{
  "alt": "Two line charts sharing an axis, each with a line for the South and one for the rest of the country. In the left panel, the cross-pressured share of placed partisans, both regions fall from the 1990s and the South stays a little above the rest. In the right panel, the Democratic share of placed conservatives, the share starts at {fact:south_dem_1970} in the South and {fact:non_dem_1970} elsewhere and ends at {fact:south_dem_2020} and {fact:non_dem_2020}.",
  "caption": "In the right panel the South started {fact:reg_dem_gap_1970} points above the rest of the country in the Democratic share of placed conservatives and ended within sampling error of it. In the left panel the cross-pressured share fell in both regions, and a smaller gap of {fact:reg_gap_2020} points remains in the 2020s. Solid lines are the South and dashed lines the rest of the country, and the bands are confidence intervals.",
  "data": [
    {
      "conf_high": 25.2105,
      "conf_low": 20.7418,
      "estimate": 22.8996,
      "n": 1591,
      "panel": "Cross-pressured, % of placed partisans",
      "period": "1972-1978",
      "series": "South",
      "year": 1975
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 24.5968,
      "conf_low": 20.7479,
      "estimate": 22.6145,
      "n": 1813,
      "panel": "Cross-pressured, % of placed partisans",
      "period": "1980-1988",
      "series": "South",
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 20.4328,
      "conf_low": 16.8349,
      "estimate": 18.5666,
      "n": 2024,
      "panel": "Cross-pressured, % of placed partisans",
      "period": "1990-1998",
      "series": "South",
      "year": 1994
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 16.725,
      "conf_low": 12.5144,
      "estimate": 14.4932,
      "n": 1548,
      "panel": "Cross-pressured, % of placed partisans",
      "period": "2000-2008",
      "series": "South",
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 11.8335,
      "conf_low": 8.9306,
      "estimate": 10.2918,
      "n": 2847,
      "panel": "Cross-pressured, % of placed partisans",
      "period": "2012-2016",
      "series": "South",
      "year": 2014
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 8.06753,
      "conf_low": 5.89989,
      "estimate": 6.90538,
      "n": 3993,
      "panel": "Cross-pressured, % of placed partisans",
      "period": "2020-2024",
      "series": "South",
      "year": 2022
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 17.7936,
      "conf_low": 15.1326,
      "estimate": 16.4199,
      "n": 3493,
      "panel": "Cross-pressured, % of placed partisans",
      "period": "1972-1978",
      "series": "Non-South",
      "year": 1975
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 17.6255,
      "conf_low": 15.3318,
      "estimate": 16.4465,
      "n": 4013,
      "panel": "Cross-pressured, % of placed partisans",
      "period": "1980-1988",
      "series": "Non-South",
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 16.1789,
      "conf_low": 13.9198,
      "estimate": 15.0144,
      "n": 4260,
      "panel": "Cross-pressured, % of placed partisans",
      "period": "1990-1998",
      "series": "Non-South",
      "year": 1994
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 13.5813,
      "conf_low": 10.584,
      "estimate": 12.002,
      "n": 2521,
      "panel": "Cross-pressured, % of placed partisans",
      "period": "2000-2008",
      "series": "Non-South",
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 9.01856,
      "conf_low": 7.03554,
      "estimate": 7.9709,
      "n": 4715,
      "panel": "Cross-pressured, % of placed partisans",
      "period": "2012-2016",
      "series": "Non-South",
      "year": 2014
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 5.64342,
      "conf_low": 4.219,
      "estimate": 4.88216,
      "n": 6842,
      "panel": "Cross-pressured, % of placed partisans",
      "period": "2020-2024",
      "series": "Non-South",
      "year": 2022
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 52.7598,
      "conf_low": 44.4798,
      "estimate": 48.6102,
      "n": 653,
      "panel": "Democrats, % of placed conservatives",
      "period": "1972-1978",
      "series": "South",
      "year": 1975
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 44.371,
      "conf_low": 37.5681,
      "estimate": 40.9262,
      "n": 799,
      "panel": "Democrats, % of placed conservatives",
      "period": "1980-1988",
      "series": "South",
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 35.6905,
      "conf_low": 29.3637,
      "estimate": 32.447,
      "n": 943,
      "panel": "Democrats, % of placed conservatives",
      "period": "1990-1998",
      "series": "South",
      "year": 1994
