{
  "bal_gap_max": {
    "ci": [
      0.21,
      0.42
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.31",
    "estimand": "difference in mean county donor lean, counties at least 30% Black minus other Democratic-voting counties, largest across the four cohorts",
    "n": 374,
    "note": "Normal interval from the spread of county means within each group.",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with 25 or more reliable donors in every cohort",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units",
    "value": 0.314089,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "bal_gap_min": {
    "ci": [
      0.06,
      0.26
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.16",
    "estimand": "difference in mean county donor lean, counties at least 30% Black minus other Democratic-voting counties, smallest across the four cohorts",
    "n": 374,
    "note": "Normal interval from the spread of county means within each group.",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with 25 or more reliable donors in every cohort",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units",
    "value": 0.158948,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "bal_k": {
    "display": "59",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 59,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties at least 30% Black with a pool in every cohort",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 59,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "big_black_k": {
    "display": "10",
    "estimand": "size of the group compared",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, at least 30% Black, the ones with the most two-party votes",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 10,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "big_k": {
    "display": "100",
    "estimand": "size of the group compared",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote",
    "population": "the counties of the frame with the most two-party votes",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 100,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "black_cut": {
    "display": "30%",
    "estimand": "definition of a group",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020",
    "population": "counties grouped as at least 30% Black",
    "source": "county-demographics",
    "unit": "percent of residents, non-Hispanic Black",
    "value": 30,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "cell_floor": {
    "display": "10",
    "estimand": "minimum number of counties for a band to be plotted",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "a band on one side of the vote",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 10,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "college_net_eq": {
    "ci": [
      -0.156,
      -0.085
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.120",
    "estimand": "regression coefficient of county donor lean on college share, net of Black share and median income",
    "n": 498,
    "note": "State-clustered standard errors (46 states).",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units per 10 points of college share",
    "value": -0.12046,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "college_net_w": {
    "ci": [
      -0.154,
      -0.061
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.108",
    "estimand": "regression coefficient of county donor lean on college share, net of Black share and median income",
    "n": 498,
    "note": "State-clustered standard errors (46 states).",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units per 10 points of college share",
    "value": -0.107662,
    "weights": "two-party votes in 2020 (county-equal in the companion fact)"
  },
  "college_rl": {
    "display": "24.2%",
    "estimand": "median county college share",
    "n": 472,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties with left-leaning donors",
    "source": "county-demographics",
    "unit": "percent of adults 25 and over with a bachelor degree",
    "value": 24.2263,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "college_rr": {
    "display": "19.6%",
    "estimand": "median county college share",
    "n": 1863,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties with right-leaning donors",
    "source": "county-demographics",
    "unit": "percent of adults 25 and over with a bachelor degree",
    "value": 19.5707,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "corr_black_all_eq": {
    "display": "+0.55",
    "estimand": "correlation of donor lean and Black share",
    "n": 528,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with a 2020 Black share and at least 25 reliable donors, all donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "correlation coefficient",
    "value": 0.551268,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "corr_black_all_w": {
    "display": "+0.06",
    "estimand": "correlation of donor lean and Black share",
    "n": 528,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with a 2020 Black share and at least 25 reliable donors, all donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "correlation coefficient",
    "value": 0.0634085,
    "weights": "two-party votes in 2020 (county-equal in the companion fact)"
  },
  "corr_black_eq": {
    "ci": [
      0.55,
      0.69
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+0.62",
    "estimand": "correlation of county donor lean and Black share",
    "n": 498,
    "note": "County bootstrap, 2000 replicates, seed 12345.",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "correlation coefficient",
    "value": 0.622097,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "corr_black_strict_eq": {
    "display": "+0.60",
    "estimand": "correlation of donor lean and Black share",
    "n": 463,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with a 2020 Black share and at least 25 reliable donors, stricter donor definition",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "correlation coefficient",
    "value": 0.601183,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "corr_black_w": {
    "ci": [
      0.07,
      0.37
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+0.21",
    "estimand": "correlation of county donor lean and Black share",
    "n": 498,
    "note": "County bootstrap, 2000 replicates, seed 12345.",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "correlation coefficient",
    "value": 0.210565,
    "weights": "two-party votes in 2020 (county-equal in the companion fact)"
  },
  "county_mean_lean": {
    "display": "+0.18",
    "estimand": "mean of the county donor lean, each county counted once",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units (negative is left)",
    "value": 0.182511,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "county_median_lean": {
    "display": "+0.19",
    "estimand": "median of the county donor lean, each county counted once",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units (negative is left)",
