{
  "alt": "Line chart of the share opposing repeal of the Affordable Care Act by year from 2012 to 2021 for Democrats, independents and Republicans, with confidence bands. The Democratic share is {fact:ce_aca_d_2012} in 2012 and {fact:ce_aca_d_2021} in 2021, the Republican share is {fact:ce_aca_r_2012} in 2012 and {fact:ce_aca_r_2021} in 2021, and the independent share lies between them in every year. The 2014 and 2016 points are open and drawn apart from the lines because the question wording changed in those years.",
  "caption": "The Democratic line lies above the Republican line in every year and the independent line lies between them. The gap runs from {fact:cg_aca_lo_ex14} to {fact:cg_aca_hi_ex14} points in the years other than 2014, and was {fact:cg_aca_2014} points in 2014, a year with a different question, after a recode. Lines break wherever the wording changes (2013 to 2014, 2014 to 2015, 2015 to 2016, 2016 to 2017, 2017 to 2018). Bands are 95% confidence intervals that rest on a model, and the points are the answer opposing repeal.",
  "data": [
    {
      "conf_high": 81.0763,
      "conf_low": 79.5237,
      "estimate": 80.3,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 24358,
      "party": "Democrats",
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 74.9048,
      "conf_low": 71.9881,
      "estimate": 73.4464,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 7267,
      "party": "Democrats",
      "year": 2013
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 80.78,
      "conf_low": 79.2583,
      "estimate": 80.0191,
      "hollow": true,
      "n": 25595,
      "party": "Democrats",
      "year": 2014
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 67.6921,
      "conf_low": 64.4983,
      "estimate": 66.0952,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 6584,
      "party": "Democrats",
      "year": 2015
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 71.6405,
      "conf_low": 70.1889,
      "estimate": 70.9147,
      "hollow": true,
      "n": 31104,
      "party": "Democrats",
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 85.042,
      "conf_low": 82.739,
      "estimate": 83.8905,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 8518,
      "party": "Democrats",
      "year": 2017
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 85.6365,
      "conf_low": 84.3721,
      "estimate": 85.0043,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 27585,
      "party": "Democrats",
      "year": 2018
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 82.9752,
      "conf_low": 80.7114,
      "estimate": 81.8433,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 8228,
      "party": "Democrats",
      "year": 2019
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 83.7451,
      "conf_low": 82.4718,
      "estimate": 83.1085,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 29302,
      "party": "Democrats",
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 80.6143,
      "conf_low": 78.6822,
      "estimate": 79.6482,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 12445,
      "party": "Democrats",
      "year": 2021
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 55.7594,
      "conf_low": 52.0905,
      "estimate": 53.925,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 5890,
      "party": "Independents",
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 40.1541,
      "conf_low": 35.0113,
      "estimate": 37.5827,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 2825,
      "party": "Independents",
      "year": 2013
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 35.9477,
      "conf_low": 32.7189,
      "estimate": 34.3333,
      "hollow": true,
      "n": 8616,
      "party": "Independents",
      "year": 2014
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 39.8925,
      "conf_low": 34.1265,
      "estimate": 37.0095,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 2159,
      "party": "Independents",
      "year": 2015
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 35.886,
      "conf_low": 33.2631,
      "estimate": 34.5745,
      "hollow": true,
      "n": 10471,
      "party": "Independents",
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 49.7984,
      "conf_low": 44.5409,
      "estimate": 47.1696,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 3161,
      "party": "Independents",
      "year": 2017
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 55.6489,
      "conf_low": 52.1786,
      "estimate": 53.9138,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 8514,
      "party": "Independents",
      "year": 2018
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 49.0998,
      "conf_low": 43.4847,
      "estimate": 46.2922,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 2631,
      "party": "Independents",
      "year": 2019
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 54.6424,
      "conf_low": 51.3108,
      "estimate": 52.9766,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 8839,
