{
  "alt": "Four small panels for science, medicine, the military and the Supreme Court, each with a solid in-person line for 2014 to 2018 and again in 2022 and 2024, and a dashed web line for 2021, 2022 and 2024, around a line at zero. In science and medicine the web line lies above the in-person line in 2024. In the Supreme Court panel both lines fall below zero by 2022. In the military panel both lines rise toward zero in 2024.",
  "caption": "The Court gap moves from near zero to the Republican side by 2022 in both modes. In 2024 the web gaps for science and medicine sit above the in-person gaps, the in-person science gap is close to its 2018 value and the in-person military gap is closer to zero than in 2018, with wide intervals. The dashed rule marks no gap.",
  "data": [
    {
      "conf_high": 14,
      "conf_low": 0.3,
      "gap": 7.1,
      "institution": "Scientific community",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 1076,
      "year": 2014
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 19.7,
      "conf_low": 7.1,
      "gap": 13.4,
      "institution": "Scientific community",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 1397,
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 18.3,
      "conf_low": 3,
      "gap": 10.7,
      "institution": "Scientific community",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 1073,
      "year": 2018
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 34.6,
      "conf_low": 13.7,
      "gap": 24.1,
      "institution": "Scientific community",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 747,
      "year": 2022
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 23.5,
      "conf_low": 0.1,
      "gap": 11.8,
      "institution": "Scientific community",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 512,
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 5.5,
      "conf_low": -8,
      "gap": -1.3,
      "institution": "Medicine",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 1109,
      "year": 2014
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 3.9,
      "conf_low": -8.3,
      "gap": -2.2,
      "institution": "Medicine",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 1441,
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 4,
      "conf_low": -10.7,
      "gap": -3.4,
      "institution": "Medicine",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 1100,
      "year": 2018
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 25.7,
      "conf_low": 4.6,
      "gap": 15.2,
      "institution": "Medicine",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 772,
      "year": 2022
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 12.8,
      "conf_low": -9.1,
      "gap": 1.8,
      "institution": "Medicine",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 537,
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -0.2,
      "conf_low": -13.9,
      "gap": -7.1,
      "institution": "Military",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 1103,
      "year": 2014
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -7.3,
      "conf_low": -19.7,
      "gap": -13.5,
      "institution": "Military",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 1439,
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -13.9,
      "conf_low": -28.1,
      "gap": -21,
      "institution": "Military",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 1100,
      "year": 2018
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -6.4,
      "conf_low": -28.6,
      "gap": -17.5,
      "institution": "Military",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 766,
      "year": 2022
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 5.2,
      "conf_low": -18.6,
      "gap": -6.7,
      "institution": "Military",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 536,
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 11.5,
      "conf_low": -0.4,
      "gap": 5.5,
      "institution": "Supreme Court",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 1094,
      "year": 2014
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 9.8,
      "conf_low": -1.5,
      "gap": 4.1,
      "institution": "Supreme Court",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 1428,
      "year": 2016
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 3.3,
      "conf_low": -11.2,
      "gap": -3.9,
      "institution": "Supreme Court",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 1086,
      "year": 2018
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -10.9,
      "conf_low": -28.6,
      "gap": -19.8,
      "institution": "Supreme Court",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 756,
      "year": 2022
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -0.2,
      "conf_low": -18.9,
      "gap": -9.5,
      "institution": "Supreme Court",
      "interview": "In person",
      "n": 533,
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 36.6,
      "conf_low": 25.4,
      "gap": 31,
      "institution": "Scientific community",
      "interview": "Web",
      "n": 1755,
      "year": 2021
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 47.4,
      "conf_low": 28.6,
      "gap": 38,
      "institution": "Scientific community",
      "interview": "Web",
      "n": 789,
      "year": 2022
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 40.2,
      "conf_low": 22.7,
      "gap": 31.4,
      "institution": "Scientific community",
      "interview": "Web",
      "n": 841,
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 15.8,
      "conf_low": 4.4,
      "gap": 10.1,
      "institution": "Medicine",
      "interview": "Web",
      "n": 1759,
      "year": 2021
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 27.1,
      "conf_low": 8.2,
      "gap": 17.7,
      "institution": "Medicine",
      "interview": "Web",
      "n": 788,
      "year": 2022
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 28,
      "conf_low": 11.7,
      "gap": 19.9,
      "institution": "Medicine",
      "interview": "Web",
      "n": 838,
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -21.6,
      "conf_low": -32.9,
      "gap": -27.3,
      "institution": "Military",
      "interview": "Web",
      "n": 1757,
      "year": 2021
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -8.5,
      "conf_low": -28.8,
      "gap": -18.7,
      "institution": "Military",
      "interview": "Web",
      "n": 791,
      "year": 2022
    },
    {
      "conf_high": 11.5,
      "conf_low": -7.1,
      "gap": 2.2,
      "institution": "Military",
      "interview": "Web",
      "n": 839,
      "year": 2024
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -0.2,
      "conf_low": -10.8,
      "gap": -5.5,
      "institution": "Supreme Court",
      "interview": "Web",
      "n": 1762,
      "year": 2021
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -11.9,
      "conf_low": -27.6,
      "gap": -19.7,
      "institution": "Supreme Court",
      "interview": "Web",
      "n": 790,
      "year": 2022
    },
    {
      "conf_high": -15.8,
      "conf_low": -30.2,
      "gap": -23,
      "institution": "Supreme Court",
      "interview": "Web",
      "n": 842,
      "year": 2024
    }
  ],
  "id": "gap_by_mode_year",
  "notes": [
    "There are no web interviews before 2021.",
    "Lines are broken between 2018 and the next survey year in each view, because there is no 2020 survey and the 2021 survey had no in-person interviews.",
    "Intervals assume a simple random sample of the weighted respondents (the Kish effective sample size); they do not use the survey's sampling design."
  ],
  "source": "General Social Survey, 1973-2024; weighted (weight_use); Democrats and Republicans include leaners; intervals on the Kish effective sample size",
  "spec": {
    "annotations": [
      {
        "type": "y-rule",
        "y": 0
      }
    ],
    "breaks": [
      2020
    ],
    "colors": {
      "In person": "cat1",
      "Web": "cat2"
    },
    "dashed": [
      "Web"
    ],
    "endLabels": false,
    "facet": "institution",
    "facetColumns": 2,
    "hi": "conf_high",
    "lo": "conf_low",
    "n": "n",
    "series": "interview",
    "x": "year",
    "xDomain": [
      2013,
      2025
    ],
    "xLabel": "Survey year",
    "y": "gap",
    "yDomain": [
      -45,
      55
    ],
    "yFormat": {
      "digits": 1,
      "signed": true
    },
    "yLabel": "Democratic minus Republican gap (points)"
  },
  "subtitle": "Democratic minus Republican share with a great deal of confidence, percentage points, four institutions, in-person interviews (solid line) and web interviews (dashed line), 2014-2024, 95% intervals",
  "title": "The Supreme Court gap was on the Republican side by 2022 in both interview modes",
  "type": "line",
  "width": "wide"
}