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 26.4884,
      "conf_low": 19.2979,
      "estimate": 22.6926,
      "n": 735,
      "panel": "Democrats, % of placed conservatives",
      "period": "2000-2008",
      "series": "South",
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 19.9912,
      "conf_low": 14.7816,
      "estimate": 17.2311,
      "n": 1291,
      "panel": "Democrats, % of placed conservatives",
      "period": "2012-2016",
      "series": "South",
      "year": 2014
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 11.211,
      "conf_low": 7.6785,
      "estimate": 9.29523,
      "n": 1910,
      "panel": "Democrats, % of placed conservatives",
      "period": "2020-2024",
      "series": "South",
      "year": 2022
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 33.3127,
      "conf_low": 27.9282,
      "estimate": 30.5541,
      "n": 1299,
      "panel": "Democrats, % of placed conservatives",
      "period": "1972-1978",
      "series": "Non-South",
      "year": 1975
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 29.6757,
      "conf_low": 25.4401,
      "estimate": 27.5073,
      "n": 1705,
      "panel": "Democrats, % of placed conservatives",
      "period": "1980-1988",
      "series": "Non-South",
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 29.0556,
      "conf_low": 24.7148,
      "estimate": 26.8296,
      "n": 1744,
      "panel": "Democrats, % of placed conservatives",
      "period": "1990-1998",
      "series": "Non-South",
      "year": 1994
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 24.6541,
      "conf_low": 18.6998,
      "estimate": 21.5279,
      "n": 999,
      "panel": "Democrats, % of placed conservatives",
      "period": "2000-2008",
      "series": "Non-South",
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 17.0229,
      "conf_low": 12.9032,
      "estimate": 14.8454,
      "n": 1825,
      "panel": "Democrats, % of placed conservatives",
      "period": "2012-2016",
      "series": "Non-South",
      "year": 2014
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 9.91765,
      "conf_low": 6.9812,
      "estimate": 8.33257,
      "n": 2583,
      "panel": "Democrats, % of placed conservatives",
      "period": "2020-2024",
      "series": "Non-South",
      "year": 2022
    }
  ],
  "id": "region_panels",
  "notes": [
    "The cumulative file has no region for the {fact:n_other_2024} placed partisans among the 2024 panel and paper cases; their region is the Census region of the sample location in the ANES 2024 Time Series, which reproduces the cumulative-file flag for every 2024 respondent who has both.",
    "Conservatives are placed partisans at points 5 to 7 of the seven-point scale. Differences are computed from unrounded values, so a printed difference can differ in the last digit from the difference of the printed shares."
  ],
  "source": "ANES Cumulative Data File, 1972-2024; weighted (VCF0009z); placed partisans, leaners included; region is the Census South as coded by the ANES, and for the 2024 panel and paper cases the Census region of the sample location in the ANES 2024 Time Series",
  "spec": {
    "colors": {
      "Non-South": "cat3",
      "South": "cat1"
    },
    "dashed": [
      "Non-South"
    ],
    "endLabels": false,
    "facet": "panel",
    "facetColumns": 2,
    "hi": "conf_high",
    "lo": "conf_low",
    "n": "n",
    "series": "series",
    "x": "year",
    "xDomain": [
      1970,
      2026
    ],
    "xLabel": "Survey years pooled by decade (plotted at the midpoint)",
    "y": "estimate",
    "yDomain": [
      0,
      60
    ],
    "yFormat": {
      "digits": 1,
      "suffix": "%"
    },
    "yLabel": "Share (%)"
  },
  "subtitle": "Two shares of placed partisans by region (Census South and the rest of the country), ANES survey years pooled by decade, 1972-2024, with 95% intervals",
  "table": {
    "columns": [
      {
        "key": "panel",
        "label": "Measure"
      },
      {
        "key": "series",
        "label": "Region"
      },
      {
        "key": "period",
        "label": "Survey years pooled"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "estimate",
        "label": "Share (%)"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "conf_low",
        "label": "Interval low"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "conf_high",
        "label": "Interval high"
      },
      {
        "key": "n",
        "label": "Placed partisans"
      }
    ]
  },
  "title": "Southern and other partisans converged as the Democratic share of conservatives fell from {fact:south_dem_1970} to {fact:south_dem_2020} in the South and {fact:non_dem_1970} to {fact:non_dem_2020} elsewhere",
  "type": "line",
  "width": "wide"
}