{ "alt": "Scatter plot of {fact:n_counties_sample} counties, with county diesel exposure on the horizontal axis and the residual margin on the vertical axis, and two binned mean lines. Counties differ by tens of points at every level of exposure. Net of race, income and education the binned means counting each county once rise from the third tenth of counties to the tenth, and the vote-weighted correlation is {fact:r_county_lean_demog}. In the second view density is also held fixed, the tenth of counties with the least exposure has the highest binned means, and the vote-weighted correlation is {fact:r_county_lean_dens}, with an interval that includes zero.", "caption": "Counties with similar diesel exposure differ by tens of points in residual margin. Each dot is a county, and the lines are binned means over tenths of counties ordered by exposure, weighted by votes and counting each county once, with 95% intervals from resampling states. Net of race, income and education the binned means counting each county once rise from the third tenth to the tenth. With density also held fixed, the tenth with the least exposure has the highest means under both weightings. Within states, the correlation is {fact:r_county_lean_demog_state} net of race, income and education and {fact:r_county_lean_dens_state} with density added.", "data": [ { "county": "Autauga, AL", "diesel": 0.0987, "residual_demog": -37.1, "residual_dens": -34.3, "votes": 27770 }, { "county": "Baldwin, AL", "diesel": 0.0789, "residual_demog": -39.1, "residual_dens": -36.2, "votes": 109679 }, { "county": "Barbour, AL", "diesel": 0.048, "residual_demog": -21.7, "residual_dens": -4.6, "votes": 10518 }, { "county": "Bibb, AL", "diesel": 0.061, "residual_demog": -31.6, "residual_dens": -21.9, "votes": 9595 }, { "county": "Blount, AL", "diesel": 0.078, "residual_demog": -38.5, "residual_dens": -33.6, "votes": 27588 }, { "county": "Bullock, AL", "diesel": 0.0395, "residual_demog": 10.2, "residual_dens": 37.9, "votes": 4613 }, { "county": "Butler, AL", "diesel": 0.0591, "residual_demog": -25.1, "residual_dens": -7.6, "votes": 9488 }, { "county": "Calhoun, AL", "diesel": 0.091, "residual_demog": -25.8, "residual_dens": -24.3, "votes": 50980 }, { "county": "Chambers, AL", "diesel": 0.0802, "residual_demog": -22, "residual_dens": -11.1, "votes": 15284 }, { "county": "Cherokee, AL", "diesel": 0.0728, "residual_demog": -29.5, "residual_dens": -22, "votes": 12301 }, { "county": "Chilton, AL", "diesel": 0.0747, "residual_demog": -36.1, "residual_dens": -29, "votes": 19310 }, { "county": "Choctaw, AL", "diesel": 0.0337, "residual_demog": -15.7, "residual_dens": 7.6, "votes": 7464 }, { "county": "Clarke, AL", "diesel": 0.041, "residual_demog": -22.4, "residual_dens": -1.5, "votes": 13135 }, { "county": "Clay, AL", "diesel": 0.0517, "residual_demog": -32.7, "residual_dens": -17.4, "votes": 6930 }, { "county": "Cleburne, AL", "diesel": 0.0767, "residual_demog": -38.4, "residual_dens": -26.5, "votes": 7227 }, { "county": "Coffee, AL", "diesel": 0.0475, "residual_demog": -37.5, "residual_dens": -31.8, "votes": 22275 }, { "county": "Colbert, AL", "diesel": 0.1073, "residual_demog": -17.4, "residual_dens": -17.3, "votes": 27886 }, { "county": "Conecuh, AL", "diesel": 0.0466, "residual_demog": -16.9, "residual_dens": 7.3, "votes": 6441 }, { "county": "Coosa, AL", "diesel": 0.0475, "residual_demog": -21.2, "residual_dens": -1.1, "votes": 5479 }, { "county": "Covington, AL", "diesel": 0.0386, "residual_demog": -36.8, "residual_dens": -27.5, "votes": 17430 }, { "county": "Crenshaw, AL", "diesel": 0.0352, "residual_demog": -33.3, "residual_dens": -14.9, "votes": 6617 }, { "county": "Cullman, AL", "diesel": 0.0902, "residual_demog": -36.4, "residual_dens": -34.6, "votes": 41851 }, { "county": "Dale, AL", "diesel": 0.044, "residual_demog": -33.3, "residual_dens": -25.6, "votes": 19738 }, { "county": "Dallas, AL", "diesel": 0.0667, "residual_demog": -10.5, "residual_dens": 4.6, "votes": 17864 }, { "county": "DeKalb, AL", "diesel": 0.0732, "residual_demog": -34.6, "residual_dens": -27.6, "votes": 29356 }, { "county": "Elmore, AL", "diesel": 0.0719, "residual_demog": -34.4, "residual_dens": -29.9, "votes": 41030 }, { "county": "Escambia, AL", "diesel": 0.0539, "residual_demog": -29.5, "residual_dens": -16.8, "votes": 15910 }, { "county": "Etowah, AL", "diesel": 0.0973, "residual_demog": -24.6, "residual_dens": -25.1, "votes": 47728 }, { "county": "Fayette, AL", "diesel": 0.0511, "residual_demog": -34.1, "residual_dens": -20.8, "votes": 8766 }, { "county": "Franklin, AL", "diesel": 0.0567, "residual_demog": -36, "residual_dens": -25.9, "votes": 12578 }, { "county": "Geneva, AL", "diesel": 0.0425, "residual_demog": -39.6, "residual_dens": -29.5, "votes": 12545 }, { "county": "Greene, AL", "diesel": 