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  "act_any_chg_logit": {
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    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, web interviews minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
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    "estimand": "change per decade in the coldness coefficient, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
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    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
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  "act_any_diff_1": {
    "ci": [
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    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.0",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on any campaign activity, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
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    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
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  "act_any_diff_2": {
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    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on any campaign activity, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
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    "note": "",
    "period": "1992 to 2008",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
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    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on any campaign activity, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
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    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
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    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on any campaign activity, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
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    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, all interviews",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
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    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
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    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
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    "display": "0.3",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on any campaign activity, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
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    "period": "1978 to 1990, presidential election years only",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.280679,
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    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on any campaign activity, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, leaners excluded, per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
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    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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    "estimand": "change per decade in the coldness-minus-warmth difference, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
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    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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    "ci": [
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    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on any campaign activity, one linear probability model for the survey year (95% interval, HC3)",
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    "period": "2020",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
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  "act_any_yr_2024": {
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  "cell_act_any_cold_3": {
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      61.8
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    "ciLevel": 0.95,
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    "estimand": "weighted share, any campaign activity, group: cold only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 5510,
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    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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  "cell_act_any_warm_3": {
    "ci": [
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    "estimand": "weighted share, any campaign activity, group: warm only (95% Wilson interval)",
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    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
    "source": "anes",
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  "cell_house_both_1": {
    "ci": [
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      91.4
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    "estimand": "weighted share, party-line House vote, group: both (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 571,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
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  "cell_house_cold_1": {
    "ci": [
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      93
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    "display": "89.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, party-line House vote, group: cold only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 247,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
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    "value": 89.8785,
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  "cell_house_cold_3": {
    "ci": [
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      95.8
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    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "95.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, party-line House vote, group: cold only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 4397,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group",
    "value": 94.9743,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
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  "cell_house_warm_1": {
    "ci": [
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      81.5
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    "display": "79.8%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, party-line House vote, group: warm only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 1995,
    "note": "",
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    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
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  "cell_house_warm_3": {
    "ci": [
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    "estimand": "weighted share, party-line House vote, group: warm only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 1376,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
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    "value": 89.9216,
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  "cell_pres_both_3": {
    "ci": [
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      99.5
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    "ciLevel": 0.95,
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    "estimand": "weighted share, party-line presidential vote, group: both (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 4393,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
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    "value": 99.1791,
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  "cell_pres_cold_3": {
    "ci": [
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      98.5
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    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "98.1%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, party-line presidential vote, group: cold only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 4774,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
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    "value": 98.0646,
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  "cell_pres_neither_3": {
    "ci": [
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      84.6
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    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "83.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, party-line presidential vote, group: neither (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 4794,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group",
    "value": 83.1928,
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  "cell_pres_warm_3": {
    "ci": [
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    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "95.4%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, party-line presidential vote, group: warm only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 1651,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
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  "cell_straight_both_1": {
    "ci": [