    "value": 0.190914,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "cross_eq": {
    "display": "45.9%",
    "estimand": "vote share at which a least-squares line of donor lean crosses zero",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent Democratic, two-party vote",
    "value": 45.9149,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "cross_w": {
    "display": "44.5%",
    "estimand": "vote share at which a least-squares line of donor lean crosses zero",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent Democratic, two-party vote",
    "value": 44.4672,
    "weights": "two-party votes in 2020 (county-equal in the companion fact)"
  },
  "def_div_hi": {
    "display": "1,030",
    "estimand": "largest count of divergent counties across the eight rows",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties under each of the eight definitions in the definitions table (the frame differs by row)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 1030,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "def_div_lo": {
    "display": "112",
    "estimand": "smallest count of divergent counties across the eight rows",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties under each of the eight definitions in the definitions table (the frame differs by row)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 112,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "def_dr_hi": {
    "display": "188",
    "estimand": "largest count of Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors across the five rows",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "the five definitions of the donor pool, the vote year and the pool floor",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 188,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "def_dr_lo": {
    "display": "62",
    "estimand": "smallest count of Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors across the five rows",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "the five definitions of the donor pool, the vote year and the pool floor",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 62,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "def_rl_hi": {
    "display": "542",
    "estimand": "largest count of Republican-voting counties with left-leaning donors across the five rows",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "the five definitions of the donor pool, the vote year and the pool floor",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 542,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "def_rl_lo": {
    "display": "113",
    "estimand": "smallest count of Republican-voting counties with left-leaning donors across the five rows",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "the five definitions of the donor pool, the vote year and the pool floor",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 113,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "def_share_hi": {
    "display": "36.3%",
    "estimand": "largest share of counties that are divergent across the eight rows",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties under each of the eight definitions in the definitions table (the frame differs by row)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 36.2804,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "def_share_lo": {
    "display": "3.9%",
    "estimand": "smallest share of counties that are divergent across the eight rows",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties under each of the eight definitions in the definitions table (the frame differs by row)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 3.94505,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "dem_pool_large": {
    "display": "6.3%",
    "estimand": "share with a right-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 318,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with 1,000 or more reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 6.28931,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "dem_pool_small": {
    "display": "78.6%",
    "estimand": "share with a right-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 28,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with 25 to 49 reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 78.5714,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "donor_sd": {
    "display": "1.01",
    "estimand": "standard deviation of donor CFscores",
    "n": 4717221,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1980-2024",
    "population": "reliable donors in the donor file",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units",
    "value": 1.00823,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "dr_median_share": {
    "display": "57.6%",
    "estimand": "median county Democratic share",
    "n": 98,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors",
    "source": "county-returns",
    "unit": "percent Democratic, two-party vote",
    "value": 57.6158,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "gap_c1": {
    "ci": [
      0.1,
      0.28
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.19",
    "estimand": "difference in mean county donor lean, counties at least 30% Black minus other Democratic-voting counties",
    "n": 385,
    "note": "Normal interval from the spread of county means within each group.",
    "period": "2020 vote; donors first active 1980-96",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with 25 or more reliable donors who first gave in 1980-96",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units",
    "value": 0.190059,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "gap_c2": {
    "ci": [
      0.29,
      0.45
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.37",
    "estimand": "difference in mean county donor lean, counties at least 30% Black minus other Democratic-voting counties",
    "n": 453,
    "note": "Normal interval from the spread of county means within each group.",
    "period": "2020 vote; donors first active 1998-2008",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with 25 or more reliable donors who first gave in 1998-2008",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units",
    "value": 0.368385,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "gap_c3": {
    "ci": [
      0.19,
      0.33
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.26",
    "estimand": "difference in mean county donor lean, counties at least 30% Black minus other Democratic-voting counties",
    "n": 428,
    "note": "Normal interval from the spread of county means within each group.",
    "period": "2020 vote; donors first active 2010-16",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with 25 or more reliable donors who first gave in 2010-16",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units",
    "value": 0.260544,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "gap_c4": {
