{
  "alt": "Line chart from 1968 to 2024 with three lines. The other-nominee line falls from {fact:coth_1968} in 1968 to {fact:coth_2024} in 2024. The own-nominee line dips to {fact:cown_2016} in 2016 and is {fact:cown_2024} in 2024. The other-party line starts in 1978 and falls to {fact:oth_2024}, above the other-nominee line from 2012. Two more views show the nominee rating minus the party rating by election and the share rating each at zero.",
  "caption": "The other-nominee line lies below the other-party line in every election from 2012 on, and the own-nominee line dips in 2016 and recovers. Lines are weighted means with confidence bands: the party series starts in 1978 and the nominee series in 1968. The dashed line is the other party's nominee.",
  "data": [
    {
      "conf_high": 55.6291,
      "conf_low": 52.9137,
      "estimate": 54.2714,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1157,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1968
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 47.7842,
      "conf_low": 45.3524,
      "estimate": 46.5683,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 2203,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1972
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 51.0228,
      "conf_low": 48.7092,
      "estimate": 49.866,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1811,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1976
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 45.387,
      "conf_low": 42.6253,
      "estimate": 44.0061,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1301,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1980
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 43.8919,
      "conf_low": 41.6173,
      "estimate": 42.7546,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1903,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 44.6526,
      "conf_low": 42.3108,
      "estimate": 43.4817,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1721,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1988
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 40.8859,
      "conf_low": 38.8798,
      "estimate": 39.8828,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 2110,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1992
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 41.6037,
      "conf_low": 38.8956,
      "estimate": 40.2496,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1524,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1996
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 44.2759,
      "conf_low": 41.7138,
      "estimate": 42.9948,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1527,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 2000
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 36.0569,
      "conf_low": 32.7025,
      "estimate": 34.3797,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1063,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 39.3633,
      "conf_low": 36.8012,
      "estimate": 38.0823,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1990,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 27.161,
      "conf_low": 25.3793,
      "estimate": 26.2702,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 5075,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 16.3652,
      "conf_low": 14.5443,
      "estimate": 15.4547,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 3622,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 15.3551,
      "conf_low": 13.952,
      "estimate": 14.6536,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 7026,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 14.1624,
      "conf_low": 12.4681,
      "estimate": 13.3152,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 5087,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 48.8697,
      "conf_low": 47.121,
      "estimate": 47.9954,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1723,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1978
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 47.7184,
      "conf_low": 45.4297,
      "estimate": 46.574,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1310,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1980
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 45.4288,
      "conf_low": 43.1199,
      "estimate": 44.2743,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1181,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1982
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 46.8641,
      "conf_low": 44.9211,
      "estimate": 45.8926,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1881,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 47.2493,
      "conf_low": 45.2507,
      "estimate": 46.25,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1796,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1986
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 46.5978,
      "conf_low": 44.5216,
      "estimate": 45.5597,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1717,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1988
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 47.8253,
      "conf_low": 45.7351,
      "estimate": 46.7802,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1656,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1990
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 42.7384,
      "conf_low": 40.9516,
      "estimate": 41.845,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 2098,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1992
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 43.6274,
      "conf_low": 41.3998,
      "estimate": 42.5136,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1567,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1994
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 42.3468,
      "conf_low": 39.9877,
      "estimate": 41.1672,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1528,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1996
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 42.3367,
      "conf_low": 39.5852,
      "estimate": 40.9609,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1104,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1998
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 42.7754,
      "conf_low": 40.4322,
      "estimate": 41.6038,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1525,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 2000
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 41.0496,
      "conf_low": 38.0834,
      "estimate": 39.5665,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1055,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 35.885,
      "conf_low": 33.504,
      "estimate": 34.6945,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1979,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 28.6515,
      "conf_low": 27.0669,
      "estimate": 27.8592,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 5079,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 26.896,
      "conf_low": 25.1747,
      "estimate": 26.0354,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 3610,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 19.9066,
      "conf_low": 18.5789,
      "estimate": 19.2427,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 7174,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 21.4558,
      "conf_low": 19.804,
      "estimate": 20.6299,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 5080,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 76.226,
      "conf_low": 73.5734,
      "estimate": 74.8997,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1157,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 1968
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 69.6602,
      "conf_low": 67.4274,
      "estimate": 68.5438,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 2203,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 1972
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 74.8932,
      "conf_low": 73.0271,