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      90.5
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    "display": "87.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, straight-ticket vote, group: both (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 306,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
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  "cell_straight_cold_1": {
    "ci": [
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      93.3
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    "display": "88.6%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, straight-ticket vote, group: cold only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 105,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
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    "value": 88.5714,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
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  "cell_straight_cold_3": {
    "ci": [
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    "display": "94.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, straight-ticket vote, group: cold only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 4232,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group",
    "value": 94.8852,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
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  "cell_straight_warm_1": {
    "ci": [
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    "display": "76.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, straight-ticket vote, group: warm only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 952,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
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    "value": 76.8908,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
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  "cell_straight_warm_3": {
    "ci": [
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    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "90.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, straight-ticket vote, group: warm only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 1351,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group",
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    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
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  "cell_turnout_cold_1": {
    "ci": [
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      67.4
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    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "63.1%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, turnout, group: cold only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 472,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group",
    "value": 63.1356,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
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  "cell_turnout_cold_3": {
    "ci": [
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      89
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    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "87.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, turnout, group: cold only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 5582,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group",
    "value": 87.9307,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
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  "cell_turnout_warm_1": {
    "ci": [
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      70.1
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    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "68.6%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, turnout, group: warm only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 3405,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of the group",
    "value": 68.605,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
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  "cell_turnout_warm_3": {
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    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "82.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted share, turnout, group: warm only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 2043,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
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    "value": 82.1894,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
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  "cellgap_act_any_1": {
    "ci": [
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    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "3.5",
    "estimand": "difference between the share among partisans very cold toward the other party only and the share among those very warm toward their own party only, any campaign activity (95% interval, independent groups)",
    "n": 3848,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
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    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
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  "cellgap_act_any_3": {
    "ci": [
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    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "5.4",
    "estimand": "difference between the share among partisans very cold toward the other party only and the share among those very warm toward their own party only, any campaign activity (95% interval, independent groups)",
    "n": 7521,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered all five campaign activity questions",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 5.43881,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "cellgap_chg_house": {
    "ci": [
      -9.8,
      -0.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−5.0",
    "estimand": "change in the difference between the share among partisans cold only and the share among partisans warm only, party-line House vote (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": -5.02636,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "cellgap_chg_straight": {
    "ci": [
      -14.2,
      0
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−7.1",
    "estimand": "change in the difference between the share among partisans cold only and the share among partisans warm only, straight-ticket vote (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": -7.11056,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "cellgap_chg_turnout": {
    "ci": [
      5.9,
      16.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "11.2",
    "estimand": "change in the difference between the share among partisans cold only and the share among partisans warm only, turnout (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 11.2108,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "cellgap_house_1": {
    "ci": [
      5.9,
      14.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "10.1",
    "estimand": "difference between the share among partisans very cold toward the other party only and the share among those very warm toward their own party only, party-line House vote (95% interval, independent groups)",
    "n": 2242,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 10.079,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "cellgap_house_3": {
    "ci": [
      2.7,
      7.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "5.1",
    "estimand": "difference between the share among partisans very cold toward the other party only and the share among those very warm toward their own party only, party-line House vote (95% interval, independent groups)",
    "n": 5773,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 5.05269,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "cellgap_pres_1": {
    "ci": [
      2.3,
      9.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "6.0",
    "estimand": "difference between the share among partisans very cold toward the other party only and the share among those very warm toward their own party only, party-line presidential vote (95% interval, independent groups)",
    "n": 1221,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 5.96694,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "cellgap_pres_3": {
    "ci": [
      1.2,
      4.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "2.6",
    "estimand": "difference between the share among partisans very cold toward the other party only and the share among those very warm toward their own party only, party-line presidential vote (95% interval, independent groups)",
    "n": 6425,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 2.64571,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "cellgap_straight_1": {
    "ci": [
      5,
      18.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "11.7",
    "estimand": "difference between the share among partisans very cold toward the other party only and the share among those very warm toward their own party only, straight-ticket vote (95% interval, independent groups)",