    "ci": [
      0.24,
      0.4
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.32",
    "estimand": "difference in mean county donor lean, counties at least 30% Black minus other Democratic-voting counties",
    "n": 436,
    "note": "Normal interval from the spread of county means within each group.",
    "period": "2020 vote; donors first active 2018-24",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with 25 or more reliable donors who first gave in 2018-24",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units",
    "value": 0.320396,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "gap_strict_max": {
    "ci": [
      0.26,
      0.45
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.35",
    "estimand": "difference in mean county donor lean, counties at least 30% Black minus other Democratic-voting counties, largest across the four cohorts, donors with at least 15 distinct recipients",
    "n": 410,
    "note": "Normal interval from the spread of county means within each group.",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with 25 or more donors of at least 15 distinct recipients who first gave in the cohort",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units",
    "value": 0.35376,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "gap_strict_min": {
    "ci": [
      0.07,
      0.3
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "0.19",
    "estimand": "difference in mean county donor lean, counties at least 30% Black minus other Democratic-voting counties, smallest across the four cohorts, donors with at least 15 distinct recipients",
    "n": 346,
    "note": "Normal interval from the spread of county means within each group.",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with 25 or more donors of at least 15 distinct recipients who first gave in the cohort",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units",
    "value": 0.185976,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "hisp_cut": {
    "display": "50%",
    "estimand": "definition of a group",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020",
    "population": "counties grouped as majority Hispanic",
    "source": "county-demographics",
    "unit": "percent of residents, Hispanic",
    "value": 50,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "lean_cut": {
    "display": "0.25",
    "estimand": "definition of a map class",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "cut of the map on either side of zero",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units",
    "value": 0.25,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "median_pool_all": {
    "display": "229",
    "estimand": "median pool size",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "reliable donors",
    "value": 229,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "median_pool_black30": {
    "display": "170",
    "estimand": "median pool size",
    "n": 126,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, at least 30% Black",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "reliable donors",
    "value": 170,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "median_pool_dem_other": {
    "display": "3,193",
    "estimand": "median pool size",
    "n": 372,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, under 30% Black",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "reliable donors",
    "value": 3193,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "median_pool_dr": {
    "display": "117",
    "estimand": "median pool size",
    "n": 98,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "reliable donors",
    "value": 117,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "median_votes_bl_left": {
    "display": "73,872",
    "estimand": "median county two-party votes",
    "n": 52,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, at least 30% Black, with left-leaning donors",
    "source": "county-returns",
    "unit": "two-party votes",
    "value": 73872,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "median_votes_bl_right": {
    "display": "10,804",
    "estimand": "median county two-party votes",
    "n": 74,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, at least 30% Black, with right-leaning donors",
    "source": "county-returns",
    "unit": "two-party votes",
    "value": 10804,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_balanced": {
    "display": "374",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 374,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with 25 or more reliable donors in every cohort",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 374,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_big_black_left": {
    "display": "9",
    "estimand": "count with a left-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 10,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "the 10 counties at least 30% Black with the most two-party votes among Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 9,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_big_div": {
    "display": "9",
    "estimand": "count of divergent counties",
    "n": 100,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "the 100 counties of the frame with the most two-party votes",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 9,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_black30_p1": {
    "display": "82",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 82,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, at least 30% Black, with 100 or more reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 82,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_black30_p2": {
    "display": "43",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 43,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, at least 30% Black, with 500 or more reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 43,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_black_frame": {
    "display": "498",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 498,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 498,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_black_states": {
    "display": "46",
    "estimand": "number of states, the clusters of the regressions",
    "n": 46,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "states",
    "value": 46,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_clear": {
    "display": "112",
    "estimand": "count of counties in the two corner classes of the map",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 112,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_clear_dr": {
    "display": "27",
    "estimand": "count of counties in the Democratic-vote, right-donor corner class of the map",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 27,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_clear_dr_south": {
