35.644,
      "estimate": 37.7234,
      "issue": "Path to legal status",
      "margin": 28.4766,
      "n": 7837,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Above 40",
      "conf_high": 42.7356,
      "conf_low": 34.0328,
      "estimate": 37.5306,
      "issue": "Path to legal status",
      "margin": 56.2558,
      "n": 5585,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Below -40",
      "conf_high": 29.3403,
      "conf_low": 25.132,
      "estimate": 27.4386,
      "issue": "Repeal the ACA (support for repeal)",
      "margin": -53.3459,
      "n": 8556,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-40 to -20",
      "conf_high": 26.2213,
      "conf_low": 22.4552,
      "estimate": 24.3778,
      "issue": "Repeal the ACA (support for repeal)",
      "margin": -29.0913,
      "n": 13619,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-20 to -5",
      "conf_high": 25.9606,
      "conf_low": 22.4419,
      "estimate": 24.1359,
      "issue": "Repeal the ACA (support for repeal)",
      "margin": -12.7026,
      "n": 13555,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-5 to 5",
      "conf_high": 24.4092,
      "conf_low": 21.3015,
      "estimate": 22.9348,
      "issue": "Repeal the ACA (support for repeal)",
      "margin": 0.11198,
      "n": 13014,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "5 to 20",
      "conf_high": 23.2094,
      "conf_low": 19.7257,
      "estimate": 21.69,
      "issue": "Repeal the ACA (support for repeal)",
      "margin": 12.2018,
      "n": 25277,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "20 to 40",
      "conf_high": 24.3711,
      "conf_low": 19.2447,
      "estimate": 21.9495,
      "issue": "Repeal the ACA (support for repeal)",
      "margin": 28.4766,
      "n": 21665,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Above 40",
      "conf_high": 23.7906,
      "conf_low": 18.73,
      "estimate": 21.577,
      "issue": "Repeal the ACA (support for repeal)",
      "margin": 56.2558,
      "n": 27714,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Below -40",
      "conf_high": 83.7201,
      "conf_low": 80.8988,
      "estimate": 82.4196,
      "issue": "Repeal the ACA (support for repeal)",
      "margin": -53.3459,
      "n": 14470,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-40 to -20",
      "conf_high": 84.8267,
      "conf_low": 82.5322,
      "estimate": 83.7065,
      "issue": "Repeal the ACA (support for repeal)",
      "margin": -29.0913,
      "n": 15630,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-20 to -5",
      "conf_high": 86.7901,
      "conf_low": 84.593,
      "estimate": 85.7269,
      "issue": "Repeal the ACA (support for repeal)",
      "margin": -12.7026,
      "n": 11652,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-5 to 5",
      "conf_high": 84.5391,
      "conf_low": 82.0062,
      "estimate": 83.1624,
      "issue": "Repeal the ACA (support for repeal)",
      "margin": 0.11198,
      "n": 9251,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "5 to 20",
      "conf_high": 83.0679,
      "conf_low": 80.2133,
      "estimate": 81.4697,
      "issue": "Repeal the ACA (support for repeal)",
      "margin": 12.2018,
      "n": 14220,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "20 to 40",
      "conf_high": 80.8945,
      "conf_low": 77.953,
      "estimate": 79.4243,
      "issue": "Repeal the ACA (support for repeal)",
      "margin": 28.4766,
      "n": 9633,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Above 40",
      "conf_high": 79.8438,
      "conf_low": 76.2191,
      "estimate": 77.4001,
      "issue": "Repeal the ACA (support for repeal)",
      "margin": 56.2558,
      "n": 6826,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Below -40",
      "conf_high": 73.8855,
      "conf_low": 66.7373,
      "estimate": 70.3743,
      "issue": "Abortion legal",
      "margin": -53.3459,
      "n": 8255,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-40 to -20",
      "conf_high": 76.2508,
      "conf_low": 71.8967,
      "estimate": 74.1535,
      "issue": "Abortion legal",
      "margin": -29.0913,
      "n": 13015,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-20 to -5",
      "conf_high": 79.8245,
      "conf_low": 76.7729,
      "estimate": 78.388,
      "issue": "Abortion legal",
      "margin": -12.7026,
      "n": 12696,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-5 to 5",
      "conf_high": 80.6448,
      "conf_low": 75.5423,
      "estimate": 78.2109,
      "issue": "Abortion legal",
      "margin": 0.11198,
      "n": 12287,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "5 to 20",
      "conf_high": 82.0759,
      "conf_low": 78.6688,
      "estimate": 80.4288,
      "issue": "Abortion legal",
      "margin": 12.2018,
      "n": 24028,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "20 to 40",
      "conf_high": 82.9595,
      "conf_low": 77.8534,
      "estimate": 80.3808,
      "issue": "Abortion legal",
      "margin": 28.4766,
      "n": 20804,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Above 40",
      "conf_high": 84.9768,
      "conf_low": 81.9849,
      "estimate": 83.5906,
      "issue": "Abortion legal",
      "margin": 56.2558,
      "n": 26619,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Below -40",
      "conf_high": 23.1159,
      "conf_low": 19.968,
      "estimate": 21.5683,
      "issue": "Abortion legal",
      "margin": -53.3459,
      "n": 14058,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-40 to -20",
      "conf_high": 27.8221,
      "conf_low": 23.3894,
      "estimate": 25.7602,
      "issue": "Abortion legal",