    "n": 1057,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 11.6807,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "cellgap_straight_3": {
    "ci": [
      2.2,
      6.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "4.6",
    "estimand": "difference between the share among partisans very cold toward the other party only and the share among those very warm toward their own party only, straight-ticket vote (95% interval, independent groups)",
    "n": 5583,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 4.57011,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "cellgap_turnout_1": {
    "ci": [
      -10.1,
      -0.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−5.5",
    "estimand": "difference between the share among partisans very cold toward the other party only and the share among those very warm toward their own party only, turnout (95% interval, independent groups)",
    "n": 3877,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": -5.4694,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "cellgap_turnout_3": {
    "ci": [
      3.2,
      8.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "5.7",
    "estimand": "difference between the share among partisans very cold toward the other party only and the share among those very warm toward their own party only, turnout (95% interval, independent groups)",
    "n": 7625,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points",
    "value": 5.74138,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "corr_1": {
    "ci": [
      -0.08,
      -0.04
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.06",
    "estimand": "weighted correlation between the rating of the own party and the rating of the other party, each centered on its survey-year mean (Fisher z interval on the Kish effective sample size)",
    "n": 11264,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "correlation coefficient",
    "value": -0.0623214,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "corr_3": {
    "ci": [
      -0.25,
      -0.21
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.23",
    "estimand": "weighted correlation between the rating of the own party and the rating of the other party, each centered on its survey-year mean (Fisher z interval on the Kish effective sample size)",
    "n": 20943,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "correlation coefficient",
    "value": -0.227822,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "cut_cold_loose": {
    "display": "30",
    "estimand": "cut-off chosen by the author (a definition, not an estimate)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "cut-off between a rating that counts as very cold toward the other party and one that does not",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "points on the feeling thermometer",
    "value": 30,
    "weights": "none (constant)"
  },
  "cut_cold_strict": {
    "display": "15",
    "estimand": "cut-off chosen by the author (a definition, not an estimate)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "cut-off between a rating that counts as very cold toward the other party and one that does not",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "points on the feeling thermometer",
    "value": 15,
    "weights": "none (constant)"
  },
  "cut_warm_loose": {
    "display": "70",
    "estimand": "cut-off chosen by the author (a definition, not an estimate)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "cut-off between a rating that counts as very warm toward the own party and one that does not",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "points on the feeling thermometer",
    "value": 70,
    "weights": "none (constant)"
  },
  "cut_warm_strict": {
    "display": "85",
    "estimand": "cut-off chosen by the author (a definition, not an estimate)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "cut-off between a rating that counts as very warm toward the own party and one that does not",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "points on the feeling thermometer",
    "value": 85,
    "weights": "none (constant)"
  },
  "floor_cell": {
    "display": "100",
    "estimand": "minimum number of respondents (and of effective respondents) for a plotted cell",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "cells of a table of shares or coefficients",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "respondents",
    "value": 100,
    "weights": "none (constant)"
  },
  "floor_year": {
    "display": "150",
    "estimand": "minimum number of respondents who answered the behavior question for a yearly estimate",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "yearly models",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "respondents",
    "value": 150,
    "weights": "none (constant)"
  },
  "gmode_ftf_cold": {
    "ci": [
      17.8,
      21.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "19.5%",
    "estimand": "weighted share in the group cold only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 3787,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, face-to-face interviews",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 19.4916,
    "weights": "weight_ftf (VCF0009x)"
  },
  "gmode_ftf_warm": {
    "ci": [
      12.1,
      15
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "13.5%",
    "estimand": "weighted share in the group warm only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 3787,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, face-to-face interviews",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 13.5032,
    "weights": "weight_ftf (VCF0009x)"
  },
  "gmode_web_cold": {
    "ci": [
      27.8,
      30.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "29.1%",
    "estimand": "weighted share in the group cold only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 7712,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, web interviews",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 29.0726,
    "weights": "weight_web (VCF0009y)"
  },
  "gmode_web_warm": {
    "ci": [
      10.1,
      11.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "11.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted share in the group warm only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 7712,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, web interviews",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 10.9966,
    "weights": "weight_web (VCF0009y)"
  },
  "gshare_strict_both_1": {
    "ci": [
      8.4,
      9.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "8.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share in the group both (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 11264,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 8.90447,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "gshare_strict_both_3": {
    "ci": [
      24.4,
      26
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "25.2%",
    "estimand": "weighted share in the group both (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 20943,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 25.2144,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "gshare_strict_cold_1": {
    "ci": [
      4,
      4.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "4.4%",
    "estimand": "weighted share in the group cold only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 11264,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 4.41229,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "gshare_strict_cold_3": {
    "ci": [
      27.3,
      28.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "28.1%",
    "estimand": "weighted share in the group cold only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 20943,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 28.0999,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "gshare_strict_warm_1": {
    "ci": [
      31.2,
      32.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "32.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted share in the group warm only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 11264,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 32.0312,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "gshare_strict_warm_3": {
    "ci": [
      9.9,
      11.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "10.5%",
    "estimand": "weighted share in the group warm only (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 20943,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 10.4951,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_alone_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      0.7,
      1.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.2",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line House vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, each feeling in its own model, per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 13912,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.16552,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_chg": {
    "ci": [
      0.5,
      2.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.5",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.52308,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_chg_ftf": {