0.0594, "residual_demog": 5.7, "residual_dens": 37.6, "votes": 4775 }, { "county": "Hale, AL", "diesel": 0.0506, "residual_demog": -19.7, "residual_dens": 3.5, "votes": 6772 }, { "county": "Henry, AL", "diesel": 0.04, "residual_demog": -34.9, "residual_dens": -19.5, "votes": 9298 }, { "county": "Houston, AL", "diesel": 0.0705, "residual_demog": -38.1, "residual_dens": -36.1, "votes": 46173 }, { "county": "Jackson, AL", "diesel": 0.0732, "residual_demog": -25.9, "residual_dens": -19.6, "votes": 23636 }, { "county": "Jefferson, AL", "diesel": 0.1944, "residual_demog": -18.3, "residual_dens": -15.8, "votes": 325762 }, { "county": "Lamar, AL", "diesel": 0.0474, "residual_demog": -31.6, "residual_dens": -18.7, "votes": 7193 }, { "county": "Lauderdale, AL", "diesel": 0.0854, "residual_demog": -22.8, "residual_dens": -21.7, "votes": 44339 }, { "county": "Lawrence, AL", "diesel": 0.0733, "residual_demog": -27.2, "residual_dens": -17.2, "votes": 16031 }, { "county": "Lee, AL", "diesel": 0.0875, "residual_demog": -37.8, "residual_dens": -31.5, "votes": 71065 }, { "county": "Limestone, AL", "diesel": 0.1122, "residual_demog": -29.6, "residual_dens": -25.6, "votes": 49235 }, { "county": "Lowndes, AL", "diesel": 0.0572, "residual_demog": -2.4, "residual_dens": 27.9, "votes": 6835 }, { "county": "Macon, AL", "diesel": 0.0637, "residual_demog": 0.7, "residual_dens": 25.9, "votes": 8723 }, { "county": "Madison, AL", "diesel": 0.1184, "residual_demog": -26.4, "residual_dens": -23, "votes": 194767 }, { "county": "Marengo, AL", "diesel": 0.0482, "residual_demog": -24.2, "residual_dens": -0.6, "votes": 10900 }, { "county": "Marion, AL", "diesel": 0.0606, "residual_demog": -31.4, "residual_dens": -23.7, "votes": 13807 }, { "county": "Marshall, AL", "diesel": 0.0759, "residual_demog": -41.1, "residual_dens": -37.6, "votes": 39655 }, { "county": "Mobile, AL", "diesel": 0.1497, "residual_demog": -24, "residual_dens": -24.2, "votes": 181166 }, { "county": "Monroe, AL", "diesel": 0.0403, "residual_demog": -17.7, "residual_dens": -0.4, "votes": 10668 }, { "county": "Montgomery, AL", "diesel": 0.1452, "residual_demog": -24.7, "residual_dens": -18.6, "votes": 98448 }, { "county": "Morgan, AL", "diesel": 0.1243, "residual_demog": -31.2, "residual_dens": -30.8, "votes": 53722 }, { "county": "Perry, AL", "diesel": 0.0433, "residual_demog": 0.8, "residual_dens": 31.8, "votes": 5230 }, { "county": "Pickens, AL", "diesel": 0.0464, "residual_demog": -21.4, "residual_dens": -0.2, "votes": 9668 }, { "county": "Pike, AL", "diesel": 0.0467, "residual_demog": -36.5, "residual_dens": -20.2, "votes": 13841 }, { "county": "Randolph, AL", "diesel": 0.0595, "residual_demog": -42.5, "residual_dens": -27.8, "votes": 10837 }, { "county": "Russell, AL", "diesel": 0.0896, "residual_demog": -10.3, "residual_dens": -3.5, "votes": 21329 }, { "county": "St. Clair, AL", "diesel": 0.1093, "residual_demog": -30.2, "residual_dens": -29.8, "votes": 44441 }, { "county": "Shelby, AL", "diesel": 0.1283, "residual_demog": -46.2, "residual_dens": -42.5, "votes": 114950 }, { "county": "Sumter, AL", "diesel": 0.0582, "residual_demog": -3.8, "residual_dens": 28.8, "votes": 6291 }, { "county": "Talladega, AL", "diesel": 0.0799, "residual_demog": -19.6, "residual_dens": -13.1, "votes": 35663 }, { "county": "Tallapoosa, AL", "diesel": 0.0539, "residual_demog": -31.2, "residual_dens": -19.7, "votes": 20991 }, { "county": "Tuscaloosa, AL", "diesel": 0.1185, "residual_demog": -25.9, "residual_dens": -22.1, "votes": 89347 }, { "county": "Walker, AL", "diesel": 0.0866, "residual_demog": -28.7, "residual_dens": -25, "votes": 31170 }, { "county": "Washington, AL", "diesel": 0.0379, "residual_demog": -34.1, "residual_dens": -13, "votes": 8876 }, { "county": "Wilcox, AL", "diesel": 0.0388, "residual_demog": -2.4, "residual_dens": 26.4, "votes": 5903 }, { "county": "Winston, AL", "diesel": 0.0557, "residual_demog": -34.7, "residual_dens": -26.9, "votes": 11284 }, { "county": "Apache, AZ", "diesel": 0.0161, "residual_demog": 16.7, "residual_dens": 54.6, "votes": 35171 }, { "county": "Cochise, AZ", "diesel": 0.0494, "residual_demog": -19.7, "residual_dens": -5.7, "votes": 60391 }, { "county": "Coconino, AZ", "diesel": 0.0722, "residual_demog": 9.6, "residual_dens": 27.7, "votes": 73274 }, { "county": "Gila, AZ", "diesel": 0.0382, "residual_demog": -11.5, "residual_dens": 4, "votes": 27663 }, { "county": "Graham, AZ", "diesel": 0.0391, "residual_demog": -28.7, "residual_dens": -12.5, "votes": 14995 }, { "county": "Greenlee, AZ", "diesel": 0.0188, "residual_demog": -35.2, "residual_dens": 1.5, "votes": 3685 }, { "county": "La Paz, AZ", "diesel": 0.0706, "residual_demog": -17.9, "residual_dens": 5.1, "votes": 6546 }, { "county": "Maricopa, AZ", "diesel": 