{
  "alt": "Nine stacked distributions of county swings relative to the national swing, one for each pair of elections from 1872 to 1876 through 2020 to 2024, spaced about two decades apart. The ridges for early pairs are low and reach far to both sides of zero; in 1892 to 1896, {fact:tail_votes_1896} of votes lie more than {fact:dist_lim} points from zero. The ridge for 2020 to 2024 is tall and narrow and sits just above zero: {fact:votes_within_latest} of votes are within {fact:band} points of zero, {fact:votes_above_latest} are {fact:band} or more points above it and {fact:votes_below_latest} are {fact:band} or more points below it.",
  "caption": "Early ridges are low and wide; the last ridge is narrow and its mass sits just above zero. Each ridge is one pair, labeled by its years; its height at a point is the share of the pair's votes cast in counties whose relative swing falls in a bin of {fact:bin_width} points, on one height scale for all ridges.",
  "data": [
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.01,
      "x": -59
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -57
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.56,
      "x": -55
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.05,
      "x": -53
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.06,
      "x": -51
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.02,
      "x": -49
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.15,
      "x": -47
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.04,
      "x": -45
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.13,
      "x": -43
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.06,
      "x": -41
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.15,
      "x": -39
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.08,
      "x": -37
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.05,
      "x": -35
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.15,
      "x": -33
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.1,
      "x": -31
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.23,
      "x": -29
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 1.29,
      "x": -27
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.38,
      "x": -25
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.91,
      "x": -23
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 1.6,
      "x": -21
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 2.39,
      "x": -19
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 3.03,
      "x": -17
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 4.91,
      "x": -15
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 6.25,
      "x": -13
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 8.41,
      "x": -11
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 6.32,
      "x": -9
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 5.53,
      "x": -7
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 6.06,
      "x": -5
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 8.93,
      "x": -3
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 4.71,
      "x": -1
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 5.2,
      "x": 1
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 3.39,
      "x": 3
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 2.84,
      "x": 5
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 2.46,
      "x": 7
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 1.55,
      "x": 9
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 1.53,
      "x": 11
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 1.2,
      "x": 13
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.64,
      "x": 15
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.4,
      "x": 17
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.57,
      "x": 19
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 2.02,
      "x": 21
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.5,
      "x": 23
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.34,
      "x": 25
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.37,
      "x": 27
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.29,
      "x": 29
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.34,
      "x": 31
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.39,
      "x": 33
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.29,
      "x": 35
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.17,
      "x": 37
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.33,
      "x": 39
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.42,
      "x": 41
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.16,
      "x": 43
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.35,
      "x": 45
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.21,
      "x": 47
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.33,
      "x": 49
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.35,
      "x": 51
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.37,
      "x": 53
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.13,
      "x": 55
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.29,
      "x": 57
    },
    {
      "pair": "1872–76",
      "share_of_votes": 0.34,
      "x": 59
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.03,
      "x": -59
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.1,
      "x": -57
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.13,
      "x": -55
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.17,
      "x": -53
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.06,
      "x": -51
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.04,
      "x": -49
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.31,
      "x": -47
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.03,
      "x": -45
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.33,
      "x": -43
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.15,
      "x": -41
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.47,
      "x": -39
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 1.13,
      "x": -37
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.37,
      "x": -35
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.67,
      "x": -33
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 1.39,
      "x": -31
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.61,
      "x": -29
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.94,
      "x": -27
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 3.79,
      "x": -25
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 4.79,
      "x": -23
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 3.71,
      "x": -21
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 2.95,
      "x": -19
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 1.22,
      "x": -17
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 2.4,
      "x": -15
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 1.99,
      "x": -13
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 1.78,
      "x": -11
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 3.55,
      "x": -9
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 2.7,
      "x": -7
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 5.26,
      "x": -5
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 3.25,
      "x": -3
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 5.92,
      "x": -1
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 4.88,
      "x": 1
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 3.98,
      "x": 3
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 3.71,
      "x": 5
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 4.95,
      "x": 7
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 3.67,
      "x": 9
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 3.57,
      "x": 11
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 2.96,
      "x": 13
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 2.38,
      "x": 15
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 1.44,
      "x": 17
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 1.47,
      "x": 19
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.69,
      "x": 21
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.8,
      "x": 23
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 1.08,
      "x": 25
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.57,
      "x": 27
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.4,
      "x": 29
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.25,
      "x": 31
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.16,
      "x": 33
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.55,
      "x": 35
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.33,
      "x": 37