    "ci": [
      -0.1,
      3.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.5",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, face-to-face interviews minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.49442,
    "weights": "weight_ftf (VCF0009x)"
  },
  "house_chg_logit": {
    "ci": [
      0.04,
      0.18
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.11",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, log-odds coefficient in a weighted logistic regression with year fixed effects, per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "log-odds of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.112855,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_chg_logit_ftf": {
    "ci": [
      0,
      0.31
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.16",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, log-odds coefficient in a weighted logistic regression with year fixed effects, per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, face-to-face interviews minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "log-odds of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.15741,
    "weights": "weight_ftf (VCF0009x)"
  },
  "house_chg_logit_p": {
    "ci": [
      0.02,
      0.19
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.10",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, log-odds coefficient in a weighted logistic regression with year fixed effects, per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990, presidential election years only",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "log-odds of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.103502,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_chg_logit_web": {
    "ci": [
      -0.01,
      0.18
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.08",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, log-odds coefficient in a weighted logistic regression with year fixed effects, per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, web interviews minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "log-odds of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.0846999,
    "weights": "weight_web (VCF0009y)"
  },
  "house_chg_loose": {
    "ci": [
      0.03,
      8.55
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "4.29",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings as indicators (other party rated at or below the loose cut-off, own party at or above it) (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome between groups",
    "value": 4.29235,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_chg_p": {
    "ci": [
      0,
      2.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.3",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990, presidential election years only",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.34054,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_chg_strict": {
    "ci": [
      -1.4,
      6.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "2.7",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings as indicators (other party rated at or below the strict cut-off, own party at or above it) (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome between groups",
    "value": 2.74514,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_chg_web": {
    "ci": [
      0,
      2.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.2",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, web interviews minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.21492,
    "weights": "weight_web (VCF0009y)"
  },
  "house_cold_3": {
    "ci": [
      3.1,
      3.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "3.5",
    "estimand": "coldness toward the other party on party-line House vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 13912,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 3.47528,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_cold_slope": {
    "ci": [
      -0.1,
      0.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.1",
    "estimand": "change per decade in the coldness coefficient, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 26113,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
    "value": 0.12596,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_controls_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      0.6,
      1.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.2",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line House vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, party, strength of identification, education, age and interest in the campaign held fixed, per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 13254,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.23629,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_diff_1": {
    "ci": [
      -0.8,
      0.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.0",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line House vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 5930,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.0346624,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_diff_2": {
    "ci": [
      -0.6,
      1.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.2",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line House vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 6271,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1992 to 2008",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.229198,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      1,
      2.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.6",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line House vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 13912,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.55775,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_diff_ftf": {
    "ci": [
      0.2,
      2.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.5",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line House vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 2283,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, face-to-face interviews",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.52908,
    "weights": "weight_ftf (VCF0009x)"
  },
  "house_diff_web": {
    "ci": [
      0.4,
      2.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.2",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line House vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 4990,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, web interviews",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.24958,
    "weights": "weight_web (VCF0009y)"
  },
  "house_diffp_1": {
    "ci": [
      -1,
      1.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.2",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line House vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 2792,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990, presidential election years only",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.217205,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_noleaner_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      -0.1,
      1.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.7",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line House vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, leaners excluded, per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 10454,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.671685,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_slope": {
    "ci": [
      0.2,
      0.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.5",
    "estimand": "change per decade in the coldness-minus-warmth difference, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 26113,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
    "value": 0.476638,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_slope_p": {
    "ci": [
      0.1,
      0.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.5",
    "estimand": "change per decade in the coldness-minus-warmth difference, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 21581,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1980 to 2024, presidential election years only",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
    "value": 0.479628,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_strict_diff_1": {
    "ci": [
      1.9,
      9.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "5.6",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line House vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings as indicators (other party rated at or below the strict cut-off, own party at or above it) (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 5930,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome between groups",
    "value": 5.56918,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_warm_3": {
    "ci": [
      1.5,
      2.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.9",