      "estimate": 73.9601,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1811,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 1976
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 70.6255,
      "conf_low": 68.3246,
      "estimate": 69.475,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1301,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 1980
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 76.6838,
      "conf_low": 74.9115,
      "estimate": 75.7977,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1903,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 75.1587,
      "conf_low": 73.1934,
      "estimate": 74.1761,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1721,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 1988
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 70.3635,
      "conf_low": 68.7277,
      "estimate": 69.5456,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 2110,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 1992
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 73.0724,
      "conf_low": 70.8423,
      "estimate": 71.9574,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1524,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 1996
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 72.4858,
      "conf_low": 70.3225,
      "estimate": 71.4042,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1527,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 2000
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 75.9178,
      "conf_low": 73.2003,
      "estimate": 74.559,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1063,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 72.7909,
      "conf_low": 70.4974,
      "estimate": 71.6442,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 1990,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 76.5228,
      "conf_low": 74.9657,
      "estimate": 75.7442,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 5075,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 65.7911,
      "conf_low": 63.6533,
      "estimate": 64.7222,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 3622,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 76.4801,
      "conf_low": 74.9536,
      "estimate": 75.7168,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 7026,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 76.1612,
      "conf_low": 74.2737,
      "estimate": 75.2175,
      "measure": "Mean rating",
      "n": 5087,
      "series": "Own nominee",
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -0.774518,
      "conf_low": -4.36128,
      "estimate": -2.5679,
      "measure": "Nominee minus party",
      "n": 1301,
      "series": "Other nominee minus other party",
      "year": 1980
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -1.64229,
      "conf_low": -4.63373,
      "estimate": -3.13801,
      "measure": "Nominee minus party",
      "n": 1881,
      "series": "Other nominee minus other party",
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -0.513195,
      "conf_low": -3.64281,
      "estimate": -2.078,
      "measure": "Nominee minus party",
      "n": 1717,
      "series": "Other nominee minus other party",
      "year": 1988
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -0.618996,
      "conf_low": -3.30542,
      "estimate": -1.96221,
      "measure": "Nominee minus party",
      "n": 2098,
      "series": "Other nominee minus other party",
      "year": 1992
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 0.878151,
      "conf_low": -2.71336,
      "estimate": -0.917604,
      "measure": "Nominee minus party",
      "n": 1524,
      "series": "Other nominee minus other party",
      "year": 1996
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 3.12708,
      "conf_low": -0.344974,
      "estimate": 1.39105,
      "measure": "Nominee minus party",
      "n": 1525,
      "series": "Other nominee minus other party",
      "year": 2000
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -2.94795,
      "conf_low": -7.42566,
      "estimate": -5.18681,
      "measure": "Nominee minus party",
      "n": 1055,
      "series": "Other nominee minus other party",
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 5.13658,
      "conf_low": 1.63899,
      "estimate": 3.38778,
      "measure": "Nominee minus party",
      "n": 1979,
      "series": "Other nominee minus other party",
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -0.396783,
      "conf_low": -2.78129,
      "estimate": -1.58903,
      "measure": "Nominee minus party",
      "n": 5075,
      "series": "Other nominee minus other party",
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -9.32775,
      "conf_low": -11.8335,
      "estimate": -10.5806,
      "measure": "Nominee minus party",
      "n": 3610,
      "series": "Other nominee minus other party",
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -3.62332,
      "conf_low": -5.55505,
      "estimate": -4.58918,
      "measure": "Nominee minus party",
      "n": 7026,
      "series": "Other nominee minus other party",
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -6.13154,
      "conf_low": -8.49776,
      "estimate": -7.31465,
      "measure": "Nominee minus party",
      "n": 5080,
      "series": "Other nominee minus other party",
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 6.71434,
      "conf_low": 4.1262,
      "estimate": 5.27226,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1157,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1968
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 16.4364,
      "conf_low": 13.4634,
      "estimate": 14.8888,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 2203,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1972
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 9.59413,
      "conf_low": 7.01305,
      "estimate": 8.21172,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1811,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1976
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 14.276,
      "conf_low": 10.6957,
      "estimate": 12.3751,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1301,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1980
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 14.5093,
      "conf_low": 11.4939,
      "estimate": 12.927,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1903,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 13.7722,
      "conf_low": 10.6846,
      "estimate": 12.1441,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1721,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1988
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 13.5897,
      "conf_low": 10.7972,
      "estimate": 12.1243,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 2110,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1992
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 14.0567,
      "conf_low": 10.3843,
      "estimate": 12.1009,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1524,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 1996
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 9.91565,
      "conf_low": 6.84092,
      "estimate": 8.24883,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1527,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 2000
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 23.3179,
      "conf_low": 17.9992,
      "estimate": 20.5311,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1063,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 14.2065,
      "conf_low": 10.5851,
      "estimate": 12.2815,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1990,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 31.5108,
      "conf_low": 28.1155,
      "estimate": 29.7853,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 5075,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 50.6543,
      "conf_low": 46.7477,
      "estimate": 48.699,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 3622,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 59.3115,
      "conf_low": 56.1908,