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.19,
      "x": 39
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.28,
      "x": 41
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.17,
      "x": 43
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.24,
      "x": 45
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.13,
      "x": 47
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.08,
      "x": 49
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.16,
      "x": 51
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.22,
      "x": 53
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.13,
      "x": 55
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.06,
      "x": 57
    },
    {
      "pair": "1892–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.23,
      "x": 59
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.22,
      "x": -59
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.12,
      "x": -57
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.28,
      "x": -55
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.15,
      "x": -53
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.06,
      "x": -51
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.19,
      "x": -49
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.58,
      "x": -47
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.39,
      "x": -45
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.32,
      "x": -43
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.28,
      "x": -41
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.05,
      "x": -39
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.69,
      "x": -37
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.29,
      "x": -35
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.76,
      "x": -33
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.64,
      "x": -31
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 1.54,
      "x": -29
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 1.03,
      "x": -27
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.75,
      "x": -25
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 1.16,
      "x": -23
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 1.22,
      "x": -21
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 1.89,
      "x": -19
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 1.78,
      "x": -17
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 2.36,
      "x": -15
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 1.61,
      "x": -13
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 2.12,
      "x": -11
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 11.26,
      "x": -9
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 2.83,
      "x": -7
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 2.36,
      "x": -5
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 1.67,
      "x": -3
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 2.5,
      "x": -1
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 2.69,
      "x": 1
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 2.47,
      "x": 3
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 4.58,
      "x": 5
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 4.85,
      "x": 7
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 3.33,
      "x": 9
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 3.17,
      "x": 11
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 4.13,
      "x": 13
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 3.24,
      "x": 15
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 3.95,
      "x": 17
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 3.85,
      "x": 19
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 2.13,
      "x": 21
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 2.77,
      "x": 23
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 2.18,
      "x": 25
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 3.12,
      "x": 27
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 1.55,
      "x": 29
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 1.01,
      "x": 31
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.63,
      "x": 33
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 1.2,
      "x": 35
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.38,
      "x": 37
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.27,
      "x": 39
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.16,
      "x": 41
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.32,
      "x": 43
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.21,
      "x": 45
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.18,
      "x": 47
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.13,
      "x": 49
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.1,
      "x": 51
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.07,
      "x": 53
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.2,
      "x": 55
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.03,
      "x": 57
    },
    {
      "pair": "1912–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.07,
      "x": 59
    },
    {
      "pair": "1932–36",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -59
    },
    {
      "pair": "1932–36",
      "share_of_votes": 0.01,
      "x": -57
    },
    {
      "pair": "1932–36",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -55
    },
    {
      "pair": "1932–36",
      "share_of_votes": 0.03,
      "x": -53
    },
    {
      "pair": "1932–36",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -51
    },
    {
      "pair": "1932–36",
      "share_of_votes": 0.01,
      "x": -49
    },
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    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 4.32,
      "x": -9
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 7.22,
      "x": -7
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 6.41,
      "x": -5
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 9.24,
      "x": -3
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 10.91,
      "x": -1
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 13.27,
      "x": 1
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 9.34,
      "x": 3
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 6.44,
      "x": 5
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 6.25,
      "x": 7
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 4.87,
      "x": 9
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 4.88,
      "x": 11
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 3.78,
      "x": 13
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 3.93,
      "x": 15
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 1.13,
      "x": 17
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.52,
      "x": 19
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.19,
      "x": 21
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 23
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.01,
      "x": 25
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.21,
      "x": 27
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0.01,
      "x": 29
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 31
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 33
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 35
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 37
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 39
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 41
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 43
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 45
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 47
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 49
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 51
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 53
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 55
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 57
    },
    {
      "pair": "1992–96",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 59
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -59
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -57
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -55
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -53
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -51
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -49
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -47
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -45
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -43
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.01,
      "x": -41
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.01,
      "x": -39
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.03,
      "x": -37