      "margin": -29.0913,
      "n": 15033,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-20 to -5",
      "conf_high": 31.6205,
      "conf_low": 26.0245,
      "estimate": 28.8756,
      "issue": "Abortion legal",
      "margin": -12.7026,
      "n": 10900,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-5 to 5",
      "conf_high": 34.3866,
      "conf_low": 29.4781,
      "estimate": 32.3307,
      "issue": "Abortion legal",
      "margin": 0.11198,
      "n": 8783,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "5 to 20",
      "conf_high": 35.548,
      "conf_low": 29.431,
      "estimate": 32.9488,
      "issue": "Abortion legal",
      "margin": 12.2018,
      "n": 13516,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "20 to 40",
      "conf_high": 38.4764,
      "conf_low": 32.1532,
      "estimate": 35.5928,
      "issue": "Abortion legal",
      "margin": 28.4766,
      "n": 9260,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Above 40",
      "conf_high": 45.055,
      "conf_low": 36.3101,
      "estimate": 41.6219,
      "issue": "Abortion legal",
      "margin": 56.2558,
      "n": 6558,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Below -40",
      "conf_high": 68.3736,
      "conf_low": 59.6368,
      "estimate": 63.8994,
      "issue": "Gay marriage",
      "margin": -53.3459,
      "n": 3353,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-40 to -20",
      "conf_high": 71.4069,
      "conf_low": 64.6039,
      "estimate": 67.9895,
      "issue": "Gay marriage",
      "margin": -29.0913,
      "n": 6079,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-20 to -5",
      "conf_high": 75.9311,
      "conf_low": 68.9289,
      "estimate": 72.8882,
      "issue": "Gay marriage",
      "margin": -12.7026,
      "n": 6730,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-5 to 5",
      "conf_high": 76.6216,
      "conf_low": 67.968,
      "estimate": 72.0081,
      "issue": "Gay marriage",
      "margin": 0.11198,
      "n": 6378,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "5 to 20",
      "conf_high": 77.244,
      "conf_low": 70.6226,
      "estimate": 74.0809,
      "issue": "Gay marriage",
      "margin": 12.2018,
      "n": 11861,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "20 to 40",
      "conf_high": 77.285,
      "conf_low": 67.9403,
      "estimate": 72.4504,
      "issue": "Gay marriage",
      "margin": 28.4766,
      "n": 9357,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Above 40",
      "conf_high": 79.1457,
      "conf_low": 70.8141,
      "estimate": 75.2035,
      "issue": "Gay marriage",
      "margin": 56.2558,
      "n": 12598,
      "party": "Democrats"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Below -40",
      "conf_high": 27.8119,
      "conf_low": 22.7903,
      "estimate": 25.2235,
      "issue": "Gay marriage",
      "margin": -53.3459,
      "n": 5044,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-40 to -20",
      "conf_high": 30.9953,
      "conf_low": 26.7033,
      "estimate": 28.9829,
      "issue": "Gay marriage",
      "margin": -29.0913,
      "n": 6668,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-20 to -5",
      "conf_high": 35.0514,
      "conf_low": 28.8906,
      "estimate": 31.866,
      "issue": "Gay marriage",
      "margin": -12.7026,
      "n": 5720,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "-5 to 5",
      "conf_high": 39.4626,
      "conf_low": 32.9986,
      "estimate": 36.452,
      "issue": "Gay marriage",
      "margin": 0.11198,
      "n": 4399,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "5 to 20",
      "conf_high": 40.1067,
      "conf_low": 34.0171,
      "estimate": 37.5131,
      "issue": "Gay marriage",
      "margin": 12.2018,
      "n": 6431,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "20 to 40",
      "conf_high": 41.7761,
      "conf_low": 35.9248,
      "estimate": 38.9606,
      "issue": "Gay marriage",
      "margin": 28.4766,
      "n": 4079,
      "party": "Republicans"
    },
    {
      "bin": "Above 40",
      "conf_high": 45.503,
      "conf_low": 35.9403,
      "estimate": 42.1791,
      "issue": "Gay marriage",
      "margin": 56.2558,
      "n": 3082,
      "party": "Republicans"
    }
  ],
  "id": "support_by_margin",
  "notes": [
    "Counties are grouped by the Democratic minus Republican margin of the most recent presidential election; the data table names the bins. The two outer bins cover a wider range of margins than the others.",
    "Intervals are 95% intervals from a bootstrap that resamples whole states; they are model based and ignore the design of the panel."
  ],
  "source": "CES cumulative common content, 2013-2021; county returns for the two-party margin; weighted (weight_cumulative)",
  "spec": {
    "colors": {
      "Democrats": "dem",
      "Republicans": "rep"
    },
    "dashed": [
      "Republicans"
    ],
    "endLabels": false,
    "facet": "issue",
    "facetColumns": 3,
    "series": "party",
    "x": "margin",
    "xDomain": [
      -70,
      70
    ],
    "xFormat": {
      "digits": 0,
      "signed": true
    },
    "xLabel": "County two-party margin (points, Democratic minus Republican)",
    "y": "estimate",
    "yDomain": [
      0,
      100
    ],
    "yFormat": {
      "digits": 0
    },
    "yLabel": "Share supporting (%)"
  },
  "subtitle": "Share supporting the policy (%) by party and two-party margin of the respondent's county, seven bins of counties; five issues; CES survey years 2013 to 2021",
  "title": "Within each party, support changes less across county margins than it differs between the parties",
  "type": "line",
  "width": "wide"
}