    "estimand": "warmth toward the own party on party-line House vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 13912,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.91753,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_warm_slope": {
    "ci": [
      -0.5,
      -0.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.4",
    "estimand": "change per decade in the warmth coefficient, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 26113,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
    "value": -0.350678,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_yr_2020": {
    "ci": [
      1.3,
      3.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "2.3",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line House vote, one linear probability model for the survey year (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 4929,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 2.27706,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "house_yr_2024": {
    "ci": [
      -0.5,
      1.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.6",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line House vote, one linear probability model for the survey year (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 3515,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.61281,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "item_button_diff_1": {
    "ci": [
      -0.9,
      -0.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.5",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on act_button, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 10656,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the question on whether they displayed a button or sticker",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": -0.507048,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "item_button_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      -0.7,
      0.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.1",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on act_button, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 18889,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the question on whether they displayed a button or sticker",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": -0.128001,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "item_meeting_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      -0.1,
      0.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.3",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on act_meeting, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 18886,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the question on whether they attended a political meeting or rally",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.314126,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "item_money_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      1.4,
      2.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.9",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on act_money, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 18708,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the question on whether they gave money to a party or candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.93674,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "item_persuade_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      1.1,
      2.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.9",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on act_persuade, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 18886,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the question on whether they tried to persuade others how to vote",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.87164,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "item_work_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      0,
      0.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.3",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on act_work, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 18892,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the question on whether they worked for a party or candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.342831,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "lean_anes_2020": {
    "ci": [
      54.3,
      57.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "56.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted share reporting a Democratic vote (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 6119,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020",
    "population": "ANES respondents who reported voting for the Democratic or Republican presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of respondents who reported a major-party presidential vote",
    "value": 55.9876,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "lean_anes_2024": {
    "ci": [
      53,
      57.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "55.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share reporting a Democratic vote (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 3948,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "ANES respondents who reported voting for the Democratic or Republican presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of respondents who reported a major-party presidential vote",
    "value": 55.2819,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "lean_county_2020": {
    "display": "52.3%",
    "estimand": "Democratic share of the two-party vote, summed over counties",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020",
    "population": "votes cast for the Democratic or Republican candidate in all counties except Alaska",
    "source": "county-returns",
    "unit": "percent of the two-party presidential vote",
    "value": 52.2862,
    "weights": "none (full counts)"
  },
  "lean_county_2024": {
    "display": "49.3%",
    "estimand": "Democratic share of the two-party vote, summed over counties",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2024",
    "population": "votes cast for the Democratic or Republican candidate in all counties except Alaska",
    "source": "county-returns",
    "unit": "percent of the two-party presidential vote",
    "value": 49.2613,
    "weights": "none (full counts)"
  },
  "leaner_share_1": {
    "display": "27%",
    "estimand": "weighted share who lean toward a party and do not identify with it",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 26.5092,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "leaner_share_3": {
    "display": "27%",
    "estimand": "weighted share who lean toward a party and do not identify with it",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 26.8406,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "midterm_share_1": {
    "display": "56%",
    "estimand": "share of the sample interviewed in a midterm election year (respondent count)",
    "n": 11264,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of respondents",
    "value": 56.4276,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "midterm_share_2": {
    "display": "25%",
    "estimand": "share of the sample interviewed in a midterm election year (respondent count)",
    "n": 10856,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1992 to 2008",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of respondents",
    "value": 24.6039,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_chk_cells": {
    "display": "25",
    "estimand": "count of estimates with the stated property (see the figure caption)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "estimates shown in the chapter's figures",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "count",
    "value": 25,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_chk_excl": {
    "display": "21",
    "estimand": "count of estimates with the stated property (see the figure caption)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "estimates shown in the chapter's figures",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "count",
    "value": 21,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_chk_incl": {
    "display": "4",
    "estimand": "count of estimates with the stated property (see the figure caption)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "estimates shown in the chapter's figures",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "count",
    "value": 4,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_cut_cells": {
    "display": "20",
    "estimand": "count of estimates with the stated property (see the figure caption)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "estimates shown in the chapter's figures",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "count",
    "value": 20,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_cut_chg_cells": {
    "display": "20",
    "estimand": "count of estimates with the stated property (see the figure caption)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "estimates shown in the chapter's figures",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "count",