0.2555, "residual_demog": -3, "residual_dens": -7.5, "votes": 2067902 }, { "county": "Mohave, AZ", "diesel": 0.0736, "residual_demog": -18.1, "residual_dens": -20.4, "votes": 104667 }, { "county": "Navajo, AZ", "diesel": 0.0397, "residual_demog": -6.5, "residual_dens": 17.2, "votes": 51767 }, { "county": "Pima, AZ", "diesel": 0.1589, "residual_demog": 7.1, "residual_dens": 10.1, "votes": 519220 }, { "county": "Pinal, AZ", "diesel": 0.1309, "residual_demog": -7.2, "residual_dens": -6.6, "votes": 184398 }, { "county": "Santa Cruz, AZ", "diesel": 0.0475, "residual_demog": 4.7, "residual_dens": 30.6, "votes": 19556 }, { "county": "Yavapai, AZ", "diesel": 0.0727, "residual_demog": -10.5, "residual_dens": -6, "votes": 143219 }, { "county": "Yuma, AZ", "diesel": 0.1617, "residual_demog": -14.3, "residual_dens": -10.5, "votes": 69651 }, { "county": "Arkansas, AR", "diesel": 0.0743, "residual_demog": -21.5, "residual_dens": -10.7, "votes": 6292 }, { "county": "Ashley, AR", "diesel": 0.0503, "residual_demog": -29, "residual_dens": -16.4, "votes": 7926 }, { "county": "Baxter, AR", "diesel": 0.0613, "residual_demog": -14, "residual_dens": -11.2, "votes": 21007 }, { "county": "Benton, AR", "diesel": 0.0901, "residual_demog": -25.8, "residual_dens": -22, "votes": 119903 }, { "county": "Boone, AR", "diesel": 0.0505, "residual_demog": -16.3, "residual_dens": -13.4, "votes": 17114 }, { "county": "Bradley, AR", "diesel": 0.0428, "residual_demog": -31.9, "residual_dens": -9.7, "votes": 3654 }, { "county": "Calhoun, AR", "diesel": 0.0401, "residual_demog": -32.4, "residual_dens": -6.3, "votes": 2182 }, { "county": "Carroll, AR", "diesel": 0.0419, "residual_demog": -5.9, "residual_dens": 7.9, "votes": 11797 }, { "county": "Chicot, AR", "diesel": 0.0624, "residual_demog": -22.2, "residual_dens": -0.3, "votes": 4103 }, { "county": "Clark, AR", "diesel": 0.0862, "residual_demog": -14, "residual_dens": 0.5, "votes": 8395 }, { "county": "Clay, AR", "diesel": 0.0908, "residual_demog": -14.6, "residual_dens": -8.8, "votes": 5183 }, { "county": "Cleburne, AR", "diesel": 0.0517, "residual_demog": -24, "residual_dens": -17.7, "votes": 12680 }, { "county": "Cleveland, AR", "diesel": 0.0453, "residual_demog": -31.3, "residual_dens": -12.4, "votes": 3600 }, { "county": "Columbia, AR", "diesel": 0.0561, "residual_demog": -36.9, "residual_dens": -22.8, "votes": 8616 }, { "county": "Conway, AR", "diesel": 0.0999, "residual_demog": -10.1, "residual_dens": 2, "votes": 8685 }, { "county": "Craighead, AR", "diesel": 0.1248, "residual_demog": -26.5, "residual_dens": -24.9, "votes": 38511 }, { "county": "Crawford, AR", "diesel": 0.1165, "residual_demog": -25.3, "residual_dens": -22.8, "votes": 24093 }, { "county": "Crittenden, AR", "diesel": 0.1804, "residual_demog": -13.8, "residual_dens": -8.3, "votes": 16367 }, { "county": "Cross, AR", "diesel": 0.1064, "residual_demog": -24.5, "residual_dens": -16.8, "votes": 6942 }, { "county": "Dallas, AR", "diesel": 0.051, "residual_demog": -23.5, "residual_dens": -4.5, "votes": 2649 }, { "county": "Desha, AR", "diesel": 0.0699, "residual_demog": -19, "residual_dens": 4.3, "votes": 4164 }, { "county": "Drew, AR", "diesel": 0.0553, "residual_demog": -30.4, "residual_dens": -12.4, "votes": 6908 }, { "county": "Faulkner, AR", "diesel": 0.106, "residual_demog": -21.5, "residual_dens": -19, "votes": 54428 }, { "county": "Franklin, AR", "diesel": 0.0732, "residual_demog": -20, "residual_dens": -9.8, "votes": 7129 }, { "county": "Fulton, AR", "diesel": 0.0526, "residual_demog": -14.3, "residual_dens": 0.2, "votes": 5119 }, { "county": "Garland, AR", "diesel": 0.062, "residual_demog": -13.9, "residual_dens": -11.6, "votes": 44199 }, { "county": "Grant, AR", "diesel": 0.0536, "residual_demog": -26.7, "residual_dens": -18.2, "votes": 8191 }, { "county": "Greene, AR", "diesel": 0.1032, "residual_demog": -17.5, "residual_dens": -19.6, "votes": 16100 }, { "county": "Hempstead, AR", "diesel": 0.0778, "residual_demog": -32.9, "residual_dens": -16.5, "votes": 6845 }, { "county": "Hot Spring, AR", "diesel": 0.09, "residual_demog": -16.7, "residual_dens": -9.9, "votes": 12557 }, { "county": "Howard, AR", "diesel": 0.0586, "residual_demog": -34.2, "residual_dens": -17.6, "votes": 4837 }, { "county": "Independence, AR", "diesel": 0.0719, "residual_demog": -22.4, "residual_dens": -14.5, "votes": 14512 }, { "county": "Izard, AR", "diesel": 0.042, "residual_demog": -27.7, "residual_dens": -12.4, "votes": 5810 }, { "county": "Jackson, AR", "diesel": 0.0998, "residual_demog": -18.4, "residual_dens": -7.5, "votes": 5091 }, { "county": "Jefferson, AR", "diesel": 0.0932, "residual_demog": -10.8, "residual_dens": -1.1, "votes": 24796 }, { "county": "Johnson, AR", "diesel": 0.0841, "residual_demog": -20.2, "residual_dens": -9.5, "votes": 9541 }, { "county": "Lafayette, AR", "diesel": 0.0471, "residual_demog": -31.1, "residual_dens": -10.8, "votes": 2679 }, { "county": "Lawrence, AR", "diesel": 0.1012, "residual_demog": -14.6, "residual_dens": -8.4, "votes": 5857 }, { "county": "Lee, AR", "diesel": 0.076, "residual_demog": -17.7, "residual_dens": 1.1, "votes": 2848 }, { "county": "Lincoln, AR", "diesel": 0.0539, "residual_demog": -21.9, "residual_dens": -6.7, "votes": 3875 }, { "county": "Little River, AR", "diesel": 0.0664, "residual_demog": -35.4, "residual_dens": -18.2, "votes": 5177 }, { "county": "Logan, AR", "diesel": 0.0476, "residual_demog": -17.5, "residual_dens": -9.5, "votes": 8182 }, { "county": "Lonoke, AR", "diesel": 0.0982, "residual_demog": -22, "residual_dens": -21.4, "votes": 30699 }, { "county": "Madison, AR", "diesel": 0.0366, "residual_demog": -22.6, "residual_dens": -5.7, "votes": 7351 }, { "county": "Marion, AR", "diesel": 0.0412, "residual_demog": -12.4, "residual_dens": -2, "votes": 7503 }, { "county": "Miller, AR", "diesel": 0.1182, "residual_demog": -30.3, "residual_dens": -28.4, "votes": 16527 }, { "county": "Mississippi, AR", "diesel": 0.1024, "residual_demog": -19.7, "residual_dens": -10.7, "votes": 12342 }, { "county": "Monroe, AR", "diesel": 0.0906, "residual_demog": -23.3, "residual_dens": 1.7, "votes": 2816 }, { "county": "Montgomery, AR", "diesel": 0.035, "residual_demog": -19.8, "residual_dens": -0.8, "votes": 3873 }, { "county": "Nevada, AR", "diesel": 0.0651, "residual_demog": -24.2, "residual_dens": -3.2, "votes": 3358 }, { "county": "Newton, AR", "diesel": 0.0301, "residual_demog": -15.7, "residual_dens": 2.9, "votes": 3998 }, { "county": "Ouachita, AR", "diesel": 0.1093, 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}, { "county": "Mercer, OH", "diesel": 0.1117, "residual_demog": -20.9, "residual_dens": -19.4, "votes": 23753 }, { "county": "Miami, OH", "diesel": 0.1484, "residual_demog": -8.7, "residual_dens": -12.2, "votes": 57955 }, { "county": "Monroe, OH", "diesel": 0.0549, "residual_demog": 2.1, "residual_dens": 10, "votes": 7148 }, { "county": "Montgomery, OH", "diesel": 0.1866, "residual_demog": 3.3, "residual_dens": -3.4, "votes": 267838 }, { "county": "Morgan, OH", "diesel": 0.0585, "residual_demog": -2.5, "residual_dens": 6.4, "votes": 6847 }, { "county": "Morrow, OH", "diesel": 0.1081, "residual_demog": -6.4, "residual_dens": -2.8, "votes": 18452 }, { "county": "Muskingum, OH", "diesel": 0.1105, "residual_demog": -0.4, "residual_dens": -1.7, "votes": 40460 }, { "county": "Noble, OH", "diesel": 0.0707, "residual_demog": -10.7, "residual_dens": -3.4, "votes": 6343 }, { "county": "Ottawa, OH", "diesel": 0.1355, "residual_demog": 9.4, "residual_dens": 10.3, "votes": 24002 }, { "county": "Paulding, OH", "diesel": 0.1065, "residual_demog": -4.7, "residual_dens": 2.2, "votes": 9461 }, { "county": "Perry, OH", "diesel": 0.0712, "residual_demog": 2.4, "residual_dens": 3.8, "votes": 16672 }, { "county": "Pickaway, OH", "diesel": 0.1242, "residual_demog": -5.1, "residual_dens": -6.3, "votes": 28257 }, { "county": "Pike, OH", "diesel": 0.0853, "residual_demog": -0.3, "residual_dens": 3.8, "votes": 12412 }, { "county": "Portage, OH", "diesel": 0.1395, "residual_demog": 11.2, "residual_dens": 9.6, "votes": 82852 }, { "county": "Preble, OH", "diesel": 0.1186, "residual_demog": -8.8, "residual_dens": -8.9, "votes": 21809 }, { "county": "Putnam, OH", "diesel": 0.106, "residual_demog": -30.5, "residual_dens": -22.9, "votes": 19915 }, { "county": "Richland, OH", "diesel": 0.109, "residual_demog": -2.5, "residual_dens": -7.5, "votes": 59943 }, { "county": "Ross, OH", "diesel": 0.1099, "residual_demog": 5.3, "residual_dens": 4.2, "votes": 33296 }, { "county": "Sandusky, OH", "diesel": 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"residual_demog": -11.3, "residual_dens": -11.7, "votes": 14960 }, { "county": "Vinton, OH", "diesel": 0.0602, "residual_demog": -5.1, "residual_dens": 3.8, "votes": 6027 }, { "county": "Warren, OH", "diesel": 0.1756, "residual_demog": -21.2, "residual_dens": -23.3, "votes": 136095 }, { "county": "Washington, OH", "diesel": 0.0858, "residual_demog": 1.6, "residual_dens": 1.1, "votes": 32031 }, { "county": "Wayne, OH", "diesel": 0.1182, "residual_demog": -0.7, "residual_dens": -3, "votes": 54193 }, { "county": "Williams, OH", "diesel": 0.1309, "residual_demog": 1.8, "residual_dens": 1.6, "votes": 18649 }, { "county": "Wood, OH", "diesel": 0.1771, "residual_demog": 8.8, "residual_dens": 9.2, "votes": 67449 }, { "county": "Wyandot, OH", "diesel": 0.1044, "residual_demog": -5.6, "residual_dens": -0.9, "votes": 11388 }, { "county": "Adair, OK", "diesel": 0.0543, "residual_demog": -54.3, "residual_dens": -33, "votes": 7108 }, { "county": "Alfalfa, OK", "diesel": 