    "display": "26",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 27,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties in the Democratic-vote, right-donor corner class, in the South",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 26,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_clear_rl": {
    "display": "85",
    "estimand": "count of counties in the Republican-vote, left-donor corner class of the map",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 85,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_cohort_donors_c1": {
    "display": "0.4 million",
    "estimand": "count of donors",
    "n": 422794,
    "note": "",
    "period": "donors first active 1980-96",
    "population": "reliable donors who first gave in 1980-96",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "donors",
    "value": 422794,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_cohort_donors_c4": {
    "display": "1.5 million",
    "estimand": "count of donors",
    "n": 1482136,
    "note": "",
    "period": "donors first active 2018-24",
    "population": "reliable donors who first gave in 2018-24",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "donors",
    "value": 1482136,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_counties": {
    "display": "2,839",
    "estimand": "count of counties in the frame",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 2839,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_counties_all": {
    "display": "3,105",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 3105,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with a pool and a return under all donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 3105,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dem_black30": {
    "display": "126",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 126,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, at least 30% Black",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 126,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dem_black30_right": {
    "display": "74",
    "estimand": "count with a right-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 126,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, at least 30% Black",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 74,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dem_other": {
    "display": "372",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 372,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, under 30% Black",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 372,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_div": {
    "display": "570",
    "estimand": "count of counties on the two off-diagonal sides of the sign rule",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 570,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_donors_all": {
    "display": "4.7 million",
    "estimand": "count of donors",
    "n": 4717221,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1980-2024",
    "population": "reliable individual donors with a CFscore and a county",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "donors",
    "value": 4717221,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_donors_alldef": {
    "display": "36.4 million",
    "estimand": "count of donors",
    "n": 36402792,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1980-2024",
    "population": "all individual donors with a CFscore and a county, reliable or not",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "donors",
    "value": 36402792,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_donors_frame": {
    "display": "4.7 million",
    "estimand": "count of donors",
    "n": 4713191,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1980-2024",
    "population": "reliable donors in the counties of the frame",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "donors",
    "value": 4713191,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr": {
    "display": "98",
    "estimand": "count of Democratic-voting counties with a right-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 98,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_2024": {
    "display": "68",
    "estimand": "count of Democratic-voting counties with a right-leaning pool",
    "n": 2835,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with a pool and a return under the 2024 vote",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 68,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_all": {
    "display": "188",
    "estimand": "count of Democratic-voting counties with a right-leaning pool",
    "n": 3105,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with a pool and a return under all donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 188,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_black": {
    "display": "74",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 98,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors that are at least 30% Black",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 74,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_hisp": {
    "display": "10",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 98,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors that are under 30% Black and majority Hispanic",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 10,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_hisp_tx": {
    "display": "8",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 10,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "those majority-Hispanic counties that are in Texas",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 8,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_midwest": {
    "display": "3",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 3,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors, in the Midwest",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 3,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_ms": {
    "display": "16",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 16,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors, in Mississippi",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 16,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_northeast": {
    "display": "0",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 0,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors, in the Northeast",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 0,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_other": {
    "display": "14",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 98,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors that are neither",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 14,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_other_even": {
    "display": "9",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 14,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors that are neither, with a Democratic share below the upper cut",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 9,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_refmed": {