    "value": 20,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_cut_chg_pos": {
    "display": "12",
    "estimand": "count of estimates with the stated property (see the figure caption)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "estimates shown in the chapter's figures",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "count",
    "value": 12,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_cut_incl_1": {
    "display": "12",
    "estimand": "count of estimates with the stated property (see the figure caption)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "estimates shown in the chapter's figures",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "count",
    "value": 12,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_ld_waves": {
    "display": "7",
    "estimand": "count of survey years",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1996 to 2024",
    "population": "ANES time-series studies with the like-dislike scale for both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "surveys",
    "value": 7,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_resp": {
    "display": "43,063",
    "estimand": "count of respondents in the sample",
    "note": "",
    "period": "18 surveys, 1978 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "respondents",
    "value": 43063,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_waves": {
    "display": "18",
    "estimand": "count of survey years",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "ANES time-series studies with both party thermometers",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "surveys",
    "value": 18,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_yr": {
    "display": "78",
    "estimand": "count of estimates with the stated property (see the figure caption)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "estimates shown in the chapter's figures",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "count",
    "value": 78,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_yr_neg": {
    "display": "3",
    "estimand": "count of estimates with the stated property (see the figure caption)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "estimates shown in the chapter's figures",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "count",
    "value": 3,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "n_yr_pos": {
    "display": "14",
    "estimand": "count of estimates with the stated property (see the figure caption)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "estimates shown in the chapter's figures",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "count",
    "value": 14,
    "weights": "none (count)"
  },
  "pres_alone_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      0.1,
      0.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.5",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line presidential vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, each feeling in its own model, per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 15612,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.503956,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_chg": {
    "ci": [
      -0.2,
      1.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.8",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.837087,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_chg_hi": {
    "display": "1.9",
    "estimand": "upper end of the 95% interval for the change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods (independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.91827,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_chg_logit": {
    "ci": [
      -0.11,
      0.09
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.01",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, log-odds coefficient in a weighted logistic regression with year fixed effects, per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "log-odds of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": -0.0116399,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_chg_loose": {
    "ci": [
      4,
      12.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "8.4",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings as indicators (other party rated at or below the loose cut-off, own party at or above it) (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome between groups",
    "value": 8.38354,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_chg_sd": {
    "ci": [
      -1.7,
      2.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.4",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per within-year standard deviation (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per standard deviation of the rating",
    "value": 0.441083,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_chg_strict": {
    "ci": [
      2.5,
      9.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "6.1",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings as indicators (other party rated at or below the strict cut-off, own party at or above it) (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome between groups",
    "value": 6.08397,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_cold_slope": {
    "ci": [
      -0.3,
      0.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.1",
    "estimand": "change per decade in the coldness coefficient, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 24102,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
    "value": -0.0946988,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_controls_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      0.1,
      1.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.6",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line presidential vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, party, strength of identification, education, age and interest in the campaign held fixed, per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 14882,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.56851,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_diff_1": {
    "ci": [
      -1.1,
      0.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.1",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line presidential vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 3090,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": -0.0962528,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_diff_2": {
    "ci": [
      -1.1,
      0.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.4",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line presidential vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 5400,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1992 to 2008",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": -0.37897,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      0.3,
      1.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.7",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line presidential vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 15612,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.740834,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_diff_3y": {
    "ci": [
      -0.05,
      1.12
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.54",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line presidential vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 10032,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, all interviews",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.536091,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_diff_ftf": {
    "ci": [
      -0.4,
      2.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.9",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line presidential vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 2620,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, face-to-face interviews",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.935997,
    "weights": "weight_ftf (VCF0009x)"
  },
  "pres_diff_web": {
    "ci": [
      -0.2,
      1.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.5",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line presidential vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 5586,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, web interviews",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.465408,
    "weights": "weight_web (VCF0009y)"
  },
  "pres_ld_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      -0.2,
      0.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.3",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line presidential vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, the 0 to 10 like-dislike scale for each party, per scale point (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 15238,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per scale point of the like-dislike scale",
    "value": 0.320867,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_logit_diff_1": {
    "ci": [
      0.01,
      0.17