0.049, "residual_demog": -49.5, "residual_dens": -23.5, "votes": 2262 }, { "county": "Atoka, OK", "diesel": 0.0587, "residual_demog": -46.9, "residual_dens": -26.5, "votes": 5389 }, { "county": "Beaver, OK", "diesel": 0.0314, "residual_demog": -67.9, "residual_dens": -36.2, "votes": 2178 }, { "county": "Beckham, OK", "diesel": 0.0746, "residual_demog": -41.2, "residual_dens": -29.4, "votes": 7948 }, { "county": "Blaine, OK", "diesel": 0.0471, "residual_demog": -38.1, "residual_dens": -16.7, "votes": 3901 }, { "county": "Bryan, OK", "diesel": 0.0707, "residual_demog": -42.9, "residual_dens": -31.8, "votes": 15976 }, { "county": "Caddo, OK", "diesel": 0.0556, "residual_demog": -31.8, "residual_dens": -9.7, "votes": 9859 }, { "county": "Canadian, OK", "diesel": 0.1282, "residual_demog": -31.4, "residual_dens": -33.2, "votes": 61950 }, { "county": "Carter, OK", "diesel": 0.1116, "residual_demog": -34, "residual_dens": -27.3, "votes": 19479 }, { "county": "Cherokee, OK", "diesel": 0.0669, "residual_demog": -40.4, "residual_dens": -21.2, "votes": 17713 }, { "county": "Choctaw, OK", "diesel": 0.0556, "residual_demog": -48.5, "residual_dens": -29.2, "votes": 5832 }, { "county": "Cimarron, OK", "diesel": 0.0308, "residual_demog": -75.3, "residual_dens": -42.7, "votes": 1054 }, { "county": "Cleveland, OK", "diesel": 0.1731, "residual_demog": -13, "residual_dens": -14.7, "votes": 119219 }, { "county": "Coal, OK", "diesel": 0.0509, "residual_demog": -48.4, "residual_dens": -22.7, "votes": 2524 }, { "county": "Comanche, OK", "diesel": 0.0799, "residual_demog": -21.3, "residual_dens": -16.2, "votes": 35623 }, { "county": "Cotton, OK", "diesel": 0.0465, "residual_demog": -43.6, "residual_dens": -18, "votes": 2572 }, { "county": "Craig, OK", "diesel": 0.096, "residual_demog": -39.6, "residual_dens": -22.7, "votes": 6032 }, { "county": "Creek, OK", "diesel": 0.0915, "residual_demog": -27.9, "residual_dens": -22.5, "votes": 30488 }, { "county": "Custer, OK", "diesel": 0.0941, "residual_demog": -53.3, "residual_dens": -38.9, "votes": 10691 }, { "county": "Delaware, OK", "diesel": 0.0579, "residual_demog": -40.7, "residual_dens": -28.2, "votes": 17244 }, { "county": "Dewey, OK", "diesel": 0.0373, "residual_demog": -49.4, "residual_dens": -21.5, "votes": 2359 }, { "county": "Ellis, OK", "diesel": 0.045, "residual_demog": -47.7, "residual_dens": -18, "votes": 1873 }, { "county": "Garfield, OK", "diesel": 0.0987, "residual_demog": -33.2, "residual_dens": -30.5, "votes": 22430 }, { "county": "Garvin, OK", "diesel": 0.0787, "residual_demog": -37.5, "residual_dens": -23.3, "votes": 10922 }, { "county": "Grady, OK", "diesel": 0.0861, "residual_demog": -31.3, "residual_dens": -24.8, "votes": 23101 }, { "county": "Grant, OK", "diesel": 0.0517, "residual_demog": -41.8, "residual_dens": -13.6, "votes": 2226 }, { "county": "Greer, OK", "diesel": 0.0374, "residual_demog": -38.3, "residual_dens": -14, "votes": 1973 }, { "county": "Harmon, OK", "diesel": 0.0352, "residual_demog": -56.2, "residual_dens": -20.7, "votes": 933 }, { "county": "Harper, OK", "diesel": 0.0338, "residual_demog": -67.1, "residual_dens": -30.4, "votes": 1486 }, { "county": "Haskell, OK", "diesel": 0.0475, "residual_demog": -42.4, "residual_dens": -22.7, "votes": 5015 }, { "county": "Hughes, OK", "diesel": 0.0564, "residual_demog": -44.6, "residual_dens": -25, "votes": 4856 }, { "county": "Jackson, OK", "diesel": 0.059, "residual_demog": -49.3, "residual_dens": -37.9, "votes": 8221 }, { "county": "Jefferson, OK", "diesel": 0.0527, "residual_demog": -42, "residual_dens": -16.7, "votes": 2385 }, { "county": "Johnston, OK", "diesel": 0.0611, "residual_demog": -48.5, "residual_dens": -26.3, "votes": 4251 }, { "county": "Kay, OK", "diesel": 0.0838, "residual_demog": -26.3, "residual_dens": -21.1, "votes": 17249 }, { "county": "Kingfisher, OK", "diesel": 0.0633, "residual_demog": -50.4, "residual_dens": -32, "votes": 6465 }, { "county": "Kiowa, OK", "diesel": 0.0391, "residual_demog": -36.4, "residual_dens": -10.7, "votes": 3427 }, { "county": "Latimer, OK", "diesel": 0.0398, "residual_demog": -39.6, "residual_dens": -17, "votes": 4250 }, { "county": "Le Flore, OK", "diesel": 0.0574, "residual_demog": -38.3, "residual_dens": -24.6, "votes": 18804 }, { "county": "Lincoln, OK", "diesel": 0.0677, "residual_demog": -27.4, "residual_dens": -15.1, "votes": 14887 }, { "county": "Logan, OK", "diesel": 0.1057, "residual_demog": -30.9, "residual_dens": -23.3, "votes": 21574 }, { "county": "Love, OK", "diesel": 0.0862, "residual_demog": -37.5, "residual_dens": -19.2, "votes": 4076 }, { "county": "McClain, OK", "diesel": 0.1022, "residual_demog": -39.7, "residual_dens": -30.5, "votes": 19236 }, { "county": "McCurtain, OK", "diesel": 0.0518, "residual_demog": -51.7, "residual_dens": -32.2, "votes": 11467 }, { "county": "McIntosh, OK", "diesel": 0.0678, "residual_demog": -26.3, "residual_dens": -12.8, "votes": 8335 }, { "county": "Major, OK", "diesel": 0.043, "residual_demog": -43.4, "residual_dens": -24.2, "votes": 3467 }, { "county": "Marshall, OK", "diesel": 0.0686, "residual_demog": -40.1, "residual_dens": -27.2, "votes": 6064 }, { "county": "Mayes, OK", "diesel": 0.0811, "residual_demog": -35.2, "residual_dens": -23.7, "votes": 16626 }, { "county": "Murray, OK", "diesel": 0.0713, "residual_demog": -33.7, "residual_dens": -21, "votes": 5894 }, { "county": "Muskogee, OK", "diesel": 0.1025, "residual_demog": -29.2, "residual_dens": -21.4, "votes": 25083 }, { "county": "Noble, OK", "diesel": 0.0722, "residual_demog": -26.1, "residual_dens": -12.5, "votes": 4938 }, { "county": "Nowata, OK", "diesel": 0.0703, "residual_demog": -45, "residual_dens": -26.3, "votes": 4391 }, { "county": "Okfuskee, OK", "diesel": 0.0608, "residual_demog": -35, "residual_dens": -15.5, "votes": 4037 }, { "county": "Oklahoma, OK", "diesel": 0.1904, "residual_demog": -14.6, "residual_dens": -16, "votes": 294452 }, { "county": "Okmulgee, OK", "diesel": 0.0719, "residual_demog": -22.6, "residual_dens": -9.8, "votes": 14314 }, { "county": "Osage, OK", "diesel": 0.0842, "residual_demog": -29.6, "residual_dens": -15.1, "votes": 20588 }, { "county": "Ottawa, OK", "diesel": 0.0992, "residual_demog": -31.5, "residual_dens": -22, "votes": 11438 }, { "county": "Pawnee, OK", "diesel": 0.0573, "residual_demog": -27.5, "residual_dens": -16.2, "votes": 6788 }, { "county": "Payne, OK", "diesel": 0.0866, "residual_demog": -24.1, "residual_dens": -15.8, "votes": 29644 }, { "county": "Pittsburg, OK", "diesel": 0.0603, "residual_demog": -36.8, "residual_dens": -25.3, "votes": 17899 }, { "county": "Pontotoc, OK", "diesel": 0.0736, "residual_demog": -40.3, "residual_dens": -27.5, "votes": 15320 }, { "county": "Pottawatomie, OK", "diesel": 0.0781, "residual_demog": -25.5, "residual_dens": -20.6, "votes": 28201 }, { "county": "Pushmataha, OK", "diesel": 0.0437, "residual_demog": -45.6, "residual_dens": -24.3, "votes": 4738 }, { "county": "Roger Mills, OK", "diesel": 0.0307, "residual_demog": -53.5, "residual_dens": -21, "votes": 1834 }, { "county": "Rogers, OK", "diesel": 0.1122, "residual_demog": -36.5, "residual_dens": -31.7, "votes": 44486 }, { "county": "Seminole, OK", "diesel": 0.0629, "residual_demog": -27.6, "residual_dens": -13.3, "votes": 8322 }, { "county": "Sequoyah, OK", "diesel": 0.0885, "residual_demog": -41.5, "residual_dens": -29.1, "votes": 15385 }, { "county": "Stephens, OK", "diesel": 0.0649, "residual_demog": -35.3, "residual_dens": -29.9, "votes": 19057 }, { "county": "Texas, OK", "diesel": 0.0479, "residual_demog": -78, "residual_dens": -51.9, "votes": 5521 }, { "county": "Tillman, OK", "diesel": 0.042, "residual_demog": -44.5, "residual_dens": -21.2, "votes": 2708 }, { "county": "Tulsa, OK", "diesel": 0.1476, "residual_demog": -20.3, "residual_dens": -23.4, "votes": 266153 }, { "county": "Wagoner, OK", "diesel": 0.0877, "residual_demog": -35.8, "residual_dens": -32.8, "votes": 35337 }, { "county": "Washington, OK", "diesel": 0.0926, "residual_demog": -39.8, "residual_dens": -36.9, "votes": 23508 }, { "county": "Washita, OK", "diesel": 0.0402, "residual_demog": -40.9, "residual_dens": -19.5, "votes": 4777 }, { "county": "Woods, OK", "diesel": 0.0781, "residual_demog": -52.8, "residual_dens": -26.2, "votes": 3678 }, { "county": "Woodward, OK", "diesel": 0.0668, "residual_demog": -46.3, "residual_dens": -34.5, "votes": 7786 }, { "county": "Baker, OR", "diesel": 0.0595, "residual_demog": -22, "residual_dens": -6.5, "votes": 9932 }, { "county": "Benton, OR", "diesel": 0.0961, "residual_demog": 31.7, "residual_dens": 37.3, "votes": 52799 }, { "county": "Clackamas, OR", "diesel": 0.2548, "residual_demog": 24, "residual_dens": 19.5, "votes": 257561 }, { "county": "Clatsop, OR", "diesel": 0.0643, "residual_demog": 37.8, "residual_dens": 41.9, "votes": 23910 }, { "county": "Columbia, OR", "diesel": 0.0954, "residual_demog": 31.2, "residual_dens": 31.3, "votes": 32221 }, { "county": "Coos, OR", "diesel": 0.0611, 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"residual_dens": 24.2, "votes": 7886 }, { "county": "St. Croix, WI", "diesel": 0.1495, "residual_demog": 9.1, "residual_dens": 12, "votes": 56702 }, { "county": "Sauk, WI", "diesel": 0.091, "residual_demog": 34.5, "residual_dens": 37.8, "votes": 36209 }, { "county": "Sawyer, WI", "diesel": 0.0432, "residual_demog": 7.7, "residual_dens": 27.4, "votes": 10511 }, { "county": "Shawano, WI", "diesel": 0.0536, "residual_demog": 4.5, "residual_dens": 11.5, "votes": 22615 }, { "county": "Sheboygan, WI", "diesel": 0.1008, "residual_demog": 10.7, "residual_dens": 7.3, "votes": 66016 }, { "county": "Taylor, WI", "diesel": 