    "display": "57",
    "estimand": "count of Democratic-voting counties with donor lean above the reference",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties in the frame, with the donor lean measured from the median county",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 57,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_refpool": {
    "display": "240",
    "estimand": "count of Democratic-voting counties with donor lean above the reference",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties in the frame, with the donor lean measured from the mean of all reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 240,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_small": {
    "display": "45",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 98,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors and fewer than 100 reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 45,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_south": {
    "display": "89",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 89,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors, in the South",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 89,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_strict": {
    "display": "75",
    "estimand": "count of Democratic-voting counties with a right-leaning pool",
    "n": 2432,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with a pool and a return under the stricter donor definition",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 75,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_dr_west": {
    "display": "6",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 6,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors, in the West",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 6,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_other_p1": {
    "display": "357",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 357,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, under 30% Black, with 100 or more reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 357,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_other_p2": {
    "display": "320",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 320,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, under 30% Black, with 500 or more reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 320,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_rl": {
    "display": "472",
    "estimand": "count of Republican-voting counties with a left-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 472,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_rl_2024": {
    "display": "522",
    "estimand": "count of Republican-voting counties with a left-leaning pool",
    "n": 2835,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with a pool and a return under the 2024 vote",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 522,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_rl_above_line": {
    "display": "76",
    "estimand": "count with a Democratic share at or above the point where the county-equal fitted line crosses zero, as printed (45.9%)",
    "n": 472,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties with left-leaning donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 76,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_rl_all": {
    "display": "113",
    "estimand": "count of Republican-voting counties with a left-leaning pool",
    "n": 3105,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with a pool and a return under all donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 113,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_rl_midwest": {
    "display": "184",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 184,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties with left-leaning donors, in the Midwest",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 184,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_rl_northeast": {
    "display": "73",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 73,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties with left-leaning donors, in the Northeast",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 73,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_rl_refmed": {
    "display": "973",
    "estimand": "count of Republican-voting counties with donor lean below the reference",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties in the frame, with the donor lean measured from the median county",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 973,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_rl_refpool": {
    "display": "104",
    "estimand": "count of Republican-voting counties with donor lean below the reference",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties in the frame, with the donor lean measured from the mean of all reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 104,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_rl_right_of_pool": {
    "display": "368",
    "estimand": "count with a donor lean above the mean CFscore of all reliable donors",
    "n": 472,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties with left-leaning donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 368,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_rl_south": {
    "display": "139",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 139,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties with left-leaning donors, in the South",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 139,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_rl_strict": {
    "display": "542",
    "estimand": "count of Republican-voting counties with a left-leaning pool",
    "n": 2432,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with a pool and a return under the stricter donor definition",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 542,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_rl_west": {
    "display": "76",
    "estimand": "count of counties",
    "n": 76,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties with left-leaning donors, in the West",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 76,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_top": {
    "display": "10",
    "estimand": "length of the list",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "each list of named counties",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 10,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_top_black30": {
    "display": "10",
    "estimand": "count at least 30% Black",
    "n": 10,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "the ten Democratic-voting counties with the most right-leaning donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 10,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_top_ms": {