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.09",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line presidential vote, log-odds coefficient in a weighted logistic regression with year fixed effects, per 10 rating points (95% interval, probability-weight sandwich)",
    "n": 3090,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "log-odds of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.0912897,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_logit_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      0.02,
      0.14
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.08",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line presidential vote, log-odds coefficient in a weighted logistic regression with year fixed effects, per 10 rating points (95% interval, probability-weight sandwich)",
    "n": 15612,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "log-odds of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.0796498,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_noleaner_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      -0.3,
      0.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.3",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on party-line presidential vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, leaners excluded, per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 11862,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.308429,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_slope": {
    "ci": [
      0.1,
      0.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.3",
    "estimand": "change per decade in the coldness-minus-warmth difference, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 24102,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
    "value": 0.328954,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "pres_warm_slope": {
    "ci": [
      -0.6,
      -0.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.4",
    "estimand": "change per decade in the warmth coefficient, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 24102,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
    "value": -0.423652,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "rate_house_1": {
    "ci": [
      76,
      78.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "77.1%",
    "estimand": "weighted share acting (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 5930,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 77.0658,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "rate_house_3": {
    "ci": [
      89.3,
      90.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "90.0%",
    "estimand": "weighted share acting (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 13912,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party House candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 89.9962,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "rate_pres_1": {
    "ci": [
      84.6,
      87
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "85.9%",
    "estimand": "weighted share acting (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 3090,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 85.8576,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "rate_pres_3": {
    "ci": [
      92.7,
      93.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "93.3%",
    "estimand": "weighted share acting (95% Wilson interval)",
    "n": 15612,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party presidential candidate",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percent of partisans",
    "value": 93.2566,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "step": {
    "display": "10",
    "estimand": "size of the change in a rating that a coefficient describes (a definition, not an estimate)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "the unit in which coefficients are reported",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "points on the feeling thermometer",
    "value": 10,
    "weights": "none (constant)"
  },
  "straight_chg": {
    "ci": [
      -0.8,
      2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.6",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.556519,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "straight_chg_loose": {
    "ci": [
      -8.5,
      3.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−2.5",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings as indicators (other party rated at or below the loose cut-off, own party at or above it) (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome between groups",
    "value": -2.46639,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "straight_chg_strict": {
    "ci": [
      -6.2,
      5.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.3",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings as indicators (other party rated at or below the strict cut-off, own party at or above it) (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome between groups",
    "value": -0.274128,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "straight_cold_slope": {
    "ci": [
      -0.4,
      0
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.2",
    "estimand": "change per decade in the coldness coefficient, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 20625,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
    "value": -0.188014,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "straight_diff_1": {
    "ci": [
      -0.5,
      2.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.8",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on straight-ticket vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 2662,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.778514,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "straight_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      0.8,
      1.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.3",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on straight-ticket vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 13435,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.33503,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "straight_noleaner_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      0.1,
      1.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.8",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on straight-ticket vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, leaners excluded, per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 10207,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.790516,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "straight_slope": {
    "ci": [
      -0.1,
      0.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.2",
    "estimand": "change per decade in the coldness-minus-warmth difference, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 20625,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
    "value": 0.213136,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "straight_strict_diff_1": {
    "ci": [
      1.6,
      12.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "7.2",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on straight-ticket vote, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings as indicators (other party rated at or below the strict cut-off, own party at or above it) (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 2662,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome between groups",
    "value": 7.22948,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "straight_warm_slope": {
    "ci": [
      -0.6,
      -0.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.4",
    "estimand": "change per decade in the warmth coefficient, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 20625,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who reported voting for a major-party candidate for both president and the House",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
    "value": -0.401149,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "therm_max": {
    "display": "100",
    "estimand": "highest answer the feeling thermometer allows (a definition of the scale, not an estimate)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "answers to the feeling thermometer",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "points on the feeling thermometer",
    "value": 100,
    "weights": "none (constant)"
  },
  "therm_min": {
    "display": "0",
    "estimand": "lowest answer the feeling thermometer allows (a definition of the scale, not an estimate)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024",
    "population": "answers to the feeling thermometer",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "points on the feeling thermometer",
    "value": 0,
    "weights": "none (constant)"
  },
  "turnout_chg": {
    "ci": [
      1.7,
      3.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "2.6",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 2.64423,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_chg_ftf": {
    "ci": [
      2,
      4.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "3.5",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, face-to-face interviews minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 3.47261,