0.0556, "residual_demog": 0.9, "residual_dens": 10.2, "votes": 10686 }, { "county": "Trempealeau, WI", "diesel": 0.0775, "residual_demog": 22.5, "residual_dens": 33.9, "votes": 15384 }, { "county": "Vernon, WI", "diesel": 0.0679, "residual_demog": 34.9, "residual_dens": 44.5, "votes": 15917 }, { "county": "Vilas, WI", "diesel": 0.028, "residual_demog": 4.4, "residual_dens": 20, "votes": 15369 }, { "county": "Walworth, WI", "diesel": 0.0988, "residual_demog": 3, "residual_dens": 5.7, "votes": 57602 }, { "county": "Washburn, WI", "diesel": 0.0526, "residual_demog": 14.8, "residual_dens": 29.2, "votes": 10378 }, { "county": "Washington, WI", "diesel": 0.1071, "residual_demog": -10, "residual_dens": -12.7, "votes": 88086 }, { "county": "Waukesha, WI", "diesel": 0.1426, "residual_demog": -11.5, "residual_dens": -13.5, "votes": 267992 }, { "county": "Waupaca, WI", "diesel": 0.0686, "residual_demog": 12.6, "residual_dens": 15.8, "votes": 29135 }, { "county": "Waushara, WI", "diesel": 0.0642, "residual_demog": 7.6, "residual_dens": 18.2, "votes": 13569 }, { "county": "Winnebago, WI", "diesel": 0.1866, "residual_demog": 20.9, "residual_dens": 13.7, "votes": 94045 }, { "county": "Wood, WI", "diesel": 0.0911, "residual_demog": 21.1, "residual_dens": 19.7, "votes": 41336 }, { "county": "Albany, WY", "diesel": 0.1222, "residual_demog": -10.5, "residual_dens": -2.3, "votes": 18617 }, { "county": "Big Horn, WY", "diesel": 0.0328, "residual_demog": -36.1, "residual_dens": -8.6, "votes": 5752 }, { "county": "Campbell, WY", "diesel": 0.0671, "residual_demog": -39.9, "residual_dens": -32.4, "votes": 19566 }, { "county": "Carbon, WY", "diesel": 0.0611, "residual_demog": -30.6, "residual_dens": -8.9, "votes": 6664 }, { "county": "Converse, WY", "diesel": 0.0796, "residual_demog": -35.4, "residual_dens": -23.4, "votes": 6970 }, { "county": "Crook, WY", "diesel": 0.0268, "residual_demog": -41, "residual_dens": -11.6, "votes": 4119 }, { "county": "Fremont, WY", "diesel": 0.0404, "residual_demog": -18.7, "residual_dens": -0.3, "votes": 18111 }, { "county": "Goshen, WY", "diesel": 0.0693, "residual_demog": -30.1, "residual_dens": -12.4, "votes": 6241 }, { "county": "Hot Springs, WY", "diesel": 0.0243, "residual_demog": -28.4, "residual_dens": -17, "votes": 2577 }, { "county": "Johnson, WY", "diesel": 0.0301, "residual_demog": -34.5, "residual_dens": -17.2, "votes": 4914 }, { "county": "Laramie, WY", "diesel": 0.1552, "residual_demog": -13.8, "residual_dens": -12.5, "votes": 44982 }, { "county": "Lincoln, WY", "diesel": 0.0222, "residual_demog": -30, "residual_dens": -12.3, "votes": 10468 }, { "county": "Natrona, WY", "diesel": 0.0851, "residual_demog": -21, "residual_dens": -25.3, "votes": 35202 }, { "county": "Niobrara, WY", "diesel": 0.0245, "residual_demog": -38.4, "residual_dens": -1.3, "votes": 1308 }, { "county": "Park, WY", "diesel": 0.0372, "residual_demog": -36.1, "residual_dens": -21.2, "votes": 16717 }, { "county": "Platte, WY", "diesel": 0.0484, "residual_demog": -25.3, "residual_dens": 0, "votes": 4923 }, { "county": "Sheridan, WY", "diesel": 0.0743, "residual_demog": -23.1, "residual_dens": -14.9, "votes": 16428 }, { "county": "Sublette, WY", "diesel": 0.0102, "residual_demog": -31.6, "residual_dens": 2.7, "votes": 4970 }, { "county": "Sweetwater, WY", "diesel": 0.1514, "residual_demog": -18.2, "residual_dens": -13.6, "votes": 16603 }, { "county": "Teton, WY", "diesel": 0.0307, "residual_demog": 27.1, "residual_dens": 50.7, "votes": 14677 }, { "county": "Uinta, WY", "diesel": 0.0878, "residual_demog": -25.1, "residual_dens": -17.4, "votes": 9402 }, { "county": "Washakie, WY", "diesel": 0.0295, "residual_demog": -36.6, "residual_dens": -24.2, "votes": 4012 }, { "county": "Weston, WY", "diesel": 0.0374, "residual_demog": -33.3, "residual_dens": -18.2, "votes": 3542 } ], "id": "county_diesel_scatter", "notes": [ "Binned means group counties into tenths by diesel exposure. The number of counties in each bin is in the tooltip.", "Hawaii, Connecticut and the District of Columbia, and counties without a tract of more than {fact:vote_floor} votes, are left out. County values are averages of modeled tract values, so they carry the errors of both models.", "Intervals on the binned means resample the states. They do not include error in the allocation of precinct votes to tracts or in the modeled pollution values." ], "source": "Precinct votes allocated to census tracts (Fekrazad 2025), 2020 presidential election; EPA EJScreen version 2.3 (2024 release, 2020 air data); American Community Survey tract data (vintage not recorded in the atlas); vote-weighted county means of tract values, full counts, no sampling weights", "spec": { "highlight": [ "New York, NY", "Kings, NY", "Bronx, NY", "Queens, NY", "Hudson, NJ" ], "label": "county", "overlays": [ { "hi": "hi", "kind": "line", "label": "Binned mean, weighted by votes", "lo": "lo", "rows": [ { "hi": 11, "lo": -5.14, "n": 310, "x": 0.0242, "y": 3.71 }, { "hi": 2.56, "lo": -15.75, "n": 310, "x": 0.0385, "y": -5.86 }, { "hi": -3.13, "lo": -22.98, "n": 309, "x": 0.0484, "y": -13.94 }, { "hi": 1.77, "lo": -16.4, "n": 310, "x": 0.0573, "y": -7.46 }, { "hi": -0.23, "lo": -18.05, "n": 309, "x": 0.0667, "y": -9.43 }, { "hi": 2.51, "lo": -15.03, "n": 310, "x": 0.0766, "y": -7.36 }, { "hi": 5.21, "lo": -11.93, "n": 309, "x": 0.0905, "y": -3.39 }, { "hi": 4.2, "lo": -10.93, "n": 310, "x": 0.1055, "y": -3.07 }, { "hi": 3.58, "lo": -8.34, "n": 309, "x": 0.1308, "y": -2.97 }, { "hi": 9.03, "lo": -2.02, "n": 310, "x": 0.2581, "y": 3.8 } ], "x": "x", "y": "y" }, { "hi": "hi", "kind": "line", "label": "Binned mean, each county once", "lo": "lo", "rows": [ { "hi": -7.39, "lo": -24.77, "n": 310, "x": 0.0221, "y": -15.94 }, { "hi": -10.53, "lo": -30.86, "n": 310, "x": 0.0381, "y": -20.86 }, { "hi": -13.89, "lo": -29.51, "n": 309, "x": 0.0479, "y": -22.14 }, { "hi": -9.21, "lo": -23.26, "n": 310, "x": 0.0575, "y": -16.48 }, { "hi": -6.18, "lo": -23.01, "n": 309, "x": 0.0666, "y": -14.49 }, { "hi": -6.27, "lo": -18.36, "n": 310, "x": 0.0762, "y": -12.29 }, { "hi": -4.65, "lo": -17.57, "n": 309, "x": 0.0894, "y": -11.06 }, { "hi": -2.97, "lo": -14.58, "n": 310, "x": 0.105, "y": -8.3 }, { "hi": -0.37, "lo": -10.6, "n": 309, "x": 0.1285, "y": -5.47 }, { "hi": 5.35, "lo": -4.57, "n": 310, "x": 0.2109, "y": 0.52 } ], "x": "x", "y": "y" } ], "size": "votes", "sizeFormat": { "digits": 0, "thousands": true }, "sizeLabel": "Votes for president, 2020", "x": "diesel", "xDomain": [ 0, 0.8 ], "xFormat": { "digits": 2 }, "xLabel": "County mean diesel exposure (micrograms per cubic meter)", "y": "residual_demog", "yDomain": [ -100, 110 ], "yFormat": { "digits": 0, "signed": true }, "yLabel": "Residual margin after race, income, education (points)" }, "subtitle": "Each dot is a county: its mean diesel exposure (averaged over tracts by 2020 votes) against its residual margin, the Democratic two-party margin minus the margin predicted from race, income and education, in percentage points; correlations across {fact:n_counties_sample} counties weighted by county votes", "table": { "columns": [ { "key": "county", "label": "County" }, { "format": { "digits": 3 }, "key": "diesel", "label": "Diesel exposure (µg/m³)" }, { "format": { "digits": 1, "signed": true }, "key": "residual_demog", "label": "Residual margin (points)" }, { "format": { "digits": 1, "signed": true }, "key": "residual_dens", "label": "Residual margin, density held fixed (points)" }, { "format": { "digits": 0, "thousands": true }, "key": "votes", "label": "Votes for president, 2020" } ] }, "title": "County diesel exposure correlates at {fact:r_county_lean_demog} with the residual margin after race, income and education, and at {fact:r_county_lean_dens} (interval includes zero) with density added", "type": "scatter", "views": [ { "id": "demog", "label": "Residual margin" }, { "id": "dens", "label": "Density held fixed", "spec": { "overlays": [ { "hi": "hi", "kind": "line", "label": "Binned mean, weighted by votes", "lo": "lo", "rows": [ { "hi": 29.26, "lo": 17.12, "n": 310, "x": 0.0242, "y": 23.69 }, { "hi": 15.79, "lo": 0.67, "n": 310, "x": 0.0385, "y": 8.56 }, { "hi": 7.87, "lo": -8.91, "n": 309, "x": 0.0484, "y": -1.65 }, { "hi": 9.57, "lo": -6.7, "n": 310, "x": 0.0573, "y": 1.21 }, { "hi": 6.57, "lo": -8.13, "n": 309, "x": 0.0667, "y": -1.26 }, { "hi": 7.46, "lo": -9.69, "n": 310, "x": 0.0766, "y": -2.24 }, { "hi": 7.02, "lo": -8.16, "n": 309, "x": 0.0905, "y": -0.67 }, { "hi": 4.66, "lo": -8.89, "n": 310, "x": 0.1055, "y": -1.93 }, { "hi": 2.09, "lo": -8.84, "n": 309, "x": 0.1308, "y": -3.92 }, { "hi": 5.59, "lo": -4.16, "n": 310, "x": 0.2581, "y": 1.05 } ], "x": "x", "y": "y" }, { "hi": "hi", "kind": "line", "label": "Binned mean, each county once", "lo": "lo", "rows": [ { "hi": 18.79, "lo": 7, "n": 310, "x": 0.0221, "y": 13.08 }, { "hi": 7.53, "lo": -7.2, "n": 310, "x": 0.0381, "y": -0.18 }, { "hi": 1.25, "lo": -11.15, "n": 309, "x": 0.0479, "y": -5.62 }, { "hi": 2.5, "lo": -8.89, "n": 310, "x": 0.0575, "y": -3.51 }, { "hi": 4.56, "lo": -10.41, "n": 309, "x": 0.0666, "y": -3.15 }, { "hi": 2.16, "lo": -9.66, "n": 310, "x": 0.0762, "y": -3.76 }, { "hi": 0.4, "lo": -10.39, "n": 309, "x": 0.0894, "y": -5 }, { "hi": 0.48, "lo": -9.96, "n": 310, "x": 0.105, "y": -4.37 }, { "hi": 0.11, "lo": -9.32, "n": 309, "x": 0.1285, "y": -4.72 }, { "hi": 3.14, "lo": -5.52, "n": 310, "x": 0.2109, "y": -1.17 } ], "x": "x", "y": "y" } ], "y": "residual_dens", "yLabel": "Residual margin after race, income, education, density (points)" } } ], "width": "wide" }