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.08,
      "x": -35
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.11,
      "x": -33
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.28,
      "x": -31
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.49,
      "x": -29
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.49,
      "x": -27
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.72,
      "x": -25
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 1.21,
      "x": -23
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 1.13,
      "x": -21
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 1.41,
      "x": -19
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 2.19,
      "x": -17
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 2.64,
      "x": -15
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 2.38,
      "x": -13
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 4.13,
      "x": -11
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 3.47,
      "x": -9
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 6.19,
      "x": -7
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 5.31,
      "x": -5
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 5.33,
      "x": -3
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 9.77,
      "x": -1
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 4.89,
      "x": 1
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 7.38,
      "x": 3
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 7.62,
      "x": 5
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 6.08,
      "x": 7
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 7.27,
      "x": 9
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 6.75,
      "x": 11
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 3.44,
      "x": 13
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 5.03,
      "x": 15
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 2.72,
      "x": 17
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.78,
      "x": 19
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.11,
      "x": 21
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.01,
      "x": 23
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.21,
      "x": 25
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 27
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.09,
      "x": 29
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 31
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 33
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0.25,
      "x": 35
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 37
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 39
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 41
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 43
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 45
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 47
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 49
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 51
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 53
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 55
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 57
    },
    {
      "pair": "2012–16",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 59
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -59
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -57
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -55
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -53
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -51
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -49
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -47
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -45
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -43
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -41
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -39
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -37
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -35
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -33
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -31
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -29
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -27
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": -25
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0.01,
      "x": -23
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0.13,
      "x": -21
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0.08,
      "x": -19
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0.24,
      "x": -17
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0.78,
      "x": -15
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0.92,
      "x": -13
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0.18,
      "x": -11
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0.83,
      "x": -9
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 2.75,
      "x": -7
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 5.1,
      "x": -5
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 8.38,
      "x": -3
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 11.99,
      "x": -1
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 19.85,
      "x": 1
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 19.78,
      "x": 3
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 19.64,
      "x": 5
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 6.83,
      "x": 7
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 2.03,
      "x": 9
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0.28,
      "x": 11
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0.13,
      "x": 13
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0.08,
      "x": 15
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 17
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 19
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 21
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 23
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 25
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 27
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 29
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 31
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 33
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 35
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 37
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 39
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 41
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 43
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 45
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 47
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 49
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 51
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 53
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 55
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 57
    },
    {
      "pair": "2020–24",
      "share_of_votes": 0,
      "x": 59
    }
  ],
  "id": "swing_distribution",
  "notes": [
    "Full counts of votes: there is no sampling, so the estimates have no confidence interval.",
    "The bins run from minus {fact:dist_lim} to plus {fact:dist_lim} points and swings beyond that range are not drawn; 1892 to 1896 has the largest share beyond it among the pairs shown."
  ],
  "source": "County presidential returns, 1868-2024 (Algara and Amlani for 1868-2020, MIT Election Data and Science Lab for 2024); full counts, not survey estimates; county swings weighted by two-party votes in the later election unless stated",
  "spec": {
    "fillBy": "sign",
    "group": "pair",
    "groupOrder": [
      "1872–76",
      "1892–96",
      "1912–16",
      "1932–36",
      "1952–56",
      "1972–76",
      "1992–96",
      "2012–16",
      "2020–24"
    ],
    "reference": 0,
    "referenceLabel": "National swing",
    "signColors": {
      "negative": "rep",
      "positive": "dem"
    },
    "x": "x",
    "xLabel": "Relative swing (points)",
    "y": "share_of_votes"
  },
  "subtitle": "Relative swing is a county's swing in the Democratic minus Republican margin minus the national swing, percentage points; height is the share of a pair's votes in each {fact:bin_width}-point bin, nine pairs of presidential elections",
  "table": {
    "columns": [
      {
        "key": "pair",
        "label": "Pair of elections"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 0,
          "signed": true
        },
        "key": "x",
        "label": "Bin center (points)"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 2
        },
        "key": "share_of_votes",
        "label": "Share of votes (%)"
      }
    ]
  },
  "title": "Relative county swings lay far from zero in early pairs and sat in a narrow band just above zero in 2020 to 2024",
  "type": "ridgeline",
  "width": "wide"
}