    "weights": "weight_ftf (VCF0009x)"
  },
  "turnout_chg_loose": {
    "ci": [
      5.2,
      13.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "9.1",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings as indicators (other party rated at or below the loose cut-off, own party at or above it) (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome between groups",
    "value": 9.14192,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_chg_p": {
    "ci": [
      0.8,
      3.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "2.0",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990, presidential election years only",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 2.04968,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_chg_p_ftf": {
    "ci": [
      1.2,
      4.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "2.9",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, face-to-face interviews minus 1978 to 1990, presidential election years only",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 2.87806,
    "weights": "weight_ftf (VCF0009x)"
  },
  "turnout_chg_p_web": {
    "ci": [
      0.3,
      3.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.7",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, web interviews minus 1978 to 1990, presidential election years only",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.72342,
    "weights": "weight_web (VCF0009y)"
  },
  "turnout_chg_sd": {
    "ci": [
      3.2,
      6.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "5.0",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per within-year standard deviation (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per standard deviation of the rating",
    "value": 4.97777,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_chg_strict": {
    "ci": [
      5.9,
      14.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "10.1",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings as indicators (other party rated at or below the strict cut-off, own party at or above it) (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024 minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome between groups",
    "value": 10.126,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_chg_web": {
    "ci": [
      1.2,
      3.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "2.3",
    "estimand": "change in the coldness-minus-warmth difference between the two periods, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, independent samples)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, web interviews minus 1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 2.31797,
    "weights": "weight_web (VCF0009y)"
  },
  "turnout_cold_slope": {
    "ci": [
      0.1,
      0.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.2",
    "estimand": "change per decade in the coldness coefficient, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 39678,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
    "value": 0.227007,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_diff_1": {
    "ci": [
      -1.8,
      -0.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−1.1",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on turnout, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 10692,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": -1.06641,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_diff_2": {
    "ci": [
      0.3,
      1.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.1",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on turnout, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 10010,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1992 to 2008",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.07131,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      1,
      2.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.6",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on turnout, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 18976,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.57782,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_diff_ftf": {
    "ci": [
      1.1,
      3.7
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "2.4",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on turnout, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 3476,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, face-to-face interviews",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 2.4062,
    "weights": "weight_ftf (VCF0009x)"
  },
  "turnout_diff_web": {
    "ci": [
      0.3,
      2.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.3",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on turnout, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 6861,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012, 2016 and 2024, web interviews",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.25157,
    "weights": "weight_web (VCF0009y)"
  },
  "turnout_diffm_1": {
    "ci": [
      -2.4,
      -0.5
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−1.5",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on turnout, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 6348,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990, midterm years only",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": -1.45177,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_diffp_1": {
    "ci": [
      -1.5,
      0.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.5",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on turnout, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, both feelings per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 4344,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 1990, presidential election years only",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": -0.471857,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_ld_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      -0.4,
      0.9
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.3",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on turnout, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, the 0 to 10 like-dislike scale for each party, per scale point (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 18479,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per scale point of the like-dislike scale",
    "value": 0.277966,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_noleaner_diff_3": {
    "ci": [
      0.8,
      2.2
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "1.5",
    "estimand": "coldness coefficient minus warmth coefficient on turnout, coefficient in a weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects, leaners excluded, per 10 rating points (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 13947,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2012 to 2024",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 1.51192,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_slope": {
    "ci": [
      0.3,
      0.8
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.5",
    "estimand": "change per decade in the coldness-minus-warmth difference, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 39678,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
    "value": 0.53514,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_slope_p": {
    "ci": [
      0,
      0.6
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.3",
    "estimand": "change per decade in the coldness-minus-warmth difference, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 30661,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1980 to 2024, presidential election years only",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
    "value": 0.313695,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "turnout_warm_slope": {
    "ci": [
      -0.5,
      -0.1
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.3",
    "estimand": "change per decade in the warmth coefficient, weighted linear probability model with year fixed effects and both feelings interacted with decades since 2001 (95% interval, HC3)",
    "n": 39678,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1978 to 2024 (18 surveys)",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, who answered the turnout question",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points, per decade",
    "value": -0.308132,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z)"
  },
  "wcheck_max": {
    "display": "0.5",
    "estimand": "largest absolute difference, across five outcomes and those surveys, between a yearly coefficient (coldness, warmth or their difference) with the full-sample weight and with the post-election weight",
    "note": "",
    "period": "the 7 surveys that have a post-election weight",
    "population": "partisans, leaners included, with a rating of both parties",
    "source": "anes",
    "unit": "percentage points of the outcome per 10 rating points",
    "value": 0.540509,
    "weights": "weight (VCF0009z) and weight_postelection"
  }
}