    "display": "7",
    "estimand": "count in Mississippi",
    "n": 10,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "the ten Democratic-voting counties with the most right-leaning donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 7,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "n_top_rl_states": {
    "display": "7",
    "estimand": "number of states",
    "n": 10,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "the ten Republican-voting counties with the most left-leaning donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "states",
    "value": 7,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "named_floor": {
    "display": "75",
    "estimand": "minimum pool for a county to be ranked",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties named in the table",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "reliable donors",
    "value": 75,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "nat_c1": {
    "ci": [
      0.225,
      0.23
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+0.228",
    "estimand": "mean CFscore, each donor counted once",
    "n": 422794,
    "note": "",
    "period": "donors first active 1980-96",
    "population": "reliable donors who first gave in 1980-96",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units (negative is left)",
    "value": 0.227761,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "nat_c2": {
    "ci": [
      -0.083,
      -0.08
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.081",
    "estimand": "mean CFscore, each donor counted once",
    "n": 1562979,
    "note": "",
    "period": "donors first active 1998-2008",
    "population": "reliable donors who first gave in 1998-2008",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units (negative is left)",
    "value": -0.0810685,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "nat_c3": {
    "ci": [
      -0.469,
      -0.465
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.467",
    "estimand": "mean CFscore, each donor counted once",
    "n": 1249312,
    "note": "",
    "period": "donors first active 2010-16",
    "population": "reliable donors who first gave in 2010-16",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units (negative is left)",
    "value": -0.46708,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "nat_c4": {
    "ci": [
      -0.459,
      -0.455
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.457",
    "estimand": "mean CFscore, each donor counted once",
    "n": 1482136,
    "note": "",
    "period": "donors first active 2018-24",
    "population": "reliable donors who first gave in 2018-24",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units (negative is left)",
    "value": -0.456887,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "noise_all_n": {
    "display": "138",
    "estimand": "expected number of counties whose observed donor sign differs from the sign of the underlying donor mean",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "Normal model with the county standard error sd over the square root of n; flat prior.",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 138.011,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "noise_all_share": {
    "display": "4.9%",
    "estimand": "expected share of counties whose observed donor sign differs from the underlying sign",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 4.86127,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "noise_div_n": {
    "display": "56",
    "estimand": "expected number of divergent counties whose underlying donor sign is the aligned one",
    "n": 570,
    "note": "Normal model with the county standard error; flat prior.",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "divergent counties in the frame",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 55.6341,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "noise_div_share": {
    "display": "9.8%",
    "estimand": "expected share of divergent counties whose underlying donor sign is the aligned one",
    "n": 570,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "divergent counties in the frame",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of divergent counties",
    "value": 9.76038,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "noise_eb_n": {
    "display": "83",
    "estimand": "expected number of divergent counties whose underlying donor sign is the aligned one, county means shrunk toward a line in the Democratic share",
    "n": 570,
    "note": "Normal model; underlying county means scatter around a least-squares line in the Democratic share with standard deviation 0.27 (method of moments).",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "divergent counties in the frame",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "counties",
    "value": 82.8451,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "noise_eb_share": {
    "display": "14.5%",
    "estimand": "expected share of divergent counties whose underlying donor sign is the aligned one, county means shrunk toward a line in the Democratic share",
    "n": 570,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "divergent counties in the frame",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of divergent counties",
    "value": 14.5342,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "pool_chk1": {
    "display": "100",
    "estimand": "minimum pool",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "pool floor of a check on the Black share comparison",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "reliable donors",
    "value": 100,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "pool_chk2": {
    "display": "500",
    "estimand": "minimum pool",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "pool floor of a check on the Black share comparison",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "reliable donors",
    "value": 500,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "pool_floor": {
    "display": "25",
    "estimand": "definition of the frame (minimum pool)",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "reliable donors",
    "value": 25,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "pool_mean_all": {
    "ci": [
      -0.275,
      -0.273
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.274",
    "estimand": "mean CFscore, each donor counted once",
    "n": 4717221,
    "note": "Donors are administrative records, so the interval treats them as independent draws.",
    "period": "1980-2024",
    "population": "reliable donors in the donor file",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units (negative is left)",
    "value": -0.273701,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "r_all_eq": {
    "ci": [
      -0.7,
      -0.65
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.67",