      "estimate": 57.7589,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 7026,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 61.6508,
      "conf_low": 57.7358,
      "estimate": 59.7088,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 5087,
      "series": "Other nominee",
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 6.56718,
      "conf_low": 4.42638,
      "estimate": 5.39756,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1723,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1978
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 8.36988,
      "conf_low": 5.62278,
      "estimate": 6.87023,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1310,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1980
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 8.81417,
      "conf_low": 5.85796,
      "estimate": 7.19729,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1181,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1982
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 9.22933,
      "conf_low": 6.78483,
      "estimate": 7.92132,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1881,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1984
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 9.12702,
      "conf_low": 6.64334,
      "estimate": 7.7951,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1796,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1986
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 9.54351,
      "conf_low": 6.95083,
      "estimate": 8.15376,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1717,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1988
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 8.92121,
      "conf_low": 6.37191,
      "estimate": 7.54831,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1656,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1990
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 9.56715,
      "conf_low": 7.19739,
      "estimate": 8.30573,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 2098,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1992
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 8.24229,
      "conf_low": 5.48947,
      "estimate": 6.73657,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1567,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1994
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 10.4419,
      "conf_low": 7.26363,
      "estimate": 8.7227,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1528,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1996
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 11.4981,
      "conf_low": 7.74539,
      "estimate": 9.45634,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1104,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 1998
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 9.99744,
      "conf_low": 6.90518,
      "estimate": 8.32164,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1525,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 2000
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 14.6911,
      "conf_low": 10.3308,
      "estimate": 12.3465,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1055,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 2004
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 16.8205,
      "conf_low": 12.899,
      "estimate": 14.7523,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 1979,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 2008
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 24.3626,
      "conf_low": 21.2505,
      "estimate": 22.7691,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 5079,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 2012
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 23.8984,
      "conf_low": 20.6377,
      "estimate": 22.2254,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 3610,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 41.5712,
      "conf_low": 38.506,
      "estimate": 40.0288,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 7174,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 2020
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 35.1229,
      "conf_low": 31.3608,
      "estimate": 33.2151,
      "measure": "Share at zero",
      "n": 5080,
      "series": "Other party",
      "year": 2024
    }
  ],
  "id": "party_vs_candidate",
  "notes": [
    "Nominees are the major-party presidential candidates of each election, so the same person can appear in several years (Trump in 2016, 2020 and 2024) while the other party's nominee for Republican respondents is Clinton in 2016, Biden in 2020 and Harris in 2024. In the second view n is the smaller of the party and nominee sample sizes, and the interval treats those two overlapping samples as independent, so it is wider than needed."
  ],
  "source": "ANES Cumulative Data File, 1968-2024; partisans including leaners; weighted (VCF0009z; mode weights VCF0009x and VCF0009y for 2008, 2012, 2016 and 2024)",
  "spec": {
    "annotations": [
      {
        "label": "Neutral midpoint",
        "type": "y-rule",
        "y": 50
      }
    ],
    "colors": {
      "Other nominee": "highlight",
      "Other party": "highlight",
      "Own nominee": "accent"
    },
    "dashed": [
      "Other nominee"
    ],
    "hi": "conf_high",
    "lo": "conf_low",
    "n": "n",
    "series": "series",
    "x": "year",
    "xDomain": [
      1968,
      2024
    ],
    "xLabel": "Survey year",
    "y": "estimate",
    "yDomain": [
      0,
      100
    ],
    "yFormat": {
      "digits": 1
    },
    "yLabel": "Mean rating (0 to 100)"
  },
  "subtitle": "Mean feeling thermometer rating of the other party, the other party's presidential nominee (other nominee) and the own party's nominee (own nominee), partisans including leaners, 1968 to 2024, 0 to 100",
  "title": "The other party's nominee was rated {fact:coth_2024} in 2024, below the {fact:oth_2024} for the party, while the own party's nominee was rated {fact:cown_2024}",
  "type": "line",
  "views": [
    {
      "filter": {
        "measure": "Mean rating"
      },
      "id": "rating",
      "label": "Mean rating"
    },
    {
      "caption": "Values below zero mean the other party's nominee was rated lower than the party. The interval lies below zero in every election from 2012 on, above zero in 2008, and includes zero in 1996 and 2000. Each dot is the nominee average minus the party average in an election, with a confidence interval.",
      "filter": {
        "measure": "Nominee minus party"
      },
      "id": "difference",
      "label": "Nominee minus party",
      "spec": {
        "annotations": [
          {
            "label": "Nominee rated the same as the party",
            "type": "y-rule",
            "y": 0
          }
        ],
        "colors": {
          "Other nominee minus other party": "highlight"
        },
        "dashed": [],
        "xDomain": [
          1980,
          2024
        ],
        "yDomain": [
          -14,
          8
        ],
        "yFormat": {
          "digits": 1,
          "signed": true
        },
        "yLabel": "Nominee rating minus party rating (points)"
      },
      "title": "The other party's nominee was rated below the party in {fact:n_nom_below} of the {fact:n_nom_elections} elections from 1980 to 2024"
    },
    {
      "caption": "Each line is a weighted share of partisans with a Wilson confidence band. The party series starts in 1978 and the nominee series in 1968; the dashed line is the other party's nominee.",
      "filter": {
        "measure": "Share at zero"
      },
      "id": "zero",
      "label": "Share at zero",
      "spec": {
        "annotations": [],
        "yDomain": [
          0,
          80
        ],
        "yFormat": {
          "digits": 1,
          "suffix": "%"
        },
        "yLabel": "Share rating at zero (percent of partisans)"
      },
      "title": "The share rating the other party's nominee at zero rose from {fact:czero_1968} in 1968 to {fact:czero_2024} in 2024, and the share rating the party at zero from {fact:zero_1978} in 1978 to {fact:zero_2024}"
    }
  ]
}