      "party": "Independents",
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 51.8072,
      "conf_low": 47.7747,
      "estimate": 49.7909,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 4352,
      "party": "Independents",
      "year": 2021
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 24.7911,
      "conf_low": 22.9945,
      "estimate": 23.8928,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 19613,
      "party": "Republicans",
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 13.5716,
      "conf_low": 11.0638,
      "estimate": 12.3177,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 5153,
      "party": "Republicans",
      "year": 2013
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 11.4667,
      "conf_low": 10.1726,
      "estimate": 10.8196,
      "hollow": true,
      "n": 18925,
      "party": "Republicans",
      "year": 2014
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 16.0888,
      "conf_low": 13.4466,
      "estimate": 14.7677,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 4833,
      "party": "Republicans",
      "year": 2015
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 12.2423,
      "conf_low": 11.0908,
      "estimate": 11.6665,
      "hollow": true,
      "n": 20818,
      "party": "Republicans",
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 16.4718,
      "conf_low": 13.8602,
      "estimate": 15.166,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 5733,
      "party": "Republicans",
      "year": 2017
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 24.2405,
      "conf_low": 22.6691,
      "estimate": 23.4548,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 21693,
      "party": "Republicans",
      "year": 2018
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 19.7567,
      "conf_low": 17.3973,
      "estimate": 18.577,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 6435,
      "party": "Republicans",
      "year": 2019
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 22.0302,
      "conf_low": 20.5254,
      "estimate": 21.2778,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 20358,
      "party": "Republicans",
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 27.7697,
      "conf_low": 25.406,
      "estimate": 26.5878,
      "hollow": false,
      "n": 8139,
      "party": "Republicans",
      "year": 2021
    }
  ],
  "id": "ces_aca",
  "notes": [
    "The cumulative file labels code 1 as support in every year, but in 2014 that code is the Democratic answer, the opposite of the party pattern in every other year. The loader reverses the 2014 answers, and the open 2014 point is the answer after the reversal; with the stored code the 2014 gap would have the opposite sign. The 2014 question also differs in wording from the neighbouring years, as the wording table shows.",
    "The wording is a bill considered in Congress in 2012, 2013, 2015 and 2017, a vote for or against in 2016 and a health care proposal to repeal the entire law from 2018. Each party cell needs at least 100 respondents and an effective sample of at least 100. The CES is an opt-in panel, so the intervals rest on a model."
  ],
  "source": "Cooperative Election Study cumulative policy preferences, 2012-2021; weighted (single-wave weight), opt-in panel",
  "spec": {
    "breaks": [
      2013.5,
      2014.5,
      2015.5,
      2016.5,
      2017.5
    ],
    "colors": {
      "Democrats": "dem",
      "Independents": "ind",
      "Republicans": "rep"
    },
    "hi": "conf_high",
    "hollow": "hollow",
    "lo": "conf_low",
    "n": "n",
    "series": "party",
    "x": "year",
    "xDomain": [
      2011,
      2022
    ],
    "xLabel": "Survey year",
    "xTicks": "data",
    "y": "estimate",
    "yDomain": [
      0,
      100
    ],
    "yFormat": {
      "digits": 0,
      "suffix": "%"
    },
    "yLabel": "Share opposing repeal (%)"
  },
  "subtitle": "Share opposing repeal of the Affordable Care Act, by party identification including leaners, 2012 to 2021; open points are the 2014 and 2016 questions, which are worded differently; 95% intervals from an opt-in panel",
  "table": {
    "columns": [
      {
        "key": "party",
        "label": "Group"
      },
      {
        "key": "year",
        "label": "Year"
      },
      {
        "key": "hollow",
        "label": "Question worded differently from its neighbours (2014, 2016)"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "estimate",
        "label": "Share (%)"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "conf_low",
        "label": "Lower"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "digits": 1
        },
        "key": "conf_high",
        "label": "Upper"
      },
      {
        "format": {
          "thousands": true
        },
        "key": "n",
        "label": "Respondents"
      }
    ]
  },
  "title": "Democrats opposed repealing the ACA more often than Republicans in every CES year, counting 2014 after a recode, with independents between them",
  "type": "line",
  "width": "wide"
}