    "estimand": "correlation of county Democratic share and county donor lean",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "County bootstrap, 2000 replicates, seed 12345.",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "correlation coefficient",
    "value": -0.673615,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "r_all_w": {
    "ci": [
      -0.87,
      -0.83
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "−0.85",
    "estimand": "correlation of county Democratic share and county donor lean",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "County bootstrap, 2000 replicates, seed 12345.",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "correlation coefficient",
    "value": -0.851054,
    "weights": "two-party votes in 2020 (county-equal in the companion fact)"
  },
  "recipients_min": {
    "display": "8",
    "estimand": "definition of a reliable donor",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "donors counted as reliable",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "distinct recipients",
    "value": 8,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "recipients_strict": {
    "display": "15",
    "estimand": "definition of the stricter check",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "donors in the stricter check",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "distinct recipients",
    "value": 15,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "rel_share_c1": {
    "display": "19.3%",
    "estimand": "share of donors who are reliable",
    "n": 2195412,
    "note": "",
    "period": "donors first active 1980-96",
    "population": "individual donors with a CFscore and a county who first gave in 1980-96",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of donors",
    "value": 19.2581,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "rel_share_c4": {
    "display": "9.6%",
    "estimand": "share of donors who are reliable",
    "n": 15418884,
    "note": "",
    "period": "donors first active 2018-24",
    "population": "individual donors with a CFscore and a county who first gave in 2018-24",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of donors",
    "value": 9.61247,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "rep_pool_large": {
    "display": "36.5%",
    "estimand": "share with a left-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 301,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties with 1,000 or more reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 36.5449,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "rep_pool_small": {
    "display": "12.9%",
    "estimand": "share with a left-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 318,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties with 25 to 49 reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 12.8931,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "rl_median_share": {
    "display": "38.4%",
    "estimand": "median county Democratic share",
    "n": 472,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties with left-leaning donors",
    "source": "county-returns",
    "unit": "percent Democratic, two-party vote",
    "value": 38.381,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "rr_median_share": {
    "display": "26.2%",
    "estimand": "median county Democratic share",
    "n": 1863,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties with right-leaning donors",
    "source": "county-returns",
    "unit": "percent Democratic, two-party vote",
    "value": 26.1961,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_black30_right_p1": {
    "display": "43.9%",
    "estimand": "share with a right-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 82,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, at least 30% Black, with 100 or more reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 43.9024,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_black30_right_p2": {
    "display": "30.2%",
    "estimand": "share with a right-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 43,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, at least 30% Black, with 500 or more reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 30.2326,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_clear": {
    "display": "3.9%",
    "estimand": "share of counties in the two corner classes",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 3.94505,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_clear_votes": {
    "display": "1.2%",
    "estimand": "share of two-party votes cast in the two corner classes",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of two-party votes",
    "value": 1.24381,
    "weights": "two-party votes in 2020"
  },
  "share_dem_black30_right": {
    "display": "58.7%",
    "estimand": "share with a right-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 126,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, at least 30% Black",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 58.7302,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_dem_other_right": {
    "display": "6.5%",
    "estimand": "share with a right-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 372,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, under 30% Black",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 6.45161,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_div": {
    "display": "20.1%",
    "estimand": "share of counties whose donor lean and vote lean have opposite signs",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 20.0775,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_div_donors": {
    "display": "12.7%",
    "estimand": "share of reliable donors living in divergent counties",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of reliable donors",
    "value": 12.6953,
    "weights": "reliable donors"
  },
  "share_div_refmed": {
    "display": "36.3%",
    "estimand": "share of divergent counties",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties in the frame, with the donor lean measured from the median county",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 36.2804,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_div_votes": {
    "display": "16.0%",
    "estimand": "share of two-party votes cast in divergent counties",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of two-party votes",
    "value": 16.0214,
    "weights": "two-party votes in 2020"
  },
  "share_dr_near_even": {
    "display": "38.8%",
    "estimand": "share with a Democratic share below the upper cut",
    "n": 98,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 38.7755,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_dr_near_zero": {
    "display": "50.0%",
    "estimand": "share with donor lean within the cut of zero",
    "n": 98,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties with right-leaning donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 50,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_other_right_p1": {
    "display": "4.8%",
    "estimand": "share with a right-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 357,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, under 30% Black, with 100 or more reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 4.7619,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_other_right_p2": {
    "display": "4.1%",
    "estimand": "share with a right-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 320,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income, under 30% Black, with 500 or more reliable donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 4.0625,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_reliable": {
    "display": "13.0%",
    "estimand": "share of donors who are reliable",
    "n": 36402792,
    "note": "",
    "period": "1980-2024",
    "population": "all individual donors with a CFscore and a county",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of donors",
    "value": 12.9584,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_right_c1": {
    "display": "86.8%",
    "estimand": "share with a right-leaning cohort pool",
    "n": 68,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 vote; donors first active 1980-96",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties at least 30% Black with 25 or more reliable donors who first gave in 1980-96",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 86.7647,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_right_c4": {
    "display": "22.5%",
    "estimand": "share with a right-leaning cohort pool",
    "n": 80,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 vote; donors first active 2018-24",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties at least 30% Black with 25 or more reliable donors who first gave in 2018-24",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 22.5,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_rl_near_even": {
    "display": "19.9%",
    "estimand": "share with a Democratic share at or above the lower cut",
    "n": 472,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties with left-leaning donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 19.9153,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_rl_near_zero": {
    "display": "73.1%",
    "estimand": "share with donor lean within the cut of zero",
    "n": 472,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties with left-leaning donors",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 73.0932,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_rl_northeast": {
    "display": "63.5%",
    "estimand": "share with a left-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 115,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties in the Northeast",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 63.4783,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_rl_south": {
    "display": "12.5%",
    "estimand": "share with a left-leaning donor pool",
    "n": 1115,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Republican-voting counties in the South",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of counties",
    "value": 12.4664,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "share_votes_dr": {
    "display": "4.5%",
    "estimand": "share of two-party votes cast in these counties",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of two-party votes",
    "value": 4.45197,
    "weights": "two-party votes in 2020"
  },
  "share_votes_rl": {
    "display": "11.6%",
    "estimand": "share of two-party votes cast in these counties",
    "n": 2839,
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "counties with at least 25 reliable donors and a 2020 two-party presidential return (the county-matched donor file has no donors in Alaska or Hawaii)",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percent of two-party votes",
    "value": 11.5694,
    "weights": "two-party votes in 2020"
  },
  "slope_net_eq": {
    "ci": [
      0.042,
      0.094
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+0.068",
    "estimand": "regression coefficient of county donor lean net of college share and median income, ordinary least squares",
    "n": 498,
    "note": "State-clustered standard errors (46 states).",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units per 10 points of Black share",
    "value": 0.0682627,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "slope_net_w": {
    "ci": [
      -0.006,
      0.062
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+0.028",
    "estimand": "regression coefficient of county donor lean net of college share and median income, weighted least squares",
    "n": 498,
    "note": "State-clustered standard errors (46 states).",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units per 10 points of Black share",
    "value": 0.0277291,
    "weights": "two-party votes in 2020 (county-equal in the companion fact)"
  },
  "slope_raw_eq": {
    "ci": [
      0.077,
      0.125
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+0.101",
    "estimand": "regression coefficient of county donor lean on Black share alone, ordinary least squares",
    "n": 498,
    "note": "State-clustered standard errors (46 states).",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units per 10 points of Black share",
    "value": 0.100898,
    "weights": "none (each county counted once)"
  },
  "slope_raw_w": {
    "ci": [
      0.005,
      0.075
    ],
    "ciLevel": 0.95,
    "display": "+0.040",
    "estimand": "regression coefficient of county donor lean on Black share alone, weighted least squares",
    "n": 498,
    "note": "State-clustered standard errors (46 states).",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "CFscore units per 10 points of Black share",
    "value": 0.0399159,
    "weights": "two-party votes in 2020 (county-equal in the companion fact)"
  },
  "slope_step": {
    "display": "10 points",
    "estimand": "scale of the regression coefficients",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020 presidential vote; donors 1980-2024",
    "population": "Democratic-voting counties in that frame with a Black share, a college share and a median income",
    "source": "dime",
    "unit": "percentage points of Black share or college share",
    "value": 10,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "vote_hi": {
    "display": "55%",
    "estimand": "definition of a map class",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020",
    "population": "upper cut of the map",
    "source": "county-returns",
    "unit": "percent Democratic, two-party vote",
    "value": 55,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  },
  "vote_lo": {
    "display": "45%",
    "estimand": "definition of a map class",
    "note": "",
    "period": "2020",
    "population": "lower cut of the map",
    "source": "county-returns",
    "unit": "percent Democratic, two-party vote",
    "value": 45,
    "weights": "none (full counts of counties)"
  }
}